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Xtc12

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  1. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Conflict Cup   
    Brought Down & 5th today
    Well thats the end of Year 4 unfortunately couldn't finish with a winner in GB or Ireland
    Update :
    Year 4 

    Strike Rate in GB for the year was an excellent (if I do say so myself) 40.89%, which gave me a profit of 25.83 for ROI of 9.6%.
    On the other hand Ireland another loss for the year, an unwanted three in a row, nothing much else to say.
    Overall for the year for both GB and Ireland ends with a profit of 14.17 and a SR of 37.58%.
    Overall

    Overall after 4 years have to be happy, unfortunately Ireland has been at a loss the last three years after an excellent ROI of 14.1% after year 1.
    And just in case you are following the Doubles 

    Just hung in there for a profit for the year and we still have a P on I of 5.08%
    Year 5
    Fame and Concrete 17.22 Warwick 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)
    Well-bred 5yo who forged clear in impressive fashion when landing a bumper at Southwell and should take all the beating under a penalty. 
    Lady Breffni 14.15 Limerick 1 Pt WIn @ 5\2 (bog)
    Fairly useful hurdler. Good fourth of 20 in handicap hurdle (7/1) at Leopardstown (18f, soft) 35 days ago, running on. Back up in trip. Yard in good form. Sure to go well. 
  2. Thanks
    Xtc12 reacted to MCLARKE in Conflict Cup   
    4 out of 4 ! Excellent.
  3. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Conflict Cup   
    Turned out to be great odds as well.
    Oops, the heat is on. Just to let you know even though the SR for GB this year is just over 40% and 38.9% overall I have gone on a run of 15 consecutive losses.
    1st @ 11\4 & NR today
    Dancing King 17.45 Kempton 1 Pt Win @ Evens (bog)
    Gelded and much improved on return when wide-margin winner of 1m4f handicap at Wolverhampton 9 days ago. Should take plenty of beating turned out under a 6 lb penalty.
    Calthor 14.25 Wexford 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)
    Encouraging Galway debut hurdling fourth but hasn't gone on since over fences, seventh of 14 in novice chase (9/2) at Gowran (16f) 41 days ago. Back over hurdles now and rates the form pick. 
     
  4. Sad
    Xtc12 reacted to PlacepotterMan in Placepots and Selections for today   
    Thats the thing with placepots . Prices are irrelevant ....the placepot is a pool bet ...so it depends on how many tickets / units are running on that placed horse.
    However you want to try and get the favourite unplaced this is because lots of players just select the fav for each race. So if these are placed obviously more tickets / units will remain .
    Indeed you can have 5 winners and the last leg let you down .
    Always best to have at least 2 selections in the last race.
    This is a story that I will never forget for the rest of my life and one that nearly made my life different. ................I did the jackpot once at ascot and I had 1st 5 winners .....and there was only 2 tickets remaining ....I had the fav and so did other ticket .
    We were going to share the pool £602,000 ..... £301,000 each !!!
    I put down Fav because it was 2-5 on in the paper .
    To be honest I didnt expect to get to last race but when placing the bet I thought if I do get to last leg I want to be on one with a real chance.
    Bearing in mind I had a 33-1 winner of the 1st leg and the 5th leg was a 25-1 of a 20 or so runner handicap.
    Anyway I went in my local bookies to watch the race ....and everyone congratulated me because this horse couldnt apparently lose.
    Before the race the 2nd fav was backed and on the off I was cheering my horse because it when 5 lengths clear and we were all cheering in the bookies because my horse won !!!!
    Everyone was patting me on the back ....I had tears ...thinking I was going to buy a new house car ...also my son was only a few months old ...so going to get him everything he wanted ....all this excitement lasted 1 minute !!!
    They returned the s.p .....the winner returned Joint Favourite !!!! and it was the highest cloth number of the two so I didnt win !!! Makes me sick now even typing it .....that changed my betting forever and I was in a trance for a week and just felt physically more so mentally ill ....I just kept on asking why ...why ...I couldnt believe it .
    If I only had ticked the horse number instead of fav .....if only that initial 2nd fav wasnt backed ....gutted to this day .....but the only thing that I can say is ......its gambling and maybe one day I will hit big ....we all think that ....but thats the closest ...u cant get no closer to winning the jackpot.
    So now you know why I dont tick fav even for placepot
  5. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Conflict Cup   
    1st @ 6\4 & 4th today
    Molly Carew 16.20 Newcastle 1 Pt WIn @ 7\4 (bog)
    Suited by a return to fences when back to form to win handicap at Taunton (21.5f) but got no further than the second in face of a stiff task next time. Remains of interest back in a handicap.
    Boghlone Honey 15.30 Clonmel 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)
    Good second of 13 in handicap hurdle at Gowran (16f, heavy, 4/1) 40 days ago. Has good chance on form. 
  6. Like
    Xtc12 reacted to PlacepotterMan in Placepots and Selections for today   
    Totals so far in this placepot topic  : ( not including southwell this eve )
    21 placepots played ....4 winning placepots
    Placepot outlay 204.80
    Placepot returns 381.20
    Profit so far : 176.40
     
