cjsmith1972

A tough final day with only 10 players showing a profit for the day.
One of these was our winner @cjsmith1972. Congratulations. A very worthy winner, the only player to show a profit on every day of the festival.
Well done to @andymacwho holds on to 2nd spot and @Lanky Ladwho grabs 3rd place.
Could the prize winners please PM me pay-pal details.
Next competition will be the York Ebor meeting.

1.20 Dark Shift
1.55 Music Society
2.30 Urban Artist
3.05 Wonderful Tonight
3.40 Ejtilaab
4.10 Imperial Fighter
4.45 Overwrite

Another good day of tipping form @cjsmith1972who extends his lead to 15 points with 3 winners.

1.50 The Grand Visir
2.25 El Drama
3.00 Maydanny
3.35 Suesa
4.10 Passion & Glory
4.45 Goldenhurst
5.20 Marching Army

@cjsmith1972extends his lead at the top thanks to Ottoman Emperor and Lady Bowthorpe.

@cjsmith1972hangs on to his lead thanks to 12/1 winner Magical Wish.

1.50 Siskany
2.25 Highfield Princess
3.00 Fearby
3.35 Poetic Flare
4.10 Canonized
4.45 Freyja
5.20 Magical Wish

Northumberland Plate day supplemented by some quality racing from Newmarket where despite a few showers around the ground appears to likely  ride on the fast side. We’ve also got the Irish Derby which this year is run at an earlier time. Here’s my thoughts on the 8 ITV races – 
Newcastle 145
A tight knit sprint handicap where bets should be kept to a minimum. Ejtilaab landed a gamble at Epsom last time and despite a 4lb rise comes into the equation. The only three year old in the race is James Tate’s Victory Heights who has a good record at the track (2/3) and is also a player though is drawn on the flank. Tim Easterby’s Staxton won this contest two years ago and is a pound lower now. He flopped at York last time for some reason (possibly ground related?) and to me has as good a chance as any. I’ll take him here each way to small stakes. 
STAXTON 1 point each way @ 12/1 William Hill 1/5th 12345
 
Newmarket 205
The Simon and Ed Crisford filly Najat was visually very impressive when winning at Thirsk on her debut by 4 1/2L but I’m not sure she beat much that day (the thirds been beaten since) and I would rather be with the proven form of the George Boughey trained Cachet who was so impressive here at the Rowley mile track in May and was certainly not disgraced when 5th in the Group 3 Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot last week beaten 3 1/4L by Sandrine. This represents a drop back in grade and with Nicola Currie, who’s ridden her on both her starts, on top looks good value here. The best outsider may well be Rock Melody who hails from the very capable Kevin Philipport De Foy stable and the form of her win has been franked by the runner up winning since. 
CACHET 2 points each way  @ 6/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234
 
Newcastle 220
The Group 3 Chipchase Stakes is run over the straight 6F of the North East track. Roger Varian’s Khuzaam’s form figures on turf are 524 whilst on synthetic surfaces is 21122211 which probably shows why he didn’t perform up to his best at Sandown on the green stuff last time when last of 4 behind Palace Pier beaten a long way. He’s the best in here at these weights and back on a surface that suits looks sure to run a big race as long as the drop back in distance is no hinderance to him. He’s never actually raced at 6F in his career starting out at a mile but connections obviously feel he has enough pace for this trip and with Shadwell retained jockey Jim Crowley picking him over Tabdeed and Khaadem is my pick here. Diligent Harry is the only three year old in the race and his form ties in with Rohaan. Clive Cox is a dab hand with sprinters and he can battle it out with Khuzaam with preference marginally for the latter. 
KHUZAAM 2 points win @ 9/2 BetVictor
 
Newmarket 240
John and Thady Gosden’s 2019 St Leger winner Logician is a confident selection to take this listed Close Brothers Fred Archer Stakes. He was fancied for the Hardwicke Stakes last Saturday but was pulled out at the eleventh hour due to the very soft ground. I’m led to believe his recent work under Martin Harley has suggested that this classy grey is somewhere near back to his best. He had a near death experience following his Leger win and he can finally start to show how good he is. Rab Havlin is in the saddle and rates a good bet. 
LOGICIAN 4 points win @ 6/4 Bet365
 
