arsenalpunter
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Posts posted by arsenalpunter
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Re: Daily Racing Chat Thread Perhaps a simple question but something i've never been sure of! When figures like the below are shown next to some horses comments on a result, is this bets placed and profit made? E.g. An £800 bet was staked and £1300 profit was returned?
opened 11/8 £1300-£800 £15000-£10000(x3) £6000-£4000 £3000-£2000(x3) £33000-£24000 £11000-£8000 £2750-£2000(x2) £5000-£4000(x2) -
Re: BBOTD > Tuesday 18th June 21.00 Brighton Maria Montez - 11/10 BetVictor 1PT Win Maria Montez is aiming for her 3rd win in 7 days in this race, and looks set to complete the hat-trick. She's gone up 6lb in the weights since her win on Saturday at Lingfield, but Shelley Birkett's 7lb claim is still there and she takes the ride again. All her previous wins have came over 6F but she drops back to 5F here, however she has been placed twice over 5F previously, including when she finished 2nd behind Langley Vale over C&D earlier this month at a big price, and with a couple of victories to her name since then I think she'll improve and complete the hat-trick.
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Re: Daily Racing Chat Thread
Must admit i've not seen the replay, but reading that Toronado was bumped around a lot more than Dawn Approach was, I thought Toronado had the clearer run and battled back to get up, if that is the case with Toronado then that's a massive improvement from the 2000.Yup and Toronado is pretty decent as well -
Re: Daily Racing Chat Thread What a performance from Dawn Approach, you can forget The Derby run, Dawn Approach is one brilliant horse.
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Re: Flat Racing Tuesday 18th June 14.20 Thirsk Peniaphobia Not the most difficult of selections to pick out at a very short price (currently best priced 1/3), but this horse should have no problems in winning this race today. He won on debut at Pontefract in May over today's trip of 5F, he kept on well that day and won with plenty in hand. On his reappearance he stepped up to Class 3 company at York over the same distance and was only beaten a neck by Steventon Star who, despite being beaten into 4th of the 5 runners, was sent off favourite in Listed company following that race at York. Loma Mor has been consistent on her 3 starts on the all-weather and may chase the selection home, but will need to improve massively to win here today.
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Re: Daily Racing Chat Thread With some top quality racing on offer, be good to discuss the racing in here in a more 'casual' manor as the racing goes on!
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Re: Royal Ascot Lucky 15 Thread Each Way Lucky 15; 15.05 Shamexpress 9/1 16.25 Parbold 14/1 17.00 Homeric 12/1 17.35 Supplicant 20/1
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Re: Flat Racing Tuesday 18th June 16.25 Royal Ascot Parbold - Each Way 14/1 This race is a massive step up in class for Parbold, from his debut run at in a Class 3 maiden at York last month, however he won that race well despite running green on a soft surface. He's a half brother to Majestic Myles who won over 6F as a 2 year old, he should have plenty of speed and judging by Richard Fahey's comments, he thinks this horse could run a big race also.
My best hope of a win on Tuesday is Parbold in the Coventry Stakes. We really like him as he's shown a lot of pace from day one and you can be sure he'll be travelling well throughout the contest. His work has been very good. He's come on plenty since his win in a competitive maiden at York, though I haven't killed him on the gallops, he does everything easy. At the moment, I'd say he is my best two-year-old. Things can change, and he's never worked with Sandiva, but he's the one I'd hang my hat on at this moment in time purely because of the speed he shows at home. The other day I galloped some of my potential Ascot horses together and he won that. Ecclestone was in it, Good Old Boy Lukey was in it and a 100-rated horse led them. It wasn't who was the fastest, but it was a decent gallop and I'm very happy with his progress. Whether he's good enough, I don't know. Obviously it's a warm race with all the right horses in there. I'd say he has a good chance of being placed, but the draw could be vital and I just hope it rides even from one side to the other. -
