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About Rick121212

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 07/04/1990
  1. Re: Europa League Semi Finals > Thu 25th April FC Basel vs Chelsea - Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 (Betfair) Also decided to get on the overs for this game. FC Basel have scored at least two goals in all but one of their home games in this competition, including two against Zenit and Spurs and will be facing a Chelsea side who have conceded 9 goals in their last five games. Chelsea have also been scoring plenty lately with 10 goals in their last give games, so I expect their to be lots of goals in this competition. FC Basel will be desperate to win their home leg and this should open up the game a bit and hopefully net at least 3 goals.
  2. Re: Europa League Semi Finals > Thu 25th April FC Basel vs Chelsea - FC Basel Draw No Bet @ 2.24 (Betfair) On paper, Chelsea should be the favourites to win this. However, I would have said the same with Tottenham and they are now out of the competition. FC Basel are an extremely strong home side and it has helped them reach the semi finals in this competition. They have had strong performances at home with good wins against Zenit, Sporting, and knocking out Spurs, and they showed last season in the Champions League with wins against Manchester United and FC Bayern that they are capable of much more than would appear on paper. Chelsea on the other hand have been playing an incredible amount of games in the last month or two, and are still in the middle of a very important battle for the Champions League spots. They have not had great results on the road in this competition with losses to Steaua and Rubin Kazan, teams you would expect them to beat even if they are playing away. I'm hoping FC Basel play above themselves, like they have in the past with big European home performances and that Chelsea struggle to get a footing in the game. I'm thinking a 1-0, 2-1 but gone for the DNB as extra insurance.
  3. Re: Championship > 19th - 20th April Bolton vs. Middlesbrough - Under 2.5 goals @ 2.06 / Bolton to Keep a Clean Sheet @ 2.80 (Betfair) Bolton struggled with a 3-2 loss to Leicester on Tuesday but will be determined to get a good result here to put themselves back in playoff contention. They have been very strong at home winning there last 7 home games keeping a clean sheet in 5 of them. Middlesbrough have really struggled recently but managed a 1-0 at home to Forest on Tuesday. However, after listening to the game, they did not perform great, and motivation maybe lacking here as they are really too far back to now achieve a playoff spot. They have struggled for goals and only managed 3 goals away in there last 5 games, both against relegation-battling teams (Wolves, Huddersfield) so I think they will struggle against a strong Bolton defence Bolton are struggling with injuries (mainly with there attacking players, N'Gog and Spearing most recently) so will try and keep it tight but may have to settle for a draw. I reckon this could be a 1-0, 0-0 sort of game so have gone with what I think is very large odds on Bolton to keep a clean sheet and Under 2.5 goals which has won in the last 5 Bolton home games and in two of Middlesbrough's last 3 games. Good luck everyone.
  4. Re: Championship > Tue 16th April I have to say I looked at Forest it did cross my mind, but I try not to bet on teams I support. But in my slightly biased view, looks like a sound bet.
  5. Re: Championship > Tue 16th April Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Hull City - Hull to win @ 2.32 (Betfair) The odds are not massive but I rate Hull to win this. They've got one of the best away records in the league and are in good form at the moment. There last five losses have come against teams who are battling for playoff places and while Wolves are obviously trying to get out of the relegation battle, they seem to be in a mess and I think the loss to Huddersfield will have them disheartened. Wolves will be playing without Jamie O'Hara (sent off in the last game) and their most recent wins have come against teams in the bottom half of the table. I see Hull grinding out the win and all but assuring themselves of automatic promotion. Wolves have struggled all season and I think they will do well to get anything out of this game.
  6. Re: Newcastle United v Sunderland > Sun 14th April Yesterday I came into this thread with the intention of placing a bet on Sunderland. I thought they'd be up for it, in the relegation battle, and with Newcastle only playing on Thursday, thought the odds were too long, but was put off by the posts in here. I'm shocked they won so comfortably. Although it sounds like Newcastle had lots of chances.
  7. Re: Stoke City v Manchester United > Sun 14th April Lot of winners in the thread. Good to see. :D
  8. Re: Stoke City v Manchester United > Sun 14th April Stoke City vs Manchester United - Under 2.5 goals @ 1.87 Betfair Stoke are notoriously difficult to breakdown particularly at home and will look to keep out Manchester United at all costs while trying to a nick a goal on the counter. Manchester United have also been very tight in defence, and have often ground out results 1 or 2-0 and I could see the same happening here. In Man. Utd's last 5 away PL games, they've scored 9 goals and only conceded 1, with there last 3 away games being a 1-0 win at Sunderland, 2-0 at QPR, and 1-0 at Fulham. I'm looking for this to continue and with both teams with strong defences and neither team getting many goals from anywhere I think this will stay under. My main concern would be Man. Utd scoring more than 2. Also, important to note is Stoke have only managed 2 goals in their last 6 games.