Newcastle 255
The Northumberland Vase Handicap is a consolation race for those who missed out on a place in the Plate and this year has attracted a maximum field of 20. East Asia looks sure to be thereabouts having racked up a hat trick of victories for Ian Williams since coming over from the UAE. They’ve all been on slow turf though with 12 runs on a synthetic surface yielding no wins. Indigo Times on the other hand has won 6 of his 12 runs on the all-weather but he has to defy a career high handicap mark today. Roger Varian’s Zeeband is an interesting runner stepping up to 2 miles  for the first time. He’s lightly raced but has no experience of racing on a synthetic surface. The one that I feel will run a very big race is the Venetia William’s trained Bellatrixsa. She was last seen on the level when comfortably winning over course and distance for Michael Dods last October and was subsequently sold at the Horses In Training sales for 80,000 Guineas to go hurdling. She’s won two of her four starts over timber and was not disgraced when runner up to subsequent winner The Wrekin at Warwick in May. She’s attained a handicap mark between the sticks of 122 and can race today off of a flat mark of 77 which to my eyes looks lenient. She smacks a bit like the profile of Venetia William’s recent gambled on Chester Cup consolation race winner Green Book. Connor Beasley is a decent enough jockey booking as is her draw in stall 4. I expect a big each way run from this lightly raced grey filly. 
BELLATRIXSA (pictured below) 1 ½ points each way @ 12/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 12345  
 
Newmarket 315
If you were take the outsider Apollo One and Tinker Toy out of the race there is officially only 5lb between the other 9 runners here in this Group 3 Close Brothers Criterion Stakes. Kinross bounced back to his best last time (Glorious Journey back in 3rd) at Haydock but he does have to carry a 3lb penalty for that victory here and ideally may need ease in the ground. My fancy is the Richard Hannon trained Motakhayyel who is two from two at the July course here including last years Banbury Cup. He’s flopped twice this season but in the hope that this track and a 7 week break has helped I’ll take him at decent odds under Dane O’Neill. 
MOTAKHAYYEL 1 point each way @ 9/1 Boyles 1/5th 123
 
Newcastle 330
This year’s renewal of the Northumberland Plate is as open as ever with top weight Trueshan topping the market at around 5/1. It’s a big ask to win such a handicap off of such a big weight despite the fact that Rhys Clutterbuck is claiming 5lb off of him. Dubious Affair (one for the Matt Hancock supporters maybe!) ran a stormer in the Copper Horse Handicap at Royal Ascot last week and if that hasn’t left it’s mark looks sure to run well stepping up a couple of furlongs here and 4lb well in.  The best each way value in my eyes (especially with those firms paying additional places, Skybet, William Hill, Unibet and Betway are all 6 places) lies with Dr Newland’s Galata Bridge who actually ran behind Dubious Affair at Ascot last week finishing 3 1/4L behind having taken a keen hold and forcing the pace. He’s got an extra 2F to travel today which may well suit if given a more conservative ride. I can see him going well each way under Luke Morris and is worth a small ew saver with the main bet going to the Charlie Fellowes trained Dubious Affair who was flying at the end of the 1m 6F race last time and can improve for the step up to 2 miles if this race doesn’t come too soon. 
DUBIOUS AFFAIR 1 ½ points each way @  6/1 BetVictor 1/5th 12345
GALATA BRIDGE 1/2 point each way @ 14/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 12345
 
 
Curragh 345
The Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby is run over 12F and as always the first factor to look for is the Aidan 0’Brien one. The master of Ballydoyle has won it a record 14 times including 6 of the last 10 runnings and saddles 5 of the 11 runners this season. His main hope and pick of stable jockey Ryan Moore is High Definition who ran with plenty of promise in the Dante when 2L third to rival Hurricane Lane at York in May. He came from a long way back and stepping up in trip here should suit this son of Galileo. Does he warrant being as short as he is? Probably not in my book and although it wouldn’t be a surprise were he to blitz this field I’m happy enough to look elsewhere for some each way value. His York conqueror the Charlie Appleby trained Hurricane Lane fits the bill. He went on from the Dante to run an excellent third in the Epsom Derby and the vibes are that he has thrived since. Maiden Mojo Star finished 3 1/4L ahead of him at Epsom when a 50/1 chance and has to be taken seriously here having been supplemented for the race. Mac Swiney was 3 1/4L behind the selection at Epsom and has to prove he truly stays a mile and a half but at the prices I’ll take the Godolphin colt to turn the tables on Mojo Star and upset the O’Brien battalion. 
HURRICANE LANE 1 ½ points each way @ 6/1 BetVictor 1/5th 123

Sandrine winning at 16/1 helps @Soi Bongkotmove to within 5 points of the leader.

