arsenalpunter
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Posts posted by arsenalpunter
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Re: BBOTD SATURDAY 13TH JULY 14.30 Ascot Aljamaaheer - 1PT Win 3/1 William Hill Aljamaaheer is a highly consistent sort who has only been out of the placings once on his nine starts, and that was early in his career where he bumped into the useful Gregorian who has gone on to better things since. The selection was seen most recently at this course for the Queen Anne at Royal Ascot (also over 1m but on the straight course), Paul Hanagan held the horse up towards the rear of the field for the early stages but made headway 2f and was leading as they entered the final furlong, unfortunately for Aljamaaheer backers that day Declaration of War came steaming through under Joseph O’Brien to get up by 3 parts of a length but it was still a very encouraging run from Aljamaaheer where he finished in front of some good horses, including the earlier mentioned Gregorian who won the Group 3 Diomed Stakes at Epsom, and he was also 2 1/2 lengths clear of Elusive Kate, who beat Sky Lantern yesterday. Back in 5th was Trade Storm who is also towards the top of the betting for today’s race. The form of that race looks very strong, quick conditions also look to be key for the selection and if forecasts are correct, the ground should be very quick today at Ascot. He also has further Group 1 experience after finishing 3rd in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury earlier this season. Despite being little over 4 lengths behind winner Farhh, the horse stayed on strongly inside the final 2f and the first three home went clear of the remainder of the field which included Queen Anne winner and Coral Eclipse runner up Declaration of War, and also the Richard Hannon trained Trumpet Major who lines up as a rival today. His biggest danger today is likely to be Afsare who is dropping back to today’s trip of 1m for the first time in over three years after some good performance over 1m 2f, including 2nd in last year’s York Stakes when only a neck behind Sri Putra. He will need to improve again though to beat the class horse in the field, Aljamaaheer, and I don’t believe my selection will need to be at his best to win this.
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Re: Best Best Of The Day KO Cup ~ 2nd Round ~ Deadline 2pm Saturday Good luck all. 14.30 Ascot Aljamaaheer - 3/1 BetVictor / William Hill 15.50 Newmarket Shea Shea - 9/2 BetVictor / Stan James 17.00 Newmarket Dutch Courage - 6/4 Betfred
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Still going if anybody is interested last minute.
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Re: BBOTD > FRIDAY 12th July 21.20 Chester Double Discount - 1PT Win BetVictor Evens Double Discount is seeking his hat trick after two victories at Haydock Park in Class 4 company over 1m 2f. He races in that class and over the same trip in this race, however Richard Kingscote is replaced on board by Declan Bates, which looks a positive in this instance at least as he reduces all but 1lb of the 6lb penalty Double Discount carries for his latest win. Dairam is a consistent horse winning once, and being placed on 4 of his 6 starts, however this is the first time he is trying 1m 2f with his previous furthest distance being 1m and he also steps up in class so will need to show some improvement to get ahead of my selection.
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Mods, Paul has OK'd this as it's being given away rather than sold. I'm off to Ascot tomorrow and unfortunately my mate cannot make it so his ticket is going spare. Rather than get rid of it down there i'd rather give it to someone on here if they'd like to go. Not after any money for the ticket, just a winner or two :D The ticket is for the Premier Enclosure and will need to be collected at the course tomorrow. PM if interested, first come first served. Cheers.
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Re: BBOTD > Thursday 11th of July 20.40 Bath Portrait - 1PT Win 2/5 BetVictor Portrait didn't show too much in her opening 3 runs in maiden races, however she made her handicap debut LTO over C&D and she won well, beating Dalliefour by 5 lengths. She looked like she was being hard ridden 2F from home, however when turning into the straight she quickened well and eventually went clear from the rest of the field. She has only been raised 6lb for that win and can get make it 2 from 2 at Bath in this race.
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Re: BBOTD - Wednesday 10th July 21.00 Naas The Vatican - 1PT Win 7/2 BetVictor A small field for the finale at Naas and The Vatican can gain his 2nd career win. The Vatican made his debut last July with a decent debut performance over 7F in a good race at Leopardstown. He made his reappearance last month at the Curragh in a race over the same trip as here, 1m 2f. He stayed on well to win that race and looked like he could win better races in the future. Levanto looks set to be the biggest danger, she has won over 1m at Dundalk and won LTO at the Curragh over 1m 4f, so the trip here of 1m 2f should suit, however the horse will need to improve once again if she is to beat the colt and my selection, The Vatican.
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Re: Cheltenham 2014.... Duroble Man has been purchased for 130,000gns on behalf of Max McNeil, on Twitter 'The McNeill Family.' tweeted 'Exciting afternoon, just bought Duroble Man at the Newmarket Sales to go to Alan. Gotta win that triumph one day #rollonthejumps' Expensive purchase, could be one to keep note of.
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Re: Best Bet Of The Day Tables ~ July 2013 Hope nobody is following my selections after last month. My selections obviously need more of an effort, time to fire in some winners.
