PercyP

Week 1 is always a tough one to call, but I agree with @PercyP on the Raiders. They had their number twice last season so I'll take +3.5 as well.
I also like the Eagles at -4 so I'll take that as a double.
Double @ 2.64 with Bet365

Good luck. I'll be going with anytime TD scorer system again. Having reviewed the results from the last seasons the criteria will be as follows:
Players whose TD minutes can be sold at 20 or more Best bookies price is 1.9 or better Best bookies price offers a minimum 2% edge over my "fair" price Would have given 189 bets, 17.01 points profit and ROI 9%. Maybe better if you can get a bigger price on the exchanges. See how it goes but it gives me an interest.

At last the new NFL season is starting this Thursday. As usual I am hoping for a profitable 2023.
With no form to go on in week one matches can be a coin flip. So I shall favour a few underdogs.
 1.      Dolphins to win ATS +3 points @ 10/11
The Dolphins are a strong team and may have too much for the Chargers.
2.      LV Raiders to win ATS +3.5 points @ 10/11
One QB I think is past his best is Denver’s Russell Wilson. This makes the Raiders a decent bet.
3.      Browns to win ATS+2.5 points @ 10/11
Uncertainty around the fitness of the Bengals QB Joe Burrows, together with the extra points for the home team makes the Browns appealing. Nick Chubb could be the difference.
4.      Bears to win -1 @ points 10/11
Whilst Green Bay will not implode following the loss of Aaron Rodgers, Jordan Love will struggle against a feisty Bears team.
5.      Seahawks to win -5 points @ 10/11
The LA Rams will find Seattle a hostile place. With star player Cooper Kupp injured it must be advantage Seattle.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365

3.00 Carlisle - The Dunkirk Lads = E.way 16/1 Betvictor 

3.00 Carlisle - The Dunkirk Lads = E.way 16/1 Betvictor 

I think 6 teams that reached the play-offs last season will fail to reach the play-offs this year.
With Aaron Rodgers at the Jets, the AFC West should be more competitive. This could impact the Dolphins who may miss out.
The AFC North will be a battle royal and I could see the Bengals being ousted as league winners but qualifying as a wild card. Baltimore fail to make the play-offs.
The LA Chargers maybe usurped by the Bronco's this year. 
In the NFC East I can not see the Giants making it this year with a much harder fixture list.
The Saints could triumph in the NFC South eliminating Tampa Bay.
The AFC South does not look strong, so I could see the Jags missing out.
 
 
 
 

Only two weeks till the start of the 2023/24 NFL season and the excitement is rising.
I am already looking forward to watching the Red Zone every Sunday evening and hopefully returning a profit in 2023/24.
Looking at previous record books:
In 2022/23 Only 5 of the 8 League winners in 2021/22 and only 2 of the 6 wild card teams reached the play-offs.
In 2021/22 Only 4 of the 8 League winners in 2020/21 and only 2 of the 6 wild card teams reached the play-offs.
In 2020/22 Only 4 of the 8 League winners in 2019/20 and only 3 of the 4 wild card teams reached the play-offs.
If these stats are repeated then out of the 14 playoff teams last year only 7 will make the play-offs this season.
  AFC
NFC
1
Kansas City Chiefs (West winner)
Philadelphia Eagles (East winner)
2
Buffalo Bills (East winner)
San Francisco 49ers (West winner)
3
Cincinnati Bengals (North winner)
Minnesota Vikings (North winner)
4
Jacksonville Jaguars (South winner)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (South winner)
5
Los Angeles Chargers (wild card)
Dallas Cowboys (wild card)
6
Baltimore Ravens (wild card)
New York Giants (wild card)
7
Miami Dolphins (wild card)
Seattle Seahawks (wild card)
 

I think 6 teams that reached the play-offs last season will fail to reach the play-offs this year.
With Aaron Rodgers at the Jets, the AFC West should be more competitive. This could impact the Dolphins who may miss out.
The AFC North will be a battle royal and I could see the Bengals being ousted as league winners but qualifying as a wild card. Baltimore fail to make the play-offs.
The LA Chargers maybe usurped by the Bronco's this year. 
In the NFC East I can not see the Giants making it this year with a much harder fixture list.
The Saints could triumph in the NFC South eliminating Tampa Bay.
The AFC South does not look strong, so I could see the Jags missing out.
 
 
 
 

Only two weeks till the start of the 2023/24 NFL season and the excitement is rising.
I am already looking forward to watching the Red Zone every Sunday evening and hopefully returning a profit in 2023/24.
Looking at previous record books:
In 2022/23 Only 5 of the 8 League winners in 2021/22 and only 2 of the 6 wild card teams reached the play-offs.
In 2021/22 Only 4 of the 8 League winners in 2020/21 and only 2 of the 6 wild card teams reached the play-offs.
In 2020/22 Only 4 of the 8 League winners in 2019/20 and only 3 of the 4 wild card teams reached the play-offs.
If these stats are repeated then out of the 14 playoff teams last year only 7 will make the play-offs this season.
  AFC
NFC
1
Kansas City Chiefs (West winner)
Philadelphia Eagles (East winner)
2
Buffalo Bills (East winner)
San Francisco 49ers (West winner)
3
Cincinnati Bengals (North winner)
Minnesota Vikings (North winner)
4
Jacksonville Jaguars (South winner)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (South winner)
5
Los Angeles Chargers (wild card)
Dallas Cowboys (wild card)
6
Baltimore Ravens (wild card)
New York Giants (wild card)
7
Miami Dolphins (wild card)
Seattle Seahawks (wild card)
 

Many thanks to @MCLARKE for organising and running a very enjoyable competition.  Congratulations to @LeMale on a well deserved victory and well done to runner up @Bronxie.
 
