KennyDelight
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Posts posted by KennyDelight
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3 hours ago, yogg said:
Goerges J. - Barty A.
Barty's on a great run at the moment but this is her 8th match, including one doubles match, in ten days and that could prove too much against her strong German opponent today.
Barty's 1st round opponent, Dodin, gifted her 31 unforced errors and she won't get that today!
She also made 16 unforced errors of her own.
Goerges beat Sakkari easily in her 1st round match, not even facing a break point.
She's also the ace queen.
All things considered I think Goerges will have too much for Barty today.
Goerges to win @ 2.80 with BetVictor
Beat me to it Yogg. I am backing Goerges based on Barty's win last week and how she got a bit fortunate against Dodin in that first set. There were signs of fatigue against Dodin and Goerges is a step up on Dodin, even if she can be a bit inconsistent. But if she gets it right especially on serve she can win
Tailing. Good luck
- yogg and Sportwetten
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Kudermetova 2.20 to beat Krunic Bet365
Kudermetova 2.10 1st set Bet365
Happy to back Kudermetova once again in this one. I don't know if she'll win the tournament but don't see Krunic being a person to be able to match up well going on what I saw yesterday from both players.
Once again I feel Krunic's odds have underestimated Kudermetova. In the first set Schoofs threw away the set and even in the second Krunic's serve looked vulnerable. She gave away 10 break points opportunities in the match and that is plenty for Kudermetova if Krunic serves the same. In the match Krunic won only 60% points on first serves and 50% second serves. Converted only 6/15 break point opportunities and the way Kudermetova is serving she'll probably won't get as many as that.
At times in the match especially in the first set Krunic struggled with Schoof's angles and it was Schoof's unforced errors which cost her in the first set. Kudermetova is a step up from Schoofs especially in the power and I'm going to repeat the same bets as yesterday
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1 hour ago, mihaiv93 said:
Pick - Frech to win at odds 1.83
#118 Jakupovic meets #119 Frech, Dalila Jakupovic comes after a great win over C. Giorgi. Quite the shock for the italian as she was not expected to lose first round here. I must admit I had the wrong feeling of backing her live when she was losing, but I was mistaken. Frech was one of the picks for my 4.00 odds double a couple of days ago, and she performed quite well. She has more matches than Jakupovic on this surface and she has gone 5-2 on grass while the serbian ties at 2-2. My main argument for this match is that I know for a fact that Jakupovic underperforms after winning as a big underdog. It happened to me in F.O. and it happened in Bogota. Magdalena Frech to win for me.
I'm on French as well. Jakupovic is inconsistent and when struggling in matches tries the drop shot too often. I don't think that tactic will work out as well on grass as it does for clay
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Kudermetova 2.75 to beat Belinda Bencic Bet365
Kudermetova 2.50 to win 1st set Bet365
I feel the odds were made with Bencic's name and past form in this tournament (2 years ago) in mind and have not considered Bencic's lack of regular form and fitness over recent times. She won against a lucky loser in round 1 and I think the odds for Bencic didn't factor in the step up in promising opponent
If Kudermetova can replicate the standard of serving and returning as she did v an in form and reigning 'bosh champion Kontaveit then she will have a solid opportunity to win against Bencic who is still finding her feet with form and fitness
- yogg and CzechPunter
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Ashleigh Barty 6.00 to win WTA Nottingham Bet365
Barty twice in a row quarter finalist at Nottingham, only losing to Konta and Karolina Pliskova in the past. The draw has been very kind to her, with Konta/Vekic/Rybarikova/Giorgi on the opposite side of the draw. Looking at the half of the draw Barty is in, it seems pretty average. Seeded players on her side are Naomi Osaka, Diyas and Buznarescu. Naomi Osaka is in there but I don't see her as a potential threat on the grass and Buznarescu has no record on playing grass.
Last year Barty pushed Kvitova and Mugaruza on grass and I think her style and patient style of play will be why she will succeed. She'll mix up her shots and her slice backhand will be a weapon once again.
Konta has been in average form the whole season thus far and with Vekic and Rybarikova, I hardly see her having an easy run to the final if she makes it
Further Edit 11/06/2018:
Barty is not playing doubles in Nottingham
Seeded singles players Konta, Diyas, Vekic, Buznarescu all playing doubles
- CzechPunter, Sportwetten and yogg
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If anyone is betting on WTA Bol don't bet on Sorribes Tormo unless you are sure the opponent has experience to deal with moonballs
Grunt of Errani. Power of Errani (not high) and her rallies last at least 20-30 shots because she moonballs 99% of her shots. To be fair Zhuk puts in 50% moonballs in response.
1st set lasted just over 1 hour and it's been easily been torture. Unfortunately Zhuk's errors have paved for her downfall so far
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Tomova 2.10 to beat Andreescu Bet365 @ French Open qualifying
Tomova has more experience on clay at 23, her preferred surface. Recently pushed Kuznetsova in Istanbul. Andreescu has only played a handful of games on clay (3 this year, 11 last year) 17 going on 18
Think the odds are the wrong way around
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I am cautious about backing Bertens against Barthel if the rain continues. Bertens is one to look to go deep into the French Open and any delays may see her drop her game or pull out. BOL with the selections but remember to factor in GS next week
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Pauline Parmentier 1.50 to beat Yafan Wang Bet365 @ Strasbourg Open
Yafan Wang rarely plays on clay and struggled against less experienced Asian opponents in the 250 Anning tournament in China .Parmentier will be on a high after winning the Istanbul clay tournament and with home ground motivation.
