Wildgarden

335 ASC
Quinalt. 9.0 9.2.
Popmaster. 8.8. 7.2.
Orbaan.  8.6 15/1 
These 3 appear to be a little ahead of the rest so I'll try 5pt wins all 3 

322 Ascot 
Florida.  8.4 7/2 
Metal merchant 8.1 11/1 
Hickory.  7.8 
6pt win Florida 2pt Ew metal 

Bit unlucky ...1st 2nd 4th .....so small Ew doubles X2 and 6/1 winner ....probably just made a point or two profit overall but I'll fight another day .....ratings performed well that's all that matters 

Well....yesterday's bet was big let down ....well backed but blew it in stalls ..gave about 5 lengths away in last and that was it .....very disappointing but that's racing for ya ....
7.00 kemp 
Elzaam blue 8.0 6/1 
Saturnalia  7.8. 8/1 
Dionysian.  7.5 
Surrey noir 7.4 
Competitive race so I'll play safe and go 3pt Ew top 2 for a bit of action ...4 places 

5.00 kemp 
Mordor. 8.2 9/4 
Nanctez treze. 7.7 15.0 
8pt win top rated ...1pt saver 2nd rated 
 

730 kemp 
Gulmarg. 8.2 15/2 
Behind the scenes 7.9 11/2 
Tempo star.  7.6 
5pt wins top 2   
Edit plus .5 Ew doubles top 2 with top 2 above 

I have analysed Hugh's selections for this year based on BSP. I have used BSP for 2 reasons. Firstly it is difficult to get on at the prices advised. Secondly I have very few options left with traditional bookmakers and sooner or later all my betting will have to be on the exchanges.
My thought process was that these selections would be overbet and therefore there would be an edge in backing other selections.
In fact this is not the case. The AE of his selections is 1.05. 
I have ignored the EW selections because I assume these will have taken advantage of extra places.
For 2023 there have been 68 wins from 361 runs with a profit of 13.26 points.
For those selections advised between 5/2 and 7/1 there have been 48 wins from 186 runs with a profit of 27.09 points.
I won't get too carried away at this stage, I'll go back a few years and see how this pans out.

Px 607 Whispering Springs  8/1 ew.  Last.  👎👎👎
      822 It's Game Time  7/2.  Lost
FLakes 909  Tra Lad  4/5. 2nd
bet365.       🤞🤞

FLakes 811 Fiery Heart  2/1.  1st.  👍   @. 11/8
bet365.

Del Mar 0037  Tom Horn 7/4   1st  @  4/6.  👍
bet365

pushing my luck perhaps 
Prairie Meds. 0033  Texthelegend   11/10.   2nd. @.  4/7   👎
bet365.

small shortie singles/double
GP 714 Midnight Pranks 10/11.  1st.  👍
       813 Concrete Glory 10/11.  1st.  👍
bet365.

Nibiru                                                   5 00 Naas/                                1/40th of a pt ew  28/1
Brian The Snail                                   4 55 Yarm/                                1/40th of a pt ew  18/1          N/R
Soto Sizzler                                         3 35 Good/                                1/40th of a pt win 16/1         2nd

Saratoga 
619 - Scocciatore @ 4/1 Coral, Ladbrokes 

Fing 811 Tommy The Torch  6/1 ew.  1st  👍  🍺🍺
bet365.            wins @  2/1.

GP 643 Nelida 6/4.  1st  👍      wins @ 8/15
Laur. 930 Lady Ensign 11/10.  1st  👍
  🍺🍷🍹🍺
 

Selection a non runner so :
Goodwood 4.25
Lord Riddiford
William Hill   7/4

410 york 
Orazio  9.0 9/1 
Kings Lynn   8.9 13.5 
Mum's tipple   8.9 20/1 
Mr wagyu    8.6 
Difficult race to finish but gotta play as some big prices on offer ....I'll try 10pt wins top 3 ....24x20p tricasts all 4 

Ebor 
Live your dream     9.0 14.5
Hms president  8.9 19.0
Tough race as you'd expect but very good prices on betfair so I'll play the value bets 10pts win both 

Dapperling                                       2 25 Yrk /         1/40th of a pt ew    18/1
Stay Alert                                          3 35 Yrk/          1/40th of a pt win   15/1        - 2nd
Moracana                                         4 10 Yrk/          1/40th of a pt win   10/1
Outbreak                                          3 00 Yrk/          1/40th of a pt ew     80/1        - N/R
Rock Melody                                    5 20 Yrk/          1/40th of a pt ew     40/1
 
 
 
 
 
P/L   +169.10 pts
 

"frank" from the clouds on Equilateral 😀

Clipper logistics hcap low draws 
Northern express  8.7 8/1 
Darkness    8.5 23.0 
Darkness is huge price on exchanges ...14/1 generally ....
I'll try 10pt wins both 
 

Stall 2 is profitable at every distance, at 7 furlongs there have been 2 wins from 16 with a profit of 27 points
The best record is at 5 furlongs with 5 wins from 18 and a profit of 51 points
Grade 1 races show a loss with 1 win from 11. I suppose the logic is that in these classier races the horses can probably overcome any draw disadvantage

Strangely, horses drawn in stall 2 have an exceptional record. Over the last 4 years they have a strike rate of 21%. Stall 1 is also good at 15%. It then falls dramatically with stalls 3 and 4 at 8%.
Stall 3 has produced a profit of 159 points, stall 1 is a loss of 22 points, stall 3 is a loss of 39 points.
The AE is 2.31 for stall 2, 1.14 for stall 1 and 0.80 for stall 3.