jonjo

Didnt Al Dancer win this race in 2019 after winning at Cheltenham the race before? Good luck with Master Chewy, been nibbled at, he comes out top rated for me too - aged 5,6 or7, ran in a Nov Hdle last time out and was Class 4 or Class 1 race.  .

Three of the five winning is always a good day, traded out on one of the winners at a short 1.18, traded out on one loser (stake back) and that one also won in the place market and then one that simply lost and couldnt trade out on.

in summarry got 17 fivers back for £85  profit, cashed out the small lucky 63 for £25, left the others which returned just under £100 so a decent profit on the day and priceless excitement.

Indeed BBBC, happens to us all, I seem to get more than my fair share of 1.01 losers, so the lay off bets work for me.

The logic is in the reality that things can go wrong, we've all had last fence fallers I'm sure and horses that have traded to 1.01 and been caught on the line etc, If what you save by laying off and getting your stake back is more than the percentage that you lose because the horse wins then its well worth the effort and pays in the long run. Money is hard to come by, I dont give it away easily. 

Bangor in the 2.50 I like the look of Hidalgo De Lisle currently around the 6 mark on the exchanges, he was trying to give a whopping 29lb to the winner at Sedgefiled and failed by 8 lengths, that one wass rated 100, now rated 110 after a good run in a Listed event, the 4th home that day was 21 lengths back and is rated at 105 so for Hidalgo to get in here from a mark of 108 for his handicap debut looks very generous to me. Win and place........took 6.2 for this, went off at a Bfsp of 4.81 and WON easily?
Southwell 3.15 race, Melwood Boy is currently around the 3.3 mark, slowly into his stride on debut last time out and still got to within a length of the winner finishing 3rd well clear of the 4th placed horse, the winner that day was an 83 rated horse and given that his nearest market rival tomorrow is rated just 69 (gets 5lb) makes Melwood Boy look worth a bet hoping that the experience on debut did him some good.....Took 3.05 for this, went off at a Bfsp of 2.76 and finished 3rd, didnt go low enough to trade out on.
Kempton in the 3.35 race No No Tango is the choice. He was upped in distance for handicap debut and would have got closer but for being impeded by a faller when looking to challenge, currently 6.2 on the exchanges. Win and place...........took 6 and 2.1 the place.......went off at a Bfsp of 4.9....hit a low of 2.24 in running (layed off at 2.4, stake returned) finished third giving a profit on the place.
Southwell 4.20 where Big Narstie is selected, only ever won once from 17 attempts but runs in a Class 6 for the first time tomorrow, 7 furlongs seems to be his distance and down two grades can win this, trading around the 3.25 mark........3.4 taken, ......went off at a Bfsp of 2.92................and WON ? (layed off here at 1.18.)
Bangor on Dee for the 4.35 where Well Vicky is a worthy favourite, upped in distance for her handicap debut the mare improved a stone and won going away, a penalty shouldnt stop her getting the double up,  I've taken 2.56 for this one............WON comfortably?
 
Good luck tomorrow everyone.
As always I'll be laying off low in running.

Morning, there is no set price for laying off in running. If I back at 5 or 6 or so then my lay off price will be around the 1.4 to 2.18 mark, depending on how confident I am and how the race is panning out, if the fav in that race looks to be running poorly then I'll go for the lower end of the spectrum, if something looks like an abvious winner and mine cant win then I'll happily take a red if need be, better to retrieve half you stake or even a quarter than none at all. If the horse is priced between 2.2 and 3 when I back it the the lay off price will be around the 1.08 to 1.21 mark, often if BF live video is up to speed then I wont lay off if mine looks all over the winner. Of course if I'm out and about and cant be at the PC during racing then the in play lay off bets are placed pre race so cant do anything about them, if I'm at home and watching on BF Live Video then I'll place my lay off price during the race. I use Gruss for firing my bets in.

Indeed it is. Most of my betting is on the exchanges, I did experiment with laying but worked out I am better off (both money and time wise) by letting the bet roll.

The logic is in the reality that things can go wrong, we've all had last fence fallers I'm sure and horses that have traded to 1.01 and been caught on the line etc, If what you save by laying off and getting your stake back is more than the percentage that you lose because the horse wins then its well worth the effort and pays in the long run. Money is hard to come by, I dont give it away easily. 

Its a good job we are all different Harry ? If your betting is profitable then it is a route that you WOULD go down, in fact its probably the route that makes your betting profitable unless you have a strike rate of 70%+ I suppose. I dont actually know anyone who uses the exchanges seriously and doesnt lay off in running, even if its at 1.01. The joys of diversity?

