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Sporting Sam

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  1. Like
    Sporting Sam reacted to Antonio Margarettii in Racing chat-sunday 5th November   
    1:15 curragh - conversant 16/1
    2:25 curragh - saltonstall 10/1
    4:10 curragh - cornmarket 200/1 ew
    good luck fellas 
  2. Like
    Sporting Sam reacted to black rabbit in Racing chat-sunday 5th November   
    Pedrito                                             2 50 Duvl/                        1/40th of a pt ew     16/1
  3. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from yossa6133 in The Breeders Cup- Santa Anita Friday & Saturday.   
    No wonder Aidan O’Brien was happy to do the popes bidding last night as it gave his runners a huge advantage.
    same story tonight with the absence of both runners either side.
    win
    Auguste Rodin
    win
     
    should win easily 
    for exactly the same reasons stable mste
    BROOME
    each way
    has an outstanding chance if not sacrificing advantage by pacesetting here.
  4. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from Brahmin in The Breeders Cup- Santa Anita Friday & Saturday.   
    No wonder Aidan O’Brien was happy to do the popes bidding last night as it gave his runners a huge advantage.
    same story tonight with the absence of both runners either side.
    win
    Auguste Rodin
    win
     
    should win easily 
    for exactly the same reasons stable mste
    BROOME
    each way
    has an outstanding chance if not sacrificing advantage by pacesetting here.
  5. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from Brahmin in The Breeders Cup- Santa Anita Friday & Saturday.   
    2110
    I’m happy to use the breeders cup here and stick my neck out and identify two horses who may run well one of them because of free energy from two distinct sources.
    Idiomatic and clairiere have similar chances but the massive amounts of free energy heading to the stall of idiomatic swings it in her favour.
    Idiomatic
    Win
    Clairiere
    Each way
    Clairiere has been touched off in this race twice losing by a nose. chance remains but will elude again unless bull is grabbed by the horns here and it is not out of the question at all.
  6. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from Brahmin in The Breeders Cup- Santa Anita Friday & Saturday.   
    9:50
    goodnight olive
    yuguri
    win
    Meikei Yell
    each way
  7. Thanks
    Sporting Sam reacted to Brahmin in The Breeders Cup- Santa Anita Friday & Saturday.   
    Off to a great start at Breeders this evening..........Silver Knott @ 3/1 and  Seal Team 6/1 EW   WON 
     Zozos  9/2            Fev Rover 16/1 EW        4 places
     Inspiral 9/4    WON         
     Goodnight Olive  5/4  WON 
      Mawj  4/1  ( Adeles nap from ITV )        Songline  7/2                  Shirls Speight  33/1 EW             Lucky Score  80/1 EW              4 places 
     Idiomatic  2/1    WON                Randomized  7/1 EW     2nd
     Auguste Rodin  9/4   WON   ( our main bet 👍 )               Mostahdaf  11/4 
     
