Steve's Place Lays

[Evenstephen]

I've been using a system looking at Topspeed's figures during February and the results were impressive so I'm expanding it into March and seeing if it carries on the good work. It's basically laying the lower rated horses to be placed in fields of 10 or more. Please DON't lay these selections as it's very much work in progress. Some of the prices are quite high even for the places so I'll see if it continues to impress. I'll check these near the off but if there's less than 10 runners then no bet. Stratford 2-00 Jack Rio Ffos Las 2-50 Arabian Sun Stratford 3-40 Perkin Warbeck Stratford 4-15 Sylroy Stratford 4-50 Day Du Roy Ffos Las 5-10 Prince Massini :ok

[Evenstephen]

Re: Steve's Place Lays Good start for the first day. :ok Stratford 2-00 Jack Rio - 12th 66/1 Ffos Las 2-50 Arabian Sun - 7th 33/1 Stratford 3-40 Perkin Warbeck - Non-Runner Stratford 4-15 Sylroy - PU 16/1 Stratford 4-50 Day Du Roy - 6th 33/1 Ffos Las 5-10 Prince Massini - PU 16/1 5 Selections 5 Correct (100%) 4.75 Points profit after Betfair commission When I tried this out in February, the strike rate was about 91% and the losing bets were at shorter odds. Hopefully it will continue.

[Evenstephen]

Re: Steve's Place Lays Today's Selections: Exeter 3-00 Alternator Exeter 3-30 Macmar Southwell 4-10 Lake Chini Southwell 4-40 Mangham Southwell 5-10 Pretty Orchid Southwell 5-40 Conjecture :)

[Evenstephen]

Re: Steve's Place Lays Working well so far. Exeter 3-00 Alternator - 9th 15/2 Exeter 3-30 Macmar - 8th 16/1 Southwell 4-10 Lake Chini - 9th 12/1 Southwell 4-40 Mangham - 5th 10/1 Southwell 5-10 Pretty Orchid - 8th 50/1 Southwell 5-40 Conjecture - 9th 40/1 6 Selections 6 Correct (100%) 5.7 Points profit Overall: 11 Selections 11 Correct 10.45 Points profit after Betfair commission.

[shadowvkc]

Re: Steve's Place Lays Hey mate, dont want to put a downer on things, but the average odd's your laying at are around 26.. you only need one winner to wipe out 25 winners. Its easy to lay horses with odds or 50/1 on paper, but try doing it with real money - i doubt you would actually risk £490 just to win £10. But on the other hand, some people will say it doesnt matter the price aslong as they keep losing, so good luck :ok

[Evenstephen]

Re: Steve's Place Lays Sorry about the delay in getting these selections in today but I've had a bit of a rotten cold. Catterick 2-20 Terrymene Prince Catterick 2-50 Mt Desert Lingfield 3-00 Byblos Catterick 3-50 Hydrophonic Lingfield 4-00 Pha Mai Blue Catterick 4-20 I See A Star Lingfield 4-30 West Leake Lingfield 5-35 Baba Ghanoush Wolverhampton 8-00 Ermine Grey Wolverhampton 8-30 Red Dagger Wolverhampton 9-00 Tevez ;)

[Evenstephen]

Re: Steve's Place Lays

Hey mate, dont want to put a downer on things, but the average odd's your laying at are around 26.. you only need one winner to wipe out 25 winners. Its easy to lay horses with odds or 50/1 on paper, but try doing it with real money - i doubt you would actually risk £490 just to win £10. But on the other hand, some people will say it doesnt matter the price aslong as they keep losing, so good luck :ok

Thanks for the feedback. :clap The perils of laying higer priced horses are well documented but I'm hoping that my selection criteria will reduce those chances as much as possible. The average priced of all the placed horses in testing was just over 100/30 and the strike rate was 91% so for every 100 races staked I should make about 60 points profit. Fingers crossed the good work continues. :hope

[Evenstephen]

Re: Steve's Place Lays Catterick 2-20 Terrymene Prince - Fell 150/1 :eek *Places odds were 40.0 but I waited until in-running and managed to get much lower) Catterick 2-50 Mt Desert - 8th 7/1 Lingfield 3-00 Byblos - 8th 8/1 Catterick 3-50 Hydrophonic - 8th 33/1 Lingfield 4-00 Pha Mai Blue - 5th 5/2f Catterick 4-20 I See A Star - 7th 9/4f Lingfield 4-30 West Leake - 6th 25/1 Lingfield 5-35 Baba Ghanoush - 7th 20/1 Wolverhampton 8-00 Ermine Grey - 7th 7/1 Wolverhampton 8-30 Red Dagger - 8th 50/1 Wolverhampton 9-00 Tevez - 3rd 16/1 (5.8) 11 Selections 10 Correct (90.9%) 4.7 Points profit Overall: 22 Selections 21 Correct (95.45%) 15.15 Points profit

[Evenstephen]

Re: Steve's Place Lays Today's Selections: Wincanton 3-35 Bazart Carlisle 3-45 Chernik Southwell 4-30 Fashion Icon Wincanton 5-10 Thunder Child Wolverhampton 7-00 Blackstone Vegas Wolverhampton 7-30 Mister Beano Wolverhampton 8-00 Fifty Cents Wolverhampton 8-30 Foreign Investment :hope

[Evenstephen]

Re: Steve's Place Lays Fashion Icon (6th 20/1), Blackstone Vegas (2nd 9/1) and Fifty Cents (9th 22/1) were no bets because those races had 9 runners because of a number of non-runners. Wincanton 3-35 Bazart - 7th 12/1 Carlisle 3-45 Chernik - 2nd 25/1 (10.0) Wincanton 5-10 Thunder Child - 6th 100/1 Wolverhampton 7-30 Mister Beano - 12th 66/1 Wolverhampton 8-30 Foreign Investment - 9th 11/1 5 Selections 4 Correct (80%) 5.2 Points loss :$ Overall: 27 Selections 25 Correct (92.59%) 9.95 Points profit

[Evenstephen]

Re: Steve's Place Lays Today's Selections: Ayr 2-10 Garnahalowey Lad Ayr 3-20 Mansonn Leda Sandown 3-30 Tuscany Star Leixester 3-40 Little Rocker Sandown 4-05 Warne's Way Wincanton 4-20 Petito Ayr 4-30 Something Silver Sandown 5-15 Goring Ayr 5-40 Seeking Straight Wolverhampton 5-50 Trick or Two Wolverhampton 7-20 Prickles Wolverhampton 7-50 Ramona Chase If less than 10 runners then no bet. :D

[Evenstephen]

Re: Steve's Place Lays Yesterday was not a wonderful day but I'm still ahead. I'll update the results shortly. I'm not able to get the selections ready on time today because my heavy cold has been worse the last 24 hours. In fact I even forgot my football team was playing last night. :lol There will probably be some changes done to the system in due course as this is still very much work in progress but there's definately something to be encouraged about.