They came in 1st and 2nd.
The £20 (2*£10 each way) wins £138.00.

Having shown big profits on the last two Saturdays of 29.25 and 35.70 points I’m hoping that the run continues on Saturday. Not the best days racing which is no surprise a week before the Epsom Derby but I can still see some value there and here’s my thoughts on the 8 ITV races.
 
Haydock 1.45 
A typically wide open Haydock 6F sprint likely to be run on drying slow ground. Bielsa arrives in form but doesn’t win that often whilst the other favourite Capote’s Dream is in terrific form but is unproven on soft ground. Tim Easterby could be in for a good day and it’s his 7 year old Hyperfocus who I think is worth being with each way (especially with the firms paying extra places). His form figures at the Lancashire course read 11317 and can race here today off of just a 1lb higher mark than his last victory which was a 2L course and distance victory last September. He loves soft ground so I’m hoping conditions don’t dry too quick but at the prices he’s worth an each way punt. 
HYPERFOCUS 1 1/2  point each way @ 11/1 BetVictor 1/5th 12345 
 
Beverley 2.00 
The Hilary Needler is run over 5F of the Yorkshire track and with the stalls on the inside it can be an advantage to be drawn low against the rail. There are 3 newcomers which obviously need monitoring in the market but I’m pretty keen on the Adrian Paul Keatley trained Kyber Crystal who was an unfancied 20/1 poke when making his debut a fortnight ago on bad ground when being the only horse to give winner Ebro River some type of race ending up a length down at the finish with 6L back to the remainder. The winner was an emphatic winner of the National Stakes at Sandown on Thursday night giving the ? form a very solid look indeed. Sean Davis rides and is nicely drawn in stall 4. Hester Prynne was a nice winner on her debut over course and distance but that was gained on good to firm ground and today’s terrain is likely to be totally different. 
KYBER CRYSTAL 3 points win @ 7/4 William Hill
 
Haydock 2.20 
John Quinn’s super fast sprinter won this event last season and with so much speed from the gate will be a tough nut to crack here. At today’s weights he comes out the best horse, arrives in excellent form having won at Chester from King’s Lynn (looks held here) and handles soft conditions - what’s not to like?
Tarboosh has a 3lb penalty to shoulder but has ew claims along with a host of others but I’ll stick with Quinn’s speedball under usual pilot Jason Hart who knows him and rides him so well. 
EL ASTRONAUTE 2 points win @ 9/2 BetVictor 
 
Chester 2.40 
Boardman has been a revelation in his last two starts. Tim Easterby’s Kingman gelding has bolted up in 7F handicaps at Haydock and York and has a 10lb rise to contend with for his recent success which has been boosted since by the subsequent victory of the 5th home that day Molls Memory last weekend. Rob Hornby who was amongst the winners this week following his return from injury takes over from stable jockey David Allan who’s elected to go to Haydock. He’s fairly drawn in stall 4 and looks set to run a big race. Thirsk winner Another Batt could be the one to give him most to do. 
BOARDMAN 3 points win @ 5/1 Bet365 
 
Haydock 2.55 
I’m not really sure what was going with the Kirsten Rausing owned fillies in this race as the most likely winner at the 6 day stage was Albaflora who has her ground here but was pulled out and Alpinista was left in who is unproven on slow ground! A further twist came when Alpinista was immediately pulled out leading me to believe that there was some clerical error here. In a further twist her Oriental Mystique who was down to run at Sandown last night was also left in and then pulled out of Sandown. Confused? I certainly was especially as I had backed Albaflora ante-post!
Anyway they may have the last laugh as David Simcock’s Oriental Mystique who ran her owners Alpinista to a length at Goodwood on her re-appearance looks the most likely winner to my eyes. Cabaletta is not a filly I particularly like and is blinkered for the first time here but is the main danger. 
ORIENTAL MYSTIQUE 2 points win @ 11/4 Bet365 
 
Beverley 3.10 
The Continental Two Year Old Trophy is run over 5F and has attracted a small field of only 6 this time around. Richard Fahey debutant Straits Of Moyle is the unknown quantity in the field and has to be monitored closely in the market and all 5 of his opponents have a chance of sorts. Richard Hannon saddles Robjon and he may well have bumped into one at York last week in the well backed Joe Tuite trained The Organiser who’s Royal Ascot bound. That was on soft ground and he to me is the likeliest winner. 
ROBJON 2 points win @ 7/1 Bet365
 