I do indeed Harry and yes, It works for me and others too. There are other strategies to consider depending on the size of your stake, in some big races if I back at lets say 12, I'll lay half my stake off at 6 and the other half off at 2.8 or thereabouts, there a lots of things we can do on the exchanges, those who dont take advantage of these type of tactics maybe are those who havent yet looked at them? Then of coure you can spread your stake over the field to make a profit regardless of the result (once your second bet is  matched of course) 

Indeed BBBC, happens to us all, I seem to get more than my fair share of 1.01 losers, so the lay off bets work for me.

Indeed BBBC, happens to us all, I seem to get more than my fair share of 1.01 losers, so the lay off bets work for me.

The logic is in the reality that things can go wrong, we've all had last fence fallers I'm sure and horses that have traded to 1.01 and been caught on the line etc, If what you save by laying off and getting your stake back is more than the percentage that you lose because the horse wins then its well worth the effort and pays in the long run. Money is hard to come by, I dont give it away easily. 

Its not hard work really, its just doing due diligence and protecting your stake whenever possible. Doesnt matter if you bet small stakes or large, back or lay a horse for a reason, its then your judgement on what to do with it in running that can decide whether a profit or loss is made. When Betfair Live Video is way behind of course then it does become more difficult and means you have to set up your lay off price pre race.

I read this and immeadiately thought of Goshen! It still stings 3 years on ...
 

Its not hard work really, its just doing due diligence and protecting your stake whenever possible. Doesnt matter if you bet small stakes or large, back or lay a horse for a reason, its then your judgement on what to do with it in running that can decide whether a profit or loss is made. When Betfair Live Video is way behind of course then it does become more difficult and means you have to set up your lay off price pre race.

Morning, there is no set price for laying off in running. If I back at 5 or 6 or so then my lay off price will be around the 1.4 to 2.18 mark, depending on how confident I am and how the race is panning out, if the fav in that race looks to be running poorly then I'll go for the lower end of the spectrum, if something looks like an abvious winner and mine cant win then I'll happily take a red if need be, better to retrieve half you stake or even a quarter than none at all. If the horse is priced between 2.2 and 3 when I back it the the lay off price will be around the 1.08 to 1.21 mark, often if BF live video is up to speed then I wont lay off if mine looks all over the winner. Of course if I'm out and about and cant be at the PC during racing then the in play lay off bets are placed pre race so cant do anything about them, if I'm at home and watching on BF Live Video then I'll place my lay off price during the race. I use Gruss for firing my bets in.

Bangor in the 2.50 I like the look of Hidalgo De Lisle currently around the 6 mark on the exchanges, he was trying to give a whopping 29lb to the winner at Sedgefiled and failed by 8 lengths, that one wass rated 100, now rated 110 after a good run in a Listed event, the 4th home that day was 21 lengths back and is rated at 105 so for Hidalgo to get in here from a mark of 108 for his handicap debut looks very generous to me. Win and place........took 6.2 for this, went off at a Bfsp of 4.81 and WON easily?
Southwell 3.15 race, Melwood Boy is currently around the 3.3 mark, slowly into his stride on debut last time out and still got to within a length of the winner finishing 3rd well clear of the 4th placed horse, the winner that day was an 83 rated horse and given that his nearest market rival tomorrow is rated just 69 (gets 5lb) makes Melwood Boy look worth a bet hoping that the experience on debut did him some good.....Took 3.05 for this, went off at a Bfsp of 2.76 and finished 3rd, didnt go low enough to trade out on.
Kempton in the 3.35 race No No Tango is the choice. He was upped in distance for handicap debut and would have got closer but for being impeded by a faller when looking to challenge, currently 6.2 on the exchanges. Win and place...........took 6 and 2.1 the place.......went off at a Bfsp of 4.9....hit a low of 2.24 in running (layed off at 2.4, stake returned) finished third giving a profit on the place.
Southwell 4.20 where Big Narstie is selected, only ever won once from 17 attempts but runs in a Class 6 for the first time tomorrow, 7 furlongs seems to be his distance and down two grades can win this, trading around the 3.25 mark........3.4 taken, ......went off at a Bfsp of 2.92................and WON ? (layed off here at 1.18.)
Bangor on Dee for the 4.35 where Well Vicky is a worthy favourite, upped in distance for her handicap debut the mare improved a stone and won going away, a penalty shouldnt stop her getting the double up,  I've taken 2.56 for this one............WON comfortably?
 
Good luck tomorrow everyone.
As always I'll be laying off low in running.