            5 WINS  🏆 🏆 🏆 🏆 🏆 and 1 place soooo we very happy.......sooo with this afternoons wins/ profit we had great day 🐎 💷 
     
  8. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from calva decoy in The Breeders Cup- Santa Anita Friday & Saturday.   
    Excellent stats and a real eye opener for those playing the patriotic punt in pounds and Euro’s. The Irish horses always seemed to find that little bit extra out here and I wonder what percentage of that tiny number of winners go to them? The playing field was levelled by lassix previously.  other than home track knowledge I’d fancy superior medication continues to strongly favour the American runners, but I don’t think Japan are very far behind on that score. We can eat horses of course and still do  (knowingly or otherwise) but I fancy we’d be bulked up immensely if some of these were dished up in an Egon Ronay  house in the future.
  9. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from Bedlam in The Breeders Cup- Santa Anita Friday & Saturday.   
    Excellent stats and a real eye opener for those playing the patriotic punt in pounds and Euro’s. The Irish horses always seemed to find that little bit extra out here and I wonder what percentage of that tiny number of winners go to them? The playing field was levelled by lassix previously.  other than home track knowledge I’d fancy superior medication continues to strongly favour the American runners, but I don’t think Japan are very far behind on that score. We can eat horses of course and still do  (knowingly or otherwise) but I fancy we’d be bulked up immensely if some of these were dished up in an Egon Ronay  house in the future.
  10. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from black rabbit in The Breeders Cup- Santa Anita Friday & Saturday.   
    Excellent stats and a real eye opener for those playing the patriotic punt in pounds and Euro’s. The Irish horses always seemed to find that little bit extra out here and I wonder what percentage of that tiny number of winners go to them? The playing field was levelled by lassix previously.  other than home track knowledge I’d fancy superior medication continues to strongly favour the American runners, but I don’t think Japan are very far behind on that score. We can eat horses of course and still do  (knowingly or otherwise) but I fancy we’d be bulked up immensely if some of these were dished up in an Egon Ronay  house in the future.
  11. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from Zilzalian in The Breeders Cup- Santa Anita Friday & Saturday.   
    Excellent stats and a real eye opener for those playing the patriotic punt in pounds and Euro’s. The Irish horses always seemed to find that little bit extra out here and I wonder what percentage of that tiny number of winners go to them? The playing field was levelled by lassix previously.  other than home track knowledge I’d fancy superior medication continues to strongly favour the American runners, but I don’t think Japan are very far behind on that score. We can eat horses of course and still do  (knowingly or otherwise) but I fancy we’d be bulked up immensely if some of these were dished up in an Egon Ronay  house in the future.
  12. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Thursday 2nd November   
    Round up
    thurles thurles thurles!!!
    Dragons pass
    won 20/1
    chelmsford
    the french horse winning was the only unquantifiable factor and denied selection got no dollars by a narrow margin. The physics was spot on and that was emphasised next race when
     
    MASTERCLASS
    won 3/1
    won well. Masterclass’s previous win was over got no dollars.( no coincidence)
    bay of Naples ( each way 3rd)
    I did win the last on Moogie  won evens
    but clicked the button and up came the previous post instead of the selection!! Pleased the physics is working.
     
     
  13. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing Chat - Thursday 2nd November   
    Round up
    thurles thurles thurles!!!
    Dragons pass
    won 20/1
    chelmsford
    the french horse winning was the only unquantifiable factor and denied selection got no dollars by a narrow margin. The physics was spot on and that was emphasised next race when
     
    MASTERCLASS
    won 3/1
    won well. Masterclass’s previous win was over got no dollars.( no coincidence)
    bay of Naples ( each way 3rd)
    I did win the last on Moogie  won evens
    but clicked the button and up came the previous post instead of the selection!! Pleased the physics is working.
     
     
  14. Thanks
    Sporting Sam reacted to Bang on in Racing Chat - Thursday 2nd November   
    Suanni - WON 9/2
    Confederation - Lost
  15. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from Bedlam in Racing Chat - Thursday 2nd November   
    Missed break and it is a case of “ see you in handicaps 👋.
    Thurles thurles thurles
    1515
    BROOMFIELDS HALL
    Win
    Weighted to do so as top weight and with the added free energy could cause a big suprise here. If not….
    ATIMETODREAM
    Win
    ready winner last time handicapper taking no chances and looks the one to beat on potential.  Rachael Blackmore rides for Henry De Bromhead and wins or nothing else 
    Faux fur
    Each way
    Handicap debut and middle weight
    Unpredictable Gordon Elliott horse but Jordan gainford up and easily won maiden hurdle.

    Dragons pass
    each way
    the new bottom weight and has Sam Ewing on board who has a stunning record when not riding for Gordon Elliott. Jockey of this horse was an unlucky loser when just squeezed out last time in a race where jockey was hit by a rival on board Gerdarme when horses came together on tight bend. Gendarme’s  (6th) jockey a mr P. Brynes suspended for 12 days as a result. Either benefits from absence of bottom weight or adversely affected by it.
    COMBINATION TRICAST
  16. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Thursday 2nd November   
    Missed break and it is a case of “ see you in handicaps 👋.
    Thurles thurles thurles
    1515
    BROOMFIELDS HALL
    Win
    Weighted to do so as top weight and with the added free energy could cause a big suprise here. If not….
    ATIMETODREAM
    Win
    ready winner last time handicapper taking no chances and looks the one to beat on potential.  Rachael Blackmore rides for Henry De Bromhead and wins or nothing else 
    Faux fur
    Each way
    Handicap debut and middle weight
    Unpredictable Gordon Elliott horse but Jordan gainford up and easily won maiden hurdle.

