opole

Great result price even drifted out a little further to @2.5 , clearly the superior resume of past fights. 
Look forward to see more of your tips in future 

Martin Bakole vs. Michael Hunter
=> Michael Hunter ML @ 2.35 The Greek Stake: 5/10
Hunter was a very successful amateur. Between 2006 and 2012 he won numerous national and international titles. Won the 2006 bronze medal in Morocco at the U19 WC, won the national championship in the US in 2007 and 2009 and he also won the National Golden Gloves in 2011 (Deontay Wilder four years earlier). In addition he is a former Olympian and competed at the 2012 London Olympics. There he had to fight in the first round vs. Artur Beterbiev and lost a razor close decision 10-10+. On Wikipedia you will read Hunter ost by KO, which is however a mistake and not correct. Beterbiev then went out against Usyk in round two. So Hunter had a long and good amateur career, then he turned professional in March 2013 and was very, very active with 12 fights in the first three years of his pro career. This has changed a bit in the last two and a half years. Since his first good win over Isiah Thomas in May 2016 he has only fought three times. 2017 against Usyk and this year against the solid journeyman Terrell Jamal Woods and former cruiserweight Iago Kiladze. Woods is very solid despite of his poor fight record, he was a good test for many top prospects because he has a good chin and is very experienced. Kiladze, of course, is always a good win although he is slowing down and his chin is troubling him too as he got knocked out cold three times in a row now but still vs. very solid opponent (Kownacki, Hunter, Joyce). If you compare the three guys in terms of how they managed to beat Kiladze i think you can see that the level of Hunter is quite solid as Kownacki and Joyce are both currently top 15/20 HWs. 
I saw the fight against Kiladze and that was a very, very strong performance from Hunter. I've rewatched at the fight against Usyk too. Hunter lost in April 2017 by decision. The fight was really close. Hunter was 5-4 rounds up for me after nine rounds but Usyk was very, very strong in the last three rounds and really did a great job and Hunter had to take some heavy flush shots and was ruled down once in the 12th round, a TKO was close to happen but Hunter did a great job and survived the round. Good sign, I think he has not just given up, his chin seems to be very solid one and the will was enormous. Had Usyk up 115-112 in the end because of the knockdown, but overall, if you let the last three rounds out of your picture this was a super tight fight and if Hunter wouldn't have gassed out badly he might even beat Usyk on my card. Here you can see the biggest strength of Hunter. Hunter is just a super strong and intelligent boxer who moves very well and can keep up with the elite like Usyk by his speed and ring iq. 
The fight against Bakole here is of course a different matchup because first Hunter is fighting here against a current heavyweight and on the other side Ilunga has massive power. 11 wins, 8 by KO. Ilunga is considered a top prospect, but I do not really know what to think of it. His balance sheet is padded because his opponents were first-rate glass cannons most of the time. After 11 fights he has fought opponents who together have a fight record of 90 (W) -160 (L) -18 (D). Obviously his wins are looking solid as the cross-comparions with prospects like Tony Yoka, Nathan Gorman or Daniel Dubois are looking really good but still he has only fought some bums. This is without a question a big step up for Bakole and we have to see how he deals with such a good and smart boxer like Hunter. I would say it like that: If Bakole is for real then it's a pick em fight 50/50, but if Bakole isn't for real and we do not know it right now then Hunter should be seen as the clear favorite with odds around @ 1.5.

A. Qureshi/J. Rojer vs D. Ferrer/M. Lopez @3.34 Pinnacle stake: 4/10
Ferrer only played one doubles match in 2018 but he won vs Kubot/Melo partnering Bautista Agut so we can see he is experienced enough to play on a high level. I wasn't impressed by Qureshi/Rojer recently.
A. Bolt/L. Hewitt vs R. Klaasen/M. Venus @2.95 Pinnacle stake: 4/10
They met a couple of weeks ago in s'Hertogenbosch and Klaasen/Venus won 75 75 but it was a weak level match and i am wasn't impressed by both teams. I think it's far more equal than bookies suggest. We should not forget that Wimbledon doubles will be played best of five sets so winning three sets is a lot.

