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BBOTD - Sat 25th Sept


fintron

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2.20 Market Rasen Stage Acclaim - third here behind Australia day when last seen over hurdles and the fourth has won twice since (once on the level) to boost the form. Ran well enough at Bath recently over a trip very much on the sharp side and better expected tomorrow over 2m 1f. 16/1 VC Bet, 0.5 pt EW

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Re: BBOTD - Sat 25th Sept 3:40 Ascot - Suruor - .5pts e/w @ 20/1 (Ladbrokes - BOG) Highly progressive 4 year old who enjoyed a very good 2009 when starting off winning off a mark of 75 and ending the season rated 98. He has always struck me as a horse who needs soft ground and from 5 runs with a bit of juice in the ground he has never finished out of the top 3 and won once. A lot of his more impressive runs has come in races that are run very quickly from the off and with many speedy sorts here I'm expecting the combination of softish ground and a good gallop to culminate in a good run for the David Simcock trained Suruor. His galloping style should be ideal for the Ascot course and this will be the first time he should get a bit of cut in the ground at this course. He ran well here in July over C&D when coming 5th of 21 runners on very fast ground and with conditions to suit and a decent draw here today he might just be able to go a few lengths better here today and possibly win, he was only 2 lengths away that day and he ran well next time out on softer ground at Goodwood when finishing 1 length behind Axiom back in 3rd, he was hampered a furlong out and flew near the finish but his race was already run at that stage. Tom Queally takes the ride today and I find that quite interesting as he doesn't often ride for Simcock. Queally has been riding very well of late and he shows a good profit when riding this course and has an OK strike rate of 10% from 86 rides. He should be ideally suited to Suruor who likes to be held up and I always like backing Tom on a hold up horse. If he gets him settled in behind I'm quite sure that when the gaps appear my selection will have enough gears to make a big challenge at a course that suits him perfectly and on ground that should prove exactly to his wanting. He has a good attitude and rarely puts in a bad run and if getting the run of the race here he should outrun his price tag. I have priced him up as a 10/1 shot and the 20's available are way overpriced.

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