  7. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Conflict Cup   
    1st @ 5\4 & NR today
    Jeans Maite 18.40 Wolverhampton 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)
    Fair mare. C&D winner. 3/1, career best when winning 10-runner handicap at Southwell (5f) 4 days ago. Will take the beating on these terms. 
    One Cool Poet 14.55 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)
    Respectable fifth of 20 in handicap hurdle over C&D (good to soft, 7/2) 72 days ago. That race has thrown up winners and he's much respected here. 
  8. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Conflict Cup   
    2nd & 1st @ 6\4 yesterday
    Marada 14.00 Huntingdon 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)
    Won twice over hurdles in the autumn, including over C&D, and improved back in a novice after 12 weeks off when second at Market Rasen (16.6f) 14 days ago, clear of rest. Seems sure to go well again. 
    Hunters Yard 17.20 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 7\2 (bog)
    Promising type. 6¼ lengths third of 13 to Eyewitness in bumper at Naas (15.6f, soft, 9/4) on NH debut 22 days ago, running on. Open to progress and could reverse the form with aforementioned rival. 
  9. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from avongirl in Division 2 - Final Week 8 Selections   
    Watford @ 1.95
    Reading @ 1.85
    Cambridge @ 2.15
    £20 Treble please
  10. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Conflict Cup   
    Double Up yesterday 1st @ 11\8 & 6\4 
    Dorking Lad 14.05 Plumpton 1 Pt WIn @ Evens (bog)
    Fairly useful form when runner-up in 2m4f course novice hurdle before occupying same spot in a jumpers bumper at Kempton 18 days ago. Consistent sort who looks the one to beat back in maiden company. 
    Humble Glory 16.30 Punchestown 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)
    Bumper winner who showed improved form when pushing a useful rival close at this course (20f) 42 days ago, clear of rest. Open to more progress for her top yard. 
  11. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Win Backing System   
    @The Accountant I think the number of views will tell you what people think of the thread, they may not be posting but definitely getting the winners. Keep up the good work. Is it possible to see the ROI overall every now and again. 
  12. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from harry_rag in Three Day Treble (Horses)   
    Update :
    Singles :

    Trebles :

     
  13. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from cannotbebeat in Naps - Wednesday 24th Feb   
    15.05 Ludlow - Lust for Glory - 1 Pt Win @ 4\5 Bet365
  14. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Conflict Cup   
    Double Up  1st @ 13\8 & 11\8 
    Hectors Here 19.40 Wolverhampton 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)
    Career best when winning 7-runner handicap (10/3) at this C&D 7 days ago, suited by way race developed. Carries penalty. Leniently treated. 
    Where It All Began 17.00 Fairyhouse 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)
    Made a promising start to career when second of 9 in bumper at Limerick (18f, heavy, 10/11) 56 days ago. Leading claims with improvement expected. 
  15. Thanks
    Xtc12 got a reaction from MrJol in 'SIR PUNTALOT' KO CUP (SEMI FINALS) - Deadline Saturday 2pm   
    Well done Mr Jol all the best in the final.
  16. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from Gary66 in 'SIR PUNTALOT' KO CUP (SEMI FINALS) - Deadline Saturday 2pm   
    Good start @Mr Jol, turning the screw early. ?
  17. Thanks
    Xtc12 got a reaction from Offramp in Naps - Thursday 18th Feb   
    12.30 Leicester - Overworkdunderpaid - 1 Pt Win @ 11\4 Bet365
  18. Like
    Xtc12 reacted to Wanderlust in BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - FEBRUARY 2021   
    Hi MClarke,
    You rightly credited me for a 9/1 winner yesterday, however I backed it EW, which means I have been 'overpaid'?
  19. Like
    Xtc12 reacted to The Accountant in Win Backing System   
    Profit for 5% commission +€3,120
    Profit for 2% commission +€3,754
    This is over 467 selections. Win only.
  20. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Conflict Cup   
    10th & a Non Runner yesterday
    Bill Cody 14.45 Southwell 1 Pt WIn @ 6\5 (bog)
    6/1, won 8-runner handicap at this course (16.5f) 24 days ago. Will take all the beating stepping up in trip. 
    Benavente 19.30 Dundalk 1 Pt WIn @ 11\8 (bog)
    Promising type. Third of 10 in maiden (11/4) at this C&D 21 days ago. Should progress. 
     
  21. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from thecurlyone1 in Win Backing System   
    @The Accountant I think the number of views will tell you what people think of the thread, they may not be posting but definitely getting the winners. Keep up the good work. Is it possible to see the ROI overall every now and again. 
  22. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Naps - Tuesday 9th February   
    Think I'll try Balco Coastal 
  23. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Conflict Cup   
    1st @ 7\2 & 2nd yesterday
    Flic Ou Voyou 14.15 Kempton 1 Pt WIn @ 6\5 (bog)
    Useful 3-time 2m novice hurdle winner this season. Dual bumper winner at the start of his career. Likely to have a big say here. 
  24. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from MCLARKE in Conflict Cup   
    1st @ 15\8 yesterday
    Lions Vigil 14.55 Southwell 1 Pt WIn @ 11\10 (bog)
    Showed improved form to get off the mark in 6-runner handicap (6/4) over C&D 9 days ago. May do even better still, so obvious claims of following up under 5 lb penalty. 
    Alice O Byrne 13.50 Down Royal 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)
    Lightly-raced maiden. 20/1, excellent ½-length second of 17 to Moonlight Glory in handicap hurdle at Limerick (16f, heavy) 36 days ago. Has good chance on form. 
    Update :
    Overall:

    Year 4 :

    Doubles :

  25. Like
    Xtc12 got a reaction from avongirl in Division 2 - Week 3 Selections   
    Hull @ 1.5
    Brentford @ 1.36
    Lille @ 1.36
    £12 Treble please
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