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Wildgarden

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  1. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to richard-westwood in Racing Chat - Saturday 7th Oct   
    335 ASC
    Quinalt. 9.0 9.2.
    Popmaster. 8.8. 7.2.
    Orbaan.  8.6 15/1 
    These 3 appear to be a little ahead of the rest so I'll try 5pt wins all 3 
  2. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to richard-westwood in Racing chat -friday 6th Oct   
    322 Ascot 
    Florida.  8.4 7/2 
    Metal merchant 8.1 11/1 
    Hickory.  7.8 
    6pt win Florida 2pt Ew metal 
  3. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to richard-westwood in Racing chat-weds 4th Oct   
    Bit unlucky ...1st 2nd 4th .....so small Ew doubles X2 and 6/1 winner ....probably just made a point or two profit overall but I'll fight another day .....ratings performed well that's all that matters 
  4. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to richard-westwood in Racing chat-weds 4th Oct   
    Well....yesterday's bet was big let down ....well backed but blew it in stalls ..gave about 5 lengths away in last and that was it .....very disappointing but that's racing for ya ....
    7.00 kemp 
    Elzaam blue 8.0 6/1 
    Saturnalia  7.8. 8/1 
    Dionysian.  7.5 
    Surrey noir 7.4 
    Competitive race so I'll play safe and go 3pt Ew top 2 for a bit of action ...4 places 
  5. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to richard-westwood in Racing chat-weds 4th Oct   
    5.00 kemp 
    Mordor. 8.2 9/4 
    Nanctez treze. 7.7 15.0 
    8pt win top rated ...1pt saver 2nd rated 
     
  6. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to richard-westwood in Racing chat-weds 4th Oct   
    730 kemp 
    Gulmarg. 8.2 15/2 
    Behind the scenes 7.9 11/2 
    Tempo star.  7.6 
    5pt wins top 2   
    Edit plus .5 Ew doubles top 2 with top 2 above 
  7. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to MCLARKE in Hugh Taylor Selections   
    I have analysed Hugh's selections for this year based on BSP. I have used BSP for 2 reasons. Firstly it is difficult to get on at the prices advised. Secondly I have very few options left with traditional bookmakers and sooner or later all my betting will have to be on the exchanges.
    My thought process was that these selections would be overbet and therefore there would be an edge in backing other selections.
    In fact this is not the case. The AE of his selections is 1.05. 
    I have ignored the EW selections because I assume these will have taken advantage of extra places.
    For 2023 there have been 68 wins from 361 runs with a profit of 13.26 points.
    For those selections advised between 5/2 and 7/1 there have been 48 wins from 186 runs with a profit of 27.09 points.
    I won't get too carried away at this stage, I'll go back a few years and see how this pans out.
  8. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to Nigwilliam in USA Racing   
    Px 607 Whispering Springs  8/1 ew.  Last.  👎👎👎
          822 It's Game Time  7/2.  Lost
    FLakes 909  Tra Lad  4/5. 2nd
    bet365.       🤞🤞
  9. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to Nigwilliam in USA Racing   
    FLakes 811 Fiery Heart  2/1.  1st.  👍   @. 11/8
    bet365.
  10. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to Nigwilliam in USA Racing   
    Del Mar 0037  Tom Horn 7/4   1st  @  4/6.  👍
    bet365
  11. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to Nigwilliam in USA Racing   
    pushing my luck perhaps 
    Prairie Meds. 0033  Texthelegend   11/10.   2nd. @.  4/7   👎
    bet365.
  12. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to Nigwilliam in USA Racing   
    small shortie singles/double
    GP 714 Midnight Pranks 10/11.  1st.  👍
           813 Concrete Glory 10/11.  1st.  👍
    bet365.
  13. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to black rabbit in Sunday 27th aug racing chat   
    Nibiru                                                   5 00 Naas/                                1/40th of a pt ew  28/1
    Brian The Snail                                   4 55 Yarm/                                1/40th of a pt ew  18/1          N/R
    Soto Sizzler                                         3 35 Good/                                1/40th of a pt win 16/1         2nd
  14. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to kroni in USA Racing   
    Saratoga 
    619 - Scocciatore @ 4/1 Coral, Ladbrokes 
  15. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to Nigwilliam in USA Racing   
    Fing 811 Tommy The Torch  6/1 ew.  1st  👍  🍺🍺
    bet365.            wins @  2/1.
  16. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to Nigwilliam in USA Racing   
    GP 643 Nelida 6/4.  1st  👍      wins @ 8/15
    Laur. 930 Lady Ensign 11/10.  1st  👍
      🍺🍷🍹🍺
     
  17. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to black rabbit in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th August   
  18. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to Alastair in Naps - Saturday 26th August   
    Selection a non runner so :
    Goodwood 4.25
    Lord Riddiford
    William Hill   7/4
  19. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to richard-westwood in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th August   
    410 york 
    Orazio  9.0 9/1 
    Kings Lynn   8.9 13.5 
    Mum's tipple   8.9 20/1 
    Mr wagyu    8.6 
    Difficult race to finish but gotta play as some big prices on offer ....I'll try 10pt wins top 3 ....24x20p tricasts all 4 
  20. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to richard-westwood in Racing Chat - Saturday 26th August   
    Ebor 
    Live your dream     9.0 14.5
    Hms president  8.9 19.0
    Tough race as you'd expect but very good prices on betfair so I'll play the value bets 10pts win both 
  21. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to black rabbit in Racing chat-thurs 24th August (york day 2)   
    Dapperling                                       2 25 Yrk /         1/40th of a pt ew    18/1
    Stay Alert                                          3 35 Yrk/          1/40th of a pt win   15/1        - 2nd
    Moracana                                         4 10 Yrk/          1/40th of a pt win   10/1
    Outbreak                                          3 00 Yrk/          1/40th of a pt ew     80/1        - N/R
    Rock Melody                                    5 20 Yrk/          1/40th of a pt ew     40/1
     
     
     
     
     
    P/L   +169.10 pts
     
  22. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to black rabbit in Racing chat-weds 23rd Aug (york day 1 )   
    "frank" from the clouds on Equilateral 😀
  23. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to richard-westwood in Racing chat-thurs 24th August (york day 2)   
    Clipper logistics hcap low draws 
    Northern express  8.7 8/1 
    Darkness    8.5 23.0 
    Darkness is huge price on exchanges ...14/1 generally ....
    I'll try 10pt wins both 
     
  24. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to MCLARKE in Racing chat-weds 23rd Aug (york day 1 )   
    Stall 2 is profitable at every distance, at 7 furlongs there have been 2 wins from 16 with a profit of 27 points
    The best record is at 5 furlongs with 5 wins from 18 and a profit of 51 points
    Grade 1 races show a loss with 1 win from 11. I suppose the logic is that in these classier races the horses can probably overcome any draw disadvantage
  25. Like
    Wildgarden reacted to MCLARKE in Racing chat-weds 23rd Aug (york day 1 )   
    Strangely, horses drawn in stall 2 have an exceptional record. Over the last 4 years they have a strike rate of 21%. Stall 1 is also good at 15%. It then falls dramatically with stalls 3 and 4 at 8%.
    Stall 3 has produced a profit of 159 points, stall 1 is a loss of 22 points, stall 3 is a loss of 39 points.
    The AE is 2.31 for stall 2, 1.14 for stall 1 and 0.80 for stall 3.
     
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