WaffleMania Posted November 16, 2010 Author Share Posted November 16, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Bet won, Final score 2-0. New bank £89.04 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 16, 2010 Author Share Posted November 16, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Lay 32 Scotland v Faroes - [Currently 2-0 after 40 minutes] Correct Score: 2-1 @ 27 My Liability £88.92 to win £3.25 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimchin Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III I had to jump in here with a comment. This thread is awesome. If you are increasing the liability with each bet won't you end up coming unstuck at some point? In that you will lose your whole bank. How are you selecting the scores to lay? I've been using a stats service to get the percentage of over / under goal results as well as other stats about form. Love to know how you're going about doing it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 16, 2010 Author Share Posted November 16, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Thanks jim. I tend to used soccervista to see previous match results, current form and goals scored to give me a rough view of how a team is doing. However, this is just numbers on a screen so i use the current odds to see how the market is inclined as well. Scoreline-wise, I tend to just make informed guesses depending on how a match is being played, who is playing and any history and lay accordingly. As to the bank, after this final bet gets settled i shall be banking 1/3 so i'll be playing with pure profits. Certain bets will not be all-in if i'm not completely confident about them, as with 2 of them recently. But apart from all that, its just pot-luck, and i'm hoping my luck continues for a while longer now so I can move up the table :ok Hope that helps at all Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 16, 2010 Author Share Posted November 16, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Bet won, Final score 3-0 New bank £92.29 Withdrawing another £32.29 New new bank £60.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 17, 2010 Author Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Lay 33 Kashima v C-Osaka Correct Score: AU @ 9.8 My Liability £59.93 to win £6.47 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 17, 2010 Author Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Bet won, final score 2-1. New bank £66.47 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lamas1984 Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III how about portugal v spain ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 17, 2010 Author Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Not too sure about that match at the moment. Spain knocked out Portugal in the World Cup, so that might add to the rivalry between the two. In Spains last 19 matches, they've only lost to Switzerland (1-0) and Argentina (4-1) and drawn once against Mexico (1-1). Based on this, I'd be verging towards laying Portugal to win to nil scoreline, or 0-0. Being a friendly though, and an exhibition match for their joint World Cup bid, I'm siding more on Laying 0-0 at 10.5 or 2-0 at 20. Still got the England match to get through first though :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lamas1984 Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III hmm 2-0 seems to be a good lay.. i thought in AU because portugal will not let spain play with them in defence so well... 0-0 to lay seems more risky.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 17, 2010 Author Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III The thing thats putting me off laying AU is that both teams have had an AU scoreline in the last 4 matches. Portugal drew 4-4 with Cyprus, Spain lost 4-1 to Argentina and beat Liechtenstein 4-0. Both teams have the players to score goals in abundance, so i'm not completely sure what I'll go for yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 17, 2010 Author Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Lay 34 Argentina v Brazil - Neutral Venue Correct Score: AU at HT at 28 My Liability £66.42 to win £2.34 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lamas1984 Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III good lay ;) win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 17, 2010 Author Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Thanks. HT score 0-0, FT 1-0 after a 91st minute Messi moment of magic New bank £68.81 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lamas1984 Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III i lay 2-0 for portugal... hope they dont do something stupid :P Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 17, 2010 Author Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III As i said, Spain have only failed to score once in their last 19 games, so hope that continues tonight for you! :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 17, 2010 Author Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Lay 35 England v France - [Currently 0-0 after 8 minutes] Correct Score: 2-0 @ 13 My Liability £66.00 to win £5.22 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lamas1984 Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III you win :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 17, 2010 Author Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Bet won, Final score 1-2. New bank £74.03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lamas1984 Posted November 17, 2010 Share Posted November 17, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III my profit in lay 2 portugal v 0 spain was in danger but im good now :rollin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 18, 2010 Author Share Posted November 18, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III The figures so far after the 35th bet are as follows: Total Staked: £1,536.87 Total Returns: £1,627.63 Total Profit: £90.76 Total Yield: 5.91% Average Staked: £43.91 Average Profit: £2.59 Not bad if I say so myself. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 19, 2010 Author Share Posted November 19, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Lay 36 Sevastopol v Arsenal Kiev Correct Score: AU @ 18.5 My Liability £74.03 to win £4.02 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 19, 2010 Author Share Posted November 19, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Bet won, final score 0-2 New bank £78.05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 19, 2010 Author Share Posted November 19, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Lay 37 HB Koge v Naestved Correct Score: 0-2 @ 38 My Liability £77.70 to win £1.99 :hope Home side have won their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 3. Away side have not won in their last 5, drawing 2 and losing 3, scoring just 4 and conceding 7. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 19, 2010 Author Share Posted November 19, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Bet won and settled by half-time! Current score 4-0! New bank £79.69 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 19, 2010 Author Share Posted November 19, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Lay 38 Vicenza v Padova - [Currently 0-0 after 5 minutes] Correct Score: AU @ 24 My Liability £79.58 to win £3.29 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 19, 2010 Author Share Posted November 19, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Bet won, final score 2-1 New bank £82.98 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 19, 2010 Author Share Posted November 19, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Lay 39 Godoy Cruz v Banfield - [Currently 0-0 after 8 minutes] Correct Score: AU @ 22 My Liability £82.95 to win £3.75 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 19, 2010 Author Share Posted November 19, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III And its 1-0 straight after.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaffleMania Posted November 20, 2010 Author Share Posted November 20, 2010 Re: Laying Correct Scores - Attempt III Well thats a result! After being 2-0 up and playing against 10 men for the good part of 55+ minutes, Godoy just weren't clinical enough in front of goal. Final score 2-1. And all 3 goals were freaks of nature :rollin First was a deflection that lobbed the keeper in the 11th minute. Second was a 28 metre shot that somehow got under the keeper in the 16th minute. Third was a cross from the byline that lobbed the keeper in the 92nd minute. Anyways... New bank £86.70 :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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