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arsenalpunter

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About arsenalpunter

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  • Birthday 11/02/1989
  1. Re: ****Win a Pair of Champion Day Tickets - Only Forum Members!! Closes Wednesday!** 19 lengths 5/2
  2. Re: Best Bet of the Day KO Cup Qualifying - Deadline Sat 2pm Good luck all. 14.20 Newmarket Oklahoma City 1PT Win 7/2 BetVictor 16.35 Redcar Barren Brook 1PT Win 17/2 BetVictor 16.40 Gowran Park Sizing Europe 1PT Win 11/10 PaddyPower
  3. Re: BBOTD - Tuesday 24th September 18.50 Carlisle Day Of Destiny - 1PT Win 8/1 Bet365 Since Day Of Destiny's last victory at Southwell back in April over 1m 3f, he has been upped in class and ran in two Class 4 contests and two Class 5's, being placed in both of the former over 1m 2f. He's slightly higher in the weights than those two efforts but dropping back into Class 6 company and also in distance to 1m 1f 61yards puts him in with every chance.
  4. Re: BBOTD Friday 20th September 18.15 Listowel Merrion Row - 1PT Win 6/1 BetBright Merrion Row made a winning start to his career when winning last time out at Galway in a bumper over 2 miles. He has his first start over hurdles here and is upped in trip 4f but he stayed on strongly towards the finish at Galway, suggesting that the horse will benefit from a step up in distance. If he takes to the hurdles he has every chance of making it two wins from two starts.
  5. Re: Flat Racing ~ Saturday 20th Newbury 13.50 Kassiano was an impressive winner when making his UK racecourse debut at Newmarket last month in a Class 2 Conditions race over 1m 2f. The Godolphin runner was always in touch with the leaders and cruised into contention 2f from the finish under Neil Callan who never had to get serious on board, quickening well and running on to score by 3 ½ lengths to Trade Commissioner back in 2nd. Prior to running in the UK, Kassiano done the majority of his race at Meydan where he won three of his six starts and finished 2nd twice, including in the Group 1 Al Maktoum Challenge, finishing 2 ¾ lengths behind stablemate Hunter’s Light. Although this race is a step up from that at Newmarket, he won with such style and stayed on well enough to suggest the extra furlong will help too. As long as the rain stays away the ground should also be on his side and with stable jockey Silvestre De Sousa in the saddle he could be tough to pass. Camborne was a winner over further at Doncaster earlier this month but has also won over a furlong shorter previously. He finished 2nd in the Group 3 Cumberland Lodge Stakes at Ascot last year and a similar performance, with him staying on strongly at the business end, should see him go close for with Robert Havlin taking the ride. 14.20 The Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes has attracted 9 entries this year, including two for Richard Hannon in Shamshon and Anticipated. The former is likely to be sent off favourite after making it two wins from two starts in a Listed race at Deauville last month and with the Group 1 Middle Park Stakes his target, connections will be hoping he can complete the hat-trick. I will take the favourite on though and side with Richard Hannon’s ‘second string’ Anticipated who is making the step up to the 6f trip after finishing a close 2nd behind Brown Sugar in the Group 3 Molecomb Stakes at the Glorious Goodwood meeting. The horse was slowly into stride from the stalls and Richard Hughes was the first jockey to get to work on board the colt. Despite this the horse stayed on powerfully inside the final furlong and was just denied, going down by a neck in the end. He also went close in this year’s Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot, finishing 3rd just behind Extortionist and Supplicant. Again, the horse ran on well inside the final furlong and based on the two performances mentioned he should appreciate the step up in trip here. This will be the horse’s toughest race to date but I believe he’s an improving type with plenty of speed about him and he has the benefit on champion jockey Richard Hughes riding again. 14.55 For the fourth race we have the most valuable race on the card in the shape of the Class 2 Dubai Duty Free Handicap over 1m 2f where Mark Johnston has a trio of entries, including the consistent Fennell Bay who is likely to run a decent race again, this will be his 18th start so far this year though and he keeps his highest mark to date so it’s tough to see further improvement here and may not have enough to factor at the finish. The interesting entry is the horse trained by Ger Lyons, Saxo Jack. With four runs over in Ireland which has included two wins and a place, he’s been sent over for this race and although 7lb higher than his latest victory he remains unexposed and there could be plenty more to come. Saxo Jack’s first win came at Leopardstown on Good to Firm ground over 1m 2f. After being in contention and leading for much of the race, he soon kicked clear and was eased down towards the finish, still scoring by 3 ½ lengths to Al Destoor. Last time out he was switched to the polytrack surface at Dundalk last time out for a decent handicap over 1m 2f 150yards where he beat the consistent Steps To Freedom by ½ a length. This time round the horse wasn’t sent to the front as early as previously but when asked to go on and win the