RicardoFuller Posted November 23, 2010 Share Posted November 23, 2010 My first Post :D Although I dont want to give away my system, I do want to paper trail it on here. Back testing shows 23/26 going over this 1.5 this season. Further back testing into previous seasons is required, but I wanted to get this thread up and going. I realise the odds are small for this and range between 1.10 and 1.45, but hopefully there is still a bit of money to be made from it :D Only one pick this week; Bolton vs Blackpool 10pts @ 1.15 (www.williamhill.com) Starting bank 100pts Current bank 90pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flower567 Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system :welcome to PL. I am also on the over 1,5 goals market but to get higher returns I am on doubles and also trebles - odds around 1.7 to 1.9 in addition i am looking to cover the over 2.5 goals market because there are a lot of my selected games ending with 3 or 4 goals. anyway - good luck :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted November 24, 2010 Author Share Posted November 24, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system il have to take a look then. just seeing how this goes for a month or so, then reviewing it to improve it :) good luck to you too :):D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datapunter Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system :welcome you do need to describe the system a little bit, no need for details, just enough to get the general idea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted November 24, 2010 Author Share Posted November 24, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system Ok well, I have looked at stats from the last 2 and a half seasons. From them stats such as goals scored, goals against, and head to heads, I have a list of home teams to play on and a list of away teams to play on. But if the home play isnt against an away play...I dont play. Put simply, only fixtures where the home and away team are a play are used. and so far this season its going well :) :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted November 24, 2010 Author Share Posted November 24, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system :welcome to PL. I am also on the over 1,5 goals market but to get higher returns I am on doubles and also trebles - odds around 1.7 to 1.9 in addition i am looking to cover the over 2.5 goals market because there are a lot of my selected games ending with 3 or 4 goals. anyway - good luck :hope I think i may start too use doubles soon flowers :) Because in the long run I dont think my odds are high enough to make profit :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pepen Posted November 24, 2010 Share Posted November 24, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system Actually, in the long run you will experience profit, if your bets contain value. If you play doubles, you're likely to waste alot of value.. Nomather what sort of bets you're making, you'll be making no profits in the end, if the selections aren't good enough, nomather the odds :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted November 25, 2010 Author Share Posted November 25, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system Im hoping the system produces good picks and yes its early days so we shall see :D:dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted November 27, 2010 Author Share Posted November 27, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system Bolton 2-2 Blackpool Good start to the system :D Starting Bank 100pts Updated Bank 101.5pts 1/1 Next weeks picks up in the next few days :):clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted December 3, 2010 Author Share Posted December 3, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system next play over 1.5 goals **Liverpool vs Villa** 10 units @ 1.28 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flower567 Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system have you given up? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted December 6, 2010 Author Share Posted December 6, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system I have not! :D Just waiting to see how the game goes tonight :) I couldnt log in for a few days aswell, so i havent been too active. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted December 6, 2010 Author Share Posted December 6, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system 2-0 liverpool after 20 minutes :D Starting Bank = 100pts Current bank = 104.3pts 2 plays next weekend, will post them later on in the week :D 2/2 so far :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NO CODE Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system Good Luck Ricardo. Just one thing am i to be believed that you are staking 10pts each match with a 100pt bank? If so then in the long run I think you will A) Get frustrated, and B) Eventually lose. There really are some rules to follow here if you want to win in the long run. Never really go above 4% of your bank for each stake. And try to win 10-11% of your bank per month. I have found this incredibily rewarding. Best of luck anyways. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted December 7, 2010 Author Share Posted December 7, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system cheers, and yeah it is too much, but cus of the low odds the return will be so low without betting at least ten percent, but im only paper trailing so its not too much of an issue :D:dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted December 9, 2010 Author Share Posted December 9, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system Over 1.5goals Saturday 11th December Stoke vs Blackpool 10pts Monday 13th December Man Utd vs Arsenal 10pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NO CODE Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system Like your Stoke-Blackpool pick. But don't you ever cross the waters and look at foreign games? Bordeaux-Rennes for example is begging to be picked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted December 10, 2010 Author Share Posted December 10, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system I hadnt really thought about it but it took me soo long to come up with what i feel is a strong system, through looking back seasons and head2heads and everything for this system, that at the moment I genuinely just dont want to do it again for another league :P Lazy me ;) But im sure at some boring point in the future I will do so :) Cheers for the idea though, you got any picks this week? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NO CODE Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system Hi I am on Bordeaux-Rennes game. Price was 4/11 maybe shorter now. Been waiting for what should be an easy fixture for the past 4 weeks. Playing Sunday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NO CODE Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system i mean for that over 1.5g obviously Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system bad bad bad bad bad day. especially since i'm a stoke season ticket holder :( :wall Gotta wait til monday for the other game to restore some pride :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system Man united vs Arsenal over 1.5 goals @ 1.25, 10 pts. I forgot to put the odds on the earlier post. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluemanc Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system Bordeaux-Rennes,begging to be picked ? If i was you No Code i would get the the first ferry over the waters and make it a one way ticket ! Keep your selections to yourself ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system unlucky no code, i thought the stoke/blackpool game was a cert too :/ and bluemanc you got any picks ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluemanc Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system Hi RF and welcome to P/L :welcome. To answer your questions,i have started a new system this season which mixes short priced home favs and the over 1.5 games(not French)! Perming in trebles the bets are currently working for me and i have doubled my starting bank in ten weeks. Each bet pays approx 2/1. I am not ready to go public yet because of the short space of time it,s been operating so please watch for future threads(it may be next season,sorry). My problem this weekend was having one of my trebles as Barca(banker home win),Chelsea over 1.5 and yes Bordeaux over 1.5 !!!!! this bet went tits up when i used a "tip" from NO Code. Ah well i don,t blame him just myself for not researching the selection. I would recommend however looking at Mr Grex threads this term. A very good set of results so far this season and certainly one to look at every week. Sorry Mr G if i put the mockers curse on you !! Anyway good luck RF. :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system Bairns away picks thread is going really welll at the moment too, and yeah i follow grex's home favs thread. and terrible week for me 0/2, arsenal/united game was awful. :/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicardoFuller Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 Re: Over 1.5 goals betting system Man Utd 1-0 Arsenal Loss Stoke 0-1 Blackpool Loss 0/2 Current Bank 84.3:spank Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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