Re: Royal Ascot Day 1 - Tuesday 18 June 2013 As posted in the other thread; Royal Ascot Tuesday 18th May 15.45 The St James’s Palace Stakes Group 1 – 1mile One of the highlights of Royal Ascot for many takes place on the opening day of the meeting in the shape of the St James’s Palace Stakes, run over 1 mile for 3 year old colts. News was broken today that Dawn Approach looks set to take his place in the race following his Epsom Derby ‘flop’, and is now vying for favouritism at the top of the market alongside Irish 2000 Guineas winner, Magician. The trainer of Dawn Approach, Jim Bolger, has been very positive about his chances of returning to the winner’s enclosure following his run in the Derby. In that race DA went off at a very short 5/4 and was well backed by many, however he wasn’t just beaten that day, he finished stone last (12th) in the field. The Derby was perhaps too bigger ask for DA, the furthest distance he had tried prior to the 1m 4f at Epsom was 1m at Newmarket when he won the 2000 Guineas. He returns to that trip at Royal Ascot for this race and if he can produce the same form that won him the 2000 Guineas at HQ by 5 lengths, he goes here with a massive chance. He was unbeaten until his visit to Epsom and he has won on a variety of conditions, from Yielding, Soft in Places over 5f at Curragh too Good to Firm quick ground at Newmarket for his 2000 Guineas victory. Back in 4th that day at Newmarket, and again well backed, was Toronado who is currently top price 5/1 for this race with paddypower and the magic sign, Ladbrokes. Toronado was fancied to be the biggest danger to Dawn Approach in the 2000 Guineas following his success in the Craven Stakes at the same course. In the Craven, the horse showed plenty of speed and stayed on strongly to beat Havana Gold by 4 lengths under Richard Hughes. However on his return to racing following that victory, he was disappointing, eventually finishing 7 ½ lengths behind Dawn Approach. Connections think that he is better than his performance that day, and if he can rekindle the same form that saw him powering to victory in the Craven, he also comes here with a live chance, however he does have to improve to get in front of the market leaders. Dawn Approaches biggest danger looks to be Magician. Magician won the Irish 2000 Guineas on only his 3rd start and punters were equally impressed as Dawn Approaches victory in the English equivalent. He eventually beat stable mate Gale Force Ten by 3 ½ lengths, also on Good to Firm ground. Magician ran that race in 1min 36.81s whereas Dawn Approach ran his victory in 1min 35.84s, so based on timings there is very little to choose between these, especially when you consider that both horses were comfortably clear in the final stages and probably had more to give. Prior to the Irish 2000, Magician won over further, when tackling 1m 2f in the Dee Stakes at Chester on Good to Soft ground, following that victory it looked as if perhaps he would prefer the further distance and he may even stay over 1m 4f for the Epsom Derby, however he proved that he is just as good over a mile at the Curragh, however Aidan O’ Brien ruled him out of the Derby and will now come into this race fresh. At a slightly bigger price, Mshawish may have an each way chance, he was 4th home in the Prix Du Jockey Club and was beaten too far, he may suit the 1m distance better and run a good race. But for the winner, it looks set to be between Magician, Dawn Approach and Toronado. For myself, I will cross Toronado off that shortlist, I think he has to improve a great deal if he is to get closer to Dawn Approach than he did at Newmarket, he’s likely to give a good account for himself but fall just short again here. Magican and Dawn Approach are very hard to split, Magician comes to the track fresh on the back of his Irish 2000 Guineas victory, whereas Dawn Approach has something to prove after his poor run in the Derby. I don’t think Jim Bolger would rush Dawn Approach back if he didn’t think the horse wasn’t ready, and for that reason I’ll side with the Godolphin runner as my selection.
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Re: BBOTD > Monday 17th June 18.50 Warwick Fanrouge - 1PT Win 8/1 William Hill Fanrouge is having her first race today for her new trainer, Rod Millman. She was involved in 20 races for the Malcom Saunders stable prior to her move, which included four wins and three places. Her four wins came over 5F, however her 2nd last time out at Brighton over 6F indicated that she will be winning over this trip soon. The eventual winner was Alice's Dancer by 1 3/4 lengths but Fanrouge stayed on strongly in the final furlong. She has won and placed on ground varying from Good to Soft to Firm ground so today's conditions of Good, Good to Firm in places should suit also. If you go back through her form to October 2011, she finished 11th in the Group 3 Cornwallis Stakes at Ascot, however wasn't beaten too far by the winner Ponty Acclaim, based on that form she has every chance of winning a race of this caliber at Warwick.
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Re: BBOTD Sunday 16th June 17.45 Doncaster Simply Shining - 1PT Win 25/1 StanJames Simply Shining looks overpriced to me in the last race at Doncaster, the horse stepped up to today's trip of 1 mile last time out in a Class 3 contest over C&D, he finished 5th of 7 that day with the race won impressively by Cape Peron who now has an entry in Thursday's Britannia Stakes at Royal Ascot. The Good to Soft ground probably didn't help the horse that day and never had a chance with the eventual winner who quickened well which left Simply Shining outpaced. Prior to that race at Doncaster, she had 3 races over 7F including a win at Thirsk on Good to Firm ground where she ran on well to win easily. With the drop back in class to a Class 4 race and the Good to Firm ground she has every chance of winning this race at a big price.
