Timmy1515
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Posts posted by Timmy1515
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On Saturday had 1 win out of 9
Sunday 19 winner from 22
just shows results can swing one way then the other I really need to get a huge sample of results.
Overall Profit/Loss 34pts
Overall Selections 32
Won 20
Lost 12
Strike rate :- 66.67%
AVG ODDS 1.87
R.O.I 10.63%
will add odds for the midweek games that don't have odds as soon as they are compiled
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Profit/Loss of the day
Overall Profit/Loss -11.20ptsMonth Profit/Loss:- -45.10pts
May
Overall Selections 35
Won 16
Lost 19
Strike rate :- 45.71%
AVG ODDS 1.73
R.O.I -12.47%
April +34.60PTS R.O.I 8.24%
So a small loss overall to end things. I may revisit it but I need to see results as it performs well when looking back at resuts and has also had little success over periods but that's been a couple of month here and there.
So I'll check results on the other part of the forum
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On 5/7/2019 at 12:09 PM, BetPredictor said:
Selections
Single
Ilves vs FC Honka EspooFinland
Veikkausliiga / 7th May 2019 @ 16:30
Double chance • FC Honka Espoo or draw (1-1) Won +5.50
Odds: 1.55 Stake: 10
Single
FC Cincinnati vs Montreal ImpactUnited States
MLS / 11th May 2019 @ 18:00
Double chance • Montreal Impact or draw (2-1) Lost -10Pts
Odds: 1.73 Stake: 10
Single
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland TimbersUnited States
MLS / 11th May 2019 @ 03:00
Double chance • Portland Timbers or draw (1-0) Lost -10pts
Odds: 1.70 Stake: 10
Single
Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake (2-3) Won +8.30United States
MLS / 12th May 2019 @ 02:00
Double chance • Real Salt Lake or draw
Odds: 1.83 Stake: 10When all selections are selected they will then be put into a table and a forecast will be made.
On 5/7/2019 at 4:34 PM, BetPredictor said:Selections
Single
Ehime FC vs Kagoshima UnitedJapan
J2 League / 12th May 2019 @ 11:00
Double chance • Kagoshima United or draw
Odds: 1.62 Stake: 10Single
Kyoto Purple Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama (2-1) Won +5.30Japan
J2 League / 12th May 2019 @ 06:00
Double chance • Kyoto Purple Sanga or draw
Odds: 1.53 Stake: 10
Single
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Albirex Niigata (3-2) Won +5.30Japan
J2 League / 11th May 2019 @ 06:00
Double chance • V-Varen Nagasaki or draw
Bet365 Odds: 1.53 Stake: 10On 5/7/2019 at 4:12 PM, BetPredictor said:Single
Lillestrom SK vs Rosenborg BK
Eliteserien / 11th May 2019 @ 17:00
Double chance • Lillestrom SK or draw (1-1) Won +5.70pts
Odds: 1.57
Stake: 10
On 5/7/2019 at 12:18 PM, BetPredictor said:Single
FC Inter Turku vs RoPS RovaniemiFinland
Veikkausliiga / 7th May 2019 @ 16:30
Double chance • RoPS Rovaniemi or draw (3-0) Lost -10pts
Odds: 2.05 Stake: 10
-5.90pts
5/8
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On 4/30/2019 at 10:37 PM, BetPredictor said:
Single
Degerfors IF vs IK Brage BorlangeSweden
Superettan / 7th May 2019 @ 18:00
Double chance • IK Brage Borlange or draw (1-0) Lost -10.pts
Odds: 1.73Stake: 10
On 5/6/2019 at 6:08 AM, BetPredictor said:Single
Columbus Crew vs Los Angeles Galaxy
MLS / 9th May 2019 @ 00:30
Double chance • Los Angeles Galaxy or draw (3-1) Lost -10pts
Odds: 1.85
Stake: 10
-20.00pts
bear with me just cleaning this up
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Hi all,
I will each week post Selections I feel have a good chance of winning without taking price into consideration. Where I used to have stats to help me make team ratings here I will only use my own eye's to rate teams. So new ratings have been issued and will be used in here for selections. Teams that I have not seen will for now be based on a few stats but I will look at watching them teams within the next 3/4 weeks.
All prices here are taken from a website I use to track my bets. The prices you will see posted here are the odds I have been given on the site and are the BEST PRICE for each selection. I will not be backing all these teams with real money but wish to track them here. The teams I selected with real money will be kept away from the forum as I wish this to be abit of fun.
Of course I want this to make profit and it could make profit but wish to make it clear any Profit or Loss here does not mean I have made that profit or loss away from the forum. So my advice to anyone do not follow this with real money and view it as entertainment. If this can or does turn over a profit then at a later date I may look at this a little more.
after having a play around with this over the past few day's I believe our eye's and knowledge when it comes to ratings work better the stats but not everyone has the time.
Results will be posted at the end of the last match on this list below so I will see you all on Monday
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Hi all,
I think it's time to abandon this approach of working out a probabilty of a football game :(. The problem I have is ratings need to be spot on from day one in order for it to be profitable. I've tired a few new things and thought I'd found a way to rate teams.
Sport is Sport and it's impossible to get a true Probabilty on it I'm sure most will agree. I tired hard for many years now to develop a football predictor with odds but at this moment in time I till don't have it.
