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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

bobix

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Posts posted by bobix

  1. Found one more bet for the early morning which is a must take for me at these odds.

    Under 18.5 games between Kozlova vs Liu (WTA Hong Kong qualies) at 1.80 with Bet365

    Kozlova is in simply superb form at the moment, lost recently only to players who are - at least currently - superior to her level. On the other hand I must admit that Liu is a completely unknown player for me... However I'm looking at her recent results against "bigger" guns: lost to Putintseva 6-1 6-2, Jankovic 6-3 6-1. Albeit there are also some victories near her name, and a pretty close match with the hot prospect Hibino, Kozlova should smash her and burst into the main table tomorrow without any problems.

    They met two weeks ago, when Kozlova won 6-3 6-2, she should be well able to repeat this score, even a 6-3 6-3 result is good for us.

    6-2 6-2 :ok

  2. Found one more bet for the early morning which is a must take for me at these odds.

    Under 18.5 games between Kozlova vs Liu (WTA Hong Kong qualies) at 1.80 with Bet365

    Kozlova is in simply superb form at the moment, lost recently only to players who are - at least currently - superior to her level. On the other hand I must admit that Liu is a completely unknown player for me... However I'm looking at her recent results against "bigger" guns: lost to Putintseva 6-1 6-2, Jankovic 6-3 6-1. Albeit there are also some victories near her name, and a pretty close match with the hot prospect Hibino, Kozlova should smash her and burst into the main table tomorrow without any problems.

    They met two weeks ago, when Kozlova won 6-3 6-2, she should be well able to repeat this score, even a 6-3 6-3 result is good for us.

  3. Back Coric (+1.5 sets) to beat Dolgopolov + Krajicek (+1.5 sets) to beat Basilashvili at 1.86 with BetWay

    This is rather a safe bet, but I would easily go even for match winners with these guys. Dolgopolov seems to be in awful shape, Coric will certainly take at least one set from him. On the other match Basilashvili might be dangerous, but Krajicek is probably in the form of his life, should be well able to win a set, more than probably the match as well.

  4. I absolutely second both tips from Czech. But since he stole them, I need to post something else :) Sorry guys, I'm way too tired therefore not going to add much comment.

    Back Stan Wawrinka (-1.5 sets) to beat Gilles Muller at 2.25 with Pinnacle

    Wawrinka tends to play his best tennis in the final stages of the tournaments, and in all honesty I don't see how Muller could trouble him tomorrow.

    Back Benoit Paire (+1.5 sets) to beat Kei Nishikori at 2.20 with Pinnacle

    Paire looking pretty good this week, he should be well able to steal a set from the home guy. Maybe a smaller stake on first set winner at 3.75 with Ladbrokes also worth a shot.

    Over 2.5 sets on Gabrine Muguruza vs Agnieska Radwanska at 2.25 with Bet365

    I was looking at both women semis from Bejing and I think both will end in a 3 setter, but wanted to choose only one of them. Voted on this one, Aga Radwanska is finally showing her class again, while Muguruza is in great form as well. Neither of them will be able to win in straight sets in my opinion.

    GL!

    Perfect Saturday! Paire even beat Nishikori in the end, while both women semis in Beijing went to decisive set. For tomorrow:

    Fully agree once more with Czech on Djokovic, I'm expecting an easy 2-0 from the Serbian.

    Back Stan Wawrinka to beat Benoit Paire + Garbine Muguruza to beat Timea Bacsinszky (parlay) at 2.00 with 5Dimes

    Wawrinka should be too strong for Paire here. I really liked the RG winner performace this week, cannot see the frenchman grabbing more than one set tomorrow. Regarding the ladies, I was expecting Ivanovic to beat Bacsinszky 2-1, but was apparently wrong. Anyway, well done, Timi!! However Muguruza is a level above her at the moment, should win the final after the unlucky injury in Wuhan.

     

     

  5. I absolutely second both tips from Czech. But since he stole them, I need to post something else :) Sorry guys, I'm way too tired therefore not going to add much comment.

    Back Stan Wawrinka (-1.5 sets) to beat Gilles Muller at 2.25 with Pinnacle

    Wawrinka tends to play his best tennis in the final stages of the tournaments, and in all honesty I don't see how Muller could trouble him tomorrow.

    Back Benoit Paire (+1.5 sets) to beat Kei Nishikori at 2.20 with Pinnacle

    Paire looking pretty good this week, he should be well able to steal a set from the home guy. Maybe a smaller stake on first set winner at 3.75 with Ladbrokes also worth a shot.