race, the horse responded well to pressure and perhaps won with a bit more in hand at the line. This is another step up for the horse but it’s unlikely that the trainer would send the horse over from Ireland if he didn’t have the potential and the 7lb hike up in the weights may not be enough to stop him from being there or thereabouts at the finish here. The slight concern could be the ground if any further rain came but current conditions should suit. 15.30 8-year-old Kingsgate Native is set to have his 7th start of the year in the Group 3 Dubai International Airport World Trophy and he can make up for last year’s defeat in this race when he finished a desperately close 2nd behind Swiss Spirit after being short of room inside the 2f marker. His two best performances this year have both came in group company, firstly when winning the Group 2 Temple Stakes at Haydock in May where he had plenty of top sprinters in behind him, including the previously mentioned Swiss Spirit, Sole Power who went on to win the Group 1 King’s Stand Stakes at Royal Ascot, Morawij who won the Listed Scurry Stakes at Sandown in June and finally Masamah who won a valuable handicap at Ascot back in July. The selection also finished 2nd in the Group 3 Coral Charge at Sandown in the summer, finishing a length behind Tickled Pink. Over 2f from home the horse looked to be travelling well under Shane Kelly but found himself short of room a furlong from the finish and had to be quickly shifted left and although finishing strongly when he was in the clear he couldn’t reach the winner. Last time out Kingsgate Native was 5th of 17 in the Group 1 Nunthorpe Stakes at York last month, finishing only 2 lengths behind the winner Jwala. This race looks like a slightly easier assignment and the Robert Cowell trained horse, and if the ground continues to dry out his chances will increase further. Newmarket 14.30 Wedding Ring is likely to off a short price for the Class 2 100,000 Tattersalls Millions Fillies Median Auction Stakes but following on from her debut win in a maiden over 6f on the July Course at Newmarket the Godolphin trained filly has continued to run with credit in better company. The debut win saw the horse beat Ihtimal by a neck. The form of that race has been franked since with Ihtimal winning the Group 3 Sweet Solera Stakes and following up that success with a win in the Group 2 May Hill Stakes earlier this month. Wedding Ring was behind Ihtimal in the Sweet Solera Stakes but the extra furlong didn’t suit the horse and 6f looks to be the optimum trip. Prior to that race the selection was 5th in the Group 3 Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot, plenty of the horses in behind her that day have gone on to win better races since, including Lucky Kristale who has won both starts in Group 2 company since. Firstly the Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes and then the Lowther Stakes. Last time out the horse was 3rd in the Dick Poole Fillies Stakes at Salisbury, finishing 3 lengths behind Joyeuse. Charlie Appleby looks to of found Wedding Ring an ideal race here for her to return to the winners enclosure again and with further racecourse experience to her name she should continue to progress further. 15.05 After being beaten odds on favourite on debut at Hamilton, it’s tough to have much confidence behind the Mark Johnston trained colt Quickaswecan but I’m going to take a chance on him improving with the experience under his belt it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him sneak into the placings at a big price. He finished 2 ½ lengths behind Invincible Strike over 6f at Hamilton in a Class 5 Maiden however Joe Fanning found himself short of room aboard the horse inside the final furlong and he was eased down towards the line. The front two still kicked clear of the remainder of the field, including Ronya who was placed in a better event next time out. The horse holds a couple of interesting entries including the 500,000 Tattersalls Millions and also the Dubai Dewhurst Stakes. There could be plenty more to come from Quickaswecan following his debut effort and he’s worth taking a chance on here. Jallota is the obvious danger in an easier race after finishing 4th behind No Nay Never at Deauville in the Group 1 Darley Prix Morny last time out. 15.40 The Class 2 Cesarewitch Trial Stakes Handicap over 2m 2f has attracted 19 runners but the prize money can be landed by the Tom Tate stable in the shape of Eagle Rock who won over 2m 88yards at York in a Class 4 contest earlier this month. The horse led for much of the race but was headed over 2f from the finish, however he gamely battled back inside the final furlong to get up by a neck to the 2nd placed Flashman. Prior to that victory he ran some creditable efforts in defeat including when 4 ¼ lengths behind Broxbourne over the same course and distance. Although Eagle Rock is also 5lb higher in the weights since that race, Broxbourne is now on a mark of 94 which looks very high, and the placing’s can be reversed here. Eagle Rock finished 3rd in this race last year finishing 5 ½ lengths behind the winner Domination, that time round the horse raced towards the rear of the field for much of the race but with a more positive ride the horse is likely to go much closer. William Buick is a positive jockey booking, riding the horse for the first time, and he is taken to land the money here.
