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four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in July 24 - July 30
Back Christopher Eubanks (+4.5) to beat Jared Donaldson at 1.90 with Pinnacle
Great result for Eubanks in the first round and I fancy him to give it his all against Donaldson as well, as he's got a history of playing top-notch tennis in this event. Donaldson is definitely overrated at the moment, he's done very little since Miami really. He's also a bit choky, while Eubanks should be able to hit freely.
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four-leaf got a reaction from nickycfc in July 17 - July 23
Dustin Brown to beat Thomaz Bellucci at 2.37 with bet365
I don't know what Thomaz was up to this past week when he lost to Gastao Elias in straight sets having failed to serve out the first set. He's so awful right now Thomaz that I can't give him any chance whatsoever to beat Dustin who he never has beaten without Dustin retireing. When Dustin didn't retire in Gstaad last summer he beat Thomaz. The reputation Thomaz has doesn't make him an automatic winner. And Dustin should have a quite good reputation of winning matches like this so the odds doesn't make sense to me.
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four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in July 17 - July 23
Mikael Ymer to beat Henri Laaksonen at 2.62 with bet365
After Mikaels show last week in Bastad I think he's worth a bet. He will climb on the ranking and if it's anywhere he should climb more then he already has since last week it's in the Swedish open. If he beats Henri he will be awarded with a mutch tougher match against Pablo Cuevas. He's been given a wildcard ofcourse along with his brother Elias and I expect great things from him in the future. He's been playing good tennis in Bastad and should continue with a first round win.
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four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in July 17 - July 23
Back Polona Hercog to beat Cagla Buyukakcay at 1.45 with BetVictor
Hercog is on a tremendous run at the moment - in fact, she's done virtually nothing wrong since coming back to the tour. On top of that, she also has a good record in this particular event, so this shouldn't be too tough for her.
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four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in July 17 - July 23
Dustin Brown to beat Thomaz Bellucci at 2.37 with bet365
I don't know what Thomaz was up to this past week when he lost to Gastao Elias in straight sets having failed to serve out the first set. He's so awful right now Thomaz that I can't give him any chance whatsoever to beat Dustin who he never has beaten without Dustin retireing. When Dustin didn't retire in Gstaad last summer he beat Thomaz. The reputation Thomaz has doesn't make him an automatic winner. And Dustin should have a quite good reputation of winning matches like this so the odds doesn't make sense to me.
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four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in July 17 - July 23
Elias Ymer to beat Fernando Verdasco at 4.00 with bet365
Noway Elias should be at 4.00 in this matchup. He's playing at his favourite surface where he's played the past week in the challenger event at the same place that is Bastad. No travel time for Elias and he's got a match against a player coming from gras who can be a bit lacklustre at times in matches like this. I remember his brother beat him in Stockholm last season in straight sets so I can easily see another triump for one of the Ymer brothers here.
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four-leaf reacted to owenclass in Wimbledon 2017
Garbine Muguruza vs Svetlana Kuznetsova
Over 21.5 games 8/11 paddy power
Over 2.5 sets 5/4 paddy power
Kuznetsova to win 5/4 paddy power
Well Muguruza is favourite for this match but her opponent has really impressed in this tournament especially on the grass and i can see her winning this
Venus Williams vs Jelena Ostapenko
Over 21.5 games 8/11 paddy power
Over 2.5 sets 5/4 paddy power
Ostapenko to win 11/10 paddy power
I think this could be time that we see the younger player beat the older more experienced who has win this title five times as she has been such revelation and i can see her winning this match and the title
Magdalena Rybarikova vs Coco Vandeweghe
Over 21.5 games 8/11 paddy power
Over 2.5 sets 5/4 paddy power
Rybaricova to win 5/4 paddy power
The player who has been impressive on this surface has been Rybarikova and can win again against a good player who is still maybe has not got the quality to win a Grand slam and will struggle against the grass specialist
Johanna Konta vs Simona Halep
Over 21.5 games 8/11 paddy power
Over 2.5 sets 5/4 paddy power
Halep to win 5/4 paddy power
This has to be the match of the quarter finals and it will so tight that it will go down to who wants it the most and who can win the big points at the right times
Ostapenko
Rybarikova
Halep
All to win 10/1 paddy power
Name the Finalists
Garbina Muguruza vs Jelena Ostapenko 10/1 paddy power
Garbine Murguruza vs Simona Halep 7/1 paddy power
These would be a great finals and it is worth a bet at these odds
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four-leaf reacted to radicaly in Wimbledon 2017
I really see a value on Ostapenko today.