    Dragons pass
    each way
    the new bottom weight and has Sam Ewing on board who has a stunning record when not riding for Gordon Elliott. Jockey of this horse was an unlucky loser when just squeezed out last time in a race where jockey was hit by a rival on board Gerdarme when horses came together on tight bend. Gendarme’s  (6th) jockey a mr P. Brynes suspended for 12 days as a result. Either benefits from absence of bottom weight or adversely affected by it.
    COMBINATION TRICAST
  17. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from MCLARKE in RACING CHAT WEDNESDAY 1st NOVEMBER   
    Good luck with these this evening, intruiging statistics. 👍 
  18. Like
    Sporting Sam reacted to MCLARKE in RACING CHAT WEDNESDAY 1st NOVEMBER   
    I haven't had the time to update my systems so I'll just stick to a 5 year old system, as November and December are the 2 best months.
    A profit has been made over the last 8 years by backing the selections blind (to proportional stakes) with a profit made in each of the last 4 years. The AE is 1.05.
    I have added some criteria to reduce the number of selections, the main ones being
    Forecast odds < 50/1
    Career starts < 18
    Not top weight
    In the last 8 years there have been 2,137 winners from 16,043 winners with a profit of 1,410 points at BSP. The AE is 1.10.
    2 this evening

     
  19. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from MCLARKE in RACING CHAT WEDNESDAY 1st NOVEMBER   
    I’m glad October is over!
    my endless pursuit of winners is over.
    WATCHYA
    Kempton park
    1845
    I’m after winners as always but as with my recent picks I’m using the physics more and more. Some nice winners at Newcastle the last two nights along with decent forecast on the first night.
    Sydney Bay won  again on second run for new yard and still has a ton in hand.
    Aberama gold form popped up last night through Tim Easterby’s  Snash who was completing a Yorkshire four timer over catterick and Newcastle.
    It comes up again tonight at kempton as watchya tipped up by black rabbit runs he goes off a low mark he drops in class and on the physics side should go well under traverse law ( free energy)  which he is guaranteed to be receiving and Neil callan booked and first time headgear dispensed with. The only issue about this horse unknown is wether the earplugs will be used tonight I’m guessing as it’s not a big race in a huge field they won’t be needed tonight . I’m backing  him each way as there’s a long way before all the factors are known as I’ve said before. It’s  good to get an early price, but much about how the race cannot be known until five or ten minutes before the off. Weather and track conditions and the field and markets as well as jockey changes all come into play in the final half hour and any withdrawals can and will affect horses behaviour and performance (even before they enter the stalls) That’s especially so at Dundalk where the whole shape of the race can be influenced by the reserves who are all factored into the race by the weights and the draw ( wether they run or not).  Final word on Dundalk check the results to bear this out. Good luck with your betting this November, with the breeders cup the Melbourne  cup and big jumps meetings in Britain and Ireland  it is going to be one hellaver ride.
     
  20. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from Bedlam in RACING CHAT WEDNESDAY 1st NOVEMBER   
    Mombetsu 1140
    holyhock
    win
    Traminor
    reverse forecast
    holyhock has to try and reverse a defeat from traminor when they met but has won four times recently 
    *
    HAPPY VALLEY
    1240
    free foal 🐎 
    each way
    fearless fire 🔥 
    win
    both down to winning marks 
  21. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from yossa6133 in RACING CHAT WEDNESDAY 1st NOVEMBER   
    I’m glad October is over!
    my endless pursuit of winners is over.
    WATCHYA
    Kempton park
    1845
    I’m after winners as always but as with my recent picks I’m using the physics more and more. Some nice winners at Newcastle the last two nights along with decent forecast on the first night.
    Sydney Bay won  again on second run for new yard and still has a ton in hand.
    Aberama gold form popped up last night through Tim Easterby’s  Snash who was completing a Yorkshire four timer over catterick and Newcastle.
    It comes up again tonight at kempton as watchya tipped up by black rabbit runs he goes off a low mark he drops in class and on the physics side should go well under traverse law ( free energy)  which he is guaranteed to be receiving and Neil callan booked and first time headgear dispensed with. The only issue about this horse unknown is wether the earplugs will be used tonight I’m guessing as it’s not a big race in a huge field they won’t be needed tonight . I’m backing  him each way as there’s a long way before all the factors are known as I’ve said before. It’s  good to get an early price, but much about how the race cannot be known until five or ten minutes before the off. Weather and track conditions and the field and markets as well as jockey changes all come into play in the final half hour and any withdrawals can and will affect horses behaviour and performance (even before they enter the stalls) That’s especially so at Dundalk where the whole shape of the race can be influenced by the reserves who are all factored into the race by the weights and the draw ( wether they run or not).  Final word on Dundalk check the results to bear this out. Good luck with your betting this November, with the breeders cup the Melbourne  cup and big jumps meetings in Britain and Ireland  it is going to be one hellaver ride.
     
