Butch68

One bet and one winner again on Saturday to continue the good run of form. Usually the season has finished by now, but we still have another month to go with the season having started late. We have a full fixture list on Bank Holiday Monday to look forward to in the National League with Sutton v Notts County live on BT on Tuesday tea time. I have 4 bets for Monday.
Boreham Wood v Kings Lynn
I know Boreham Wood love to draw, but the fact they haven't had to play since last Saturday is key for me because Kings Lynn have played two games since then. They only have a small squad and they are feeling the effects of such a busy period. They did draw 0-0 on Saturday, Maidenhead have been leggy in games as well so it is no surprise that was more of a balanced affair. They have been conceding plenty of goals and although Wood haven't scored in 4 games now they do have goals in them and I suspect they will get a few chances to score here. I am going to take them on the -1 at 6/4.
Dagenham & Redbridge v Woking
Dagenham have really found their form of late and they are playing really well. They have won their last 4 on the bounce now and compared to earlier in the season they are now scoring goals. They have netted 10 in that run and they will surely fancy their chances of adding a few against a Woking side who are desperate for the season to finish. They have picked up just 1 point in their last 9 games and in their 8 losses they have conceded at least twice in 6 of them. I would make them 1/2 chances so even at a shade of odds on I am happy to play. I am also going to cover the -1 handicap.
Maidenhead v Wrexham
As I mentioned earlier Maidenhead continuing to look very tired in games and they could struggle to hold of a Wrexham side who need the points to stay in the play-offs. I think the Welsh side will have too much for their hosts here and I am happy to play at 6/4
Stockport v Wealdstone
I don't really need to write too much here as Stockport really should be putting at least 3 or 4 past Wealdstone here. They have been conceding goals for fun and Stockport have been scoring them for fun. Granted they only got 1 on Saturday, but going to Halifax is a very different story from hosting Wealdstone. The -2 handicap looks worthy of a play.
Boreham Wood -1 2pts @ 6/4 with Betfred
Dagenham & Redbridge 4pts @ 10//11 with William Hill
Dagenham & Redbridge -1 1pt @ 13/5 with Betfred
Wrexham 1pt @ 6/4 with William Hill
Stockport -2 2pts @ 7/5 with Betfair

