Stanimal
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Posts posted by Stanimal
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2 hours ago, sterziyskii said:
I feel like I'm in such a black hole currently, always choosing 1 wrong match so I'll trust you today guys. What else to play with Ruud and Zverev? I think Lehecka will beat Arnaldi or Wawrinka?
Wawrinka will smash baena. Good luck!
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5 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Im Romanian and i m sure that isnt true.
Halep is a player that dont cheat. We saw this especially on court.
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For today i see value on Kudermetova.
Im Romanian and also big fan of Halep, but i think she s lucky being in second round. Had a lot of problems last night with his left foot and she said that is very tired.
2.50 for kudermetova is a nice odd. Far better and experienced than potapova.
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For today i like Garcia 2-0 against Bogdan. 1.90 (local bet)
Garcia is close to her best game and cant see bogdan making her match hard.
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11 hours ago, Torque said:
So Nadal withdraws. I knew that was a risk when I backed him again so no regrets.
If you took him against kyrgios they would give you your money back, right? Sorry for my english, im not native.
What do you think about nole today? Will be a walk in a park?
From what i saw from norrie against goffin than we should see 3-0 for Novak
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1 hour ago, Torque said:
I'm closing my outright book on the Women's side with a final bet on Jabeur. She's behind Halep in the betting, but I think she's worth backing again as she's the most likely to make the final and Rybakina could beat Halep if she serves well. I'm also going to add to my position on Nadal on the Men's side as his price has drifted like a barge. That's understandable given his injury concerns, but he's had those concerns since the French Open started and has been able to manage them. It's possible of course that his latest setback with his ribs will be a step too far, but I'm not prepared to count him out and Kyrgios in the next round is winnable provided he has at least some degree of fitness.
35pts Jabeur to win WTA Wimbledon @ 2.43 Betfair Exchange
20pts Nadal to win ATP Wimbledon @ 13.25 Betfair Exchange
I don't know if is true or not, but Fognini would have said this about Nadal. " Guys, stop believing what you read"
Actually he said that. Found that on his instagram stories ?
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Guys what do you think about Bagnis vs Thiem? 1,75 for Dominic. He played good against misolic ( he is a young prospect and was in a very good form)
For today i have this picks : nishioka, galfi, halep, ram/salisbury, mektic/pavic, struff/demoliner and thiem.
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3 hours ago, Torque said:
For today I've got three more outright bets, a boosted treble and an acca. I can see all of the favourites winning today and the treble has three of them in it, whilst the acca has all four as its base.
10pts Nadal to win ATP Wimbledon @ 7.08 Betfair Exchange
15pts Kyrgios to win ATP Wimbledon @ 14.72 Betfair Exchange
25pts Halep to win WTA Wimbledon @ 2.92 Betfair Exchange
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10pts Halep x Kyrgios x Nadal @ 2.99 365
10pts Halep x Kyrgios x Nadal x Rybakina x Djokovic x Jabeur @ 4.44 365
I have a bad feeling about Nadal. Fritz seems to be at his best and nadal didnt impressed me against botic.
I have halep, rybakina, kyrgios, mertens / zhang and collins for today.
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1 hour ago, Torque said:
So here we are again. It's summer and that means the return of the pristine green lawns of SW19. For the first day, I've got an outright, a load of singles, a double, a boosted double and a multiple comprised of lots of short prices.
Starting off with the outright, I can't see any reason not to back Djokovic. The only other players in single figures in the betting are Berrettini and Nadal and I don't see either of them taking the title. Berrettini has the best shot as he has all the tools to succeed on grass, but he was dismantled pretty easily by Djokovic in the final last year despite winning the first set and I don't think much has changed since then. I also think it's easy to draw a line through Nadal - it took injections for him to win the French and without them and despite treatment to alleviate his foot problem I don't think his body will be able to cope with the rigours of another Slam so soon.
