relf Posted October 15, 2011 Share Posted October 15, 2011 Trying my luck with a second system after the failure of "Close Games" earlier. Basically my selections will come from the Spanish La Liga. The selection criteria will be based on some collated statistics, together with evaluation of probability vs odds. As there are only 10 games every round, there won't be many selections. It's still a very new and raw system, so it's a paper trail. After all, you will never know until you have actually tried it out. Odds used will be from Bet365 by default. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted October 15, 2011 Author Share Posted October 15, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions 1) Mallorca vs Valencia - Valencia @ 2.30 2) Granada vs A.Madrid - A.Madrid @ 2.10 3) Sevilla vs Sporting Gijon - Sevilla @ 1.36 4) A.Bilbao vs Osasuna - A.Bilbao @ 1.83 *10 points per match Staked: 40 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted October 15, 2011 Share Posted October 15, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions Good to see you back, Relf..... and good luck with the system :hope The start of La Liga has been a bit strange this season..... Barcelona and Real Madrid are not having it all their own way. Look at the table, and you see teams such as Levante, Malaga and Real Betis up there mixing it with the Big Two. So perhaps this season will be going against the normal "statistics"..... for the sake of your statistical system, let's hope not ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Posted October 15, 2011 Share Posted October 15, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions Hi relf, Any historic performance for us to look at? Anything SoccerSystemBuilder can help with or are your collated statistics not available on SoccerSystemBuilder? I agree with Grex, not having Barca and Real lodged at the top of La Liga by some distance, even this early on, does raise eyebrows. Good luck Matt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted October 15, 2011 Author Share Posted October 15, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions Good to see you back, Relf..... and good luck with the system :hope The start of La Liga has been a bit strange this season..... Barcelona and Real Madrid are not having it all their own way. Look at the table, and you see teams such as Levante, Malaga and Real Betis up there mixing it with the Big Two. So perhaps this season will be going against the normal "statistics"..... for the sake of your statistical system, let's hope not ;) Thanks. It's a bit of mess all around, but I figured out I shall just try it out. I'm giving myself 100 points, i.e. 10 straight losses and I'm out. Hehe. Hi relf, Any historic performance for us to look at? Anything SoccerSystemBuilder can help with or are your collated statistics not available on SoccerSystemBuilder? I agree with Grex, not having Barca and Real lodged at the top of La Liga by some distance, even this early on, does raise eyebrows. Good luck Matt Hi Matt, thanks for your interest. I don't have any historic performance to show. By collated statistics I don't mean historical data from past seasons. Let's just say, it's more of data after the first 6 matches of the La Liga. On the issue of Barcelona and Madrid, I doubt I would be backing them any moment at that kind of odds, if you know what I mean. So unless they play each other, I'm probably only look at a maximum of 8 matches every round. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted October 18, 2011 Author Share Posted October 18, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions Let's see how far this goes. 1) Mallorca vs Valencia - Valencia @ 2.30 - LOSE 2) Granada vs A.Madrid - A.Madrid @ 2.10 - LOSE 3) Sevilla vs Sporting Gijon - Sevilla @ 1.36 - WIN 4) A.Bilbao vs Osasuna - A.Bilbao @ 1.83 - WIN Staked: 40 points Returns: 31.9 points Yield: -20% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted October 18, 2011 Share Posted October 18, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions Welcome back Relf, What are you up to now.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted October 18, 2011 Author Share Posted October 18, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions Welcome back Relf, What are you up to now.... Hey lawalahmed, nice to see you around. Basically I'm busier than ever. But once a soccer fan, always a soccer fan. And betting just doubles the fun of watching soccer. Sorry, I happened to look at my previous thread the other day, and I realized that you asked for some information. My laptop has crashed a few months ago, and I didn't back up the data because I wasn't intending to use the system anymore. Thus I can't answer your doubts. Hope your betting journey has been good so far! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted October 22, 2011 Author Share Posted October 22, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions 3 selections for this weekend! Let's hope the bank won't bankrupt before the end of the year. Hehe. :hope 5) Sporting Gijon vs Granada - Sporting Gijon @ 1.90 6) Racing vs Espanyol - Espanyol @ 2.75 7) Osasuna vs Zaragoza - Draw @ 3.40 Staked: 30 points --- Staked: 40 points Returns: 31.9 points Loss: 9.1 points Strike Rate: 2/4 (50%) Yield: -20% Starting Bank: 100 points Current Bank: 91.9 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted October 24, 2011 Author Share Posted October 24, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions Back into profit and let's hope it keeps this way. 5) Sporting Gijon vs Granada - Sporting Gijon @ 1.90 - WIN 6) Racing vs Espanyol - Espanyol @ 2.75 - WIN 7) Osasuna vs Zaragoza - Draw @ 3.40 - LOSE Staked: 30 points Returns: 46.5 points --- Staked: 70 points Returns: 78.4 points Profit: 8.4 points Strike Rate: 4/7 (57%) Yield: 12% Starting Bank: 100 points Current Bank: 108.4 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted October 25, 2011 Author Share Posted October 25, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions No selections for this midweek. :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted October 29, 2011 Author Share Posted October 29, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions 8) Sporting Gijon vs A.Bilbao - A.Bilbao @ 2.75 9) Racing vs R.Betis - Draw @ 3.20 10) Malaga vs Espanyol - Malaga @ 1.72 11) Sevilla vs Granada - Sevilla @ 1.40 Staked: 40 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted November 1, 2011 Author Share Posted November 1, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions Topsy-turvy. 8) Sporting Gijon vs A.Bilbao - A.Bilbao @ 2.75 - LOSE 9) Racing vs R.Betis - Draw @ 3.20 - LOSE 10) Malaga vs Espanyol - Malaga @ 1.72 - WIN 11) Sevilla vs Granada - Sevilla @ 1.40 - LOSE Staked: 40 points Returns: 17.2 points --- Staked: 110 points Returns: 95.6 points Loss: 14.4 points Strike Rate: 5/11 (45%) Yield: -13% Starting Bank: 100 points Current Bank: 85.6 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted November 5, 2011 Author Share Posted November 5, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions :hope 12) Mallorca vs Sevilla - Sevilla @ 2.37 13) Granada vs Racing Santander - Granada @ 2.05 14) Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad - Draw @ 3.40 Staked: 30 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted November 7, 2011 Author Share Posted November 7, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions Ouch. Makes me wonder why I even started this in the first place. :sad 12) Mallorca vs Sevilla - Sevilla @ 2.37 - LOSE 13) Granada vs Racing Santander - Granada @ 2.05 - LOSE 14) Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad - Draw @ 3.40 - LOSE Staked: 30 points Return: 0 points --- Staked: 140 points Returns: 95.6 points Loss: 44.4 points Strike Rate: 5/14 (45%) Yield: -32% Starting Bank: 100 points Current Bank: 55.6 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted November 7, 2011 Share Posted November 7, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions Keep at it Relf the Spanish results this season are weird ..... must change soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted November 8, 2011 Author Share Posted November 8, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions Keep at it Relf the Spanish results this season are weird ..... must change soon. Thanks for the kind words. Shall persevere, at least for 6 more matches before the bank goes bust. Hehe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lawalahmed Posted November 8, 2011 Share Posted November 8, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions Ouch. Makes me wonder why I even started this in the first place. :sad 12) Mallorca vs Sevilla - Sevilla @ 2.37 - LOSE 13) Granada vs Racing Santander - Granada @ 2.05 - LOSE 14) Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad - Draw @ 3.40 - LOSE Staked: 30 points Return: 0 points --- Staked: 140 points Returns: 95.6 points Loss: 44.4 points Strike Rate: 5/14 (45%) Yield: -32% Starting Bank: 100 points Current Bank: 55.6 points May be you should use 3% of your bankroll as a unit instead of 10% you are using now because of big odd selection.... Wishing you good luck my friend:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted November 11, 2011 Author Share Posted November 11, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions Thanks lawalahmed for the advice. Will take a look at the system more closely after more selections (at least 20). No La Liga soccer this weekend! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted November 19, 2011 Author Share Posted November 19, 2011 Re: La Liga Predictions Rather busy with exams so I haven't gotten time to sit down and look at the numbers. Will be back in a few weeks' time. :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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