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Falmouth Stakes Just 4 declared for the Group 1 on Friday, looks a decent field, but why has this only attracted 4 runners when the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot had a field of 17? Sky Lantern looks the most obvious winner, she's had some tough races though so far this season and could be worth opposing with Elusive Kate though. She's only had the 1 run so far this season when she was 4th in the Queen Anne, behind Declaration of War who chased home Al Kazeem in the Coral Eclipse last Saturday. She should improve for that run and at 5/2 could be the selection.
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Re: BBOTD Tuesday 9th July 19.55 Roscommon Ice Ice Baby - 1PT Win 13/2 PaddyPower Ice Ice Baby has had 5 runs over hurdles to date and been placed twice, she finished 2nd at Wexford last Friday and shown signs that she could be winning a race soon. Cheekpieces will be fitted for the first time in this race and she looks well handicapped. As long as Friday's race hasn't taken too much from the horse, Ice Ice Baby has a good chance of her first career win here.
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Re: Placepot help needed ! Ignore what i've just said in the above. I wasn't looking at the stall number, honest.
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Re: Placepot help needed ! Not 100%, but as you already had number 1 covered i'd imagine that you would of gone on to the other JF. I make your bet a winner too, you had Bunce in the 14.15 which was a non runner, therefore you went on to the favourite, which finished 3rd?
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Re: BBOTD > Monday 8th July 20.20 Ripon Line of Reason - 1PT Win 3/1 SportingBet Line of Reason has been consistent enough so far in his career, winning 3 and being placed in 2 of his 7 starts to date. His biggest win came at Pontefract when he had Pipers Note in behind him and he won quite easily in the end. Pipers Note won his following race over C&D by 3 lengths but the handicapper has raised him 8lb for that win. Line of Reason was 4th of 12 LTO at Doncaster but ran on well towards the end, a similar performance should see him getting his head in front in this race.
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Re: Win VIP for 2 Coral Eclipse Day at Sandown - Sponsored by Coral! *JayAlexander Wi
Not them then! Cracking photos lads, hopefully will get to meet up with a couple of you at a meeting in the not to distant future.Lives in Bristol? -
Re: BBOTD > SUNDAY 7th July 15.45 Market Rasen Lost Legend - 1PT Win 85/40 BetVictor Lost Legend has made a promising start to his chasing careers with 2 wins from 2 starts and he can go in again here today under Tony McCoy. On his most recent start over 2m 4f at Stratford he looked to have a battle on his hands with Acapulco Gold as they turned for home but he gamely stayed on in the straight and won a shade comfortably in the end by 1 3/4 lengths. He has been raised 10lb for that win and he goes over 2F further in this race, but he's shown as though he will appreciate the step up in trip and he can complete the hat trick of wins here.
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Re: HUGHES v MOORE Must agree, Ryan Moore is a class act and coming to the final furlong if it was between Moore and Hughes regardless of the horse, I know where i'd rather my money 99% of the time! Take nothing away from Richard Hughes though, still a top jockey although I do sometimes feel that if his horse is beaten he doesn't always ride the horse out and could lose a couple of places close home. Guess that could be same for a lot of jockeys though.
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Re: BBOTD - Saturday 6th July Unlucky Scotty, still a great shout with a 20/1 2nd.
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If you don't mind carrying it on BH I certainly would welcome it! Bit of extra excitement for the racing without costing a bean, obviously your call though! If the other 3 see this in time I'm up for a replay tomorrow. Looks a tough / poor couple of cards so could be interesting.
Top 6 are deffo through, possible replays tomorrow.
6 players fail to show despite two pleas of letting me know if they were not interested.
Is it worth doing this anymore? or should we just open it up to all comers??
My time is far more precious than some of you obviously think. -
Sounds like a great day lads, nice one! Bit of a random question - but were the other couple on your table fairly young, blonde bird ? Think a couple of mates may of been on your table !
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Re: Best Bet Of The Day Knockout Cup Qualifying Round ~ Deadline Saturday 2pm July 6 Good luck all. 14.55 Haydock Banoffee 0.5 PTS Each Way 9/1 Bet365 / William Hill 17.35 Leicester Lord Franklin 1PT Win 15/8 Bet365 17.50 Bellewstown Capitol Hill 1PT Win 3/1 Ladbrokes / Coral
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Re: BBOTD - Saturday 6th July 20.45 Carlisle Tatlisu - 0.5 Each Way 11/2 BetVictor Just under a year ago Tatlisu was entered into the Class 2 Super Sprint at Newbury worth over 120k to the winner, despite being relatively unfancied in the betting market and being sent off at 28/1, the horse ran a great race finishing 12th of 22, only 4 and 3/4 lengths behind Body and Soul. Since that race he has dropped down to races more to his caliber, including winning LTO at Leicester over 6F. He steps up in trip today to 7F for the first time but he's shown signs that he will stay the trip when staying on in previous races, conditions look set to suit considering he has winning form on Good ground and also been placed on Good to Firm. Elle Woods looks to be the biggest danger, but she is up 6lb for her win at this track last month and could be worth taking on with our selection.