I'm backing a lot of singles and most of them are underdogs, which means it's likely there will be a lot of losers. Obviously I believe that there will be enough winners for a profit to be made, but this is always a risky strategy with lots of ups and downs and so if anyone is following please bet accordingly. Having said that, I am backing one player at short odds and that's Haddad Maia. It's impossible to ignore the form that she's in and whilst I don't think she'll win the title, she should make the second week at least with the way that she's playing. Her opponent Juvan is a good young prospect and she got a good result here last year when she beat Bencic, but I think she'll struggle to deal with Haddad Maia's lefty game which can force players way off the court and which creates different angles to most other players.
There are two players that are around even money that I like and that's Baez and Bouzkova. Baez plays Daniel and neither player would classify grass as their favourite surface, but what swings me towards Baez is that he's the more talented player and he appears to have made strides on the green stuff with a win over Thompson in Mallorca last week. Bouzkova takes on Collins and in normal circumstances I'd have this down as a routine win for Collins, but as she's not played since the French Open and bearing in mind the physical issues she's been experiencing this year it's possible she isn't fully fit. If that's the case then Bouzkova has a good chance of getting the win.
Next up is a cluster of players around the 2 to 1 mark - Burrage, Inglis, Bronzetti and Tomova. Burrage takes on Tsurenko and after a good showing in Eastbourne last week she should be feeling good about her chances, particularly as Tsurenko withdrew from the same tournament due to injury. Inglis is up against Galfi and from a form perspective I can see why Galfi is the favourite, but she shouldn't be such a big favourite in my eyes. Inglis has come through qualifying and whilst it's fair to say she laboured somewhat, three wins in a row is always good for confidence. She showed earlier in the year that she's not afraid of the big stage with a good run at home at the AO and I think she can compete here. Bronzetti should have a good chance of an upset win against Li, as her opponent has been on the end of a couple of heavy defeats on grass in recent weeks and she's had injury problems in recent months. Tomova could also cause an upset against Saville, after finding some form on grass last week in Eastbourne. Wins over Rogers and Flipkens, combined with a disappointing loss for Saville against Miyazaki at the same tournament might mean this match is closer than expected.
The last two singles are firmly in the realm of speculative, as I'm backing both Dodin and Coria. Dodin plays against Ostapenko and that's a thankless task on the face of it with Ostapenko coming off a final appearance in Eastbourne and playing well. However, Ostapenko has been wildly inconsistent for years now and whilst her big-hitting game was working last week as she painted line after line and kept unforced errors low, a repeat at this tournament is by no means guaranteed. With Ostapenko it's boom or bust and if she plays like she did last week then Dodin stands little chance, but if she busts and starts missing her shots then Dodin might only need to keep the ball in the court to win. Coria is a massive underdog against Vesely and whilst I don't dispute that Vesely should win and most likely easily, the fact is he's done next to nothing on tour since his surprise run to the final in Dubai at the start of the year. He doesn't have the best injury record either and I'd certainly be nervous if I was backing him at such a short price.
That's the singles taken care of so time to move on to the doubles and the multiple. The first double is Haddad Maia paired with Opelka. I've written about Haddad Maia already and I'm putting Opelka with her because even though his price is short, I think it should be shorter. Taberner isn't suited to grass at all and although Opelka lost the two matches he played on grass ahead of this tournament, he was beaten by Cressy and De Minaur who are both good players on the surface. Opelka should be able to account for Taberner easily enough.
The second double is boosted and it's Raducanu and Murray. Raducanu is underdog against Van Uytvanck and that's understandable given her injury problems and difficult season so far, however she'll have the support of the crowd and the adrenaline rush that provides, plus a desire I'm sure to make up for last year. Van Uytvanck is a tough player to face on grass, but she's not a world-beater and Raducanu was beating players of her ilk here last year. If she can find a way to manage her physical issues I think she'll make the next round. Murray has also been struggling with injury ahead of his match against Duckworth, but like Raducanu I expect his surroundings to inspire him. Duckworth actually has a decent record on grass and so might not be a pushover despite what the odds say, but I can't see him winning this even with that and Murray's injury problems in mind. Finally there's the multiple which is made up of short odds, with the largest being Haddad Maia's. There's not much to say about each pick except they are all players that play well on grass, or are in form, or are priced a little higher than I think they should be.