  9. Re: NFL Week Three Picks :sad Think I'm done with betting for a while.
  10. Re: NFL Week Three Picks TazaD, thank you. I looked at Bradford, and I completely forgot to bet on him. Baltimore Ravens at St. Louis Rams - Sam Bradford Over 250.5 passing yards @ 1.83 (BlueSQ) Can't elaborate much more, Baltimore not the strongest pass defense, giving up 280 yards to Big Ben in Week 1, even though they battered the Steelers, and over 350 yards to Hasselbeck. Rams rely on Bradford and the pass offense, this should be an over.
  11. Re: NFL Week Three Picks New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles - Michael Vick Over 224.5 passing yards @ 1.83 (Paddy Power) With Vick supposedly starting in this game, this line is way off the mark. After a shaky Week 1 performance in which completing only 14 of 32 passes for 187 yards, he was much more assured against the Falcons with 19 of 28 passes for 242 yards before he got injured. He also put less emphasis on rushing in that game, and concentrated more on staying in the pocket, only running when it was really necessary. The Giants are in the bottom 10 in passing defense, but 3rd in rush defense, so I expect the Eagles offense to focus more on passing, and Vick can breeze past this total. Last year, in two games versus the Giants Vick got 500 yards in total.
  12. Re: NFL Week Three Picks Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Josh Freeman Over 240.5 passing yards @ 1.83 (Paddy Power) Freeman has gone over this total in both of his matches so far boasting some good numbers and completion rate. The Falcons have been weak on their pass offense allowing both Vick/Kafka and Cutler to get over 300 yards each in their opening two games. I expect Tampa Bay may want to exploit this and rely on Freeman to pass well. With the numbers he has posted up already, I think he is good enough for this responsibility and more than capable of beating 240 yards. New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles - Eli Manning Under 240.5 passing yards @ 1.91 (Skybet) The Eagles lost last week against the Falcons, in a game which shouldn't have been close. They was a big difference in yardage but they turned the ball over three times, and lost because of that. However, Matt Ryan didn't even reach 200 yards and that was the second week in a row they had kept a very good QB below 200 yards with Sam Bradford for the Rams struggling in Week 1. The Eagles have a strong pass defense and Eli Manning with the Giants, who have not looked brilliant will be up against it and I don't expect him to reach this total.
  13. Re: NFL Week Three Picks Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans - Chris Johnson Over 76.5 rushing yards @ 1.76 (Bet 365) I think this is Chris Johnson's breakout game. His first two games haven't been fantastic, but he is getting better, and still managed over 50 yards against Baltimore (a tough rush defense) where the offense focused on using Hasselbeck. Johnson is more than capable of rushing 100+ yards and will face the weak rush defense of the Denver Broncos. The Raiders rushed them ragged, McFadden with 150 yards that game, and although the Bengals didn't do as well, Benson still reached 59 yards. Johnson is more than capable of beating this total, and I expect him to be a real force in this game.
  14. Re: NFL ATS Comp 2011/12 *Week 3 selections* Date & TimeFavoriteLineUnderdog 9/25 1:00 ET@Cincinnati-2.5San Francisco 9/25 1:00 ETNew England-8.5@Buffalo 9/25 1:00 ET@New Orleans-4Houston 9/25 1:00 ET@Philadelphia-7NY Giants 9/25 1:00 ET@Cleveland-2.5Miami 9/25 1:00 ET@Tennessee-6.5Denver 9/25 1:00 ETDetroit-3.5@Minnesota 9/25 1:00 ET@Carolina-3.5Jacksonville 9/25 4:05 ET@San Diego-14.5Kansas City 9/25 4:05 ETNY Jets-3.5@Oakland 9/25 4:05 ETBaltimore-3.5@St. Louis 9/25 4:15 ET@Tampa Bay-1.5Atlanta 9/25 4:15 ETArizona-3.5@Seattle 9/25 4:15 ETGreen Bay-3.5@Chicago 9/25 8:25 ETPittsburgh-10.5@Indianapolis Monday Night Football Line 9/26 8:35 ET@Dallas-5.5Washington
  15. Re: NFL Week Three Picks New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills - Pats (-7.5) @ 1.91 (Paddy Power) Taking the line early because it's moved to -9 in a lot of places and may even go further. For me this is simple, the Bills have started 2-0 but there game against Oakland was a very close one. They gave up 323 passing yards to the Raiders led by QB Jason Campbell which is quite a big number. With Tom Brady already on 940 passing yards for the season, I think the Bills pass defense has to be worried. I would be surprised if they don't get beat quite comfortably by the Patriots as they have been supreme in Weeks 1 and 2 and I fully expect them to be 3-0 and beating this handicap.