  6. Re: Flat Racing Friday 20th September Newbury 14.00 Richard Hannon is represented in this 6f Maiden by newcomer Cape Wrath and it’s likely that the 2-year-old will be able to follow in the footsteps of stablemate Barley Mow who won on his debut at the same track last month for connections. The race itself looks like quite an ordinary maiden and it shouldn’t need a special performance from the selection to win on his debut. Of those set to line up that already have racecourse experience, Beatabout The Bush was well beaten on his debut in a decent Class 2 contest at Ascot, but improved slightly last time out at Windsor when he was dropped back into Class 5 company. With William Buick on board again he may improve further here and has each way claims. 15.05 Bonfire has been a frustrating horse to follow as a punter, having disappointed in each of his efforts since winning the Group 2 Dante Stakes over 1m 2f at York in May 2012. Following that victory he was beaten 14 lengths by Camelot when finishing 6th in the Derby, he then finished 6th again in another Group 1 this time the Eclipse at Sandown, finishing 18 ½ lengths behind Nathaniel. There was a slight indication that he may have been returning to form on his reappearance this year when dropping back in trip to 1m 1f at Newmarket for the Group 3 Earl Of Sefton Stakes. The horse plugged on well inside the final furlong to finish 3rd behind the winner Mull Of Killough, who has gone on to finish 2nd in the Group 2 Summer Mile at Ascot since, and the 2nd placed Stipulate who has also been placed in Group 2 company since when finishing 2 lengths behind Afsare in the Celebration Mile. However following that reappearance he disappointed again when stepped back up to 1m 2f at Chester for the Group 3 Huxley Stakes. After finishing 7th of 7 there he has been given a break from racing and returns here over four months since that effort and should be fresh. The horse has previously shown he has plenty of speed and the drop back in trip should suit. It’s not going to be an easy task with previous Group 3 winner’s French Navy and Questioning also set to line up, but if Bonfire can show similar form to that shown when winning the Dante, he has a huge chance of giving his followers another chance to collect. 16.50 I’m surprised to see Well Acquainted at such large odds in the penultimate race on Newbury’s card. The Clive Cox trained colt has been running well in decent pattern races recently with his last 3 efforts coming in Group 3 company. Prior to those races he won a Listed contest at Epsom back in May on Good to Soft ground over today’s trip of 7f where he finished a length ahead of Emell who only finished ¾ of a length behind French Navy on his next start at Windsor. Back in 6th was Boomshackerlacker who also went on to finish 2nd in Listed company on his next start when just a 1 ¼ lengths behind Penitent at Sandown two days ago. On his latest start, Well Acquainted ran a good race at Goodwood finishing back in 5th but only 4 ¾ lengths behind Lockwood who finished a close 2nd in the Group 2 Park Stakes at Doncaster last Saturday. Returning back to Listed company on ground that should suit, Well Acquainted looks well overpriced in the market and could sneak into the frame at a large price. Magic City has won 4 of his 5 latest starts in handicap company and although he’ll need to improve here to feature he should be there or thereabouts at the finish. 17.20 A wide open handicap closes the card, and unfortunately due to 3 non-runners bringing the field down to 15 the bookmakers will only be paying the first 3 home each way, however does doesn’t change our selection as a chance is taken on Pasaka Boy to return to the winners enclosure now dropped back in class. His last victory came on Derby Day at Epsom earlier this year when staying on strongly to take a Class 2 Handicap by 1 ½ lengths to Greeleys Love on ground that was Good, Good to Soft in places. He was upped in the weights following that victory but returns to the same mark of 84 today. Pasaka Boy has previously a winner at this track when winning over 7f in August last year, beating Front Page News by 4 ½ lengths and with a drop back in class and a return to look what seems to be his ideal trip with conditions to suit, this horse looks to be the one they have to beat.