25pts Djokovic to win ATP Wimbledon @ 1.90 Betfair Exchange
90pts Haddad Maia to beat Juvan @ 1.30 365
30pts Baez to beat Daniel @ 1.91 Boyles
20pts Bouzkova to beat Collins @ 2.20 365
20pts Burrage to beat Tsurenko @ 3.00 365
25pts Inglis to beat Galfi @ 3.20 Boyles
15pts Bronzetti to beat Li @ 3.00 365
50pts Tomova to beat Saville @ 3.00 Boyles
5pts Dodin to beat Ostapenko @ 7.00 Boyles
15pts Coria to beat Vesely @ 13.00 365
10pts Haddad Maia x Opelka @ 1.51 365
10pts Raducanu x Murray @ 3.12 365
10pts Kalinina x Mannarino x Haddad Maia x Hurkacz x Ruud x Tiafoe x Otte x Van Rijthoven x Opelka x Kanepi x Mertens x Linette x Kerber x Riske @ 9.27 365
Coria played yesterday on clay + he is very bad on grass.
Cant see him taking at least 1 set..
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5 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
@StanimalShould happen, of course, but Zverev can lose focus for a set as always.
Also what do you think about Aliassime - 1,5 sets, khakhanov and gauff?
I also like vekic odds, but her serve from quali make me stay away. (26 double faults if i remember corectly)
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19 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
Alright, it's the French Open time!
Who Will Go Further - Novak Djokovic to beat Carlos Alcaraz at 1.90 with Bet365
Despite Alcaraz being such a great force recently, I think that Djokovic is the stronger player in the Bo5 format still and that he has an edge going into this tournament. His Rome performance was much better than in Madrid and I think that he's peaking for the occasion, while Alcaraz is bound to receive a setback at some point, it just happens that way more often than not. At 1.90, this looks worth a shot to me.
Ons Jabeur to win the 3rd quarter at 3.50 with Bet365
Jil Teichmann to win the 4th quarter at 8.00 with Bet365
Two in-form players and the withdrawal from Teichmann in Rome looked more like a precaution to me. Two wilder punts, of course, but I like the odds.
Aslan Karatsev to beat Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 1.75 with BetVictor
It's form against class here, and I'll go with class. Karatsev has to start caring finally and, honestly, many of the matches he's lost on clay so far were reasonably tight and against tougher opposition than Carabelli. With so much on the line, I think there's every chance he'll raise his level and show his class again. Wouldn't back below 1.57.
Donna Vekic to beat Mirjam Bjorklund at 1.57 with Pinnacle
While I'm not ecstatic to back Vekic, I think this is a good price for her to continue her resurgence against Bjorklund, who'll be making a GS debut and who should find this more challenging than Buzarnescu, who Bjorklund beat to qualify in a pretty wild match that could've gone either way despite the scoreline.
Stanislas Warinka to beat Corentin Moutet at 1.70 with Pinnacle
Wawrinka was struggling and, to be fair, we still don't know if he can last 5 sets. Moutet has been pretty awful recently, though, and he can be all over the place when things stop going his way. I've seen some of Moutet's recent matches and the odds just seem to be too favorable for him to my liking.
Nuria Parrizas-Diaz (-1.5 sets) to beat Leolia Jeanjean at 1.67 with Pinnacle
This looks like one of the bigger WTA mismatches in the first round, Jeanjean has no results at all at this level and there's every chance that she'll just error herself out. NPD has made a lot of progress recently and has plenty of experience with these match-ups.
