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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

amity

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  1. Like
    amity reacted to ThunderDan9 in PDC World Darts Championship   
    Humphries, sorry.
  2. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in PDC World Darts Championship   
    Ross Smith is 33/1
    Bunting is 28/1
    both good choices most 180s
  3. Like
    amity got a reaction from Fader in PDC World Darts Championship   
    Yeh unless Anderson or a rejuvenated Michael Smith makes the final, it's difficult to see who beats Humphreys to most 180s. 
  4. Like
    amity got a reaction from ThunderDan9 in PDC World Darts Championship   
    In the meantime, this is worth a listen 🙂
     
  5. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in PDC World Darts Championship   
    which is barmy. Price is value for once. 11/2 is a nice 'price' and couldn't put you off that at all.
    Bunting looks the best value at 40s. Comes into it in great form.
    Humphries most 180s at 3/1 looks a banker!??!
  6. Like
    amity reacted to Trimble89 in PDC World Darts Championship   
    Yeah I couldn't be backing him at that price.
    Leaning Price for my main bet at the moment, but thats just because he's opposite half to the draw than the other 2 big names and is a bigger price than both 😅
     
  7. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in PDC World Darts Championship   
    yeah, I bet on him a long time ago when he started looking ridiculously good. I also went in again when they offered him to win the grand slam and then win the worlds lol
  8. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in PDC World Darts Championship   
    that's cool. I can't decide who wins between Ross Smith and Dobey. The winner has every chance against Michael Smith. I think the value this year is also with Jim Williams, Bunting and maybe even James Wade. If Aspinall didn't have this weird issue with his throw Id have him beating Chizzy. Either way, Humphries is the man for me. Already on him at 9/1.
  9. Like
    amity reacted to ThunderDan9 in PDC World Darts Championship   
    Nice, you were very foresightful. 
     