  7. Re: BBOTD Thursday 19th September 18.05 Listowel Wicklow Brave - 1PT Win 13/8 StanJames Wicklow Brave has raced over this distance on each of his 3 starts, improving with each run. He ran well at Punchestown on his 2nd outing, only being beaten a neck by the winner Stephanie Frances. Following that victory he was entered for a race at the Galway festival where he won by 3/4 of a length with Dermot Weld's Marty's Magic behind him in 2nd. Although this looks set to be a tougher race for the selection, he looks open to further improvement and deserves to take his chance in better company.
  8. Re: Flat Racing~Thursday 19th September Kempton 17.40 Richard Hughes is an eye-catching jockey booking aboard Sonnetation and the 3-year-old filly is the selection in the opener. The horse finished 2nd over course and distance just five days ago and keeps the same mark of 53 here. She has previously won over this trip, when winning at Bath in July on quick ground and this looks like a good opportunity for the horse to secure another victory. 18.10 Tatting won at Wolverhampton on Monday over this trip and he’s been quickly turned out again here without a penalty and he looks sure to go well again, however Princess Spirit has been running consistently well on her last three starts all at this track and at double figure odds she looks likely to be there or thereabouts at the finish again. Her latest effort saw her slowly into stride from the stalls but she stayed on well inside the final 2 furlongs under 7lb claimer Jennifer Ferguson to take 3rd. If she can race slightly more prominently this time round she could lose her maiden tag but at the price, Eddie Creighton’s filly certainly looks like a backable each way prospect. 18.40 Charlie Appleby has just the one runner on the card and it would be a surprise to see his improving colt Zurbriggen beaten. After finishing 3rd on his debut over 7f at Newmarket last August in a Class 4 Maiden he made his reappearance at the same track with a step up to a mile in a Class 5 race last month. Although sent off the odds on favourite he could only manage 2nd, finishing a head behind Joe Sugden, who finished 3rd in a better race at Yarmouth yesterday, however you could make excuses for the selection who was held up towards the rear of the field before coming to challenge over a furlong from home, he found himself short of room as stayed on inside the final furlong but couldn’t catch the winner. On his all-weather debut he should take all the beating. Richard Hannon and Richard Hughes partner up once again with Appease who ran well enough on debut when finishing 2nd at Wolverhampton last November when trained by Dean Ivory, but that race came over 5 furlongs and he will need to improve to factor at the finish here over a mile in his first race since his debut. 19.10 Excellent Puck almost secured his 2nd career win in the Class 5 Leger Legends Stakes over a mile at Doncaster earlier this month when keeping on inside the final furlong to finish in a dead heat for 2nd with Pelmanism, a nose behind the winner Dana’s Present. He’s a consistent type on the all-weather, winning once at Wolverhampton and also finishing 2nd there and finishing 2nd at both Southwell and Lingfield. Although up 5lb in the weights following that 2nd at Doncaster he stayed on well enough that day to suggest that over a mile the mark of 75 shouldn’t be a problem, especially with Richard Hughes booked to ride. 19.40 A tricky Class 6 maiden here with a case being made for many in a race that doesn’t look like one to get heavily involved with. It could be worth taking a chance on Arty Campbell who made his debut over this course and distance last month, finishing 6th of 12 and 12 ¼ lengths behind the winner, Omnipresent. Although he never really looked like troubling the leaders it was a decent enough performance for his first race and with that experience he could improve. He’s a brother to a previous winner over 2 miles and a half-brother to a winner over 7f and a mile so the trip should suit and looks a solid each way proposition. 