  22. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from black rabbit in RACING CHAT WEDNESDAY 1st NOVEMBER   
    I’m glad October is over!
    my endless pursuit of winners is over.
    WATCHYA
    Kempton park
    1845
    I’m after winners as always but as with my recent picks I’m using the physics more and more. Some nice winners at Newcastle the last two nights along with decent forecast on the first night.
    Sydney Bay won  again on second run for new yard and still has a ton in hand.
    Aberama gold form popped up last night through Tim Easterby’s  Snash who was completing a Yorkshire four timer over catterick and Newcastle.
    It comes up again tonight at kempton as watchya tipped up by black rabbit runs he goes off a low mark he drops in class and on the physics side should go well under traverse law ( free energy)  which he is guaranteed to be receiving and Neil callan booked and first time headgear dispensed with. The only issue about this horse unknown is wether the earplugs will be used tonight I’m guessing as it’s not a big race in a huge field they won’t be needed tonight . I’m backing  him each way as there’s a long way before all the factors are known as I’ve said before. It’s  good to get an early price, but much about how the race cannot be known until five or ten minutes before the off. Weather and track conditions and the field and markets as well as jockey changes all come into play in the final half hour and any withdrawals can and will affect horses behaviour and performance (even before they enter the stalls) That’s especially so at Dundalk where the whole shape of the race can be influenced by the reserves who are all factored into the race by the weights and the draw ( wether they run or not).  Final word on Dundalk check the results to bear this out. Good luck with your betting this November, with the breeders cup the Melbourne  cup and big jumps meetings in Britain and Ireland  it is going to be one hellaver ride.
     
  23. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from Bedlam in RACING CHAT WEDNESDAY 1st NOVEMBER   
    I’m glad October is over!
    my endless pursuit of winners is over.
    WATCHYA
    Kempton park
    1845
    I’m after winners as always but as with my recent picks I’m using the physics more and more. Some nice winners at Newcastle the last two nights along with decent forecast on the first night.
    Sydney Bay won  again on second run for new yard and still has a ton in hand.
    Aberama gold form popped up last night through Tim Easterby’s  Snash who was completing a Yorkshire four timer over catterick and Newcastle.
    It comes up again tonight at kempton as watchya tipped up by black rabbit runs he goes off a low mark he drops in class and on the physics side should go well under traverse law ( free energy)  which he is guaranteed to be receiving and Neil callan booked and first time headgear dispensed with. The only issue about this horse unknown is wether the earplugs will be used tonight I’m guessing as it’s not a big race in a huge field they won’t be needed tonight . I’m backing  him each way as there’s a long way before all the factors are known as I’ve said before. It’s  good to get an early price, but much about how the race cannot be known until five or ten minutes before the off. Weather and track conditions and the field and markets as well as jockey changes all come into play in the final half hour and any withdrawals can and will affect horses behaviour and performance (even before they enter the stalls) That’s especially so at Dundalk where the whole shape of the race can be influenced by the reserves who are all factored into the race by the weights and the draw ( wether they run or not).  Final word on Dundalk check the results to bear this out. Good luck with your betting this November, with the breeders cup the Melbourne  cup and big jumps meetings in Britain and Ireland  it is going to be one hellaver ride.
     
  24. Like
    Sporting Sam reacted to black rabbit in RACING CHAT WEDNESDAY 1st NOVEMBER   
    Storm Steps                                                                 5 35 Dun/                             1/40th of a pt ew    28/1
    Watchya                                                                       6 45 Kem/                             1/40th of a pt ew    16/1
  25. Like
    Sporting Sam got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing chat-Tuesday 31st October   
    previous 
    Withdrawn horse and would have hot third at best.
    newcastle
    1945
    SNASH
    win
    this ought to be snash  and grab for this Easterby runner who boasts a 2/3 record on the all weather.
    won here off a mark of 94 in a class three for Charlie hills other win was at wolves and ran seventh here in a racing league contest  in August where the results are taken with a large pinch of salt. Take that into consideration and he’s essentially unbeaten here.
    Big drop in class after 9 th at Doncaster 
    small win on
    Bella kopella
    win
    just in case but form Easterby  in likely not needed
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