It has been a very profitable week with a money made last weekend and 3 out of the 4 bets winning in mid-week. Saturday I have 7 bets and a little unusually most of those are at Step 3.
Barnet v Stockport
After the first few games of the season I added Barnet to the list of ante-post bets as I thought they had looked promising early on. Ever since then they have been pretty poor and it sums the league up that despite that fact they are only 8 points of the top of the table. They have won just twice in their last 10 league games and they were against AFC Fylde and Chorley. The 3 draws in that spell weren't bad points, but if I was having an outright bet now it certainly wouldn't be them. It wouldn't be Stockport either, but after their horrid run of form where they lost 5 on the bounce, a run started with a 3-0 loss at Chorley, they have been in very good form on the whole. They have lost just one of their last 6 league games and are clearly back in decent form. They look over priced to me and I am happy to take a chance at 3/1.
Bradford Park Avenue v Leamington
I can't really work out why Bradford are the outsiders here because in my view the prices should be the other way round. With their former manager back in charge they look an improved side. They beat Hereford in his first game back and then I watched them in their 1-0 defeat to Gloucester where I saw enough to think they could well stay up. They then followed that up by conceding 7 without reply in defeats to Southport and Kettering, but they were much better again last week when they were 2-1 up with 7 minutes to go against Kings Lynn and ended up losing 3-2. Kings Lynn are a very good side though and Leamington are not and if they can take that performance into this I think they can pick up 3 points. Leamington have picked up just 1 point in their last 7 games and they have conceded a huge 22 goals in that spell. They even managed to concede 3 in the game they got their point in against Chester. Granted there isn't a great deal in it, but for me Bradford are looking the better side at the moment and with home advantage they certainly should not be over 2/1.
Brightlingsea Regent v Cray Wanderers (BetVictor Isthmian Premier League)
I don't get the price here either with Cray looking huge at 17/10. Cray have only lost 2 games in the league all season and they are unbeaten in their last 6. The two defeats were against Folkeston and Enfield so two of the best teams in the division. They go to a Brightlingsea side who have picked just 1 point in their last 8 games and that came against a poor Wingate & Finchley side. That was also the only game they didn't concede at least 2 goals in during the spell without a victory. Cray should be odds on for me and at 17/10 look the best bet of the weekend.
Cheshunt v Carshalton (BetVictor Isthmian Premier League)
3rd time in a week I am having a bet on a Carshalton game. In the end they had a bit too much for Frome in the FA Trophy on Tuesday night although it turned into a bit of a goalfest. They have drawn their last 5 league games, but they really ought to be able to beat a struggling Cheshunt side who have lost their last 6 league games conceding 19 in the process. League wise this is the easiest fixture they have had since before the run of draws and they really ought to get back to winning ways in the league.
East Thurrock United v Leatherhead (BetVictor Isthmian Premier League)
Granted Leatherhead have had a fairly kind fixture list of late in the league, but they did beat Hornchurch in the run of 5 victories. They look a much improved side and although East Thurrock are a good team and are doing well since their relegation, I think they are over priced at 16/5 to win this. My feeling is there isn't much between these two sides which is why the price is an attractive one from a value perspective.
Redditch v Hitchin (BetVictor Southern Premier Central)
Redditch have only won two league games this season with both coming over August Bank Holiday weekend. They have had a run of 8 league defeats on the bounce and Hitchin could well make it 9 on Saturday. Hitchin are only 5 points better off than their hosts, but they are in much better form. Bizarrely their only defeat in their last 6 league games was against Leiston, but they then went and defeated Coalville, the only team to have beaten them in their last 10 games. Redditch have only scored 3 goals in their last 8 games as well so there is every chance 1 will be all that is needed to give Hitchin the 3 points.
Nuneaton v Stratford (BetVictor Southern Premier Central) & Bognor Regis v Merstham (BetVictor Isthmian Premier League)
More than happy to carry on opposing Stratford as I have done twice of late including last Saturday. Nuneaton are looking pretty good at the moment and have won 6 of their 9 home league games, indeed it is away from home where they have struggled. They ought to win as should Bognor who host Merstham. Bognor looked hopeless earlier in the season, but they have now won 6 of their last 7 league games including a 6-1 hammering of Margate on Tuesday night. Merstham look a poor side this season and have lost 8 of their last 9 games including the last 6. It really should be a home win and to get over 2/1 about the both Nuneaton and Bognor winning looks a good price to me.
Stockport 1pt @ 61/20 with Marathon
Bradford Park Avenue 1pt @ 21/10 with William Hill and BetVictor
Cray Wanderers 3pts @ 17/10 with Bet365
Carshalton 2pts @ 13/10 with Bet365
Leatherhead 1pt @ 16/5 with Bet365
Hitchin 1pt @ 6/4 with Bet365
Nuneaton/Bognor Regis 2pts @ 2/1 with Marathon

Happy enough with the way things went on Saturday obviously frustrating the two bigger bets failed to land, but there were some big prices landed with the 4 teams that did win and it was just what was needed after a couple of tough sessions. Not that many games this week and I have just two bets that have caught my eye.
Blackfield & Langley v Weston-Super-Mare
My main ante-post bets for the BetVictor Southern Premier South were Weston and they have made a solid start to the season where they have maybe drawn more than ideal. They showed their class on Saturday though as they hammered Dorchester 6-0. I fancy them to follow that victory up with a win here as they face a Blackfield who are struggling at the moment. They have lost their last 4 games and their 4 wins in the league this season have mainly come against the weaker sides in the league. Hopefully Weston make their class count and they can win at 63/50 with Marathon.
Merstham v Cray Wanderers
The home side are not having a good season and look like they are going to find themselves in a relegation battle this season. I opposed them a couple of weeks ago against Worthing and the same comments apply here. They lost that match 3-1 and then on Saturday they lost 4-1 to Leatherhead and by the sounds of it could have been much worse for them as Leatherhead missed some really good chances and a penalty. Cray look a big price at 7/4 with Bet365. They are doing well after winning promotion last season and the 5-3 defeat against Enfield on Saturday is their only defeat in their last 8 games. They were 5-1 down at one stage, but they kept going to make the scoreline a bit more respectable which is something that is good to see. The one slight concern is they have drawn 5 of their last 10 games, but this looks a good opportunity for them to pick up 3 points.
Weston-Super-Mare 1pt @ 63/50 with Marathon
Cray Wanderers 2pts @ 7/4 with Bet365