20.10 The Tim Pitt trained Katie Gale is still a maiden but she has continued to improve since stepping into handicap company and ran her best effort to date when stepped up in trip over course and distance last time out, and on an unchanged mark of 50, she is taken to go one better here. After tracking the leaders Jimmy Quinn made his move on the filly and she stayed on strongly towards the line, just being denied by the winner Supercillary who held on gamely. Prior to that race Supercillary had been tried in better company and the form of Katie Gale’s 2nd looks strong enough to win this contest. Bravo Bravo is one for the shortlist having won 3 times on the flat over 2 miles previously and returns to the flat having been hurdling since his last victory at Wolverhampton. 20.40 Having won twice in succession, firstly in May at Chepstow over 1m 4f and then impressively over 1m 3f 135yards at Windsor, Jupiter Storm was raised 14lb in the weights before being finishing 6th of 9 in a Class 2 contest over the same trip at Windsor. Although slowly dropping back down in the weights he’s not shown the same form as he did earlier in the season on his two most recent starts either but down a further 1lb and now on a mark of 82, if he takes to the all-weather surface on his first time of trying he could go well at a big price over what looks to be his optimum trip. 21.10 Following her sole victory over course and distance in a Class 6 race last November, Sakhees Rose has been competing in Class 5 races varying from 5f – 6f. The best effort in those races came at Leicester in July when the horse finished 2nd 2 and ¾ lengths behind Laughing Rock. Last time out she was a disappointing 9th of 10 at Warwick over 6f but she drops back to Class 6 company here and is also on a career low mark of 63, 2lb lower than her winning mark. George Baker has rode the horse twice before, including when she won, and he returns to the saddle here and looks to have a solid chance.
  9. Re: BBOTD Wednesday 18th sept 21.15 Kempton Street Power - 1PT Win 16/1 SportingBet Street Power has slowly been sliding down the weights and is now on a mark of 72, 5lb lower than his previous winning back when he won a Class 3 Handicap at Ascot back in July 2012. Although he hasn't shown that standard since he has been showing some consistency on the all weather surface, including when finishing 6th at Lingfield last time out when he was slowly into stride but made some late headway. Could be more to come from the horse now he appears to be on a handy mark.
  10. Re: Flat Racing Wednesday 18th Sep 2013 Sandown 14.20 The opener on Sandown’s card is a tricky looking 5f handicap for punters with 15 runners set to go to post, including The Strig who duly obliged for the site on Monday. Although James Doyle is an eye-catching jockey booking for him today, he has a 6lb rise in the weights to contend with following Monday’s victory and for that reason a line can be put through his name on your racecard. A low draw is preferable over Sandown’s flying five and that’s not been kind to Desert Command who will race from stall 12, but he usually shows plenty of pace in the early stages of his races and if David Probert can get away to a good break, he could be able to dictate the race from the front of the pack. He was only beaten a short head last time out at Epsom over an extra furlong when caught by Al Uldeid in the final strides. With only a 2lb rise in the weights following that close 2nd and a drop in distance, Desert Command looks set for a big race. 14.50 It doesn’t get much easier for punters in the 2nd race, a 2-year-old Maiden over a mile. With the little form on offer, Mustamir arguably comes into the race with the strongest form on paper after finishing 2nd on his debut at Thirsk, a length behind Emef Diamond. It was a promising debut run from the James Tate trained colt and with racecourse experience under his belt, he’s sure to run well again. However it could be worth having a small each way punt on the John Gosden trained Zephyr who is making his racecourse debut. The current top price of 14/1 looks huge considering he’s from Shirocco, who was Champion 3yr old in Germany and in Italy in 2004, winner of The Breeders Cup Turf in 2005, The Coronation Cup, The Prix Foy and The Jockey Club Stakes in 2006. The dam, Pelagia is half sister to Alcazar and Lady of Chad, both Group 1 winners and is from the same family as the Champion