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Re: BBOTD - Saturday 15th June 20.25 Lingfield Shared Moment 1PT Win 5/1 PaddyPower The top 2 in the betting market, Spin Again and Shared Moment battled over this C&D 8 days ago with Shared Moment finishing first past the post and Spin Again finishing back in 3rd. Spin Again is likely to go off favourite here with Shared Moment going up 2lb in the weights, however I don't think that will stop the horse running another big race again. Shared Moment battled well in the final furlong to keep on top of Spin Again and also keep the fast finishing West Leake at bay. Prior to that race his all weather form looks solid, including 3 more wins over C&D.
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Re: The Saturday Lucky 15 Thread £1,5OO+ Return Brilliant stuff, great tipping. Enjoy your win.
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Re: Daily Racing Chat Thread
I found it very poor last year' date=' re cycled information in the daily edition. 1 or two columns ok, but im leaving it out.:ok[/quote'] Thanks mate. Must admit i've been hunting in plenty of shops and not seen it available anywhere yet, so perhaps it's not very popular anyway! Won't bother searching for it anymore. -
Re: BBOTD - Friday 14th June 17.55 Aintree Potomac - 1PT Win 6/5 StanJames Quite a confident selection for me today in the shape of Potomac in the opener at Aintree. Potomac has had 4 races this year since making the move from flats to jumps. 3 of those races have been at Kelso where he has finished 2nd twice, including on his latest race in May. That race was over the 2m trip, where he finished well clear of the 3rd placed Lone Foot Laddie however was held by a decent horse in Life And Soul by 3 lengths. Potomac stayed on well that day and will appreciate the step up in trip here to 2m 1f. He has tried 2m 2f previously and on one occasion finished 2nd, so today looks to be the ideal distance for the horse. His placed effort at Kelson was on ground that was Good to Soft, Good in Places and he has won on Soft ground over in Ireland on the flat, so conditions look set to suit as well. The connections have booked AP McCoy for the ride also, and hopefully he will help connections get Potomac off the mark in jumps company.
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Re: BBOTD Thursday 13th June 17.55 Leopardstown Bracelet - 1PT Win 11/10 Bet365 / Coral Bracelet is a full sister to Wading who was an impressive winner of the Group 2 Rockfel Stakes over 7F at Newmarket back in 2011. She made her racecourse debut earlier this month when lining up for a listed contest at Naas where she finished 8th of 10, 10 1/4 lengths behind the winner. However, she missed the break that day and should come on for that run now she has some experience under her belt. Stepping up to 7F should suit the horse and in an easier race than last time out, she can can a win to her name at the second time of asking. The Sea The Stars filly Calorie may be the most interesting of the others, however on her debut she is one to watch for now.
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Re: Daily Racing Chat Thread Has anyone purchased the RP Weekender Royal Ascot guide? If so, any good and worth purchasing? Not sure if it's worth buying (I know it's only £2.99, but the RP costs enough as it is!).
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Re: Good Luck Lady Cecil Seconded, be great for her to have a winner today.
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Re: BBOTD Wednesday 12th June No worries Danny mate, glad it worked again! Glad you stuck it up as well with a bit more reasoning, I was in a bit of a rush after doing a preview for Royal Ascot and had to just do a quick write up, so cheers!
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Re: BBOTD Wednesday 12th June 19.50 Hamilton Hopes n Dreams - 1PT Win 11/4 888Sport Hopes n Dreams finished 3rd over 5f at Carlisle when favourite on his latest appearance, however he seems to perform well at Hamilton with a 100% strike rate ( 2 from 2 ) over C&D. The hood was left off the horse that day, but it's back on today and from a good draw, this horse may get his nose in front after being out of the winners enclosure for over a year.