Philipp Kohlschreiber vs Gilles Muller @2.80 Pinnacle stake: 4/10
I doubt there is any big favorite in that kind of matchup. Kohli looked better vs Donskoy than recently in Halle and Stuttgart BUT Donskoy was awful most of the time. No kind of match i would take too seriously into account for the following rounds. Muller had some problems with Mmoh but we all know Muller is having some issues in the early rounds and Mmoh was playing his heart out. Nevertheless his serve was working well. I do not trust Kohli here, especially in a Best of Five match. Have to take Muller at those odds without a doubt.
Sam Querrey vs Sergiy Stakhovsky over 37 games @1.90 Pinnacle stake: 4/10
Expect a tougher match for Querrey here than vs out of form Thompson. Stakhovsky can be a beast on grass, beat Federer a couple of years ago in Wimbledon and he looked great so far on grass in 2018. I think if this goes to four sets it will be a W and the odds for over 3.5 sets are ~1.75.

Clarke 64 36 67 63 46 WON
Ebden 64 63 64 WON
Benneteau 75 WON
Basic 36 26 16 LOST
Duckworth 57 26 06 LOST
Istomin 67 67 76 36 LOST
Sela 36 36 26 LOST
 
Sela, Basic and Duckworth without a chance. Istomin lost the tight match i expected, even had some set points in one of those. Very, very bad luck there but Kyrgios was too good in the fourth set. Ebden was really good, same for Clarke and Benneteau had some minor problems to serve it out but overall looked pretty decent.

Ernests Gulbis vs Jay Clarke +2.5 sets @1.813 Pinnacle stake: 4/10
I don't rate Clarke that high tbh, he looks like a decent prospect but he lacks a real weapon in his game to trouble better opponents. Still this is a pick against Gulbis who is simply one of the biggest error machines in mens tennis. I can't trust him 1% here. He should win this, no question but i doubt he is able to win a Best of Five match without dropping his level in one or two sets from time to time.
Matthew Ebden vs David Goffin @2.870 Pinnacle stake: 5/10
I really rate Ebden high on grass, he is a talented player but struggled a lot with injuries in the past but he is definitely in superb shape in 2018, i think he is playing the best tennis for his career right now. He looked great in Halle where i watched him live from 15metres distance, he was really pumped and confident, going for his shots and painting the lines. Goffin on the other side was never a real contender on grass although he improved a bit it's not his favorite surface for sure because he lacks a real game plan on grass as he is playing like it's clay or hardcourt.
Julien Benneteau vs Marton Fucsovics first set @1.84 188bet stake: 3/10
Benneteau and grass always a pleasure to watch. Fucsovics on the other side had a real tough shock moment in Halle vs Kohlschreiber where he slipped and dropped down. He had a medical timeout and his leg was taped but he had to retire. I doubt he will be in perfect condition tomorrow, Benneteau will play his heart out for sure, could be his last approach in Wimbledon. I take the first set here, money line at a 1 set bookmaker also a good option.
Diego Schwartzman vs Mirza Basic @2.61 Pinnacle stake: 3/10
Schwartzman NEVER won a match on grass and i can't see the reason why he is such a massive favorite vs a solid grass court player like Basic. Basic improved a lot last year and also this year, he is a Top 80 player now and played some really decent stuff recently. Schwartzman lost to Lacko in Eastbourne, Lacko is a poor mans Basic imo but a bit more consistent. If Basic reduces the errors he should win this. 
James Duckworth vs Alexander Zverev @15.91 Pinnacle stake: 1/10
Call me crazy but i think Duckworth will be a hell of an opponent for a first round. Duckworth is such a talented player but he struggled with injuries the last two or three years so he wasn't able to play consistent on a high level. It's a shame because i rate him as a solid Top 50 player. He looked great vs Cilic in Paris although he had no big match practice so i see no reason why he should not have a decent shot vs a very shaky Zverev who looked poor in Halle and also has some issues at bigger tournaments, his grand slam record is a mess for a Top 3 player.
Nick Kyrgios vs Denis Istomin @6.34 Pinnacle stake: 5/10
No idea what the clue is but the odds looking absolutely unreal. Istomin is a really dangerous player on grass everyone knows that, he lacks consistency but if he has a decent day he can beat them all. Kyrgios only played two tournaments recently, he looked absolutely solid there but still he played a lot of close matches there with a lot of tiebreaks and i expect the same thing here and maybe Istomin will have the upper hand here. On the other side we all have no idea if Kyrgios body is ready for four or five sets. I was tempted by Istomin here from the first second.
Dudi Sela vs Rafael Nadal +2.5 sets @3.56 Pinnacle stake: 4/10 / @20.50 Pinnacle stake: 1/10
Sela is a capable grass court player. I have only two problems here: 1. he is in poor shape and 2. he lacks a good serve. BUT i think he will be a tougher task than most think. Nadal looked poor in Hurlingham, i really think he is not at 100% right now, he put a lot into the claycourt season and grass was always problematic in the last years. I think Nadal will lose early here like he did last year. 

