Rick121212 Posted October 18, 2010 Author Share Posted October 18, 2010 Re: Football draws Midweek Ligue 2 matches for tomorrow. Week 11 19/10/2010 3.00 Angers v Le Mans 19/10/2010 3.00 Chateauroux v AC Ajaccio 19/10/2010 3.00 Clermont Foot v Laval 19/10/2010 3.10 Dijon v Vannes OC 19/10/2010 3.00 Nimes v Evian 19/10/2010 3.00 Sedan v Troyes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted October 19, 2010 Author Share Posted October 19, 2010 Re: Football draws 58/155 = 37.42% Total profit = 199.40 Total staked = 1550.00 Yield = 12.86% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09 BVB Posted October 20, 2010 Share Posted October 20, 2010 Re: Football draws Hello boys! I'm also interested in that thing with a "group" of people in which everyone has 2-3 leagues in which to find THE DRAWS....if it's still representing interest of course! Take care! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Posted October 21, 2010 Share Posted October 21, 2010 Re: Football draws Very impressive Rick121212, have you backtested your system? Any resukts from previous seasons/divisions to share. Interested to see how this shapes up over 1,000 bets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted October 22, 2010 Author Share Posted October 22, 2010 Re: Football draws Results: Week 11 19/10/2010 3.00 Angers v Le Mans L -10 289.40 19/10/2010 3.00 Chateauroux v AC Ajaccio L -10 279.40 19/10/2010 3.00 Clermont Foot v Laval L -10 269.40 19/10/2010 3.10 Dijon v Vannes OC L -10 259.40 19/10/2010 3.00 Nimes v Evian L -10 249.40 19/10/2010 3.00 Sedan v Troyes W 20 269.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted October 22, 2010 Author Share Posted October 22, 2010 Re: Football draws Very impressive Rick121212' date=' have you backtested your system? Any resukts from previous seasons/divisions to share. Interested to see how this shapes up over 1,000 bets.[/quote'] In theory it has kind of been back tested. Because I use stats from last season, with a section of the odds reaching Over 33% (for example when the home side was between the odds 1.91-2.5 there were draws 37% of the time) it has been back tested because the percentage is high enough. It's as simple as that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted October 22, 2010 Author Share Posted October 22, 2010 Re: Football draws This week: Week 12 24/10/2010 3.00 Lecce v Brescia 24/10/2010 3.00 Udinese v Palermo 23/10/2010 2.87 Modena v Sassuolo 23/10/2010 3.00 Piacenza v Atalanta 23/10/2010 3.10 Reggina v Empoli 23/10/2010 2.87 Grosseto v Livorno 22/10/2010 2.90 AC Ajaccio v Tours 22/10/2010 3.10 Laval v Dijon 22/10/2010 2.87 Metz v Angers 22/10/2010 3.10 Nantes v Chateauroux 22/10/2010 2.80 Reims v Grenoble 25/10/2010 3.00 Evian Thonon Gaillar v Sedan 23/10/2010 3.30 NEC v FC Groningen 24/10/2010 3.30 Vitesse v FC Utrecht Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted October 25, 2010 Author Share Posted October 25, 2010 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted October 29, 2010 Author Share Posted October 29, 2010 Re: Football draws Here are this weeks bets. Interestingly the odds are mostly 3.00 or higher, usually they tend to creep to 2.9/2.87 so it's good to see them staying high. Week 13 30/10/2010 3.25 Blackpool v West Brom 31/10/2010 3.20 Palermo v Lazio 31/10/2010 3.20 Parma v Chievo 30/10/2010 3.00 Cittadella v Grosseto 30/10/2010 3.10 Frosinone v Triestina 30/10/2010 3.00 Livorno v Reggina 30/10/2010 3.00 Pescara v Modena 30/10/2010 2.90 Portogruaro v Piacenza 30/10/2010 3.00 Vicenza v Varese 01/11/2010 3.00 Sassuolo v Siena 29/10/2010 3.00 Angers v Troyes 29/10/2010 3.00 Clermont Foot v Metz 29/10/2010 3.00 Dijon v Nantes 29/10/2010 2.87 Grenoble v AC Ajaccio 29/10/2010 3.00 Le Havre v Le Mans 29/10/2010 3.00 Nimes v Laval 31/10/2010 3.30 ADO Den Haag v FC Utrecht Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted October 29, 2010 Author Share Posted October 29, 2010 Re: Football draws Also, if someone could teach me how to put these tables into a proper format on here that would be much appreciated. PM me :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted November 1, 2010 Author Share Posted November 1, 2010 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted November 4, 2010 Author Share Posted November 4, 2010 Re: Football draws Week 14 06/11/2010 3.30 Bolton v Tottenham 07/11/2010 3.10 Lazio v Roma 07/11/2010 3.20 Palermo v Genoa 05/11/2010 3.00 Triestina v Atalanta 06/11/2010 2.90 Albinoleffe v Sassuolo 06/11/2010 2.90 Ascoli v Novara 06/11/2010 3.00 Crotone v Pescara 06/11/2010 2.80 Grosseto v Torino 06/11/2010 2.87 Modena v Livorno 06/11/2010 2.90 Padova v Empoli 06/11/2010 2.90 Piacenza v Vicenza 05/11/2010 3.10 AC Ajaccio v Dijon 05/11/2010 3.00 Evian v Le Havre 05/11/2010 3.00 Reims v Angers 05/11/2010 3.00 Vannes OC v Clermont Foot 08/11/2010 3.00 Tours v Boulogne Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted November 9, 2010 Author Share Posted November 9, 2010 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted November 9, 2010 Author Share Posted November 9, 2010 Re: Football draws Some games in Italy tonight: Week 15 09/11/2010 2.75 Cittadella v Reggina 09/11/2010 2.87 Frosinone v Crotone 09/11/2010 2.87 Grosseto v Varese 09/11/2010 3.00 Novara v Empoli 09/11/2010 2.90 Pescara v Piacenza 09/11/2010 2.90 Portogruaro v Padova Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fearthainn Posted November 9, 2010 Share Posted November 9, 2010 Re: Football draws Hi Rick, I think backing the draw is indeed a very good choice as many people tend to overlook this market. Just wanted to ask you if you've taken a look at the Portuguese Liga Orangina (the second tier in Portugal). So far this season the draw percentage in this league is an astonishing 39.29%, the highest among the professional European leagues. In 2009/10 its draw percentage was 32.08%, only behind the Italian Serie C1/B (36.6%), French Ligue 2 (32.98%) and Belgian div 2 (32.16%). In 2008/09 it was 31.25%, only behind the Italian Serie C1/A and the Italian Serie B. In 2007/08 it was 33.75%, behind the Italian C1/B and the Spanish Segunda B Group 3. Just throwing it out there as the Portuguese second division is usually highly competitive, with no teams really standing out from each other, and this is reflected in the stats. Thought it might be of interest to you or others. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted November 9, 2010 Author Share Posted November 9, 2010 Re: Football draws Hi Rick, I think backing the draw is indeed a very good choice as many people tend to overlook this market. Just wanted to ask you if you've taken a look at the Portuguese Liga Orangina (the second tier in Portugal). So far this season the draw percentage in this league is an astonishing 39.29%, the highest among the professional European leagues. In 2009/10 its draw percentage was 32.08%, only behind the Italian Serie C1/B (36.6%), French Ligue 2 (32.98%) and Belgian div 2 (32.16%). In 2008/09 it was 31.25%, only behind the Italian Serie C1/A and the Italian Serie B. In 2007/08 it was 33.75%, behind the Italian C1/B and the Spanish Segunda B Group 3. Just throwing it out there as the Portuguese second division is usually highly competitive, with no teams really standing out from each other, and this is reflected in the stats. Thought it might be of interest to you or others. I am interested mate, but the leagues I've chosen are because I have statistics regarding the home team's odds and this league. If I had stats for the Portuguese league and the home odds then maybe it would be included. Appreciate the suggestion though. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted November 9, 2010 Author Share Posted November 9, 2010 Re: Football draws Week 15 09/11/2010 2.75 Cittadella v Reggina L -10 351.90 09/11/2010 2.87 Frosinone v Crotone L -10 341.90 09/11/2010 2.87 Grosseto v Varese W 18.7 360.60 09/11/2010 3.00 Novara v Empoli W 20 380.60 09/11/2010 2.90 Pescara v Piacenza W 19 399.60 09/11/2010 2.90 Portogruaro v Padova W 19 418.60 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
legolas_elif86 Posted November 10, 2010 Share Posted November 10, 2010 Re: Football draws today you'll choice??? :tongue2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted November 10, 2010 Author Share Posted November 10, 2010 Re: Football draws I have a few games for today, but I'm finishing posting the papertrail on here. I'm going to do some more research into the results I have and maybe more papertrailing but I want to put money into this and clearly there is a lot of potential here with me making 318.60 profit since mid-August. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluemanc Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Re: Football draws Hi Rick. Fairly new to PL,reading thru your thread it seems that you may have found something interesting.I see from your last post that you were going to research your method in more detail. Do you intend to re-post,or is this a system for private use only(i dont blame you after your tremendous results to date)? Good luck anyway. :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted December 14, 2010 Author Share Posted December 14, 2010 Re: Football draws I did quite a lot of research and back-testing and actually did use real money for a few weeks, losing a lot, and it doesn't work. The results look extremely impressive but they won't continue. Although I'd like to think there is a way to make money from draws, I'm afraid it's becoming increasingly unlikely except with sheer luck, like here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovo.cosmico Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Re: Football draws Hi Rick121212, I followed your thread :ok for some time and decided to do my own research on stats and odds, and some betting. Actually, I think that the system works. But I believe the profit is seasonal. For some weeks I had profit and then I started losing money, and gave it up, as the draws become more irregular and scarse. At the beggining of the season, teams play safe, don't want to lose points, so there are more draws. I believe that right now everything is still opened for the teams on the majority of leagues, so they do all they can to win the games. Not so many injuries yet, also. So less draws. Maybe in a few months, draw betting will be profitable again, as by then pretty much would be allready decided leaguewise.:hope Cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick121212 Posted December 15, 2010 Author Share Posted December 15, 2010 Re: Football draws Hi Rick121212, I followed your thread :ok for some time and decided to do my own research on stats and odds, and some betting. Actually, I think that the system works. But I believe the profit is seasonal. For some weeks I had profit and then I started losing money, and gave it up, as the draws become more irregular and scarse. At the beggining of the season, teams play safe, don't want to lose points, so there are more draws. I believe that right now everything is still opened for the teams on the majority of leagues, so they do all they can to win the games. Not so many injuries yet, also. So less draws. Maybe in a few months, draw betting will be profitable again, as by then pretty much would be allready decided leaguewise.:hope Cheers That's interesting. And I like the thinking although it is maybe slightly subjective. Out of interest, what times were best for draws? Did your research show this? Are some months better than others? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pizzaboy Posted February 11, 2011 Share Posted February 11, 2011 Re: Football draws Rick121212 can you please contact me at [email protected], thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Notreve1977 Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 Re: Football draws Very Impressive performace this season. hard to see you sustain a profit in this market as its a tough one but dont be too quick to write it off your results suggest more than just a lucky streak Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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