Superb day on Monday with only 5/6 winners at some decent prices as well. If only Spennymoor could have won we would have been looking at another hefty payout. Just to remind people that I always suggest they do singles, but I always cover the acca and the one below for 0.5pts every match day and the five fold on Monday has pretty much paid for a whole season of those bets. It has been a bit of a rollercoaster though this month so hopefully we can end August on a high on Saturday where I have 7 bets across 5 leagues.
Torquay v Hartlepool
Hartlepool were one of my ante-post bets for the league and I was beginning to think I had got them wrong, but they got a really good win on Monday when beating Wrexham 4-2. Torquay blew a 2 goal lead at Barnet on Monday and that came on the back of beating Aldershot on BT Sport on Saturday. Torquay did well enough and deserved the win, but I didn't think they had to work all that hard for it. I don't think there is a great deal between these two teams at the moment and the win on Monday should have given Hartlepool a nice confidence boost ahead of this. The 100/30 about an away win looks over priced for me.
Yeovil v Notts County
County continue to improve and although they didn't have to do much to beat Chorley on Monday they did score some very impressive goals. I think they can come out on top in this battle between the two relegated sides. I haven't really been taken by Yeovil so far and they lost their last 3 games after results wise a good start. They have only managed to beat Eastleigh and Ebbsfleet so far though and I think at the time they were two of the poorest teams in the division so it doesn't say much. I would have County as clear favourites and they are certainly looking stronger than they were earlier in the month.
Gloucester City v York City
York are already looking like they could be hard to beat in the National League North and they are unbeaten after 7 games. Away from home they are 3/3 and I think they can make it 4/4 at Evesham on Saturday. Gloucester had a good win last Saturday, but those efforts told when being well beaten by Brackley on Monday. As I have written in the past Gloucester's form at Evesham hasn't been great although they can make it hard for teams to break them down and they drew plenty in the final few months of the season as they tried to stay at this level. I think York have more than enough to break them down though and I thought York would be odds on so odds against is well worth taking.
Hyde v Stafford
It has been a good start to the season for Hyde as after losing to Basford on the opening day of the season they have won their other 3 games including beating South Shields last Saturday. That is clearly strong form and they host a Stafford side who have only picked up 1 point from their first 3 games so Hyde look a decent bet to make it 4 wins on the bounce.
Bognor v Carshalton
Take Bognor's 5-0 win over Worthing out and they have had a shocking start to the season and they lost 3-0 to Worthing last Saturday and they had lost their previous game 6-0! Carshalton lost their first two games, but they have won their next 3 games and should be capable of mounting a play-off challenge this season whereas Bognor might just struggle to get involved. It doesn't really make much sense why the away side are 100/30 and the prices should be much closer together.
Hednesford v Needham Market
The home side are looking like they will be title contenders this season and have won 4 of their first 5 games with the only defeat coming against unbeaten Coalville. On Monday they beat title favourites Tamworth and I think they should have too much in hand over a Needham Market side who have only managed to beat bottom side Leiston so far this term.
St Ives v Coalville
Speaking of Coalville they travel to St Ives side who have only managed to pick up one point on the opening day of the season. As mentioned above Coalville are unbeaten so far and they came out on top in an 8 goal thriller against Nuneaton on Saturday. These two teams should be battling it out at opposite ends of the table come April and Coalville look a big price to pick up 3 more points.
Hartlepool 1pt @ 100/30 with Bet365
Notts County 2pts @ 6/4 with Marathon and Bet365
York 2.5pts @ 11/10 with BetVictor
Hyde 1pt @ 7/5 with BetVictor
Carshalton 1pt @ 100/30 with Marathon
Hednesford 2pts @ 26/25 with Marathon
Coalville 2pts @ 131/100 with Marathon

A really good day and great that I could take the knowledge from having watched Wealdstone on Tuesday to make money today. 3/3 winning naps and another big price winner today as well. No rest for the players and no rest for the tipsters at this time of year so back again for the mid week action.

