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Timmy1515

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Posts posted by Timmy1515

    The Football Betting Predictor Selections (Glory Hunters Edition)

    in Glory Hunters

    Posted

    Profit/Loss for above table -24.20pts

    Overall Profit/Loss -17.30pts
     

    Overall Selections 118

    Won 68

    Lost 50

    Strike rate :- 57.62%

    AVG ODDS 1.79

    R.O.I  
    -1.47

    This clearly isn't working :(  I came back as I thought I  had made what I had better but it seems to have made it less accurate. So it's time for me to go back to how it was in 2017/18. The changes I made seemed like it would make it better.

    but a loss on here of 17.30pts plus a loss on the other page of around 40 pts shows it's not as good :(.

    So I'm going back to the tried and tested version and this time I will run it for a long period of time. Sadly this will be away from this forum :(.

    So I go baack to when it had the most success and if that fails after a huge number of selections then it will go back in it's box and will never been seen again.

     

     

    FootballBettingPredictor 2019

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted · Edited by BetPredictor
    Updating result

    Profit/Loss of the day  
    Overall Profit/Loss -11.20pts

    Month Profit/Loss:-  -45.10pts

    May

    Overall Selections 35

    Won 16

    Lost 19

    Strike rate :- 45.71%

    AVG ODDS 1.73 

    R.O.I -12.47%

    April +34.60PTS   R.O.I 8.24%

    So a small loss overall to end things. I may revisit it but I need to see results as it performs well when looking back at resuts and has also had little success over periods but that's been a couple of month here and there.

    So I'll check results on the other part of the forum 

    FootballBettingPredictor 2019

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    On 5/7/2019 at 12:09 PM, BetPredictor said:

    Selections

    Single
    Ilves vs FC Honka Espoo

    Finland

    Veikkausliiga / 7th May 2019 @ 16:30

    Double chance • FC Honka Espoo or draw (1-1) Won +5.50
    Odds: 1.55 Stake: 10  
     

    Single
    FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact

    United States

    MLS / 11th May 2019 @ 18:00

    Double chance • Montreal Impact or draw (2-1) Lost -10Pts
    Odds: 1.73 Stake: 10  
     

    Single
    Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers

    United States

    MLS / 11th May 2019 @ 03:00

    Double chance • Portland Timbers or draw (1-0) Lost -10pts
    Odds: 1.70 Stake: 10  
     

    Single
    Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake (2-3) Won +8.30

    United States

    MLS / 12th May 2019 @ 02:00

    Double chance • Real Salt Lake or draw
    Odds: 1.83 Stake: 10  

    When all selections are selected they will then be put into a table and a forecast will be made.

     

    On 5/7/2019 at 4:34 PM, BetPredictor said:

    Selections

    Single
    Ehime FC vs Kagoshima United

    Japan

    J2 League / 12th May 2019 @ 11:00

    Double chance • Kagoshima United or draw
    Odds: 1.62 Stake: 10 

    Single
    Kyoto Purple Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama (2-1) Won +5.30

    Japan

    J2 League / 12th May 2019 @ 06:00

    Double chance • Kyoto Purple Sanga or draw
    Odds: 1.53 Stake: 10
     

    Single
    V-Varen Nagasaki vs Albirex Niigata (3-2) Won +5.30

    Japan

    J2 League / 11th May 2019 @ 06:00

    Double chance • V-Varen Nagasaki or draw
    Bet365 Odds: 1.53 Stake: 10 

     

    On 5/7/2019 at 4:12 PM, BetPredictor said:
    Single
    Lillestrom SK vs Rosenborg BK
    Eliteserien / 11th May 2019 @ 17:00
    Double chance • Lillestrom SK or draw (1-1) Won +5.70pts
    Odds: 1.57
    Stake: 10 

     

    On 5/7/2019 at 12:18 PM, BetPredictor said:

    Single
     FC Inter Turku vs RoPS Rovaniemi

    Finland

    Veikkausliiga / 7th May 2019 @ 16:30

    Double chance • RoPS Rovaniemi or draw (3-0) Lost -10pts
    Odds: 2.05 Stake: 10 
     

    -5.90pts

    5/8

    FootballBettingPredictor 2019

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    On 4/30/2019 at 10:37 PM, BetPredictor said:

    Single
    Degerfors IF vs IK Brage Borlange

    Sweden

    Superettan / 7th May 2019 @ 18:00

    Double chance • IK Brage Borlange or draw (1-0) Lost -10.pts
    Odds: 1.73

    Stake: 10 

    On 5/6/2019 at 6:08 AM, BetPredictor said:

    Single

    Columbus Crew vs Los Angeles Galaxy

    MLS / 9th May 2019 @ 00:30

    Double chance • Los Angeles Galaxy or draw (3-1) Lost -10pts

    Odds: 1.85

    Stake: 10 

     

     

    -20.00pts

    bear with me just cleaning this up

    The Football Betting Predictor Selections (Glory Hunters Edition)

    in Glory Hunters

    Posted

    Hi all,

              I will each week post Selections I feel have a good chance of winning without taking price into consideration. Where I used to have stats to help me make team ratings here I will only use my own eye's to rate teams. So new ratings have been issued and will be used in here for selections. Teams that I have not seen will for now be based on a few stats but I will look at watching them teams within the next 3/4 weeks.

    All prices here are taken from a website I use to track my bets. The prices you will see posted here are the odds I have been given on the site and are the BEST PRICE for each selection. I will not be backing all these teams with real money but wish to track them here. The teams I selected with real money will be kept away from the forum as I wish this to be abit of fun.