Bangor in the 2.50 I like the look of Hidalgo De Lisle currently around the 6 mark on the exchanges, he was trying to give a whopping 29lb to the winner at Sedgefiled and failed by 8 lengths, that one wass rated 100, now rated 110 after a good run in a Listed event, the 4th home that day was 21 lengths back and is rated at 105 so for Hidalgo to get in here from a mark of 108 for his handicap debut looks very generous to me. Win and place........took 6.2 for this, went off at a Bfsp of 4.81 and WON easily?
Southwell 3.15 race, Melwood Boy is currently around the 3.3 mark, slowly into his stride on debut last time out and still got to within a length of the winner finishing 3rd well clear of the 4th placed horse, the winner that day was an 83 rated horse and given that his nearest market rival tomorrow is rated just 69 (gets 5lb) makes Melwood Boy look worth a bet hoping that the experience on debut did him some good.....Took 3.05 for this, went off at a Bfsp of 2.76 and finished 3rd, didnt go low enough to trade out on.
Kempton in the 3.35 race No No Tango is the choice. He was upped in distance for handicap debut and would have got closer but for being impeded by a faller when looking to challenge, currently 6.2 on the exchanges. Win and place...........took 6 and 2.1 the place.......went off at a Bfsp of 4.9....hit a low of 2.24 in running (layed off at 2.4, stake returned) finished third giving a profit on the place.
Southwell 4.20 where Big Narstie is selected, only ever won once from 17 attempts but runs in a Class 6 for the first time tomorrow, 7 furlongs seems to be his distance and down two grades can win this, trading around the 3.25 mark........3.4 taken, ......went off at a Bfsp of 2.92................and WON ? (layed off here at 1.18.)
Bangor on Dee for the 4.35 where Well Vicky is a worthy favourite, upped in distance for her handicap debut the mare improved a stone and won going away, a penalty shouldnt stop her getting the double up,  I've taken 2.56 for this one............WON comfortably?
 
Good luck tomorrow everyone.
As always I'll be laying off low in running.

Kempton'
Patent.
2.00. Smoking Pigeon          10/3    unpl
3.00.  Killer Kane                   9/4      1st 
4.10.  Name in Lights           7/2
Good luck all.

Bangor in the 2.50 I like the look of Hidalgo De Lisle currently around the 6 mark on the exchanges, he was trying to give a whopping 29lb to the winner at Sedgefiled and failed by 8 lengths, that one wass rated 100, now rated 110 after a good run in a Listed event, the 4th home that day was 21 lengths back and is rated at 105 so for Hidalgo to get in here from a mark of 108 for his handicap debut looks very generous to me. Win and place........took 6.2 for this, went off at a Bfsp of 4.81 and WON easily?
Southwell 3.15 race, Melwood Boy is currently around the 3.3 mark, slowly into his stride on debut last time out and still got to within a length of the winner finishing 3rd well clear of the 4th placed horse, the winner that day was an 83 rated horse and given that his nearest market rival tomorrow is rated just 69 (gets 5lb) makes Melwood Boy look worth a bet hoping that the experience on debut did him some good.....Took 3.05 for this, went off at a Bfsp of 2.76 and finished 3rd, didnt go low enough to trade out on.
Kempton in the 3.35 race No No Tango is the choice. He was upped in distance for handicap debut and would have got closer but for being impeded by a faller when looking to challenge, currently 6.2 on the exchanges. Win and place...........took 6 and 2.1 the place.......went off at a Bfsp of 4.9....hit a low of 2.24 in running (layed off at 2.4, stake returned) finished third giving a profit on the place.
Southwell 4.20 where Big Narstie is selected, only ever won once from 17 attempts but runs in a Class 6 for the first time tomorrow, 7 furlongs seems to be his distance and down two grades can win this, trading around the 3.25 mark........3.4 taken, ......went off at a Bfsp of 2.92................and WON ? (layed off here at 1.18.)
Bangor on Dee for the 4.35 where Well Vicky is a worthy favourite, upped in distance for her handicap debut the mare improved a stone and won going away, a penalty shouldnt stop her getting the double up,  I've taken 2.56 for this one............WON comfortably?
 
Good luck tomorrow everyone.
As always I'll be laying off low in running.

Earl Of Tyrone is an interesting Stable Switcher in the 8.00 Kempton, placed in the Ebor last year, around the 4.1 mark..........stayed on well and WON nicely ?
 
Good luck.

Earl of Tyrone a nice winner ? went off at a Bfsp of 4.44, happy days.

Earl of Tyrone a nice winner ? went off at a Bfsp of 4.44, happy days.