Cracking afternoon with Enfield and Harrogate both winning. The 100/1 dream continues with Billericay and Orient also into the next round. Boreham Wood have a replay after drawing.

Nuneaton v Kings Lynn
The home side are struggling in the National League North this season and given Kings Lynn are near the top of the Evo-Stik Southern Premier we could be looking at a possible upset here. The away side did lose their first game of the season on Tuesday, but I just wonder if they might have had one eye on this game given they have a strong chance of causing an upset. BetVictor are 3/1 about an away win.
Salisbury v Poole
I saw Salisbury in this round last year as Gloucester played them and we were very lucky to get through to the next round with a 2-1 victory. Salisbury played really well and deserved at least a replay and I think they have a good chance of actually going through to the next round this year. Poole have looked a shadow of the side they were last season and have lost 7 of their 11 games letting in 22 goals in the process. Salisbury scored 8 against Slimbridge last week and although this game will obviously be a fair bit tougher I think they have a real chance of causing an upset. Paddy Power go 11/5 about a home win and there is just enough in that price for me.
Southport v Bradford Park Avenue
Harrogate landed the gamble on Tuesday night in some style and I am surprised Southport have been put in at odds on here. As I also mentioned in mid-week BPA are in great form at the moment and they were another winner I put up on Monday night. At 12/5 with Paddy Power BPA look the best bet of the weekend.
Acca
I always like doing an acca at this stage of the competition as you often get mis matches and I think you have a higher than normal chance of landing one. I have 6 teams and the acca pays nearly 2.3/1 with BetVictor. The teams are Bath, Boston, Chelmsford, Dartford, Harrogate and on Sunday Billericay.
Kings Lynn 1pt @ 3/1 with BetVictor/Betfred
Salisbury 1pt @ 11/5 with Paddy Power
Bradford Park Avenue 2pts @ 12/5 with Paddy Power
Bath, Boston, Chelmsford, Dartford, Harrogate and Billericay 1pt acca with BetVictor

I am really surprised that Harrogate are not favourites at Southport. The home side seem to have come off the rails in their last 2 games against Stockport and Kidderminster. After their 6-0 thumping of Southport, Stockport returned to type losing away from home on Saturday. After two tepid home draws Kidderminster, without 4 first team regulars then proceed actually to score 3 goals in a game and keep a clean sheet. Says how poor Southport were, since conceding 9 goals without reply to the likes of Kidderminster and Stockport is hardly a ringing endorsement.
Harrogate had a couple of disappointing results against high flyers Brackley and Salford but showed they are still in pretty fair form with a 5-1 drubbing of Telford on Saturday. Harrogate seem to be meeting Southport at just the right time and 15/8 looks a massive price (totesport/Betfred) to me. I also feel 9/2 on the handicap (-1 Harrogate) is good value (Coral, Stan James, Ladbrokes).

Just the one bet from me Macclesfield at 2/1 to beat Eastleigh. See no reason not to carry on opposing the home side.

Yeah amazing performance from Sutton and even with 10 men on the pitch they might have nicked it. Shame as all the other tips won to keep the profits rolling in. 

Maidstone v Aldershot
I think Maidstone are going to find it very hard to stay in the division and for the first time they have now dropped into the relegation zone. They have only picked up 2 wins in their last 10 league games with only 1 draw to go with it. They were poor again last Saturday when losing 2-0 to Solihull and they just haven't been making their 3g pitch count in the same way Sutton have. Granted Aldershot's away form is slightly worrying as they have only won 3 times, drawn 6 and lost 6, but this is just the sort of game they need to be winning if they are going to break into the top 5. They drew with an improved York side last weekend and on paper this game looks easier. I think there is just enough in the price (5/4 various) to want to get involved.
 