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21.15 Haydock Playbill - 1PT Win at SP Playbill has made an encouraging start to his racing career and he's open to improvement on his handicap debut under Richard Hughes. Sorry it's a short one, been a busy day.
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Re: Flat Racing > Saturday 6th of July Lancashire Oaks Preview – Saturday 14:55 Haydock Park Whilst the colts (and The Fugue!) do battle at Sandown for the Coral Eclipse this weekend, the fillies will be taking centre stage at Haydock Park for the Lancashire Oaks. 8 horses have been declared for the Group 2 contest over 1 mile 3 furlongs and 200 yards (bear in mind this is almost the 1m 4f trip when making your selection), including Godolphin’s Albasharah. Albasharah was last seen when finishing 5th in the Wolferton Handicap after being sent off the 3/1 favourite. She was help up towards the rear in the early stages of the race, and when seemingly making her move she was hampered quite badly and lost momentum and never looked like winning thereafter. She did eventually quicken again towards the line and stayed on well to just grab 5th ahead of Two For Two and Chapter Seven. Prior to that race at Royal Ascot she was unbeaten in 3 starts all over 1m 2f. That includes her reappearance at Doncaster this season where she travelled well tucked in behind the leaders and when asked to quicken, accelerated to win cosily by 8 lengths. She was unlucky at Royal Ascot and if she hadn’t been hampered it’s unlikely she would have been out of the placings, based on that form she certainly deserves to take the step up in class, however I do have slight concerns about the trip. She is attempting near-on 2f further than she has previously experienced and I’m unsure if her pace and impressive turn of foot is more suited by a shorter distance. Her rival in the betting market is the David Simcock trained Moment In Time. Moment In Time has a lot more racecourse experience in comparison to the Godolphin runner, including winning C&D form last time out when she took the Group 3 pinnacle stakes at Haydock. She was also held up towards the rear for much of the race but she continued to stay on strongly from 2 out and she got her head in front of Nymphea at the line. Ambivalent was back in 3rd that day but she went on to win the Pretty Polly stakes at the Curragh last weekend which strengthens the form of Moment In Times win further. She has continued to improve in her races and this looks to be her toughest opposition to date, she is very likely to be there or thereabouts at the business end under Jim Crowley. One horse that I feel could be overpriced is BANOFFEE . A winner of 2 of her 3 starts to date, including the Cheshire Oaks at Chester, she was seen most recently at Epsom for the Oaks, but despite looking like she may come for a run on the outside as they turned for home, she was still green after only two previous races she never picked up to go with the leaders, finishing back in 7th. If you ignore that race I think she would be a lot shorter in the betting market, she has been prepped for this race by trainer Hughie Morrison and with Kieren Fallon on board again there could be more to come from this filly and she looks one to be on the right side of. Of the others, I believe Emirates Queen can have a line put through her name, her best run to date was at York last July when finishing 2nd behind Barefoot Lady in a listed contest but she hasn’t shown that form since and she is being upped in trip for this. She has potential, but she will need to improve massively on recent efforts to feature in this race. Midnight Soprano comes over from Ireland in good form after winning the Group 3 Noblesse stakes at Cork last month, however the ground is likely to be very quick Good to Firm conditions, and most of her races to date have been over much softer, she will need to prove herself on quicker conditions to make an impact, not one to rule out completely. A couple of these have plenty to prove, but are open to improvement and could run big races, including likely favourite Albasharah, however BANOFFEE looks a huge price at 8/1 with Bet365, Boylesports, BetVictor, and William Hill and represents plenty of each way value, I will be surprised if he doesn’t go off shorter by Saturday afternoon.
BBOTD - Monday the 15th of July
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Re: BBOTD - Monday the 15th of July 20.00 Windsor Ethel - 1PT Win 3/1 Bet365 It is of interest that early on there seems to be some money flying around for Zeyran who is now best priced 9/4 from originally opening up at 3/1, the Lady Cecil trained filly has shown plenty of promise to date at this 1 mile trip, winning at Yarmouth on quick ground beating Patriotic and Cruiser into 2nd and 3rd respectively. The latter of those has since gone on to win two of his three races, including over this C&D when beating Shamdarley. That form looks strong enough to win this race, but she was held last time out at Newmarket and she is up in the weights for that effort, so she will need to improve on that effort to feature here and with the stamina doubts in mind, it could give Ethel every chance to record back to back wins for the John Gosden stable. The 3 year old Filly made her debut over 7f at Kempton on the All Weather surface last month when finishing a staying on 2nd behind Plover, who consequently went on to run in a decent class 3 handicap at Sandown and wasn’t beaten far. She improved for that run next time out and won a 7f maiden at Doncaster, shaping as though she would appreciate the step up to a mile when keeping on towards the finish, scoring by 1/2 a length. Making her handicap debut and potentially at a preferred distance and open to bags of improvement, Ethel could be hard to beat. Likely to be chasing the two above home is Serenity Spa who lost her maiden tag over C&D latest, however this race looks tougher, and a 4lb rise in the weights for that win won’t help her chances. She looks like she may prefer a slightly shorter trip and may have more to come in the future over 7f.