Ernests Gulbis vs Jay Clarke +2.5 sets @1.813 Pinnacle stake: 4/10
I don't rate Clarke that high tbh, he looks like a decent prospect but he lacks a real weapon in his game to trouble better opponents. Still this is a pick against Gulbis who is simply one of the biggest error machines in mens tennis. I can't trust him 1% here. He should win this, no question but i doubt he is able to win a Best of Five match without dropping his level in one or two sets from time to time.
Matthew Ebden vs David Goffin @2.870 Pinnacle stake: 5/10
I really rate Ebden high on grass, he is a talented player but struggled a lot with injuries in the past but he is definitely in superb shape in 2018, i think he is playing the best tennis for his career right now. He looked great in Halle where i watched him live from 15metres distance, he was really pumped and confident, going for his shots and painting the lines. Goffin on the other side was never a real contender on grass although he improved a bit it's not his favorite surface for sure because he lacks a real game plan on grass as he is playing like it's clay or hardcourt.
Julien Benneteau vs Marton Fucsovics first set @1.84 188bet stake: 3/10
Benneteau and grass always a pleasure to watch. Fucsovics on the other side had a real tough shock moment in Halle vs Kohlschreiber where he slipped and dropped down. He had a medical timeout and his leg was taped but he had to retire. I doubt he will be in perfect condition tomorrow, Benneteau will play his heart out for sure, could be his last approach in Wimbledon. I take the first set here, money line at a 1 set bookmaker also a good option.
Diego Schwartzman vs Mirza Basic @2.61 Pinnacle stake: 3/10
Schwartzman NEVER won a match on grass and i can't see the reason why he is such a massive favorite vs a solid grass court player like Basic. Basic improved a lot last year and also this year, he is a Top 80 player now and played some really decent stuff recently. Schwartzman lost to Lacko in Eastbourne, Lacko is a poor mans Basic imo but a bit more consistent. If Basic reduces the errors he should win this. 
James Duckworth vs Alexander Zverev @15.91 Pinnacle stake: 1/10
Call me crazy but i think Duckworth will be a hell of an opponent for a first round. Duckworth is such a talented player but he struggled with injuries the last two or three years so he wasn't able to play consistent on a high level. It's a shame because i rate him as a solid Top 50 player. He looked great vs Cilic in Paris although he had no big match practice so i see no reason why he should not have a decent shot vs a very shaky Zverev who looked poor in Halle and also has some issues at bigger tournaments, his grand slam record is a mess for a Top 3 player.
Nick Kyrgios vs Denis Istomin @6.34 Pinnacle stake: 5/10
No idea what the clue is but the odds looking absolutely unreal. Istomin is a really dangerous player on grass everyone knows that, he lacks consistency but if he has a decent day he can beat them all. Kyrgios only played two tournaments recently, he looked absolutely solid there but still he played a lot of close matches there with a lot of tiebreaks and i expect the same thing here and maybe Istomin will have the upper hand here. On the other side we all have no idea if Kyrgios body is ready for four or five sets. I was tempted by Istomin here from the first second.
Dudi Sela vs Rafael Nadal +2.5 sets @3.56 Pinnacle stake: 4/10 / @20.50 Pinnacle stake: 1/10
Sela is a capable grass court player. I have only two problems here: 1. he is in poor shape and 2. he lacks a good serve. BUT i think he will be a tougher task than most think. Nadal looked poor in Hurlingham, i really think he is not at 100% right now, he put a lot into the claycourt season and grass was always problematic in the last years. I think Nadal will lose early here like he did last year. 