Nuneaton v York
Speaking of York they look worth a bet in the FA Trophy this weekend. Although staying up is obviously the priority, they might also take in a Wembley trip for a competition they won in 2012. As I mentioned above they have a new look side that looks pretty strong now and after beating Barrow they deserved to beat Aldershot last Saturday. If they carry on with those performances here then they should win this. Nuneaton did us a nice turn in the previous round when thumping Guiseley, but since then they have suffered two 4-0 defeats and it seems the honeymoon is over for Tommy Wright. Marathon go 33/20 about an away win and that is worth taking.
 
Sutton v Boreham Wood
I thought Sutton were superb against Leeds on Sunday and full deserved to win the match. It was also great to see them get such a big tie, but they have no chance of reaching Wembley in the FA Cup whereas they could easily reach the final of the FA Trophy. I have often written about their superb home form this season and the victory over Leeds backed that up. Here they host a Boreham Wood side who have not been performing well on the road. Their only win in their last 7 away games came at a struggling Torquay and a draw at Eastleigh was their only other point. I think that Leeds win will have a positive effect and I fancy them to win this. Marathon go 6/5 about a home win.
 
Treble
I wanted to oppose Whitehawk again this weekend. They may have got a new manager, but he will have his work cut out to sort out a side so low on confidence especially as they go to bang in form Dartford. Dartford are 3rd in the table and have won four of their last five games. There is probably scope for saying the price they are is value, but at just over 1/2 I would rather put them in a treble. Needless to say top of the table Blyth should be beating Ilkeston and so they go into the treble. The final team are Merthyr Town who are unbeaten in their last 9 matches, winning 7 of them. They go to a Dorchester side who have looked pretty poor for most of the season. The treble pays 2.4/1 with Marathon.

Hope plenty of you managed to get on Bromley. Yes a shade of odds on, but a cracking price at the end of the day. Boreham Wood also won so hopefully Salford can complete a decent session tomorrow.

Just sticking up the tips for now will add reasoning if I get chance. Gosport (Naps can't work out why they are such a big price against a struggling Basingstoke) Harrogate (started the season strongly for a change and BPA not looked great so far Eastleigh/Bath double (Torquay were really bad on Saturday and 6/6 Bath go to 5/5 loses Weston) Gainsborough (in good form and go to an Alfreton team who still can't win) Lincoln (still think Gateshead are over achieveing) Boreham Wood (look over priced given how they have performed in the league so far)

Really fancy two teams strongly tonight. Lincoln have made some decent signings and looked to have gelled pretty well. They drew with Cheltenham on the opening day, won at Braintree and then got a good point at Eastleigh on Saturday. I think Macclesfield will struggle this season and although they won on Saturday it was only against a Welling side who have shown little so far and were especially poor on Saturday. Lincoln at 6/5 with Bet 365 look a solid bet. The other one is Oxford City at what looks a massive 6/4 with Bet 365. Oxford are unbeaten so far this season and were so impressive against St Albans that their manager said they were the best team he had ever seen at this level. Bold words, but they went to Maidstone and beat them on the 3G surface which not many teams will do this season and they could easily be in and around the play-offs this season. Basingstoke on the other hand have shown little this season and it was only a superb solo effort in the 84th minute which gave them a point against Bishop's Stortford on Saturday. They may have finished 3rd last season, but they were punching above their weight and they look a mid-table side this. Three more bets I have had are Tamworth to beat AFC Telford. Tamworth defended really well against FCUM at the weekend and back at home I think they can beat a Telford side who have yet to score a goal this season and are struggling at the moment. Speaking of FCUM I think they look a big price at 3/1 against Chorley. FCUM are slowly getting used to the division and even though Chorley got a point at the weekend I still think they are struggling a bit at the moment. I certainly don't think there is as big a difference between these two sides as the betting suggests. The final bet is a treble at 2.64/1 with Skybet. Eastleigh really should be beating Welling and Tranmere should have little trouble beating a Halifax side who are along way away from the team they have been the last two season. Finally it will be a massive shock if Ebbsfleet can't beat Weston-Super-Mare who have conceded four goals in all their games so far.