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Re: Royal Ascot 2013. Royal Ascot Tuesday 18th May 15.45 The St James’s Palace Stakes Group 1 – 1mile One of the highlights of Royal Ascot for many takes place on the opening day of the meeting in the shape of the St James’s Palace Stakes, run over 1 mile for 3 year old colts. News was broken today that Dawn Approach looks set to take his place in the race following his Epsom Derby ‘flop’, and is now vying for favouritism at the top of the market alongside Irish 2000 Guineas winner, Magician. The trainer of Dawn Approach, Jim Bolger, has been very positive about his chances of returning to the winner’s enclosure following his run in the Derby. In that race DA went off at a very short 5/4 and was well backed by many, however he wasn’t just beaten that day, he finished stone last (12th) in the field. The Derby was perhaps too bigger ask for DA, the furthest distance he had tried prior to the 1m 4f at Epsom was 1m at Newmarket when he won the 2000 Guineas. He returns to that trip at Royal Ascot for this race and if he can produce the same form that won him the 2000 Guineas at HQ by 5 lengths, he goes here with a massive chance. He was unbeaten until his visit to Epsom and he has won on a variety of conditions, from Yielding, Soft in Places over 5f at Curragh too Good to Firm quick ground at Newmarket for his 2000 Guineas victory. Back in 4th that day at Newmarket, and again well backed, was Toronado who is currently top price 5/1 for this race with PaddyPower and the magic sign, Ladbrokes. Toronado was fancied to be the biggest danger to Dawn Approach in the 2000 Guineas following his success in the Craven Stakes at the same course. In the Craven, the horse showed plenty of speed and stayed on strongly to beat Havana Gold by 4 lengths under Richard Hughes. However on his return to racing following that victory, he was disappointing, eventually finishing 7 ½ lengths behind Dawn Approach. Connections think that he is better than his performance that day, and if he can rekindle the same form that saw him powering to victory in the Craven, he also comes here with a live chance, however he does have to improve to get in front of the market leaders. Dawn Approaches biggest danger looks to be Magician. Magician won the Irish 2000 Guineas on only his 3rd start and punters were equally impressed as Dawn Approaches victory in the English equivalent. He eventually beat stable mate Gale Force Ten by 3 ½ lengths, also on Good to Firm ground. Magician ran that race in 1min 36.81s whereas Dawn Approach ran his victory in 1min 35.84s, so based on timings there is very little to choose between these, especially when you consider that both horses were comfortably clear in the final stages and probably had more to give. Prior to the Irish 2000, Magician won over further, when tackling 1m 2f in the Dee Stakes at Chester on Good to Soft ground, following that victory it looked as if perhaps he would prefer the further distance and he may even stay over 1m 4f for the Epsom Derby, however he proved that he is just as good over a mile at the Curragh, however Aidan O’ Brien ruled him out of the Derby and will now come into this race fresh. At a slightly bigger price, Mshawish may have an each way chance, he was 4th home in the Prix Du Jockey Club and was beaten too far, he may suit the 1m distance better and run a good race. But for the winner, it looks set to be between Magician, Dawn Approach and Toronado. For myself, I will cross Toronado off that shortlist, I think he has to improve a great deal if he is to get closer to Dawn Approach than he did at Newmarket, he’s likely to give a good account for himself but fall just short again here. Magican and Dawn Approach are very hard to split, Magician comes to the track fresh on the back of his Irish 2000 Guineas victory, whereas Dawn Approach has something to prove after his poor run in the Derby. I don’t think Jim Bolger would rush Dawn Approach back if he didn’t think the horse wasn’t ready, and for that reason I’ll side with the Godolphin runner as my selection.
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Re: BBOTD Tuesday 11th June 20.00 Lingfield Rock Up - 1PT Win 3/1 Betfred Rock Up has been placed in 3 of his 9 starts to date, including last time out at Windsor where he finished 3rd. He has only 1 run on the all-weather surface to his name, but that was an unlucky 2nd behind Homage where he didn't have the clearest of runs, and perhaps would of got past the post first if he had managed an easier passage through. Rock Up returns to the all-weather surface tonight at Lingfield, and with the eye-catching jockey booking of Ryan Moore on board as well, I think Rock Up has a great chance to break his maiden tag tonight.
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RIP Sir Henry Cecil - a legend of the game and always came across as a complete gentleman. The racing world will miss you.
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Re: Quiz question 2 Will have a guess at Wincanton?
BBOTD Wednesday 19th June
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Re: BBOTD Wednesday 19th June 20.35 Wexford Annie Other - 4/1 BetVictor Annie Other seems to enjoy racing at Wexford, she has raced here four times previously, winning on 3 of those appearances and 2nd on the other occasion. She raced here last time out on the flat over 2m and won easily, beating her nearest rival Dynaperformer by 5 lengths. Following that race, Dynaperformer won next time out just to strengthen Annie Others form. She also has chase form at Wexford from last July when she won over 2m 3f. Judging by the distances she has won over, today's trip of 2m 1f shouldn't cause any problems and the Good to Firm, Good in places going should suit as well.