Yeah, i was about to post my picks for tomorrow, will take some minutes because i have taken a lot so far. Probably too much for a first round GS but my feeling is solid for all of my picks.

Krajinovic missed the whole clay season due to a leg injury and he wasn't able to practice on grass till a couple of days ago. He started playing slight points about two weeks ago on hardcourt because he didn't want to play on grass directly after the injury because of the movement. I can't see him being ready for a Best of 5 match tbh.
I can't understand how sb. is writing that he would be "quite shocked" if Krajinovic loses this. 
Jarry is the clear favorite and should take it, he has the right game for grass with his height and power, his serve is a massive weapon. Krajinovic form is more than questionable including his fitness.

Medvedev 76 62 62 WON
27 games LOSS
Donskoy 26 46 57 LOSS 
Karlovic 46 75 76 63 WON
So we have 2x win 2x loss here but Donskoy should really have won the third set, he was 4-1 up there and looked really good but then collapsed like the mental midget he is. Disgusting. Still a solid plus thanks to Medvedev.

Medvedev 76 62 62 WON
27 games LOSS
Donskoy 26 46 57 LOSS 
Karlovic 46 75 76 63 WON
So we have 2x win 2x loss here but Donskoy should really have won the third set, he was 4-1 up there and looked really good but then collapsed like the mental midget he is. Disgusting. Still a solid plus thanks to Medvedev.

Medvedev 76 62 62 WON
27 games LOSS
Donskoy 26 46 57 LOSS 
Karlovic 46 75 76 63 WON
So we have 2x win 2x loss here but Donskoy should really have won the third set, he was 4-1 up there and looked really good but then collapsed like the mental midget he is. Disgusting. Still a solid plus thanks to Medvedev.

Daniil Medvedev vs Borna Coric @3.66 Pinnacle stake: 4/10
Coric looked in great shape in Halle but it is still a Grand Slam and a first round, you never know and Coric isn't the guy i trust most in such a situation especially vs a very tough opponent who can fire bombs on fast surfaces. Medvedev was one of the biggest surprises on grass last year where he reached the qf. in Rosmalen and Queens + the sf. in Eastbourne, also reached the second round of Wimbledon beating Wawrinka in the first round. Medvedev is a hot & cold player who needs a good feeling and rythm on court, if he has it he can trouble almost anyone out there on faster surfaces. Coric is still a guy who is well known for folding in big tournaments & matches, his win vs Federer was no fluke obviously because he has the talent and the tools but losing his head and nerves too often. Medvedev is able to frustrate Coric and can win this.
Sam Querrey vs Jordan Thompson over 35.5 games @2.000 Pinnacle stake: 4/10
Thompson has all the abilities to hold it close i think. Querrey on the other side isn't well known for his ability to destroy his opponents. Last year he went life and death with Fabbiano for two sets, also lost a set to Basilashvili in the second round. Last year Thompson was able to win a set vs Querrey in Queens, they had 31 games in three sets and i really think we will see at least four sets today. 
 
 

Krajinovic missed the whole clay season due to a leg injury and he wasn't able to practice on grass till a couple of days ago. He started playing slight points about two weeks ago on hardcourt because he didn't want to play on grass directly after the injury because of the movement. I can't see him being ready for a Best of 5 match tbh.
I can't understand how sb. is writing that he would be "quite shocked" if Krajinovic loses this. 
Jarry is the clear favorite and should take it, he has the right game for grass with his height and power, his serve is a massive weapon. Krajinovic form is more than questionable including his fitness.

Philipp Kohlschreiber vs Evgeny Donskoy +2.5 sets 1.787 stake: 5/10
I don't know if Kohlschreiber is ready for a Best of Five. He looked very shaky recently. The second and third set vs Ebden in Halle (his favorite tournament) was one of the worst grass court matches i have ever seen from him. I doubt he will play three sets in a row on his highest level right now. Donskoy might not be the most trustable opponent here so i have to take the set handicap instead the money line but i think he should take at least one set here.
 
Ivo Karlovic vs Mikhail Youzhny 2.060 stake: 4/10
No idea if it's a good idea to back Karlovic with 50/50 odds on grass as his return game isn't anything special but i do not trust Youzhny 1% here, his level drops from time to time and this will be crucial vs a big serving opponent like Karlovic. I think he should have the edge here in the end. 
 