stayer, Yeats. On his racecourse debut it’s not a horse to get heavily involved with, and the addition on cheekpieces could be a slight concern but judging by breeding he could be a 2-year-old to follow and isn’t one to quickly rule out here. 15.20 Just the three runners go to post for the 15.20 and Signposted, a winner last time out over this trip of 7f on Good to Soft ground at Epsom can score again here at the expense of Xanthos and Peacemaker who are both unproven on this going, having done all their turf racing on quicker ground. Signposted was an impressive winner last time out when beating Lincoln by 3 ¼ lengths, the horse was always in touch but stayed on strongly inside the final furlong to go clear from the rest of the field. 15.55 The feature race on the card is the Class 1 Fortune Stakes, a listed race over a mile. Wentworth is stepping up in class and into pattern company following four strong runs in handicap company this year, including when winning the Betfred Mile at Glorious Goodwood last month. If he handles the ground he’s likely to be there or thereabouts at the finish but with the majority of his runs coming on quicker ground, I am going to side with Penitent. The 2010 Lincoln winner has won much stronger races than this previously, including two Group 2 races last year, the Nayef Joel Stakes at Newmarket on Good ground where he beat Side Glance by a neck, and the Bet365 Mile over course and distance on Heavy ground when he stayed on well to beat Questioning by 1 ¾ lengths. Although the selection hasn’t been in the winners enclosure this year, he hasn’t been disgraced in better company, finishing 2nd in the Group 3 Investec Diomed Stakes at Epsom, a length and a half behind Gregorian who has gone on to win the Group 2 Hungerford Stakes since. Penitent also took his chance in the Group 1 Queen Anne Stakes, finishing back in 8th but only 5 lengths behind the winner Declaration Of War. Dropping back in class and proven at this trip and on the ground, it would be a surprise to not see Penitent return to the Sandown winner enclosure today. 16.30 Playbill has finished in the first 3 home on 6 of her 7 starts to date, and despite the only win coming in a Class 6 Maiden race at Lingfield on the All Weather at Lingfield last month over 1m 2f, she won well enough to suggest there could be more to come in the future. She tried the mile trip for the first time last time out in Class 4 company at Windsor, staying on well towards the finish she couldn’t reach the winner, Al Jamal, but on the same mark of 74 here with Ryan Moore on board she could go close. 17.05 Godolphin runner Kalispell is likely to go off favourite in the second Fillies race, however she hasn’t shown enough on her previous two starts to suggest she will appreciate the step up in trip from a mile to 1m 2f. She’s proven on soft ground which is more than can be said for many of these but she may be better over shorter. Empress Adelaide was placed at Chester in a better race last time out over this distance, she kept on inside the final furlong and should go well at the same distance here. She also ran well at Nottingham on her debut over a mile on a softer surface but ran green and with further racecourse experience she’s open to improvement here and can gain her first career win. 17.35 Fast Pace is 5lb higher following her 2nd at Kempton last time out over 1m 3f when she finished a neck behind Nearly Caught, a subsequent winner in a Class 2 race at Haydock earlier this month, but that may not be enough to stop her going one better here returning to 1m 2f, a distance she has won over twice previously. She’s proven on testing ground and should relish the conditions at Sandown and looks likely to improve further.
  11. Re: BBOTD Tuesday 17th September 17.50 Chepstow Descaro - 1PT Win 16/1 BetVictor With the going at Chepstow now heavy, this race could turn into a test of stamina and one that is used to racing over further is ex hurdler Descaro. He's a previous winner on Good to Soft ground and goes into this race 12lb lower than his previous flat winning mark back in 2011. In 8 starts from May to July he didn't finish out of the first two over hurdles and if he can put in a similar performance on the flat he could go close.
