As per race report, was a shame with the firm ground and seems Donny was the only good/firm racecourse yesterday. The good news coming out of that race is that we've invested in a talking horse! We're gonna be rolling in it ?
As per race report, was a shame with the firm ground and seems Donny was the only good/firm racecourse yesterday. The good news coming out of that race is that we've invested in a talking horse! We're gonna be rolling in it ?
1.35 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Spartakos @ 20/1 Bet365
Shaped with some promise in two starts to date - green on debut but not beaten a million miles (less than 6 lengths) and although well held in the end last time over 6f, led in that contest showing some good speed and faded inside the final furlong. That race has turned out okay though with everything in advance of Spartakos (beaten around 8l ultimately) has gone on to be rated well into the 70s so he should find it much easier handicapping off a mark of 57 today. Should have the speed for 5f and soft ground shouldn't inconvenience on pedigree so should find this more suitable.
2.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Show Palace @ 12/1 Bet365
Jennie Candlish's runner will relish any give in the ground and has slipped back down to a good mark of 70 with conditions to suit today. The losing margin last time out was exaggerated by the 7 length winner and this one was found to be lame after the race despite finishing a respectable 3rd. Was too keen and faded late on over 6f two starts back so can be excused there and was quite well fancied last time out so with excuses that day, I think is worth another go now he finds himself a 12/1 shot today.
2.20 Salisbury - 0.5pts e/w Alpinista @ 33/1 PP
The favourite holds obvious claims here but I think there are a few in with live each way chances and Sir Mark Prescott's horse looks a big price to me. Was a slightly unlucky 4th in France when last seen, short of room at a crucial stage in a steadily run race before keeping on to be beaten less than 3/4 length. Would have to step up in her bare form to date but ran well last year over 7f and a mile but it's clear as day that her best form will come over middle distances - by Frankel and out of a stoutly bred, strong staying dam who was rated in the 90s and won races up to 2m2f. Isn't the speediest but they should go a decent gallop today and that should bring her extra stamina into play - just looks a shade overpriced considering there should be more to come and her form isn't bad either.
2.50 Salisbury - 1pt e/w Point in Time @ 28/1 Bet365
Less progressive than some of these but has been running well and shouldn't be as big as 28/1 in my eyes. Wasn't far behind Kepala (10/3 shot today) last time out in a steadily run race which wouldn't have suited Point in Time (Kepala raced in 2nd) behind a progressive winner and two starts back this one shaped well despite being hampered and it being its first run for a while. Won at Newmarket off 2lbs lower last season but the front two were clear and the runner up is now rated 7lbs higher so isn't weighted out of this. It's possible that some of the younger horses will progress again but for a rock solid handicapper with conditions to suit, I think Point in Time is overpriced.
3.10 Hamilton - 1pt e/w Black Friday @ 12/1 Bet365
Has shaped well in two starts for his new yard, staying on over 7f on ground sharp enough for him on seasonal reappearance and then shaping well despite finding a mile too far last time out. Stays 7f but 6f with cut in the ground, a likely decent gallop and a stiff finish could see him at his best and he's dropped down to an attractive looking mark today. Everything looks primed for a big run and has been nibbled in the market this morning.
Clever Candy 3.50 Salisbury E.Way 10/1 Bet365
She likes to come late (staying on), but has encountered traffic problems in the past. She should be ok with just 9 runners.