    Of course I want this to make profit and it could make profit but wish to make it clear any Profit or Loss here does not mean I have made that profit or loss away from the forum. So my advice to anyone do not follow this with real money and view it as entertainment. If this can or does turn over a profit then at a later date I may look at this a little more.

    after having a play around with this over the past few day's I believe our eye's and knowledge when it comes to ratings work better the stats but not everyone has the time.

    Results will be posted at the end of the last match on this list below so I will see you all on Monday 

    1861820803_PuntersLounge.thumb.PNG.1b56613c39fa325b2de4afd4b84e5cf6.PNG

    FootballBettingPredictor 2019

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Hi all,

             I think it's time to abandon this approach of working out a probabilty of a football game :(. The problem I have is ratings need to be spot on from day one in order for it to be profitable. I've tired a few new things and thought I'd found a way to rate teams. 

    Sport is Sport and it's impossible to get a true Probabilty on it I'm sure most will agree. I tired hard for many years now to develop a football predictor with odds but at this moment in time I till don't have it.

    I will carry on predicting football matches as I enjoy it :) and can pick selections that have a good chance of winning but what I can't do is put a percentage on that outcome (well I can just not close enough). 

    So what I'm going to do is clean this thread up when the selections have finished and move away form this approach. I enjoy posting on this forum so will continue to do so.

    I will more then likely post on the Glory Hunters forum using the methods I have used to predict football matches just without my compiled odds. Thanks all for looking in and I'm sorry I was unsuccesful with this.

    See you all soon 

    FootballBettingPredictor 2019

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Selections

    Single
    Ehime FC vs Kagoshima United

    Japan

    J2 League / 12th May 2019 @ 11:00

    Double chance • Kagoshima United or draw
    Odds: 1.62 Stake: 10 

    Single
    Kyoto Purple Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama

    Japan

    J2 League / 12th May 2019 @ 06:00

    Double chance • Kyoto Purple Sanga or draw
    Odds: 1.53 Stake: 10
     

    Single
    V-Varen Nagasaki vs Albirex Niigata

    Japan

    J2 League / 11th May 2019 @ 06:00

    Double chance • V-Varen Nagasaki or draw
    Bet365 Odds: 1.53 Stake: 10 

    FootballBettingPredictor 2019

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Selections

    Single
    Ilves vs FC Honka Espoo

    Finland

    Veikkausliiga / 7th May 2019 @ 16:30

    Double chance • FC Honka Espoo or draw
    Odds: 1.55 Stake: 10  
     

    Single
    FC Cincinnati vs Montreal Impact

    United States

    MLS / 11th May 2019 @ 18:00

    Double chance • Montreal Impact or draw
    Odds: 1.73 Stake: 10  
     

    Single
    Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers

    United States

    MLS / 11th May 2019 @ 03:00

    Double chance • Portland Timbers or draw
    Odds: 1.70 Stake: 10  
     

    Single
    Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake

    United States

    MLS / 12th May 2019 @ 02:00

    Double chance • Real Salt Lake or draw
    Odds: 1.83 Stake: 10  

    When all selections are selected they will then be put into a table and a forecast will be made.

    FootballBettingPredictor 2019

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    boo.thumb.PNG.cbb58d68b7ad21bf8cc0c50e6b2d62b2.PNG

    Profit/Loss of the day  -25.80pts
    Overall Profit/Loss +4.00PTS

    Month Profit/Loss:-  -30.60pts

    May

    Overall Selections 18

    Won 9

    Lost 9

    Strike rate :- 50.00%

    AVG ODDS 1.70

    R.O.I -17.00%

    April +34.60PTS   R.O.I 8.24%

    Today has been one of them days :(  But I'd like to add something new to the thread.

    After I've made my selections I will add a forecast of likely Profit and Loss for the table of results

    this weeks was 

    teams to win Between 12/13

    Profit/Loss Between

    -11.60pts & 40.00pts 

    The way this is done is working out the probability of all my selections to see how many you would expert to win. So this weeks forecast was for between 12 and 13 selections to win out of 20. The lowest forecast is made up by the 12 lowest odds winning and the highest is made up of the top 13 odds winning.

    Now this will show me (& you) how well I'm expected to do (or badly) . This helps me in a few ways Now I know what is good and what is bad. 40pts to me before this wouldn't be considered good but infact would be very good. Also help me with how this is performing and not to get to ahead of myself when things are going well or to down when things are going bad.

     

      Now this weekend Im at -30.60Pts and the the best I can do is -19.10pts both outside the forecast so performace level is poor this weekend. So far after 18 selections I would expect to have 11 winners but I'm down at 9 thats the reason I'm at -30.60PTS.

    Hope this adds to the thread even if it put there for my benefit :)

    thanks for reading

    FootballBettingPredictor 2019

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    1381223393_Selectons03_05_19-07_05_19.thumb.PNG.922b0be24e45d5a9e103d0a6a70cc368.PNG

    Profit/Loss of the day  +5.20PTS
    Overall Profit/Loss +29.80PTS

    Month Profit/Loss:-  -4.80pts

    May

    Overall Selections 10

    Won 6

    Lost 4

    Strike rate :- 60.00%

    AVG ODDS 1.73

    R.O.I -4.80%

    April +34.60PTS   R.O.I 8.24%

    So a small profit made on the day New York City remain a pain in my side just can't seem to get the rating for them correct :@. Apart from that game was happy with what I saw today (Saturday).

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