    Over 2.5 sets on Gabrine Muguruza vs Agnieska Radwanska at 2.25 with Bet365

    I was looking at both women semis from Bejing and I think both will end in a 3 setter, but wanted to choose only one of them. Voted on this one, Aga Radwanska is finally showing her class again, while Muguruza is in great form as well. Neither of them will be able to win in straight sets in my opinion.

    GL!

  6. Back Yen-Hsun Lu (+1.5 sets) to beat David Ferrer @2.29 with TrioBet

    Back Yen-Hsun Lu to beat David Ferrer @4.95 with MarathonBet

    Ferrer finally seems to be in good form again, and after two easy matches in the Davis Cup he won the tournament in Malaysia. Continued well in Bejing, but he will next face Lu who always troubled him in their previous encounters and I do think this will happen again tomorrow. It seems that Lu simply knows how should be played against the "Pitbull" and this can be the key here. He's in apparently good shape, had absolutely no problems while sending home Mannarino and Troicki so the odds are very tempting both for the set handicap and match winner markets.

    Had his chances in the first set, did not take it :wall Completely missed tip anyway :(

  7. Back Jack Sock (+1.5 sets) to beat Rafael Nadal @1.68 with Pinnacle

    I admit, the odds are not huge, not even around evens. But Sock seems to be in decent form since the Davis Cup and he should be more than capable to take away at least one set from the former world #1, who already had some problems against Wu and Rosol. I know that the Spaniard's level raises from day to day, but this bet is something I must take.

    It was definitely Pospisil, not Rosol :D But at least a winning tip.

  8. Back Yen-Hsun Lu (+1.5 sets) to beat David Ferrer @2.29 with TrioBet

    Back Yen-Hsun Lu to beat David Ferrer @4.95 with MarathonBet

    Ferrer finally seems to be in good form again, and after two easy matches in the Davis Cup he won the tournament in Malaysia. Continued well in Bejing, but he will next face Lu who always troubled him in their previous encounters and I do think this will happen again tomorrow. It seems that Lu simply knows how should be played against the "Pitbull" and this can be the key here. He's in apparently good shape, had absolutely no problems while sending home Mannarino and Troicki so the odds are very tempting both for the set handicap and match winner markets.

  9. Back Jack Sock (+1.5 sets) to beat Rafael Nadal @1.68 with Pinnacle

    I admit, the odds are not huge, not even around evens. But Sock seems to be in decent form since the Davis Cup and he should be more than capable to take away at least one set from the former world #1, who already had some problems against Wu and Rosol. I know that the Spaniard's level raises from day to day, but this bet is something I must take.

  10. Back Timea Bacsinszky to beat Sara Errani @1.92 with MarathonBet

    I've opposed Errani in the first round, but she surprized me with eliminating Kvitova. Not for this reason, but I backed her against Garcia, as I had a very strong feeling the French girl will not be able to beat the former RG finalist two times in a row. Another - let's say expected - 3 setter followed, against Petkovic, and next she faces the Swiss-Hungarian Bacsinszky who did not show much since Wimbledon. However this time I'm going to back the former lady to continue the pattern :) as I do feel she has the power to hit Errani off the court. In my eyes Timea is very good at receiving, moreover Errani is usually ultra-vulnerable behind her serve. It might become another 3 setter, but I do think this will be the end of Errani's story in Bejing this year.

  11. Back Pablo Cuevas to beat Tomas Berdych for a 4/10 stake at 8.00 with BetVictor

    Back Rafael Nadal (-4) to beat Vasek Pospisil for a 7/10 stake at 1.75 with Betway

    Massive odds for Cuevas tomorrow, can't ignore that. Berdych might be tired, with questionable motivation, and Cuevas isn't a pure clay-courter by any means. 8.00 is just too much, seriously. Meanwhile, I also fancy Nadal to get the job done rather easily tomorrow. Pospisil not playing too well at the moment and he won't be able to play as freely as Di Wu I presume.

    Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/atp-beijing-betting-shenzhen-finalists-set-to-play-on-wednesday

    What a catch on Cuevas! Well done, mate! Glad you're back at PL ;)

  12. What do you think about Querrey convering a set or a +4 game handicap against Nishikori? The match winner odds does not look fair to me. Both handicaps were covered every time except once during their previous 6 encounters. Nishikori started quite slow agaist Coric, maybe we can see something similar tomorrow as well?

  13. Absolute donkey of a performance by Denis Istomin. Can't seriously be losing to someone ranked 150 places below him, that's embarrassing.

     

    I've lost a whole load of money on that and I'm fairly frustrated because I don't feel the bet was unreasonable at all. 

