Brazil Serie A 08-09 May

[Thales]

I think there are 3 matches with good value. All sunday. I'd avoid betting in games wich teams are involved in other competions, like Copa do Brasil and Libertadores. Corinthians vs Atlético PR - Corinthians formed a team to win Libertadores, with their elimination to Flamengo, there's nothing left but to try the national title. Atlético PR lost state championship to Coritiba, a team that's currently in 2nd division, besides that they were eliminated of Copa do Brasil to Palmeiras, hard to imagine a traditional team that are in worst shape than Palmeiras. IMO Corinthians can fight for the title, while I expect Atlético PR to fight against relegation. Bruno Mineiro, main scorer of Atlético PR is out due to injurie. So I expect a easy home win. Atlético MG vs Vasco - Atlético MG is not playing great football, but they are doing quite fine with a solid game. And usually they're very strong at home. Some points about Atlético, Vanderley Luxemburgo is a very experienced coach and won't let elimination in Copa do Brasil affect team spirit. Mineirão, Atlético's stadium, will be closed very soon due to reforms in the structure to World Cup 2014, so Atlético won't play there for a year or so, one of the last chances for the fans to say goodbye to the team, I expect a good number of fans pressioning Vasco. Vasco's key player, Carlos Alberto, is injuried and won't be able to play. Looking at the performances of those teams in Copa do Brasil and state championships, I think Atlético is clear favourite, specially 'cause they have a much more solid defensive system. Hard to see a team that lost to Vitoria away for 2-0 (Copa do Brasil) get a point in Mineirão. Ceará vs Fluminense (DNB) - Fluminense don't have a wonderfull team, but it's pretty honest with Conca and Fred, the problem is that Fred won't be able to play this game. But even without him Fluminense are better than Ceará. I see Fluminense ending the league somewhere between 12th and 8th, Ceará will fight against relegation, no doubt about that. I think Fluminense DNB @1.80 is very reasonable, specially against a side that were eliminated of Copa do Brasil for a team that don't even play 2nd division.

[ChrisUK]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May Nice write ups m8..i was looking at Botafogo RJ vs Santos SP we all know how good santos are but i think both teams have alot of fire power and can score goals. i was looking at both teams to score? what do you think Thales?

[flamengo#1]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May Chris, I live in Rio, and have read all news regarding this game...my opinion is: Botafogo--> is the champion of Rio de Janeiro league, has a good attack, with forwards Herrera (Argentina) and Loco Abreu (Uruguai). Playing at home are strong. Santos--> Is not playing with all starters !! that means Robinho, Ganso are out. On the other hand, Neymay is playing, and he is simply awsome...I also like the other players of Santos attacking force... What I dont like about these two teams ? the defense. Therefore, betting on goals for this game should be a good one. +2,5 gols. Good luck !!!!!!!:gimme

[jovinco]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May

Saturday 8 May 2010	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
	Botafogo FR v Santos FC (22:30 BST)	2.5	3.45	3.1	101.24 %
	Palmeiras v EC Vitória (22:30 BST)	1.68	4	6	101.19 %
	Atlético Goianiense v Grêmio FBPA (22:30 BST)	2.45	3.45	3.25	100.57 %
	Sunday 9 May 2010	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
	Atlético Mineiro v Vasco da Gama (20:00 BST)	1.8	3.9	4.8	102.03 %
	SC Corinthians v Atlético Paranaense (20:00 BST)	1.72	4.1	5.5	100.47 %
	Flamengo v São Paulo FC (20:00 BST)	2.24	3.55	3.45	101.80 %
	SC Internacional v Cruzeiro EC (20:00 BST)	2.02	3.65	4	101.90 %
	Guarani Futebol Club v Goiás EC (22:30 BST)	2.72	3.5	2.74	101.83 %
	Avaí FC v Grêmio Prudente (22:30 BST)	1.9	3.75	4.4	102.03 %
	Ceará SC v Fluminense FC (22:30 BST)	2.54	3.4	2.86	103.75 %

[Bagzi]

[ChrisUK]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May

Chris, I live in Rio, and have read all news regarding this game...my opinion is: Botafogo--> is the champion of Rio de Janeiro league, has a good attack, with forwards Herrera (Argentina) and Loco Abreu (Uruguai). Playing at home are strong. Santos--> Is not playing with all starters !! that means Robinho, Ganso are out. On the other hand, Neymay is playing, and he is simply awsome...I also like the other players of Santos attacking force... What I dont like about these two teams ? the defense. Therefore, betting on goals for this game should be a good one. +2,5 gols. Good luck !!!!!!!:gimme

thanks alot for the little write up m8..nice to have some info from someone who achurly knows the league and players :) fingers crossed lots of goals :nana

[ChrisUK]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May

Ratings:

Data		Home side	Away side	Chance for home team to win	Chance for draw	Chance for away team to win
08/05/2010	Botafogo	Santos	35.3 %	19.2 %	45.5 %
08/05/2010	Atlético GO	Grêmio	35.4 %	23.7 %	40.9 %
08/05/2010	Palmeiras	Vitória	42.1 %	25.7 %	32.1 %
09/05/2010	Flamengo	São Paulo	52.4 %	22.3 %	25.3 %
09/05/2010	Atlético MG	Vasco	56.7 %	22.6 %	20.7 %
09/05/2010	Internacional	Cruzeiro	55.7 %	21.6 %	22.6 %
09/05/2010	Corinthians	Atlético PR	53.3 %	28.1 %	18.6 %
09/05/2010	Ceará	Fluminense	32.1 %	28.9 %	39.0 %
09/05/2010	Guarani	Goiás	34.3 %	21.8 %	43.9 %
09/05/2010	Avaí	Prudente	60.3 %	21.1 %	18.6 %

nice stats..you do that yourself? can you do that for every round of fixtures? :nana

[flamengo#1]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May Botafogo 3 x 3 Santos :cheers :rollin :nana

[ChrisUK]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May im going to check out the highlights but looks good game :) any tips for tonights games, i was looking at Flamengo because they got a good strike force in vagner love and adrino but there defence is awful so maybe just Flamengo to score a goal (over 0.5), was thinking both teams to score with san paulo normaly a good team but away they don't seem to score all the time by the stats.. what do you think?

[betolab]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May

Ratings:

Data		Home side	Away side	Chance for home team to win	Chance for draw	Chance for away team to win
08/05/2010	Botafogo	Santos	35.3 %	19.2 %	45.5 %
08/05/2010	Atlético GO	Grêmio	35.4 %	23.7 %	40.9 %
08/05/2010	Palmeiras	Vitória	42.1 %	25.7 %	32.1 %
09/05/2010	Flamengo	São Paulo	52.4 %	22.3 %	25.3 %
09/05/2010	Atlético MG	Vasco	56.7 %	22.6 %	20.7 %
09/05/2010	Internacional	Cruzeiro	55.7 %	21.6 %	22.6 %
09/05/2010	Corinthians	Atlético PR	53.3 %	28.1 %	18.6 %
09/05/2010	Ceará	Fluminense	32.1 %	28.9 %	39.0 %
09/05/2010	Guarani	Goiás	34.3 %	21.8 %	43.9 %
09/05/2010	Avaí	Prudente	60.3 %	21.1 %	18.6 %

m8, have you also considered team news for such odds or are before any team news and you change them accordingly? eg. Today inter with many missings, flumi & apr face troubles too. Have you integrated such infos to your odds? cheers

[jovinco]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May

:welcome to PL betolab:welcome Looking forward to see you on the Brazilian (indeed on any other as well) thread mate.:cheers

m8, have you also considered team news for such odds or are before any team news and you change them accordingly? eg. Today inter with many missings, flumi & apr face troubles too. Have you integrated such infos to your odds? cheers

[flamengo#1]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May Chris, Be careful betting on Flamengo tonight ! The latest news says Vagner Love and Adriano (among other starters), are NOT playing today. They will rest for a very important game on wednesday, for the Libertadores against Universidade de Chile. :ok

[Bagzi]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May

yes mate, sure I can. will update every midweek and week. :ok

nice stats..you do that yourself? can you do that for every round of fixtures? :nana

[Bagzi]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May

yes, International wil have 9 missings for tonight clash, but also have deep squad and their ˝reserve˝ team is good enough to get at least a point. Cruseiro have missings too, three key players are rested.

m8, have you also considered team news for such odds or are before any team news and you change them accordingly? eg. Today inter with many missings, flumi & apr face troubles too. Have you integrated such infos to your odds? cheers

[ChrisUK]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May

Chris, Be careful betting on Flamengo tonight ! The latest news says Vagner Love and Adriano (among other starters), are NOT playing today. They will rest for a very important game on wednesday, for the Libertadores against Universidade de Chile. :ok

i mite have alook at corinthans game instead then..thanks for info:ok

[Ricardinho]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May corinthians rest any important players?

[ChrisUK]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May wow by the result's from last night, this game next week looks good for goals Santos SP vs Ceará SC Fortaleza CE;)

[Coldier75]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May At the moment - yes. But let's see whether Santos will rest some regulars for Copa do Brasil again, as they did in the first round ;)

[ChrisUK]

Re: Brazil Serie A 08-09 May any ideas about tonights brasil cups games Grêmio Porto Alegre RS vs Santos SP - maybe alot of goals? Atlético Goianiense GO vs Vitória Salvador BA - ?????