 
 
 

Daniil Medvedev vs Borna Coric @3.66 Pinnacle stake: 4/10
Coric looked in great shape in Halle but it is still a Grand Slam and a first round, you never know and Coric isn't the guy i trust most in such a situation especially vs a very tough opponent who can fire bombs on fast surfaces. Medvedev was one of the biggest surprises on grass last year where he reached the qf. in Rosmalen and Queens + the sf. in Eastbourne, also reached the second round of Wimbledon beating Wawrinka in the first round. Medvedev is a hot & cold player who needs a good feeling and rythm on court, if he has it he can trouble almost anyone out there on faster surfaces. Coric is still a guy who is well known for folding in big tournaments & matches, his win vs Federer was no fluke obviously because he has the talent and the tools but losing his head and nerves too often. Medvedev is able to frustrate Coric and can win this.
Sam Querrey vs Jordan Thompson over 35.5 games @2.000 Pinnacle stake: 4/10
Thompson has all the abilities to hold it close i think. Querrey on the other side isn't well known for his ability to destroy his opponents. Last year he went life and death with Fabbiano for two sets, also lost a set to Basilashvili in the second round. Last year Thompson was able to win a set vs Querrey in Queens, they had 31 games in three sets and i really think we will see at least four sets today. 
 
 

Daniil Medvedev vs Borna Coric @3.66 Pinnacle stake: 4/10
Coric looked in great shape in Halle but it is still a Grand Slam and a first round, you never know and Coric isn't the guy i trust most in such a situation especially vs a very tough opponent who can fire bombs on fast surfaces. Medvedev was one of the biggest surprises on grass last year where he reached the qf. in Rosmalen and Queens + the sf. in Eastbourne, also reached the second round of Wimbledon beating Wawrinka in the first round. Medvedev is a hot & cold player who needs a good feeling and rythm on court, if he has it he can trouble almost anyone out there on faster surfaces. Coric is still a guy who is well known for folding in big tournaments & matches, his win vs Federer was no fluke obviously because he has the talent and the tools but losing his head and nerves too often. Medvedev is able to frustrate Coric and can win this.
Sam Querrey vs Jordan Thompson over 35.5 games @2.000 Pinnacle stake: 4/10
Thompson has all the abilities to hold it close i think. Querrey on the other side isn't well known for his ability to destroy his opponents. Last year he went life and death with Fabbiano for two sets, also lost a set to Basilashvili in the second round. Last year Thompson was able to win a set vs Querrey in Queens, they had 31 games in three sets and i really think we will see at least four sets today. 
 
 

Philipp Kohlschreiber vs Evgeny Donskoy +2.5 sets 1.787 stake: 5/10
I don't know if Kohlschreiber is ready for a Best of Five. He looked very shaky recently. The second and third set vs Ebden in Halle (his favorite tournament) was one of the worst grass court matches i have ever seen from him. I doubt he will play three sets in a row on his highest level right now. Donskoy might not be the most trustable opponent here so i have to take the set handicap instead the money line but i think he should take at least one set here.
 
Ivo Karlovic vs Mikhail Youzhny 2.060 stake: 4/10
No idea if it's a good idea to back Karlovic with 50/50 odds on grass as his return game isn't anything special but i do not trust Youzhny 1% here, his level drops from time to time and this will be crucial vs a big serving opponent like Karlovic. I think he should have the edge here in the end. 
 
 
 
 

Philipp Kohlschreiber vs Evgeny Donskoy +2.5 sets 1.787 stake: 5/10
I don't know if Kohlschreiber is ready for a Best of Five. He looked very shaky recently. The second and third set vs Ebden in Halle (his favorite tournament) was one of the worst grass court matches i have ever seen from him. I doubt he will play three sets in a row on his highest level right now. Donskoy might not be the most trustable opponent here so i have to take the set handicap instead the money line but i think he should take at least one set here.
 
Ivo Karlovic vs Mikhail Youzhny 2.060 stake: 4/10
No idea if it's a good idea to back Karlovic with 50/50 odds on grass as his return game isn't anything special but i do not trust Youzhny 1% here, his level drops from time to time and this will be crucial vs a big serving opponent like Karlovic. I think he should have the edge here in the end.