Haydock 3.30 
Safe Voyage won this when is was last ran two years ago and his record at the Lancashire track is 4 wins from 5 runs and although he has his ground today two things are against him in my eyes. Firstly a 5lb penalty and secondly he has failed to beat a horse home in both of his last two outings all be it in much better grade than this. With Thanks is the obvious alternative but she comes here following an absence of 209 days and would appreciate the ground even softer. It’s worth giving Clive Cox’s progressive River Nymph a chance not upped into Group company. He comes here fit and 7F on ground with ease in it are his optimum conditions it seems. On official ratings he needs to find 6lb to match the two top rated Safe Voyage and Glorious Journey but he’s on an upward curve and with Adam Kirby in the saddle can run a big race. 
RIVER NYMPH 1 points each way  @ 13/2 Bet365 1/5th 123 
 
Beverley 3.45 
The favourite Sibaaq stands out on form here against a bunch of mostly exposed handicappers. He’s been raised only 4lb for his course and distance victory 45 days ago with the form being boosted by the subsequent win of the runner up that day. He’s the only 3 year old in the race and Mark Johnstone’s improver has a major chance with Ben Curtis on board. The one factor which stops me putting him up as a good bet is the ground. It was good to firm for his win and has yet to prove he likes very soft ground so at his skinny odds I’m happy to look elsewhere for a bit of each way value. Richard Fahey’s Duesenberg maybe the one. He’s only run on soft ground twice - winning at Haydock on his racecourse debut as a juvenile and when 3rd at Redcar to Embolden so is obviously well suited by it. We can strike a line through his latest moderate effort at Haydock because of the fast ground and to small stakes he can outrun his double figure odds. 
DUESENBERG 1 point each way @ 14/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234
 
 
 
 
 

I just thought I would alert those that aren't aware that my daily racing tips which since taking over the reigns on November 11th last year are showing a profit of just under £3000. This is to a £20 stake and at advised prices plus BOG if advised with Bet365.
They can be found daily from as early as 5 o'clock but usually no later than 6 o'clock under the racing tips banner at the top of this page. You'll see todays tips there but will need to scroll down to view the following days.
Just the two selections so far today and they've both won - 8/1 and 6/4.
 