  10. Like
    amity got a reaction from Fader in PDC World Darts Championship   
    I know it's a couple of weeks away yet but the draw has been made and markets are open. One that interests me is the record for most 180s to be broken at 4/7 with Paddy Power. Extra incentive for the players as for each 180 scored, a grand will be donated to prostate cancer research. 
  11. Like
    amity reacted to ThunderDan9 in PDC World Darts Championship   
    https://mydartcoach-database.web.app/
    I rushed through the bracket, and I got to a Ross Smith-Chisnall finals. 😁OK, that's kind of nonsense. (Especially, as Chisnall "beat" Clemens, Aspinall, Humphries and MVG in a row, LOL). Maybe if it were a Euro Tour event.
    Some early impressions: With Michael Smith's relative decline and some out-of form seeds (Gilding, Clayton, Barney, DVD etc... and who even knows the form of Peter Wright), I think it is better to be in the first half of the draw... Price especially seems to have a favorable draw... that Dobey/Ross Smith 3rd round match could be important... Littler could be a surprise, but his odds are already not that high... I could even see a Price/Littler quarterfinal. Two outsiders I kind of like at first glance are De Decker and Jim Williams, but it's the WC, so probably they will exit very early... at least, Jim Williams won some matches there last year, and almost beat Clemens too.
  12. Like
    amity got a reaction from ThunderDan9 in PDC World Darts Championship   
    I know it's a couple of weeks away yet but the draw has been made and markets are open. One that interests me is the record for most 180s to be broken at 4/7 with Paddy Power. Extra incentive for the players as for each 180 scored, a grand will be donated to prostate cancer research. 
  13. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in UK Championship (including qualifiers)   
    quite nice to see Ronnie win again tbh.
  14. Like
    amity got a reaction from Fader in UK Championship (including qualifiers)   
    Unbelievable, I bet on the first and skipped the second 🤦‍♂️🤣
    Not too bothered overall though as got on a nice PP footie special which has me back in the black 👍
  15. Like
    amity got a reaction from Fader in UK Championship (including qualifiers)   
    that first bet particularly looks very likely 👌
  16. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in UK Championship (including qualifiers)   
    I'm not sure about Yuelong/Higgins. Part of me thinks that Higgins wins it and probably covers the handicap and then the other part of me thinks Yuelong has a chance. Yuelong played really well against Neil. Let's not forget that. Not a bet for me.
    In the Ronnie match, I've found a bet with WillHill for Ronnie to win the match and hit at least 2 centuries. We know how aggressive Milkins is and that gives chances for centuries. He played another aggressive player in Un-Nooh and we saw 3 centuries. Ronnie has won 10 out of the 11 matches that these two have played. The other one was the Snooker Shootout. In the last 5 matches, Ronnie has hit 8 centuries against him and 3 out of the 5 he hit two. They were "first to 4 matches
    2.5pts Ronnie to beat Milkins and hit over one century 8/5 WillHill
    2pts Both players to make a century (Ronnie v Milkins) 4/1 Paddypower
  17. Like
    amity got a reaction from Fader in Players Championship Finals   
    Humphries most 180s and to win looks good to me - 4/7 with SkyBet
  18. Haha
    amity reacted to Fader in UK Championship (including qualifiers)   
    Wouldn’t think that even he went 4-0 up tbh lol 
  19. Like
    amity got a reaction from ThunderDan9 in Players Championship Finals   
    Humphries most 180s and to win looks good to me - 4/7 with SkyBet
  20. Like
    amity reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - November 20 - November 26   
    Nice blast from the past tomorrow, RBA against Fognini in Valencia finals! They haven't played each other since 2019, H2H is 8-3 in Fognini's favour.
  21. Like
    amity got a reaction from Fader in Players Championship Finals   
    Cheers Fader, I checked the stats just now and Heta isn't playing much better, looking at his averages and checkout rate, but yeh I agree he's the more likely winner here.
    Shame Searle is playing Humphreys as his stats are very good right now, but Luke could well outlast him tonight. 
  22. Like
    amity reacted to ThunderDan9 in Players Championship Finals   
    I saw the Heta match, and he was... mediocre... like very mediocre... or as you said: half decent 😀 or maybe 30% decent😀... still, it's Dolan in a longer format match, Heta should win by a few legs, I think. Doets was more of a danger to him in my opinion.
    I pass though.
  23. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in Players Championship Finals   
    Expect a Heta win. Dolan has been very poor and like ya say Maik bottled it. Can’t see it getting to a decider either 
  24. Like
    amity reacted to Darran in Non-league predictions - November 25th   
    I have to say that the National League fixtures in all 3 divisions look really tough this weekend and I only have one bet. It is however a max bet at odds on which is something I rarely do, but confidence is high and for me the value is there. There are 4 other bets at Step 3.   Oldham v Ebbsfleet You could see that Micky Mellon has improved Oldham on Wednesday nightagainst Barnet. Having seen some of the comical goals that Barnet have been conceding of late I think he knew that they could allow Barnet plenty of the ball, but they would get their chances. It is no surprise to see that Barnet had 75% of the ball in the first 15 minutes and then 70% in the following 15, but they did very little with it as Oldham made themselves very hard to breakdown. The first shot Oldham had was the penalty which was gifted to them and Barent were fortunate not to have the keeper sent off. In the 2nd half Barnet equalised with a penalty which ended up being their only shot on target. They had looked more likely to kick on and win the game at that stage, but they didn't have another shot for nearly 20 minutes when the game was long gone. Oldham punished Barnet's defensive mistakes which is no surprise given they have someone of the quality of Norwood. If Barnet had taken the good chances that came their way in the first half after the goal maybe we would have seen a different result, but it was the perfect away performance and Oldham have a talented squad. I rarely tip up odds on shots especially ones as short as Oldham, but for me they look good things to beat Ebbsfleet. They did get a point on Tuesday against Maidenhead, but they created very little and had an xG of just 0.16. They are in dreadful form and Oldham should have way too much for them.   AFC Sudbury v Stourbridge I don't dip into the Southern Premier Central too often as highlighted by the fact I've only put up 3 bets in the division so far this season. 2 of the 3 bets have been winners though and I am doubling the amount of bets had on Saturday. I will also be content if the number of winners doubles as well. Sudbury have won 3 of their last 4 games including beating Coalville on Tuesday night 3-0. I'd make them favs to beat a Stourbridge who hadn't won in the league for 7 games until beating Long Eaton 3-0 on Tuesday. They are dreadful though (just 4 points so far) and Sudbury put 6 past them recently themselves. The value is there in a home win for me.   Berkhamsted v St Ives Berkhamsted aren't much better than Long Eaton and have also won just once this season although 7 draws have helped them get 10 points. St Ives had also only one just once in the league prior to their 3 game winning spell they are currently on. They have beaten Coalville and Halesowen in that spell as well so it isn't like they are beaten rubbish and there is clear improvement in the side. They were 1 up against Aveley in the FA Trophy last week as well before losing 2-1, but that was still a very good effort. If they take those performances into this game then they ought to make it 4 league wins on the bounce.   Mickleover v Nuneaton Despite all the off the field issues at Nuneaton they have been doing really well on the pitch. They have won 8 of their last 10 league games and have won 5 on the bounce. They look over priced to beat top of the table Mickleover who after going on an impressive winning run at the start of the season have now not won in 5 league games and lost to Kettering 2-0 on Tuesday night which was a big shock. I don't think there is much between these two sides and therefore the price on Nuneaton is over the odds for me.   Carshalton v Wingate & Finchley Into the Isthmian Premier for the last bet of the weekend and I think the away side are a big price to beat a Carshalton side who are struggling after a good start to the season. They have won just one in their last 8 league games and were hammered 4-0 by Hastingson Tuesday night. Wingate's last 10 games have seen them win 5, lose 5, score 19 and concede 19. They did lose on Tuesday 2-1 to Chatham, but they are better than Carshalton and I think Wingate are in better nick than their hosts at the moment. 
    Prices from Friday around 10am   Oldham 5pts@ 4/6 with Paddy Power, Betfair, Betfred and Coral (take up to 1/2) AFC Sudbury 1pt @ 17/10 with Bet365 and William Hill (take up to 11/8) St Ives 1pt @ 6/5 with Skybet and Betfred (take up to Evs) Nuneaton 1pt @ 16/5 with Bet365 (take up to 2/1) Wingate & Finchley 1pt @ 15/4 with Skybet and Bet365 (take up to 2/1)
  25. Like
    amity reacted to ThunderDan9 in Players Championship Finals   
    It starts tomorrow, the last event before the World Championship.
    My first thought was of course Ross Smith, but he is in that Price/MVG quarter... the fourth quarter looks to be the most "favorable" to be in at first glance... maybe Heta? If Humphries doesn't win everything (but he does, lol), Searle would actually make some sense... he hit that 9-darter at the Grand Slam, and then was eliminated by... Humphries. And in the second quarter, Gurney looks to have a relatively nice draw... he has good stats, but hasn't won anything in ages... maybe now?
    With the longer format from the third round on, the chances of a longshot winner are not that good... I was thinking about Kist, just on the vague assumption he could somehow recreate that form he had in that short spell... he has been useless since then though...
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