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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Primevil

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Posts posted by Primevil

  1. Re: McNamara in an induced coma.... Hopefully he recovers like Mick Fitz did..To walk and get around..A long road ahead for the guy, Any sport is dangerous, rugby being a prime one, but we have to enjoy doing something..We dont like to think about the worst than can happen, otherwise we would not partake in sport. God speed his recovery.

  2. Re: Friday 3:20: Cheltenham Gold Cup

    Bobs worth is the knew kid on the block...His henneasey run is of DENMAN proportions..IF NOT BETTER. This trainer can get championship horses ready of zero runs..see you then The king is dead.....LONG LIVE THE KING...None of them will live with him up the hill.. Bobs worth by over 5 lens...
    LONG LIVE THE KING....
  3. Re: Friday 1:30: JCB Triumph Hurdle

    Keeping my fingers crossed for Rolling Star as its the last leg of my Simonsig,Sprinter Sacre and Rolling Star Treble. Was very impressed last time out, would have won a shade more cosily had he not bungled the last and readily drew clear of the smart Irish Saint. Henderson, Geraghty and Buckley seem sweet on him so that'll do for me...
    The very best of luck to you..Has a great chance..Hope he wins for you!:hope
  4. Re: Friday 1:30: JCB Triumph Hurdle

    JCB Triumph Hurdle There can be no question that this is a different race now to the one before the introduction of the Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap in 2005. For a start, seven of the eight winners could be found in the first four in the betting and were rated officially rated 138+ over hurdles. I prefer the 140+ horses and those yet to record that figure are Chris Pea Green, King Of Dudes, Lac Fontana, Sametegal and Somemothersdohavem. Cape Explorer, Gassin Golf and Masters Blazing don’t have a published official rating as yet as they are once-raced. Horses with plenty of 1s against their name usually win the Triumph and especially on their final start with 16 of the previous 19 winners passing the post in front last time out. That is a strong pattern when we consider that last-time-out winners regularly provide less than half the runners but are still operating at a winning strike rate of 84% since 1992. On that basis I can’t back horses beaten like last time out like Cape Explorer, Diakai, Gassin Golf, Kashmir Peak, King Of Dudes, Lac Fontana, Sametegal, Swnymor and Vasco Du Ronceray. Another notable change has been that horses lacking in hurdling experience are winning the Triumph Hurdle these days which was anything but the case beforehand. In fact, when Zarkandar won two years ago he became the first horse in the 48-year history of the race to win off the back of just one run over hurdles. In fact, three of the last five winners had run no more than twice over hurdles compared to just one winner between 1988-2007 which some will be as a positive for Cape Explorer, Gassin Golf, Hidden Justice (for last year’s winning stable), Lac Fontana, Masters Blazing, Rolling Star and Somemothersdhavem. Flat race form is also important as the last 14 Triumph winners that had a Flat campaign ran over 1m4f at least once which is against Kashmir Peak, King Of Dudes, and just one of the last 15 winners was rated lower than 80 on the level like Cape Explorer, Hidden Justice, Masters Blazing, Somemothersdohavem and Stocktons Wing. Seven of the last nine winners did not have their hurdling debut until at least December with four of those not running over timber until at least January. In fact, we never even saw two of the last three winners in Britain until they won the Adonis Hurdle three weeks before this race and that has been easily best the guide with as many as five of the last 13 winners going on to double up in the Triumph and that would probably have been six had Binocular not been re-routed at the last moment to the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle. This year’s winner Irish Saint waits for Aintree so the Adonis is represented by Vasco Du Ronceray (2nd), Lac Fontana (3rd) and Chris Pea Green (6th) but, as we see, it is really only the Adonis winner that has mattered. The Grade 2 Finesse Hurdle on Festival Trials Day at Cheltenham won by Rolling Star and the Grade 1 Finale Hurdle at Chepstow won by Ruacana (after Swnymor fell at the final flight when leading) have been underperforming as trials given their prestige. Only one of the 17 Finesse Hurdle winners to run in the Triumph has won and when Countrywide Flame improved on his second in the Finale Hurdle to win here last year he became the first participant from that race since 1994 to win the Triumph. There has been no Irish-trained winner since Scolardy in 2002 which is the only negative I can find for Our Conor. Other Irish runners are Diakali and Stocktons Wing. Nicky Henderson is chasing a sixth Triumph Hurdle however with Rolling Star and Paul Nicholls a third with Far West and Lac Fontana and Alan King his third with King Of Dudes. All runners have had a recent prep race so we can’t dismiss horses that have not run in the last 55 days. Short List Far West Rolling Star (Our Conor) Conclusion FAR WEST is a last-time-out winner representing a yard with two recent wins in the race (albeit with Flat breds and Far West is a jumps bred) that won the two juvenile races here in November and December that Katchit also won before he won this race. In fact, three winners since 1999 ran in the November race. The only negative regards ROLLING STAR is that Finesse Hurdle winners have generally underperformed here bar Katchit but otherwise he looks the type for a yard chasing their sixth Triumph win and he is a lightly-raced last-time-out winner rated over 140 which has been the way to go since the Fred Winter took away the social runners. That said, it looks like a number of social runners have been declared this season. If only OUR CONOR were British-trained as being Irish-trained is the only statistical point given the raiders’ recent record as visually he has been the most impressive juvenile hurdler this season.That said he did win what has been the most notable guide in the last two years (featured last year’s winner and second plus the season the year before) the Irish did win the Fred Winter so their juvenile hurdlers could be a cut above the British for a change and he is a last-time-out winner with the highest hurdles rating that also had run over 12f on the Flat and is the highest rated Flat horse in the race. Given all those positives allied to the fact that 7 of the 8 winners since the Fred Winter started in the first three in the betting, he still has to be short list material. The top three in the betting do look head and shoulders above the rest so I make no apologies purely suggesting them (especially given the recent SP stats) and I also suggest you look at perming them in forecasts and tricasts.
    cant have any PN trained horse..totally out of form. Our Connor n Rolling star evens against the field....two class acts
  5. Re: Friday 3:20: Cheltenham Gold Cup

