Sporting Sam

G.Liner takes fifth place at Sha Tin and sky bet paid each way five places
That’s it for me with Hong Kong until the season settles down. Had plenty of success there in the past but the inconsistency of results means this is the wrong time of year to dip in and out of the meetings.slap my wrists if I do one over there before the end of the month.
back to national hunt for the first time this autumn and in
Cheltenham’s opener 
Tellherthename
win
can take this maiden hurdle.
To all intents and purposes this runner is essentially “unbeaten” having fought out a two horse rallying finish with the very well regarded Jango Baie of Nicky Henderson’s at Ascot. Both horses looked listed class that day and given it was a novice hurdle this represents a drop in class whatever the grade. With an Irish raider rated 119 after going handicapping I’d rate the selection 125 easily and save  for that schooling defeat was an impressive point to point winner and the 200k fee looked well worth it at Ascot.
 

Not racing but cricket 
you  have but four minutes to act on this advice!!
fill your boots….
 
World Cup final 
India vs Australia 
Australia to Take a Wicket in India 1st 5 Overs @ 11/8
Sky bet 

Latin is not my strong point. 😁
I try to keep things fairly simple, too much information tends to muddy the waters, and make you question yourself. I don't look at races with too big a field, they are complicated and take up a lot of time. I also disregard certain race types, I'm not a fan of non professional jockey races .. Apprentice, Amateur, Gentleman, Lady etc. I know they have to learn to race ride, just not with my money on. I used to focus on non-handicaps, but handicaps tend to be much better prices ( I don't back odds on, except for football). 
Everyone has their own way of picking winners, and I am always looking for a new approach, you need to be comfortable with the price of winners and losing runs that you find. I did used to have a non-handicap method that had a very high strike rate  but prices were odds on with a few exceptions and a few losers could set you back to the beginning. It just wasn't worth the effort. You really need to record as much detail as possible with your selections, it will then become a little clearer that certain 'types' or 'factors' are not helping at all. Good luck with your selections.

Chelmsford  round up.
Rogue Thunder Won
Adace     Won
Darlo   pride    Won
All won by  clear distances.
 
Q Twenty boy was second to Darlo pride and was advised to back each way

I like Chelmsford Richard. Bad horses and outfits rarely win there. 

A) - 6.00 Chelm - Riot - 3/1 (bet365)
      7.30 Chelm - Maxzeno - 6/4
-----------------
B) - 1.25 Sedge - The King of May - 15/8 ( bet365)

Chelmsford  round up.
Rogue Thunder Won
Adace     Won
Darlo   pride    Won
All won by  clear distances.
 
Q Twenty boy was second to Darlo pride and was advised to back each way

Chelmsford  round up.
Rogue Thunder Won
Adace     Won
Darlo   pride    Won
All won by  clear distances.
 
Q Twenty boy was second to Darlo pride and was advised to back each way

Chelmsford 2030
 
TAMLUCK
MY OPINION
BIG NARSTIE
Combination tricast
Tamluck
my opinion
both win
BIG NARSTIE
each way
traverse law and draw data the influences here. Draw data says stall five but stall seven won this race just two years ago. TAMLUCK drops in class to six for the first time. Looks to hold every chance here. Tamluck has rocketed down the ratings and runs here off a career low on drop in class and stands to make a bold bid….

Mr Richard you are going great guns there.
chelmsford 2000
draw data
Average  stall for winners stands at 9.33
True statesman 
see you boy
both each way

Chelmsford 1900
different tone
win
on  a strict line through  Waterloo sunset (who was beaten easily at leafy by the selection ) and then won impressively at kempton, different tone could relish the trip and despite expectations of the other favourite could prove different class here.

Chelmsford 
poinros
chain of command
both win
TURING
Each way

Newcastle 1440
Two well bred types here and
Lions House
Win
And
Sir Garfield
Each way
Wouldn’t need to be anything out of the ordinary to be involved here.
Breeding and potential could well trump form here.