I will take Ostapenko @2.25 (5 units) + Ostapenko -1,5 sets @3,92 (2 units). Total is 7 units on this game.
First of all, that's the first H2H between the 2 ladies.
V. Williams has been playing great games but none of the girls have the quality of Ostapenko actually.
To arrive in QF, she played Mertens, Wang, Osaka and Konjuh (ranked 22nd)... The game vs. Konjuh can't really been taken into consideration after 2 long games from Konjuh against Begu and Cibulkova. (2:13 minutes and 2:36 minutes..)
On the other hand, Ostapenko played pretty easy games as well but Giorgi and Svitolina in the last 2 rounds were good tests and she was strong enough to win them in 2 sets.
As in Roland Garros, she knows how to improve her level when the big games arrive.
IMO, Williams will try to play a lot of winners quickly and if Ostapenko can return them and stay calm, it should finished in 2 sets. If this is a three setter, Ostapenko should go through considering the age difference.
Good luck all,
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four-leaf got a reaction from ElPrincipito007 in Wimbledon 2017
Rafael Nadal/Gilles Muller over 3.5 sets at 2.00 with bet365
Got to try this since Gilles has been playing his best tennis ever last year and especially this season. Now he's reached three finals and one being on clay. I remember the last time Rafa played Gilles in SW19 and it was two tiebreaks and third set 6-1 to Rafa since Gilles just fell apart after not being able to win a set when he had set points in both tiebreaks and it was only about two points where Rafa was better. Gilles has a mutch better chance of winning a set this time against Rafa.
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four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2017
Johanna Konta to beat Simona Halep at 1.80 with bet365
Johanna should win this in the end even if it goes to three sets. She proved she could hold her nerves and win in three today and she has a 2-0 head-to-head advantage in this matchup winning most recently in the Miami quarters this season by 2-1. Not to bad to think that it will end in another 3 set triumph for Johanna.
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four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2017
Magdalena Rybarikova to beat Coco Vandeweghe at 2.30 with bet365
When looking at this match I see a 2-0 advantage and 4-0 i sets to Magdalena over Coco and most recently they faced in Roland Garros. First time they met was back in 2011 on grass. With the form Magdalena is in I dare to say she'll win this match. Coco had an kind of easy job against Caro Woz but it won't be so easy here.
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four-leaf reacted to Torque in Wimbledon 2017
Getting a bit ahead of myself obviously but I can't see Muller winning in straights - hope I don't jinx it!
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four-leaf got a reaction from Torque in Wimbledon 2017
Rafael Nadal/Gilles Muller over 3.5 sets at 2.00 with bet365
Got to try this since Gilles has been playing his best tennis ever last year and especially this season. Now he's reached three finals and one being on clay. I remember the last time Rafa played Gilles in SW19 and it was two tiebreaks and third set 6-1 to Rafa since Gilles just fell apart after not being able to win a set when he had set points in both tiebreaks and it was only about two points where Rafa was better. Gilles has a mutch better chance of winning a set this time against Rafa.
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four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2017
Rafael Nadal/Gilles Muller over 3.5 sets at 2.00 with bet365
Got to try this since Gilles has been playing his best tennis ever last year and especially this season. Now he's reached three finals and one being on clay. I remember the last time Rafa played Gilles in SW19 and it was two tiebreaks and third set 6-1 to Rafa since Gilles just fell apart after not being able to win a set when he had set points in both tiebreaks and it was only about two points where Rafa was better. Gilles has a mutch better chance of winning a set this time against Rafa.
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four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2017
Czech I'm not of the same opinion about the chance for David Ferrer to take a set. I think you'll be wrong this time on that particular bet. He may have beaten Richard Gasquet but he's still lacking in so many aspects of his game and I expect him to drop a lot of games and be far from taking a set.
Otherwise I'm with you on the rest of your bets especially Petra Martic.