    Still cant make my mind up on this one. Long Run has the most consistent form and will run his race. Silvi Conti probably has the best form of all the runners this year BUT he doesnt have a great record on undulating courses or stiff finishes which is a worry. Sir Des Champs has been improving with each run and Mullins is on fire. Loves it here and his chances improve with the less rain we get. Bobs Worth was brilliant in the Hennessy and the form has worked out well. The RSA form hasnt worked out badly either. I think he has the most potential of them all and like SDC he loves it here. I still think the price is a little too short for my liking.
    SILV CONTI..You forgot to put Ruby aint rode a chase winner since god was a lad round here..and the stable is donaled ducked in form parley!..Just about the best lay you will ever see.. Plus as you rightley say..over rated,,Flat Track horse
  6. Re: Friday 3:20: Cheltenham Gold Cup Bobs worth is the knew kid on the block...His henneasey run is of DENMAN proportions..IF NOT BETTER. This trainer can get championship horses ready of zero runs..see you then The king is dead.....LONG LIVE THE KING...None of them will live with him up the hill.. Bobs worth by over 5 lens...

  7. Re: Tuesday 1:30: William Hill Supreme Novices' Hurdle For all those who think MTOY wont get better, ...Once they teach him to settle a bit more, maybe some tack change...Cos he burnt too much in the first mile.. My money is on NH to teach him. But today,, to say he did not get up the hill is wrong. He was out battled in the last 150 yards..(by another very good novice) The winning distance hardley changed in that time.. To say he did not come up the hill...Your choice, but I say he would have finished thrid for that statement,

  8. Re: BB0TD Tuesday 12th March 2013 - It's Time.

    Tuesday 12th March 14.05 Cheltenham - Simonsig - Win @ 4\6 PP BOG Two runs over fences winning easily both times. Has had one previous Cheltenham run in the Neptune Novice hurdle last year when again winning comfortably. Track looks no issue, ground will be no issue and distance will prove no problem. Simonsig is the top novice chaser of this season and this looks the banker of the first day against 6 rivals.
    4/5 Ladbrokes win only special online:clap
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