An interesting days racing and here’s my thoughts on the days ITV televised races in chronological order:-   1.50 Newbury The ground was on the definite soft side on Friday and with more showers forecast it wouldn’t be the greatest shock were the ground to ride quite testing today. Andrew Balding is in terrific form and his Tactical looks the most likely winner here dropping back in trip having won the Free Handicap over 7f last time. My concern with him is the fact that he flopped a couple of times as a juvenile on soft ground and under a 3lb penalty I’m against him. The obvious threat to him is the Godolphin runner Creative Force who’s won two Newmarket handicaps this season, both on fast ground and he too has questions to answer on this ground. I’ll take on the pair of them with last years Super Sprint winner at the track in Richard Hannon’s Happy Romance who although not ideally suited by soft ground himself just may get away with it here and at the prices is a tentative selection.   HAPPY ROMANCE 1 point win @ 6/1 Paddy Power   2.05 Newmarket Ed Dunlops’s superbly bred John Leeper, one of my 20 to follow, for the season was ultra impressive on his re-appearance at Newcastle when well supported. He was way back at half way and came through to make some nice horses from big yards looked like selling platers. This is a big step up in class but with breeding of Frankel out of Snow Fairy he was always going to be fast tracked into pattern company. His future entries tell you how much his connections rate him as he is entered in the English and Irish Derbies, Coral Eclipse as well as the King Edward VII stakes at Royal Ascot. Named after the trainers illustrious father John he can put himself in the frame for some bigger targets by taking this. I’m hoping his price will drift as he seems rather too short currently compared with the likes of 106 rated Chester Vase third Fancy Man and Tasman Bay who’s Newbury third to Dante winner Hurricane Lane  and Dee Stakes runner up Maximal looking top form.   JOHN LEEPER 2 points win @ 6/4 Bet365   2.25 Newbury Al Aasy was mightily impressive when running away with the Group 3 John Porter Stakes on his re-appearance when well backed. He’s got winning form on soft ground and will be hard to beat here. His main danger is the 2019 St Leger winner Logistic but things haven’t gone to plan for him since and by all accounts has plenty of issues. He’s also got an absence to overcome and I’m just hoping that he does run here (there’s rumours that he will miss this if further rain arrives) as he will make the market for the exciting William Haggas trained selection. Hes the days Nap bet.   AL AASY 4 points win @ Evens William Hill   2.40 Newmarket Sometimes in racing you see a horse that blows you away and you just know that you’ve seen a quality racehorse. Such was the case when Jane Chapple-Hyam’s Awtaad filly made her debut at the Craven meeting here. She scooting clear coming out of the dip to put 7 lengths between herself and the remainder. That form hasn’t worked out particularly well but you can only win what’s in front of you and her shrewd trainer was very complimentary about her afterwards. She’s been given some fancy future entries recently and can take this race en route to Group company.   BELLOSA 3 points win @ 7/4 William Hill   3.00 Newbury The London Gold Cup has thrown up many decent future Group performers in the past including Defoe, Headman, Al Kazeem and Time Test. This years renewal looks well up to standard with plenty of promising three year olds. None more so than the Sir Michael Stoute trained Bay Bridge who impressed when running away with a 5 runner novice stakes event at Newcastle in April (well beaten 3rd won handicap since). He’s been allotted a mark of 90 and that could be very attractive. Interestingly he’s the only horse in the field of 11 who has a future group entry. He was put in the Group 2 King Edward VII Stakes at Royal Ascot only a fortnight ago, surely a tip in itself. There are plenty of potential dangers from big stables but I’m sticking with the Ryan Moore ridden colt.   BAY BRIDGE 3 points win @ 4/1 Betfred   Newmarket 3.15 A competitive 17 runner handicap over 6 furlongs that is always worth following. A confident selection is the Eve Johnson Houghton trained Jumby who went into plenty of trackers when desperately unlucky when failing to find a run in a decent handicap over course and distance won by Creative Force at the Craven meeting back in April. He can run off of the same mark here and with William Buick taking over from Charlie Bishop looks sure to run a massive race. His recent Group 1 entry in the Commonwealth Cup augurs well for the future and although favourite he can take this. Bickerstaffe is the other runner here who has a future Group entry (Commonwealth Cup) and maybe the best of the rest.   JUMBY 3 points win @ 3/1 Bet365   3.35 Newbury This year’s Lockinge has attracted a decent field of 12 and a very short favourite in the John and Thady Gosden trained Palace Pier who will be hard to beat but is priced accordingly at around the 4/6 mark. He should win but with Paddy Power paying 4 places at a fifth the odds it’s worth picking one to play each way. With the ground riding on the slow side its maybe worth a speculative small stakes each way bet on the Simon & Ed Crisford trained Century Dream who’s two from three at the track, loves the mud and has won first time up before . On official ratings he actually only has 9lb to find with the warm favourite and can be backed at a decent price. If it did rain further overnight I would be inclined to back him in the ‘without fav’ market each way as he does look overpriced especially if the ground went very soft. James Doyle rides.   CENTURY DREAM 1/2 point each way @ 18/1 Paddy Power 1/5th odds 1234 1 point each way (without Palace Pier market) 11/1 1/5 odds 123 Bet365      

An exciting last day sees @Craig bluenosepip @LEE-GRAYSby 1/2 a point with @Carole-dawneysecuring 3rd spot.
Could the prize winners please PM me pay-pal details.
Next competition will be Royal Ascot.


 

14:15 - Ballyboker Bridge
14:50 - Young Dev
15:20 - Stormy Ireland
16:00 - Jeff Kidder
16:30 - Fag An Bealach
17:05 - Lady Breffni
17:40 - Irregularheartbeat
18:10 - Golden Wonders

@Zilzalianhas a 6 point lead going in to the last day but there are plenty in with a shout.


 

3.40 -  Enniskillen
4.15 -  Antey
4.50 -  Salsaretta
5.25 -  Sharjah
6.00 -  Gaillard du Mesnil
6.35 -  Caid du Berlais
7.05 -  El Barra
7.35 -  Gortmillish

Well done @cjsmith1972 for nailing Minella Times?