Christian Garin to beat Tommy Paul at 1.80 with Unibet
Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Maxime Cressy at 1.42 with Pinnacle
David Goffin (-1.5 sets) to beat Jiri Lehecka at 1.78 with UnibetNot much to be said for these one honestly, I think that the odds are just about worth it, but wouldn't go much below, particularly on Garin. Lehecka was awful last time out and Goffin has already beaten him in this season, while Cressy just shouldn't do this unless Basilashvili breaks mentally.
What do you think about zverev 3 0 against ofner?
Also.. Wawrinka need to end in 3 or 4 against moutet.. If will be pushed in 5 i see moutet winning. (Wawrinka is my only fav player from men)
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7 hours ago, raduvlad1995 said:
shapovalov realy starts to remind me more and more of wawrinka, such talented shotmakers marked by mental frailty and inconsistency.
3 time grand slam champion compared with this kid.. He reminds me of youznhy (his coach/ex coach)
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1 hour ago, CzechPunter said:
He's always been fitter than he looked!
I think he will finish the line. With opelka he was almost done but found a way to win. Djere is probably betting on Wawrinka also. Plus.. We know wawrinka can blow everyone of the court if is on mood.
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1 hour ago, raduvlad1995 said:
opinions on rune -zandschulp ? and tiafoe baez...I think tiafoe can definetly beat baez dunno why the odds are so inflated for him, did he get injured or smth against korda ?
Probably he have that big odd cause he propably is tired.. All matches have been 2-1
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1 hour ago, carina007 said:
How can Opelka be favorite against Otte?
Opelka on clay?
Check out Houston. ?
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4 hours ago, raduvlad1995 said:
great night last night had zverev and alcaraz to win and over 20,5 on fritz kecmanovic....alcaraz is truly amazing and something else, future all time great guaranteed.
The future nr 1 in my eyes. No one from this 'new' generation can challenge him on clay even on slow hard courts in the next seasons(if he stays healthy) . Just 18 years old.. ?
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4 hours ago, raduvlad1995 said:
you romanian man ? and yeah I ve seen , vintage stan
Da. Sunt constănțean. ?
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1 minute ago, neilovan said:
I just saw on bet 365 Mlandanovic getting drilled 6-0 2nd set after holding a 4-1 lead in the 1st set and blowing that. She is fragile...
Dont compare wawrinka with mladenovic..
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3 hours ago, raduvlad1995 said:
wow 52 years of tennis..that's just amazing. Sucks that here in romania we're mostly just about football and not even my close friends like playing tennis much.
Because in Romania is too expensive for ordinary people.
Also, Wawrinka blew a 4-1 lead to lose 4-6 ?
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3 hours ago, raduvlad1995 said:
dude that's always been my dream to see atleast 1 wawrinka live match, unfortunately I ll definetly not have that chance anymore. Will he even play this year again ?
Yes, he will play on clay .
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3 hours ago, raduvlad1995 said:
wawrinka is my favorite player , so I think I ve watched way more than a hundred matches of him from 2013 untill now, trust me , he wasn t a good set closer. Del potro was indeed very good at closing sets though,then again he was an amazing tennis player all around(including the mental part).
Haha! Waw is also my favorite player! Rooting for him also from 2013 :)) . I remember that match from atp finals with Federer.. He had some match points and his emotions stole that win. This season will be his last.. I wish i can see him playing .. maybe grab a photo and an autograph. lol :))
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2 hours ago, raduvlad1995 said:
man I went to sleep when alcaraz and delbonis followed up to play and I wake up now in the morning to see they haven t even finished 1 set, what the hell ? Anyone knows when they re gonna resume play ?
After Berrettini vs Monteiro (start at 19.30 GMT +2)
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18 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
Will be interesting to see how Djokovic deals with Sonego today. We might get a decent price for Nadal tomorrow. Djokovic-Nadal meetings are always hyped up, but it might be an undercooked one this time around honestly.
Probably worst versions of Nadal and Nole..
Tennis Tips - September 18 - September 24
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted · Edited by Stanimal
Guys, i have a question for you.
It is illegal betting on tennis being live at matches?
I saw today that there are some chances to get some money betting on games.