  12. Stratford 16.35 The opener at Stratford on Tuesday can go the way of the Philip Hobbs trained 8-year-old Patesse. After being heavily tried over hurdles, including winning a Class 2 Handicap Hurdle at Cheltenham last year, he's reverted to the larger fences and although not shown the same sort of form as he did over hurldes just yet he ran well on the same mark at Newton Abbot last time out over 2m 5 ½ furlongs in a Class 3 contest. Beaten a head by the winner Dineur, the horse came with every chance in the back straight but didn't jump as fluently as Dineur and was caught as they approached the line. He drops back into Class 4 company and should find the task at hand slightly easier here. Patesse won a Class 4 Chase over 3m at Ffos Las back in April on Good to Soft ground so the horse should appreciate the extra 1 ½ furlongs in trip and conditions look suitable. The only slight concern would be the horses jumping but with the capable Richard Johnson on board he should take all the beating. Sail And Return is another who could go well under Sam Twiston-Davies, but again his jumping over the larger obstacles hasn’t been great and he will need to improve to get involved at the business end of the race. 17.05 At a current best price of 2/5 you could argue that Killyglass is too short at the top of the market for his debut over hurdles, but he has been impressive enough on his three starts in National Hunt flat races to suggest there is a successful career ahead of him over timber. After winning by 4 ¼ lengths on debut over 2 miles at Wexford he made the switch to Emma Lavelle’s stable and finished 5th in Listed company over the same trip at Newbury next time out on soft ground. On his latest start, Killyglass was stepped up in grade and trip when entered for the Grade 2 John Smith’s Champion Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race over 2m 1f on Aintree’s Grand National Card. Despite being sent off at 20/1 the horse travelled well towards the rear of the field and made steady headway around the outside, when asked to quicken by Noel Fehily on board he swept past the field and looked like going clear of the remainder, inside the final furlong he was slowly getting pegged back by the 2nd placed Vago Collonges but he battled games to score by ½ a length. Emma Lavelle could have an exciting novice hurdler on her hands in Killyglass and today looks like an ideal opportunity for him to get off the mark at the first time of asking over hurdles. Kettlewell beat an odds-on favourite last time out when beating the 2012 Weatherby’s Champion Bumper runner up New Years Eve over course and distance last month and could be the one for punters looking for a bit more value in a forecast. 17.35 Seven runners are set to go to post for the 3rd race on the card and you could make a case for most, but it could pay to take a chance on Rime Avec Gentil who has done the majority of his racing over hurdles, winning twice over 2m 1f and once over the 2m trip. He returns to chasing here having only one race over the larger jumps to date and that came back in May 2011 at Tipperary over 2m 7f when he was pulled up. The ground was likely too quick for him that day and the distance stretched him. Since that effort he’s dropped back in trip for all his races bar one at Naas and the selection has looked more comfortable around the 2m – 2m 1f distance. Paul Moloney is an eye catching jockey booking, riding the horse for the first time. With ticks in most boxes, if he adapts to chasing he could go well at a nice price. Julie Prince is a worthy favourite after winning at Huntingdon last time out, but this looks like a tougher race and he may find life tougher, especially with an 8lb rise in the weights to contend with. 18.05 The fourth race on the card is a competitive Class 3 Handicap Hurdle which can go to Vinnie My Boy who is returning to his optimum trip and can make amends for a couple of below-par efforts recently as long as the rain stays away from Stratford. Trainer Peter Bowen has previously said that the horse is better on fast ground and if the going stays Good it should suit. With 14 runs to his name, the 5-year-old has been consistent, winning three of his races and finishing 2nd and 3rd twice each. His strike rate has dropped slightly after his two most recent efforts over 3 miles. On both occasions he weakened in the later stages of the race, suggesting that the drop back in trip was just around the corner. Prior to those efforts he won over course and distance by 20 lengths in a Class 5 Handicap Hurdle, the runner up Dreamsoftheatre has gone on to complete a hat trick of wins including a Class 4 race, the 4th placed Moorlands Jack has also gone on to win in better company when winning by 4 ½ lengths in a Handicap Chase at Worcester last week. Although this is likely to be Vinnie My Boy’s toughest race to date and he needs to bounce back from his recent efforts, his win here in July puts him in with every chance and he should be there or thereabouts at the finish. 18.35 Al Alfa has looked like he has plenty of potential chasing following his first two efforts, winning first time round at Warwick over 3m ½f and he then followed that up finishing runner up to Whispering Jack at Kempton over a slightly shorter distance. Both those runs were on Soft ground in Class 4 company and although it’s been 185 days since his last race he keeps the same mark of 112 as the race at Kempton and with a furlong less to contend with, Al Alfa looks the one to beat for the Philip Hobbs and Richard Johnson partnership. 19.05 AP McCoy can send punters home happy in the ‘lucky last’ when he takes the ride on Chalk It Down in the Class 6 Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race over 2 miles. There isn’t a massive amount of form for the majority of these, with five horses making their debut and a further five only having their second race. Chalk It Down is the only previous winner in the field after he won on his debut at Newton Abbot last month over 2m 1f in a Class 5 contest. Sent off the 8/11 favourite, he tracked the leader What A Joke for the majority of the race before cruising to the front in the home straight. Jockey Noel Fehily gave him a slight push inside the final furlong to send him clear and he beat What A Joke by 2 ¾ lengths. The form of that race has been strengthened since with the 3rd placed Hazel Brook winning next time out after the first past the post was disqualified. Following the race, the selection was purchased by leading National Hunt owner J P McManus. Of the remainder, In A Heartbeat was placed over course and distance on her debut 10 days ago and although stepping up in class, she could improve now she has racecourse experience.
