Darran Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 It has been a very profitable week with a money made last weekend and 3 out of the 4 bets winning in mid-week. Saturday I have 7 bets and a little unusually most of those are at Step 3. Barnet v Stockport After the first few games of the season I added Barnet to the list of ante-post bets as I thought they had looked promising early on. Ever since then they have been pretty poor and it sums the league up that despite that fact they are only 8 points of the top of the table. They have won just twice in their last 10 league games and they were against AFC Fylde and Chorley. The 3 draws in that spell weren't bad points, but if I was having an outright bet now it certainly wouldn't be them. It wouldn't be Stockport either, but after their horrid run of form where they lost 5 on the bounce, a run started with a 3-0 loss at Chorley, they have been in very good form on the whole. They have lost just one of their last 6 league games and are clearly back in decent form. They look over priced to me and I am happy to take a chance at 3/1. Bradford Park Avenue v Leamington I can't really work out why Bradford are the outsiders here because in my view the prices should be the other way round. With their former manager back in charge they look an improved side. They beat Hereford in his first game back and then I watched them in their 1-0 defeat to Gloucester where I saw enough to think they could well stay up. They then followed that up by conceding 7 without reply in defeats to Southport and Kettering, but they were much better again last week when they were 2-1 up with 7 minutes to go against Kings Lynn and ended up losing 3-2. Kings Lynn are a very good side though and Leamington are not and if they can take that performance into this I think they can pick up 3 points. Leamington have picked up just 1 point in their last 7 games and they have conceded a huge 22 goals in that spell. They even managed to concede 3 in the game they got their point in against Chester. Granted there isn't a great deal in it, but for me Bradford are looking the better side at the moment and with home advantage they certainly should not be over 2/1. Brightlingsea Regent v Cray Wanderers (BetVictor Isthmian Premier League) I don't get the price here either with Cray looking huge at 17/10. Cray have only lost 2 games in the league all season and they are unbeaten in their last 6. The two defeats were against Folkeston and Enfield so two of the best teams in the division. They go to a Brightlingsea side who have picked just 1 point in their last 8 games and that came against a poor Wingate & Finchley side. That was also the only game they didn't concede at least 2 goals in during the spell without a victory. Cray should be odds on for me and at 17/10 look the best bet of the weekend. Cheshunt v Carshalton (BetVictor Isthmian Premier League) 3rd time in a week I am having a bet on a Carshalton game. In the end they had a bit too much for Frome in the FA Trophy on Tuesday night although it turned into a bit of a goalfest. They have drawn their last 5 league games, but they really ought to be able to beat a struggling Cheshunt side who have lost their last 6 league games conceding 19 in the process. League wise this is the easiest fixture they have had since before the run of draws and they really ought to get back to winning ways in the league. East Thurrock United v Leatherhead (BetVictor Isthmian Premier League) Granted Leatherhead have had a fairly kind fixture list of late in the league, but they did beat Hornchurch in the run of 5 victories. They look a much improved side and although East Thurrock are a good team and are doing well since their relegation, I think they are over priced at 16/5 to win this. My feeling is there isn't much between these two sides which is why the price is an attractive one from a value perspective. Redditch v Hitchin (BetVictor Southern Premier Central) Redditch have only won two league games this season with both coming over August Bank Holiday weekend. They have had a run of 8 league defeats on the bounce and Hitchin could well make it 9 on Saturday. Hitchin are only 5 points better off than their hosts, but they are in much better form. Bizarrely their only defeat in their last 6 league games was against Leiston, but they then went and defeated Coalville, the only team to have beaten them in their last 10 games. Redditch have only scored 3 goals in their last 8 games as well so there is every chance 1 will be all that is needed to give Hitchin the 3 points. Nuneaton v Stratford (BetVictor Southern Premier Central) & Bognor Regis v Merstham (BetVictor Isthmian Premier League) More than happy to carry on opposing Stratford as I have done twice of late including last Saturday. Nuneaton are looking pretty good at the moment and have won 6 of their 9 home league games, indeed it is away from home where they have struggled. They ought to win as should Bognor who host Merstham. Bognor looked hopeless earlier in the season, but they have now won 6 of their last 7 league games including a 6-1 hammering of Margate on Tuesday night. Merstham look a poor side this season and have lost 8 of their last 9 games including the last 6. It really should be a home win and to get over 2/1 about the both Nuneaton and Bognor winning looks a good price to me. Stockport 1pt @ 61/20 with Marathon Bradford Park Avenue 1pt @ 21/10 with William Hill and BetVictor Cray Wanderers 3pts @ 17/10 with Bet365 Carshalton 2pts @ 13/10 with Bet365 Leatherhead 1pt @ 16/5 with Bet365 Hitchin 1pt @ 6/4 with Bet365 Nuneaton/Bognor Regis 2pts @ 2/1 with Marathon vikki37, Neubs, blueboy199 and 16 others 12 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Theadder Posted November 14, 2019 Share Posted November 14, 2019 On it Darran gd luck hope it carries on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AussieDex Posted November 15, 2019 Share Posted November 15, 2019 Darran is the man. Got a few coins myself thanks to him Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suder Posted November 16, 2019 Share Posted November 16, 2019 Incredible job, Darran! A deep bow to your hard and profitable job! Marek76 and Darran 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
therev Posted November 16, 2019 Share Posted November 16, 2019 (edited) Absolutely outstanding Darran. You are on fire. Many thanks! Edited November 16, 2019 by therev Darran and Bedlam 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
freddie01 Posted November 16, 2019 Share Posted November 16, 2019 What a run you're on Darren. Thanks for your hard work. Brilliant tipping. Darran and Bedlam 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marek76 Posted November 19, 2019 Share Posted November 19, 2019 (edited) Speaking of Nuneaton vs Stratford, that must have been the highlight of the game https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=146E60ZTLGY Edited November 19, 2019 by Marek76 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darran Posted November 19, 2019 Author Share Posted November 19, 2019 9 hours ago, Marek76 said: Speaking of Nuneaton vs Stratford, that must have been the highlight of the game https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=146E60ZTLGY Wouldn’t have been the highlight if they hadn’t gone on to score two! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yossa6133 Posted November 19, 2019 Share Posted November 19, 2019 It's a low light now anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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