
CzechPunter
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Everything posted by CzechPunter
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Marie Bouzkova (-3.5) to beat Hailey Baptiste at 1.91 with Bet365 Bouzkova hasn't looked great for a while now, but she was very good against Marino in the first round here, and Baptiste is a fairly similar player match-up-wise. If Bouzkova keeps controlling the ball well here, she will have every chance of running away with it comfortably.
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@Grass Cash I'm lagging behind on the ATP, so I'd be just guessing.
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@Smiles Tennis She injured herself off-court I believe, and Cristian came out firing, like she did against Keys in the second round. Sara Errani (+1.5 sets) to beat Sara Sorribes Tormo at 1.60 with Unibet Errani leads the H2H 6-0 here, and SST hasn't been doing well so far in this season. She should still outlast Errani on paper, and I wouldn't fancy Errani in a potential decider, but the 1.60 for her to win a set looks good to me.
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Ashlyn Krueger to beat Gabriela Lee 2-0 at 1.91 with Bet365 Krueger suffered a couple of disappointments against Podoroska in Indian Wells and Miami, but Lee is a much easier challenge, so I like the odds for the 2-0 scoreline. Lee's recent wins have to be respected somewhat, but she's not a good player overall. Krueger to bounce back is my call.
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Happy Easter guys! Sachia Vickery to beat Jaqueline Cristian at 2.20 with Bet365 No idea why Vickery is the underdog here, it's 50/50 at least for me. Vickery looked well above her average against Kessler, and the fact that she's already played a couple of matches here is relevant due to the unorthodox conditions. With Cristian not doing anything noteworthy recently, I'm happy to go against her at odds against.
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Francesca Jones to beat Robin Montgomery at 2.06 with Unibet I think Jones should be a slight fav here, Montgomery was literally gifted that win against Baptiste, and Jones was controlling the ball really well in the difficult conditions against Bondar. She doesn't hit as big, but she's much better in terms of point construction and adapting than Montgomery.
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Ekaterina Alexandrova (+2.5) to beat Danielle Collins at 1.93 with Unibet It's hard for me to see a clear fav here. Collins has the home advantage, but Alexandrova's run has perhaps been slightly more impressive, and she can deal with Collins' ball-striking. The +2.5 head start looks appealing to me.
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Elisabetta Cocciaretto to beat Tamara Zidansek 2-0 at 1.90 with Bet365 Cocciaretto is in an excellent form right now, and I don't see Zidansek being able to hit through her, despite the specific San Luis conditions. She's not stringing wins together, and this should be no different.
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Yulia Putintseva (+1.5 sets) to beat Viktoria Azarenka at 1.82 with Unibet Another day, another Putintseva bet for me! Azarenka can get thrown off by her antics, and I think that Yulia has been playing well enough to take at least a set off Viktoria for the third time in a row.
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Y.Putintseva/A.Kalinina - Over 21.5 games at 1.86 with Unibet Both Putintseva and Kalinina can be tremendous at times, but both can also go missing for big chunks of their matches, and that's why I like the overs in this one.
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Thanks guys for all the comments! Hopefully the rain delay changes the momentum! Yulia Putintseva to beat Greetje Minnen at 1.73 with William Hill Putintseva has certainly improved a lot since last year, she's leaner and moving better, also less mental demons it seems to me. She even troubled Swiatek a little bit in Indian Wells, though it really wasn't close in the end. Minnen tends to have issues against good defenders, and Putintseva is a first-class one right now, and beating Samsonova in the previous round must've prepared her for this well.
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Sloane Stephens to beat Sorana Cirstea at 1.80 with William Hill Stephens put in a surprisingly good performance against Kerber in the previous round, and she managed to beat Cirstea comfortably in Indian Wells, so I quite like the 1.80 that's on offer for her here. It's hard to like Cirstea in her first tournament matches as well.
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Xinyu Wang to beat Hailey Baptiste at 1.67 with Unibet Wang has a 2-0 record against Baptiste, and this looks like a fairly similar match-up to the one against Tauson from the end of the previous month. The conditions aren't fast by any stretch, and they are also tough physically, which should favor Wang if the match goes on for a while. Linda Fruhvirtova to beat Shelby Rogers at 1.80 with Bet365 Rogers has played only 3 matches this year and her fitness is questionable. Linda hasn't been great lately, but she has a lot of match practice under her belt at the very least.
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Cristian Garin to beat Valentin Vacherot at 1.57 with William Hill Garin is getting a very playable opponent here in conditions he should enjoy more, so I fancy him to get back to winning ways. He still has it, and the occasion will hopefully push him a bit as well.
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Sara Errani to beat Alexandra Eala at 1.73 with Unibet Eala has finally started to win some matches against decent opposition, but I still think she's overhyped and not ready for the main WTA circuit. Errani has been surprisingly good so far in 2024, and that form makes her a good favorite for me here.
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Carlos Alcaraz to beat Jannik Sinner at 2.10 with Bet365 This should be very interesting indeed, but I think the value is with Alcaraz to finally break Sinner's unbeaten streak. The IW conditions suit him well, and he went past the Zverev test with flying colors. I think this is 50/50 at best.
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Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5 sets) to beat Alexander Zverev at 2.10 with Unibet A risky handicap, but I think it's worth it in the IW conditions, which should give Alcaraz a big edge in this match-up. The slower the courts, the better for Carlos against Zverev.
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Darya Kasatkina to beat Yue Yuan at 1.57 with Unibet Yuan is on an impressive streak right now, but I didn't particularly like her performance against Dolehide, she was struggling to apply herself, and just not looking in-form at all against an opponent that was making a lot of bad tactical decisions. Kasatkina should stop her here.
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Avanesyan is already the favorite according to the odds! Daria Saville to beat Bernarda Pera at 2.02 with Unibet This looks like another false favorite to me, the conditions should favor Saville, and she's doing well on form as well. I saw her against Zhu and Fruhvirtova and she was moving as well as ever, which should frustrate Pera to no end. At odds against, this looks like a good pick to me.
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Elina Avanesyan to beat Oceane Dodin at 2.38 with Bet365 There are some question marks over Avanesyan's fitness, but I simply have to back her at such a price. Dodin is very capable of beating herself, and she hasn't done much since impressing us all in Australia. Avanesyan is steadily improving, she is much more consistent, and the courts are by no means fast enough to give Dodin an edge imo.
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Linda Fruhvirtova to beat Rebeka Masarova at 1.82 with Unibet Fruhvirtova seems to have Masarova's number, with the H2H standing at 3-0, all on hard. She's been improving, too, and beating Bektas 2-0 was a good result.