I will carry on predicting football matches as I enjoy it and can pick selections that have a good chance of winning but what I can't do is put a percentage on that outcome (well I can just not close enough).
So what I'm going to do is clean this thread up when the selections have finished and move away form this approach. I enjoy posting on this forum so will continue to do so.
I will more then likely post on the Glory Hunters forum using the methods I have used to predict football matches just without my compiled odds. Thanks all for looking in and I'm sorry I was unsuccesful with this.
See you all soon
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Selections
Single
Ehime FC vs Kagoshima UnitedJapan
J2 League / 12th May 2019 @ 11:00
Double chance • Kagoshima United or draw
Odds: 1.62 Stake: 10Single
Kyoto Purple Sanga vs Fagiano OkayamaJapan
J2 League / 12th May 2019 @ 06:00
Double chance • Kyoto Purple Sanga or draw
Odds: 1.53 Stake: 10
Single
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Albirex NiigataJapan
J2 League / 11th May 2019 @ 06:00
Double chance • V-Varen Nagasaki or draw
Bet365 Odds: 1.53 Stake: 10 -
Single
Lillestrom SK vs Rosenborg BK
Eliteserien / 11th May 2019 @ 17:00
Double chance • Lillestrom SK or draw
Odds: 1.57
Stake: 10
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Single
FC Inter Turku vs RoPS RovaniemiFinland
Veikkausliiga / 7th May 2019 @ 16:30
Double chance • RoPS Rovaniemi or draw
Odds: 2.05 Stake: 10
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Selections
Single
Ilves vs FC Honka EspooFinland
Veikkausliiga / 7th May 2019 @ 16:30
Double chance • FC Honka Espoo or draw
Odds: 1.55 Stake: 10
Single
FC Cincinnati vs Montreal ImpactUnited States
MLS / 11th May 2019 @ 18:00
Double chance • Montreal Impact or draw
Odds: 1.73 Stake: 10
Single
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland TimbersUnited States
MLS / 11th May 2019 @ 03:00
Double chance • Portland Timbers or draw
Odds: 1.70 Stake: 10
Single
Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt LakeUnited States
MLS / 12th May 2019 @ 02:00
Double chance • Real Salt Lake or draw
Odds: 1.83 Stake: 10When all selections are selected they will then be put into a table and a forecast will be made.
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Single
Columbus Crew vs Los Angeles Galaxy
MLS / 9th May 2019 @ 00:30
Double chance • Los Angeles Galaxy or draw
Odds: 1.85
Stake: 10
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Profit/Loss of the day -25.80pts
Overall Profit/Loss +4.00PTSMonth Profit/Loss:- -30.60pts
May
Overall Selections 18
Won 9
Lost 9
Strike rate :- 50.00%
AVG ODDS 1.70
R.O.I -17.00%
April +34.60PTS R.O.I 8.24%
Today has been one of them days But I'd like to add something new to the thread.
After I've made my selections I will add a forecast of likely Profit and Loss for the table of results
this weeks was
teams to win Between 12/13
Profit/Loss Between
-11.60pts & 40.00pts
The way this is done is working out the probability of all my selections to see how many you would expert to win. So this weeks forecast was for between 12 and 13 selections to win out of 20. The lowest forecast is made up by the 12 lowest odds winning and the highest is made up of the top 13 odds winning.
Now this will show me (& you) how well I'm expected to do (or badly) . This helps me in a few ways Now I know what is good and what is bad. 40pts to me before this wouldn't be considered good but infact would be very good. Also help me with how this is performing and not to get to ahead of myself when things are going well or to down when things are going bad.
Now this weekend Im at -30.60Pts and the the best I can do is -19.10pts both outside the forecast so performace level is poor this weekend. So far after 18 selections I would expect to have 11 winners but I'm down at 9 thats the reason I'm at -30.60PTS.
Hope this adds to the thread even if it put there for my benefit
thanks for reading
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Profit/Loss of the day +5.20PTS
Overall Profit/Loss +29.80PTSMonth Profit/Loss:- -4.80pts
May
Overall Selections 10
Won 6
Lost 4
Strike rate :- 60.00%
AVG ODDS 1.73
R.O.I -4.80%
April +34.60PTS R.O.I 8.24%
So a small profit made on the day New York City remain a pain in my side just can't seem to get the rating for them correct . Apart from that game was happy with what I saw today (Saturday).
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The Football Betting Predictor Selections (Glory Hunters Edition)
in Glory Hunters
Posted
Profit/Loss for above table -24.20pts
Overall Profit/Loss -17.30pts
Overall Selections 118
Won 68
Lost 50
Strike rate :- 57.62%
AVG ODDS 1.79
R.O.I
-1.47
This clearly isn't working I came back as I thought I had made what I had better but it seems to have made it less accurate. So it's time for me to go back to how it was in 2017/18. The changes I made seemed like it would make it better.
but a loss on here of 17.30pts plus a loss on the other page of around 40 pts shows it's not as good :(.
So I'm going back to the tried and tested version and this time I will run it for a long period of time. Sadly this will be away from this forum .
So I go baack to when it had the most success and if that fails after a huge number of selections then it will go back in it's box and will never been seen again.