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four-leaf reacted to CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2017
Back D.Ferrer/T.Berdych - Over 3.5 sets at 2.00 with Paddy Power
Looks like a juicy price to me. Berdych is obviously the favourite, but he has been somewhat shaky so far, failing to serve out the match against Harrison and dropping a set against Chardy. Ferrer, on the other hand, is riding his luck - and he'll stay there mentally until the very last point.
Back Albert Ramos (+2.5 sets) to beat Milos Raonic at 2.35 with 10Bet
This is all wrong, should be 1.70 or so imo. Clearly, this isn't the right time for Raonic to compete for the title, while Ramos is enjoying the slowish conditions reasonably well. I don't think he's going to win, but a set will be fully within his range and this is an excellent price.
Back Polona Hercog (+1.5 sets) to beat Svetlana Kuznetsova at 2.92 with Pinnacle
2.92 for the in-form player to take a set? I certainly don't see it that way, even the 2.50 that's on offer at most bookies looks like value to me, I'd set the fair to 2.30.
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four-leaf reacted to ElPrincipito007 in Wimbledon 2017
Anderson AH -2.5 sets @1,813 (Pinn)
Bemelmans said in the Belgian newspapers that the match against Medvedev was the best he ever played. I don't think he can do this another time as he's just an average player. Also Anderson is serving very well, so this could be an easy win for him.
Johnson +2.5 sets @1,8 (Pinn)
I see him more often take a set than not. Not really an explanation.
Paire @2,1 (Pinn)
He beated Janowicz in Stuttgart in 2 sets. There he was the clear favorite and now 2 weeks and a win over Janowicz later he's the underdog? At least the chances are 50-50 so I am happy to take this odd.
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four-leaf reacted to ElPrincipito007 in Wimbledon 2017
6 out of 8 today, that makes it a very profitable 1st round.
Paire @1,8 (Marathon)
I simply rate him as the better player. Not much to add.
Anderson-Seppi over 36.5 games @1,917 (Pinnacle)
Seppi has some decent results on grass the recent years. Anderson isn't easy to break. I think this can be a long match
Brown +2.5 sets @2,5 (Pinnacle)
Pouille -1.5 sets @1,73 (Unibet)
Sevastova @1,7 (Marathon)
Vekic @4,2 (Marathon)
She's on a good run and won against Konta 2 weeks ago. Value bet.
Wang @4,1 (Marathon)
She won against some good players this year and has a good record. She lost on Rolland Garros against Williams, but Williams didn't win easily. Now that Williams has some other issues, I think this game can be closer than expected.
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four-leaf reacted to ElPrincipito007 in Wimbledon 2017
Youzhny-Mahut over 37.5 games @1,88 (Marathon)
I think this match has every chance to go over 3.5 sets, as I can't see a clear favourite in this one.
Lepchenko @2,79 (Marathon)
She isn't having the best grass season, but neither does Davis. Se leads the H2H 2-1 and beated Davis quite easily on hard earlier this season. Worth a shot.
Paire @1,8
Estrella Burgos @2,28
Ramos-Vinolas @2,41
Lajovic @1,83
Cirstea @1,81
Makarova @2,02
Kucova @3,44
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four-leaf got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2017
Jiri Vesely to beat Fabio Fognini at 2.10 with bet365
Have to say that I think 2.10 on Jiri are pure value. You can't draw any conclusion from Fabios match against Dmitry Tursunov more then that it is quite bad to be breaked two times by a player who more or less have put his ambitions aside. The russian haven't even spent any time on court the last two years. Fabio is no good grassplayer. He gets tilted by not being able to slide properly on the grass and then he suddenly becomes useless from the corners. He is also a bit of a counterpuncher and that concept doesn't work as well on grass as on clay.
Jiri maybe haven't done any notable things on grass this season but I'd still like to suggest that this match is on his raquet even though he's lost twice on clay to Fabio. He also has his points to defend from last seasons Wimbledon since he beat Dominic Thiem then and went quite far eventually losing to Tomas Berdych. However I'd have Jiri as the favourite in this one.
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four-leaf got a reaction from Bronxie in Wimbledon 2017
One way traffic thanks for highlighting it for me.