    Don't get me wrong for contradicting you, but I often "fear" betting on favorites in these Asian tourneys. I tend to go for the underdogs, like I did for Bai (vs Pouille) and Zhang (vs Berankis) a few days ago. Moreover, Istomin is one of the most unpredictable folks out there, at least for me.

  14. Re: World Championship - 18 Apr - 4 May Hi folks, I was betting on this year WC since the qualies and made decent profit, but I never posted my tips over here (maybe because superstitions..). Now I changed my mind and post a few tips, hopefully it won't turn my luck around :) Back John Higgins to beat Ding Junhui at 2.50 with Coral Ding does not have a good record at the Crucible and I was backing Davis against him with frame handicap in the first round. I would not even have been surprised to see the Chinese eliminated, as Davis could be a tricky opponent. Now he faces John "match-fixing" Higgins, and I do think the Scottish will go through from this encounter. If somebody, then he really knows how to succeed at this stage, and he will profit from every mistake Ding makes. The latter will have to put his really best on the table in order to beat Higgins. Back Graeme Dott to beat Stuart Bingham at 2.38 with Coral Almost all the top players admitted already that's very difficult to play against Graeme. He plays almost perfect snooker tactically, is mentally strong and even able to produce winning breaks from a single visit at the table. He puts you under real pressure and this is something Bingham won't like in a 25 frame encounter. Let's also admit that Stuart has an awful record at the crucible, being able to pass the 2nd round only once in his whole career (I was shocked to see him loosing against Doherty last year, practically having no chance in that match). Barry Hawkins might also worth a shot, but only because of the odds. I have a feeling that Allen will reach the semis this year... GL!

  15. Re: Coppa Italia > April 7th & 8th

    Fiorentina – Juventus – Draw at 3.55 @ Marathonbet In the 1st leg of this Coppa Italia semifinal tie, Salah bagged both goals in a 2-1 victory at Juventus Stadium. Confidence will be soaring in the Fiorentina camp here, as they have gone unbeaten in 18 of their last 19 matches in all competitions. They have managed to avoid defeat in their last 10 competitive fixtures at the Stadio Artemio Franchi, and we fancy their ability to frustrate the favored visitors this midweek. Juventus have failed to hoist the Coppa Italia trophy since the 1994-1995 season, and Tuesday very well could see that drought extended. While the Old Lady certainly has the best team in Italy, they come up against a side that has gone unbeaten in 18 of their last 19 competitive fixtures. Furthermore, the visitors have some worrying absences with the likes of Paul Pogba, Claudio Marchisio, and Andrea Pirlo all set to miss out through injury.
    Official: Tévez will skip the match as well due to muscular injury. Marchisio might be available, but it is not yet confirmed if he'll play or not.
  16. Re: Shambata 2015

    Hello Guys! I have finished updating my stats for this week! A very decent week even with 2 losses yesterday! I have passed the 500+ units since end of september 2014! I have been loyal to 3 forums, even though most of the time the action changed to twitter, since its more real time! But I won't turn my back on Punterslounge and the 2 other forums and continue to post here as well (and try to have some analyis as well, but sometimes there is just no time). I hereby thank you for all your supports, thanks, comments. It means you are all part of this! You can download my stats from here: https://app.box.com/s/pcza69zp54bv5d71u0jxwfghwc6pa7tk Monthly Record 2015 February +94,25 u March +58,35 u With a recommended 10-15eur/u bets, that is a total 1526-2289eur in profit only these 2 months. There will be more and more ITF tournaments and more and more matches which will prove more values to us for sure. From April - October the number of tournaments per week is 1.5 or twice as many as before! So I will be ready, looking to improve every day and trying to get better at what I do! Best of luck to everybody!!!
    Just took a look at your whole statistics, you have excellent results. Congrats, man! Keep up the good work! ;)
  17. Re: March 23 - March 29

    Sorry if you played Struff on my account. He was terrible. Was a break up in the first and couldn't even force a tie-break at the least. Then he dropped his serve immediately at the start of the second (a pet hate of mine) before failing to convert 0-40 to get the break back. Another pet hate of mine is when a player (Donald Young!) drops serve in the very first game - it's like conceding a goal in the first five minutes of a football match and makes the task of winning the opening set and therefore the match that much harder.
    Don't worry, mate! ;) You just confirmed something I was seriously thinking about. Garcia-Lopez was never a player I trust and imo the odds were too good to ignore. Let's see what Fognini and Ramos achieves. For tomorrow I am looking at Muller against Darcis @1.67 and also Melzer +1.5 set handicap against Chardy @1.65 ... and call me crazy, but I have a feeling that Giorgi will be able to trouble Halep. I am waiting on the odds and expect something around 1.90 for the set handicap.
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