Chelmsford 2030
 
TAMLUCK
MY OPINION
BIG NARSTIE
Combination tricast
Tamluck
my opinion
both win
BIG NARSTIE
each way
traverse law and draw data the influences here. Draw data says stall five but stall seven won this race just two years ago. TAMLUCK drops in class to six for the first time. Looks to hold every chance here. Tamluck has rocketed down the ratings and runs here off a career low on drop in class and stands to make a bold bid….

Mr Richard you are going great guns there.
chelmsford 2000
draw data
Average  stall for winners stands at 9.33
True statesman 
see you boy
both each way

Cuban does the business .....finished +100.00 on the day 😀

Newcastle 1440
Two well bred types here and
Lions House
Win
And
Sir Garfield
Each way
Wouldn’t need to be anything out of the ordinary to be involved here.
Breeding and potential could well trump form here.

A day of reflection but happiness all the same and in paying respects to a lost comrade I’ve had a day/afternoon at his ceremony. An old rugby and workmate and taken way too young.
Mr Blue sky was his chosen anthem and he set his clock to it!
Not a sad day but one to celebrate.
DUNDALK 2030
Static charge
kiwi kiss
both each way
THE BOG BANK WIN

Araifan - WON
-----------
Stay Smart - Lost
Shadowfax - WON 10/3

A day of reflection but happiness all the same and in paying respects to a lost comrade I’ve had a day/afternoon at his ceremony. An old rugby and workmate and taken way too young.
Mr Blue sky was his chosen anthem and he set his clock to it!
Not a sad day but one to celebrate.
DUNDALK 2030
Static charge
kiwi kiss
both each way
THE BOG BANK WIN

Kempton park
2000
draw data
Read all about it!!
Oisin Murphy rides
PAGE THREE
Win
for the first time and looks on an attractive mark here and on the draw data is a good fancy.
an equal chance is given to 
Niarbyl Bay
win
the each way runner in this race is
JUST IN TIME
Each way
and for  Sir Mark Todd looks a very interesting runner.
 

thanks @The Equaliser.
I’ve been waiting to get October out of the way. I set myself a target of forty winners for that month and it was so unnecessary and distracted from the task at hand, the physics and it’s place in racing. So, no targets this month other than to find more Alexander qualifiers and cover many less races in doing so. A hard race to call the Melbourne cup but due to its size and the class of race, the weights and the draw, there should be physics at work. One absence may well bring a most unlikely runner into contention…..

Wolverhampton 2030
wilde and Dandy
win
college wizard
each way
The lucky last there is a double bubble of traverse law and free energy.
Two horses come to the fore here. Christine Dunnett is often the fall guy in these low grade affairs and it is not until they reach a really low rating they pop up at Yarmouth or satellite track Newmarket at a huge price. 
But as bottom weight straight after hallowe’en this could turn out to be a nightmare for the layers if the physics kicks in……

Wolverhampton 2030
wilde and Dandy
win
college wizard
each way
The lucky last there is a double bubble of traverse law and free energy.
Two horses come to the fore here. Christine Dunnett is often the fall guy in these low grade affairs and it is not until they reach a really low rating they pop up at Yarmouth or satellite track Newmarket at a huge price. 
But as bottom weight straight after hallowe’en this could turn out to be a nightmare for the layers if the physics kicks in……

The curragh 3:00
falcon eight 
win
unlucky run into Magellan strait in the Cambridgeshire and up half a stone may not be enough to prevent this game runner duly landing compensation. Second time round always different and chance may have gone already but top rated and if coping with the rise may be enough of a challenge for the field. Was very unlucky last time and chances here if getting the rub of the  green stuff.
cork 3:15
the cork national a big stable switcher and another top rated runner as
DOL KIER 
Each way
Moves in-house for Gigginstown and jockey booking looks an interesting one. Unable to complete in the Liverpool grand national but has the trip and the fight time of year for this winning pointer now suprise to see bold showing on debut for Gordon Elliott with none of the normal shenanigans from this yard as too fitness and such like as this one comes “ oven ready “ with instructions from connections on jockey booking and best running conditions. No excuses here.