Happy to back Parmentier in this one
- CzechPunter, four-leaf and yogg
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Sam Stosur 2.63 v Sloane Stephens Bet365
Stosur has a semi final and 2 ro16 finishes in the last 3 years in Madrid. This is probably her favourite surface. A 2-0 head to head record v Stephens on clay. Slower conditions would favor Stosur over Stephens and the variety will see her through
I don't see any motivation for Stephens on clay outside of Fed Cup. Happy to back the bookies underdog against Stephens
- CzechPunter and yogg
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McHale 2.62 v Begu BET365
Conditions seem slow-medium in Istanbul. I feel playing Barthel is a good matchup for McHale leading into the match v Begu and Begu seemed to get frustrated with Jakupovic clinging onto every point in the 1st set. She'll faced an even more determined fighter in McHale. Even on her best day Begu can be inconsistent and moody
They've played once before on clay and Begu won in 3 tight sets on Madrid clay which indicates to me that a similar matchup will be in store
- CzechPunter and yogg
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Fuming. 5-1 up in 1st set and Istomin throws his serve and wins 6-3
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Andreev - Istomin 1st set under 8.5 games @ 1.80
Istomin is a seasoned professional. Andreev has received a wildcard into this tournament at 16 turning 17 as a home player. Looking at Andreev's record over the past 3 years and has hardly played many matches
Most notable opponents he has played have been on hardcourts - Marterer in qualifying for this tournament last year and lost 2 and 0, Michael Berrer in 2016 3 and 2
Reasoning: Due to lack of information on Andreev my prediction based on matches played (or lack of in this case) and a couple of videos of Andreev on Youtube so he's still an unknown quantity
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Pavlyuchenkova 2.00
Pavlyuchenkova to win 1st set and win match 2.75
Given the pace of the court, the 2-0 h2h record (albeit from 4 years ago), the one game under the belt in Zuhai conditions At 2.00 I am willing to back Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova especially given her experience with indoor tournaments.
- Robinnho and CzechPunter
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Alize Cornet @ 1.90 v Rybarikova
Feeling that including the lack of real break for Rybarikova will count against a fresher, in form player like Cornet. Cornet has a bit more varietyand better movement to her game than Sharapova does, so going to back her for the win
Rodina 2.37 v Witthoeft
I know Rodina has returned from an injury but Witthoeft is really that much of a favourite?
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Wouldn't be surprised if Kasakina becomes favourite against Pavyluchenkova. The Hong Kong final just ended at 1am Hong Kong time and she needs to fly to play Moscow on Tuesday. Brutal
- hristofor and CzechPunter
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The h2h is 5 years old and stands 2-0 in Strycova's favor but on form this week in Linz Strycova has been poor against Brengle and Fett. Too many unforced errors, too many service games dropped, giving away too many break point opportunities and getting emotional on court. She looks a bit fatigued.
Maria +1.5 sets v Strycova
- CzechPunter and gg-77
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Aryna Sabalenka 10.00 to win Tianjin Bet365 each way
Looking at the side of the draw opposite to Sharapova, it is wide open. Zhu then McHale/Errani is entirely doable. The risk is that she is a tad younger and still a ball basher but will favor a mini-Sharapova of sorts against mid tier WTA players especially with her playing for form into the Fed Cup final in a couple weeks
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Backing Ostapenko match @ $2.00
(low) Barty to win first set but lose match @ $7.50 Bet365
Ostapenko has a decent opportunity to nab another title and with a title will guarantee a spot in Singapore with the title, though if she does lose she will 99% qualify. Ostapenko lost first round in Beijing in 2016 so she doesn't have any points to defend next week and both her and Barty have been given byes into the second round. Given the other side of the draw is Sakkari/Garcia, feeling she will have her eyes firmly set on back to back titles.
Ostapenko's service hasn't been brilliant and has taken time to work back into matches quite often, and Barty is someone who will push Julia around the court with technique and probably see longer exchanges but the current winning mentality of Ostapenko and physically she seems to be much stronger. One problem with Barty, technically gifted, but sometimes she has too many options to play and I think it will cost her with the lack of winning experience late on in tournaments. Ostapenko will play the same aggression and with the same mental toughness and I will back her.
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Ostapenko - Barty odd's opened at 1.80 Ostapenko 2.10 Barty but in the space of 30 minutes Barty has changed to favourite on Bet365
Ostapenko finished her match around midnight. Barty had played singles and doubles on same day but obviously finished much earlier. Match will start "not before" 5:30pm local time
Ostapenko played 5 x 3 set matches in the space of 6 days spanning Korean Open and Wuhan with just a days rest inbetween but Barty has played 2 doubles matches this week with her 4 matches, 3 of which went to 3 sets too
Liking the look of 21.5 over.
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Sabalenka won but the second set was hardly plain sailing. Too many unforced errors. Sabalenka has the power but the inconsistency and doesn't seem to provide any slices or drop shots, not much variety to her game. Similar to Ostapenko in that she seems to go for it but Ostaoenko's margin of error is much better
She faces Kozlova next
Great calls on Ostapenko and Sakkari BTW
- CzechPunter and shikovd
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Sabalenka is opening at 2.05 v Maria so I will back her at that price. Seeing her service and power from the back of the court today, I think Maria will have troubles containing her especially with the lack of power from what I've seen from Maria.
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Sabalenka looked very good v Rodina. Her serve was excellent and such power. Rodina was hampered by her injury but doesn't take away from how good Sabalenka was. She should be too good for Maria in the next round
I'm having backing Puig @ 2.00 purely based on the long late finish for Peng and Puig is going to have bags on movement and energy.
- Venom and CzechPunter
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Tennis Tips - June 25 - July 1
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Kanepi 1st set v Ostapenko @ 2.00 Bet365
Even on her best day Ostapenko's serving can be unreliable at times and given this is her first outing on grass this year I expect her to take time to settle into the match and Kanepi is a solid enough player and can destroy Ostapenko's typical weak flat second service when available like she did to Nara's second serves yesterday