17:15                       tips selections finished sp bsp tipsters 7 Takingrisks PU 15 32.4 {BBBC,"CS 333",ipswich45,Johnrobertson,"roy keane",trainmad091,Wanderlust} 7 Cloth Cap PU 6.5f 7.78 {Barnes1882,bluemal,Hotpotklonk,"Kingdom for",Offramp,Procalc,"Villa Chris"} 5 Acapella Bourgeois 13 21 48 {Boulder5111,gbettle,kroni,roger2256,tonythepaint} 4 Farclas 5 17 16.62 {Xtc12,novirus,RunKJC,Skittle} 4 Bristol De Mai PU 26 33.12 {Fader,kenisbusy,Pankysmooch,"Soi Bongkot"} 4 Anibale Fly PU 29 30.09 {BARNSLEYCHOP,"calva decoy",Ironjoe,Trotter} 3 Mister Malarky PU 13 18.68 {mickyftm32,Paperclip,"silver fox"} 3 Lake View Lad F 51 74.58 {Hendredenny,Sugardaddyken,waggy} 3 Kimberlite Candy PU 21 28 {"Lanky Lad",Marmalade,Striker} 3 Burrows Saint 4 10 13 {andymac,jockprop,ralphie7} 3 Blaklion 6 51 84.96 {rolandcooper,Saddlesore,thebestthere} 3 Ballyoptic R 67 163.51 {Alastair,internetmails,Tedthewolf} 2 Talkischeap PU 34 80.89 {"Jazzy Jasper",Zilzalian} 2 Discorama 7 17 19.64 {Doedelzak,"Like A Roughie"} 2 Definitly Red PU 29 120 {"Craig bluenose",fischer21} 2 Class Conti 15 67 90 {Donnyflyer,RUG} 2 Canelo F 67 93.16 {Advisor,luckypants} 2 Cabaret Queen 9 81 130 {Drac,sirspread} 1 Yala Enki UR 41 55.36 {Carole-dawney} 1 The Long Mile PU 51 51.36 {daisychain} 1 Sub Lieutenant 14 51 120 {"Bathtime For Rupert"} 1 Shattered Love 10 34 40.53 {bymatrix} 1 Potters Corner PU 23 51.18 {Rainbow} 1 Ok Corral PU 81 103.63 {glavintoby} 1 Minellacelebration UR 81 96.18 {vangovin} 1 Minella Times 1 12 13.5 {cjsmith1972} 1 Magic of Light UR 15 19.68 {alancraik} 1 Jett 8 81 156.63 {LEE-GRAYS} 1 Hogan's Height 12 101 181.44 {"Donkey Shot"} 1 Chriss Dream UR 41 97.46 {"Cash Out Kev"} 1 Any Second Now 3 8.5 10.87 {Costello} 1 Ami Desbois BD 101 145.32 {Astleavista} 1 Alpha Des Obeaux 11 81 79.18 {Bretloca}

13:45 Ballybegg
14:25 Dreal Deal
15:00 Funambule Sivola
15:35 Diol Ker
16:15 Sam Brown
17:15 Minella Times
18:20 Stage Star

Hi all , hope you are all well ...ive had a bad few weeks physically but not too bad now and thought id share my placepot selections today 
1'45 Come on teddy / tea clipper 
2.25 minella drama / llaninabo lad / ballyadam
3.00 shiskin / gumball
3.35 lisnagar oscar / thyne hill / third wind 
4'15 fagan / johnbb / cloudy glen
5'15 ok coral / chriss dream / kimberlite candy / magic of light
432 bets at 0.05 = 21.60
Good luck everyone with your bets today

13:45 - Edwardstone
14:20 - Belfast Banter
14:50 - Chantry House
15:25 - Notebook
16:05 - Ravenhill Road
16:40 - Cape Gentleman
17:15 - The Grey Falco

Well done to @Sugardaddykenwho found today's big winner, Cousin Pascal, at 66/1. To make it even more difficult for the rest of us he also selected the next biggest priced winner at 14/1 for a magnificent profit of 75 points.

13:45 - Hitman
14:20 - Monmiral
14:50 - Clondaw Castle
15:25 - Song for Someone
16:05 - Some Man
16:40 - Editeur Du Gite
17:15 - Elle Est Belle

First and second in both races
returns 120.00, profit 100.00
this month +85.00
grr ...... watching the footy, I forgot to watch the races

Pass 3 .....in form /improving ...highest rpr 12 monthes in last 2 runs .....
Leaves 
Mister malarkey  2nd at course 
Cloth cap  no experience 
Canelo   ...won at course 
Minella times ...no experience 
So .. ..final thoughts are ....cloth cap could be false fav with no experience ....the best horses are mister malarkey and standout horse is canelo ...has won at course and owned by jp McManus....does that sound like a recipe for a gamble ????current price 40/1!!! Mister malarkey is 66/1 !! ....crazy prices...