 

1535 Y - Live In The Dream @ 40-1 ew Bet365

5.40 Fontwell - Courtney Silver = E.way 40/1 Bet365 

5.40 Fontwell - Courtney Silver = E.way 40/1 Bet365 

The Punters Lounge Fantasy Football League is still in its infancy for this season and that is summed up by the erratic position shifts we're seeing over these opening weeks. Y'au Ado's Zakariya FC sit on top of the table after an impressive 79 points haul this week. It was a fantastic team effort with double-figure totals coming from Pervis Estupinan, Mohamed Salah, Bryan Mbeumo, Kaoru Mitoma, and Yoane Wissa. The lead at the top is just 5 points though so it's all very tight.
A special shout out to the likes of @bobsyerunkle's Smash It Up, @StevenKing's Lucky Pierre, Rob Cooper's Email This Team In, Christopher Adams' 30 Seconds, Fred Lessing's Don't Ever Lose, and Umar Abubakar Zubairu's Sadio AC who all saw their teams surpass the 70-point mark.
Now, what about the real reason we're all here for? Who are we putting in the village stocks today? It was a tough week with the common captaincy choices of Erling Haaland and Salah scoring low. Even so, the lowest score was just above the teens mark. Jonathan Pope's inappropriately named Very Good could only muster 21 points. Might want to reconsider that team name unless performances improve buddy! However, it is @Johnrobertson's Jambos2828 that hasn't quite replicated his own Hearts team's encouraging start to the season with a 20-point tally giving him the Name of Shame award for this week. Now, go outside and give yourself six of the best!
Brighton players seem to be dominating the fantasy league points at the moment and Bet365 is offering odds of 16/1 on a bet builder for the Brighton vs West Ham game of...
Brighton to Win, BTTS, Anytime Scorer: Kaoru Mitoma, and Assist: Pervis Estupinan.
It certainly feels that Mitoma and Estupinan are worth having in your fantasy teams and your bet builders!
The transfer deadline for this week's games is 6:30 pm BST on Friday 25th August. Best of luck to you all!

Mallorca over 2.5 2.30 
10 pts single 
g/l everyone 

Oxford City v Rochdale City's defending looked hopeless against Aldershot and I am more than happy to continue to oppose them. Rochdale did OK in the live game against Ebbsfleet and I don't think there was much between the two sides at all. I certainly saw enough to give me the confidence to back them at a shade of odds against to beat the team I think will finish bottom.   Bromley v Barnet Barnet have been really well backed for the live TV game, but I still think there is some juice in the price. They were good last week when taking a 3-0 lead against Hartlepool and it was only a lapse of concentration which gave Hartlepool some late hope to get it to 3-2. Bromley struggled at Halifax and I just get the sense they are a little short at the moment so I think the North London side can beat the South London side.   Havant v Chippenham Havant lost the plot in the 2nd half of last season and they were especially bad at home. They weren't great last week when losing to Weston and so I am happy to take a chance on Chippenham who got off to a solid start with a win on the opening day.   Chester v Kings Lynn Chester had a very surprising loss on the opening day at Bishops Stortford and I think they will lose this as well. This is actually a game between the teams who finished 3rd and 2nd last season and Chester have got 6 players missing going into this game. Not all the players have been named, but they don't have a huge squad so it is going to hurt them. Kings Lynn battered Hereford xG wise last Saturday although they only got a point in a 2-2 draw. Still it was a promising start and they are a decent price to beat Chester.   Rochdale 2.5pts @ 23/20 with Bet365 and Coral (take up to 10/11) Barnet 2pts @ 15/8 with Coral, William Hill and Betfred (365 are a huge 11/5 and take up to 6/4) Chippenham 1pt @ 3/1 with Skybet, BetVictor and Betfred (take up to 5/2) Kings Lynn 1pt @ 19/10 with Paddy Power, Betfair, BetVictor and Bet365 (take up to 6/4)   (Odds correct as of Friday 7pm)

Count me in please.

League 2 preview : 
 

League 1 preview - 
 
 
 

1.35 Market Rasen - Selecto = E.way 100/1 Bet365 

Congratulations to @Craig bluenose for selecting 25/1 Sumo Sam and 9/2 Monsieur Kodi to take the daily prize and also the overall prize.
Well done to the second @sirspread and third @outsidergirl
Could the prize winners please PM pay-pal details.
Allow 21 days for payment.



 

Congratulations to all the prize winners and @Craig bluenose for his raindance once he took the lead as I'm sure I had the final 3 winners today 🤣.
Also, thanks again to PL for the competition and @MCLARKE for all his effort with the results.

Many thanks for running the comp @MCLARKE great job.
Well done all winners.
 

Well done to the winners & the 26 showing a profit on what was winter jumps ground & @MCLARKE for his collating expertise .

2.00 Wolverhampton - Burford = E.way 11/1 Bet365