Reputation from richard-westwood - Page 35

richard-westwood got a reaction from fd1972uk in 2000 and 1000 guineas April 29

Saturday is the 2000 guineas with the 1000 following on Sunday .....of course in the 2000 guineas all eyes are on the Aiden o briens ...CITY OF TROY who is being likened to o briens version of Frankel
Can't argue that the horse has done everything asked so far in facile manner so it's hard to see how this horse will be beat surely but either way ....when there's a short priced fav there has to be an opportunity for value bets elsewhere so I've asked the computer to rate the current 21 entries with a view to seeing what if anything could be a potential value bet alternative bet ....these are the ratings that came back ....
City of Troy 9.2 4/6
Henry Longfellow. 8.9. 25/1
Haatem 8.8 25/1
Ghostwriter. 8.6 16/1
Rosallion. 8.5 5/1
Interesting set of results ....computer has city of Troy clear but he has been downgraded slightly based on unknown on fast ground ....so if there is any chink in this favs armour that's possibly it if the ground goes fast as it currently is .....the horse was soooo effective on soft recording a fast time ...can he be equally effective on fast ????.....not many horses can as it requires a different action but not impossible
If the rating holds true then Aiden o brien would get the 2nd spot too with Henry Longfellow who has quietly risen through the ranks and has generally been overlooked ....but we all know never to ignore o briens 2nd or 3rd strings as they regularly pop up when you least expect them
Not much between haatem and ghostwriter on form ...they both look very evenly matched ....you could argue that ghostwriter just edged it with class and going if the ground comes up fast but I wouldn't like to put money on that come the day .....especially if the ground came up good as that would very much swing back in haatems favour
And finally rosallion .....who is a lot of people's idea of an Ew horse if there is one and I can't fault the horse and he's very much an improving type .....for me there's no value in the horse at all when you compare him to the other better priced horses in the ratings ......all comes down to value really ....
Good form actually at Newmarket is a very good thing to have also ....with the undulations really not suiting many horses ....good form can realistically give you as much as 5lb bonus so based on that ......
City of Troy won
Henry Longfellow. Unknown
Haatem. Won
Ghostwriter. Won
Rosallion. Unknown
That would seem to strengthen the Ew value of haatem and ghostwriter and overall those two look the overall best value in the race .....nothing wrong with Henry Longfellow though .....looks prime for forecasts and tricasts I think 🤔....although it may help later today as I think declarations have to be in today ?....so some might drop out yet ....Aiden might not even run Henry after all which would help .....just a shame only 3 places on offer for a 20 runner race currently ....that's pretty crap really ...cmon bookies
Anyone liking any of those ??....or other thoughts ?

richard-westwood reacted to LEE-GRAYS in Paris Longchamps Sunday April 28

Both placed 22/1 14/1 👍

richard-westwood got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing chat -saturday 27th april April 28

Ew 5th ....was hoping for a better run but cest la vie

richard-westwood got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing chat -saturday 27th april April 28