  13. Re: Ayr Gold Cup advice please. http://ors-racing.co.uk/PDF/Ayr%20Finalx.pdf You may find some useful information here.
  14. Re: BBOTD Monday 16th september 18.45 Listowel Casey Ryback - 1PT Win 4/1 Bet365 After finishing 2nd on debut over 2m 1f at Killarney towards the end of August, Casey Ryback should appreciate the drop back to 2 miles here as she looked the most likely winner in the later stages of the race until being pegged back by Spa Hill inside the final furlong. Katie Walsh is back on board again for this race and with the horse now having racecourse experience he can go one better.
  15. Re: Flat Racing 16th Monday Sept 17:20 Brighton 5f 59yds Class 5 Juice 107 2 Radio Made In Brighton Handicap Selection: The Strig After an exciting weekend of high quality racing from Doncaster’s St Leger meeting on Saturday, the Curragh for the Irish equivalent yesterday alongside an excellent card for Arc Trials Day at Longchamp, it’s back to the standard fare of Monday racing today with cards from Brighton, Musselburgh, Wolverhampton and Listowel providing the action over in Ireland. There are still winners to be found regardless of the contest and previous course and distance winner The Strig looks to be in with every chance in Brighton’s finale following a good 2nd at Sandown last time out. The 6-year-old trained by Stuart Williams has been kept busy with 58 starts to his name which includes seven wins. Despite only boasting a 12.07% strike rate you would only be £1.90 out of pocket if you backed him to £1 stakes in every race following three successes at double figure odds. His last win came back in July over today’s course and distance on a 6lb lower mark in a Class 5 contest which he won well enough. After settling in 3rd for the first couple of furlongs the horse joined the leaders as they turned into the home straight and he stayed on well inside the final furlong to hold off the late challenge from Johnny Splash, scoring by a neck in the end. After the race, jockey Jean-Pierre Guillambert did say that “I rode him on Saturday and he didn’t quite get the start right. He has his head cocked in the stalls, and you’re either a saint or a villain when they open. He’s won that nicely enough but everything has got to fall right for him.”, Guillambert is set to take the ride again today so hopefully the horse will settle at the start and go into the stalls without any problems. Although the form of that race hasn’t worked out to be the strongest with only one of those behind The Strig that day winning since, the selection has continued to run consistently well including being involved in the placings on his last three starts. The first of those again came over course and distance when he was just touched off by Royal Bajan on a mark of 64. These two pulled clear of the remainder inside the final furlong and were neck and neck up to the finish with Royal Bajan just getting up by a head. The winner was raised 9lb for that victory but went on to win again next time out at Lingfield, completing a hat trick of wins. Next time out he was narrowly beaten again, this time at Goodwood where he flashed past the post with Aye Aye Digby and Picansort. It looked as though The Strig was going to get up inside the final furlong but he couldn’t defy the late runs inside the final 100 yards by the other two and he finished back in 3rd, a short head behind Picansort and a further head behind Aye Aye Digby. On his latest start towards the end of August he bumped into a good horse in Rocket Rob at Sandown who had been running in better events previously. This time round the horse was held up towards the rear of the field but he eased his way through the field as he made his challenge a furlong from home. Quickening in excellent style he was a clear 2nd but couldn’t go the pace as Rocket Rob who got up by 2 lengths, with The Strig a further two lengths ahead of Macdillion back in 3rd. He’s raised a further 2lb here and is now on a mark of 66, he did win 4lb higher on 70 in November last year over 6f so it still looks like a winnable mark and after knocking on the door in recent efforts, the return to Brighton where he’s won twice and been placed a further four times will also boost his chances. His first win at this track came on Good to Soft ground and with the ground currently Soft, conditions should be in his favour. Threave could be the biggest danger after winning a Class 4 contest at Salisbury over 5f last time out by 4 lengths. There could be more to come from the mare trained by Violet Jordan but with the ground an unknown she’s worth taking on.