Wolfy180

What you think about derby of this round?
Atletico vs Bayern!
Bayern is a little favorite, but Atletico with "crazy" Simeone can make surprise.
My tips for this game is BTTS, do you agree?

Norwich - Chelsea

I previewed Chelsea's trip to in form Southampton on Saturday and spoke about their top six ambitions.........

"Two in form teams, the Blues are unbeaten in ten in the EPL, Saints are 5-1-0 in their last six and have not conceded a single goal in that sequence, but they have ridden their luck at times, there are only so many times that Fraser Forster can save them and they will have to manage today without the protection of holding player Victor Wanyama against what is a firing visiting midfield.

Top 4 looks beyond Chelsea after their terrible start, but they want to keep their EPL campaign alive and their stated target is a top six Premier League finish for what would be the 20th consecutive season. Saints are currently in that position, seven points ahead of the West London club, so a win today would be hugely valuable in terms of that particular ambition. Saints have not kept a clean sheet in 11 games against the Blues and have really struggled until recently whenever Wanyama has been absent, the defensive midfield pairing of Jordy Clasie and Oriol Romeu have done well this season when called upon, but the latter moved from Chelsea in August and will be well known by the visitors. I expect the visitors to be very focused on their next two EPL games, here and at Norwich in midweek, ahead of the home game with Stoke next Saturday they might start to think about the return with PSG, but it will be all about the Premier League in the interim and a fully motivated visitor can ask the Saints more questions than they have faced for some time."

The Blues had to battle very hard to come from behind and earn the three points and having done so, it is hard to see them being any less committed to the match at Carrow Road, where City have conceded ten in their last three starts and, as we have discussed several times this season, often urged forward too often by the passionate home crowd and probably therefore, not playing to their strengths, such as they are at EPL level. The Canaries have not won in eight starts, conceding three goals in five of those and failing to register themselves in five, even in the last two matches that they have taken something from at home to West Ham and Southampton, they have needed an awful lot to go their way, red cards, missed chances for the opposition and they will need to ride their luck to stop the Chelsea juggernaut now that it is up and running.

Chelsea -1 ball 2.25 asian line/Sportmarket

 

Hi Saimon,
 
I think that Norwich get pounded by Chelsea today.
Hiddink has Chelsea sorted out, and they are tough to beat.
They have won 3 of their last 5 away games and have conceded just 1 goals.
For me Norwich have not recovered from that crazy game against Liverpool.
They have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 games.
Chelsea win this easily.
 
Leicester v WBA
 
Everyone is waiting for Leicester to fall-off, but they keep on going.
Leicester havent conceded a gaol in 5 home games, so the NO BTTS looks good here.
Odds of 1.75
 

My 5 for the weekend are
 
Leicester -1 @ 7/5
Palace @ 15/8
Watford @11/8
Stoke @4/6
Sou v Che draw @ 9/4
 
 
Doubles Trebles and an acca

Man United and Arsenal to draw is the bet of the week

that's so sick  3 darts to win 7-0 man  
ends 7-1 but the other bet comes in. Mannn, broken on his serve to win 7-0 and with 3 in hand. ah well...
all bets win tonight other than that. +15.5pts

thread count = +66.0pts

West Ham vs Sunderland: Bilic's men aiming to deliver hammer blow to Black Cats' survival hopes
Premier League European qualification contenders West Ham welcome relegation-threatened Sunderland to Upton Park this Saturday in a 12:45pm kick off. Both teams will be buzzing after impressive wins in their last competitive action but can the Hammers put an end to a two game league run without a win and will the Black Cats be able to put the muddy affair of the Adam Johnson under-age sex scandal behind them?
THE BET
Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ Evens with Paddy Power
Full Article: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/football/premier-league/west-ham-vs-sunderland-2016022502

I've gone
Wright
MVG
Taylor
Anderson
Lewis
Doubles/Trebles and an ACCA

Champions League Benfica - Zenit

I have spoken many times about the huge disadvantage that the Eastern European teams are at this stage of the competition, given that they have not played a competitive fixture for months, however, if they can find a way through the first knockout round, that turns around and they then have a edge in freshness and, to a degree fitness, through the latter stages and we have seen clear examples of that with Zenit's UEFA Cup win and the success of the Ukrainian teams in subsequent competitions.This stage is the problem and Zenit have struggled with it in recent campaigns, however, they look better suited to European football once more under Andre Villas- Boas and he and the Portugese players in his team will know plenty about Benfica and will be boosted by their wins over the home side at the group stage of the competition last season , winning 2-0 in Lisbon. In the last 16 in 2013-14 they were very slow out of the blocks and lost their two legged tie with Dortmund inside 30 minutes and there is a danger that they will one again pay for that lack of a competitive edge.

Hosts will want revenge for those h2h defeats and a lead to take to the return, but they have conceded in their last 6 of 8 domestic games, seven of which have gone "over" and Benfica have conceded in their last five CL starts and again, all of those produced at least three goals. We have already spoken about the value of away goals and AVB will want one as a minimum. Given that need, Benfica's vulnerability at the back and the possibility that Zenit could run out of steam and/or be caught cold, I have to favour goals.

over 2.5 goals 2.35 asian line/Sportmarket

 

They played under a lot more pressure last season.

Having to go home and tell the wife you've had a 50% wage cut for relegation is pressure. I think it is a coin toss game so the sensible bet is Leicester/Draw double chance at evens and a little extra on Leicester

Leicester are definitely the value in that Match. It's a coin toss game but odds have them as 4 times less likely to win. They have beaten Spurs and Man City away in last 3 weeks so why not Arsenal.
They are evens with a goal start on PP - might be more elsewhere