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shadowvkc

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About shadowvkc

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    Taffy in Canada
  • Birthday 04/01/1987

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  1. Re: The perfect martingale system Ok so Another goal making the score 1-3 We now have 1 winning bet (lay Over 4.5 goals) Currently Liability - £89.53 Current potential profit - £3.29 Now I am going to stop betting here as obviously this game is going to get messy. If you wanted to lay over 5.5 goals the current odds are 1.95 so I will carry on paper trading this match. Bet 4 - Lay Over 4.5 Goals odds - 1.95 Liability - £89.80 Profit - £89.80 (after commission).
  2. Re: The perfect martingale system Ok so ANOTHER goal in the Spain game. So that means it is now 1-2 (3 goals). We now have 2 winning bets and 1 lossing bet. Currently Liability - £89.53 Current potential profit - £36.92 I will now place no bets until another goal is scored
  3. Re: The perfect martingale system Wow 10 mins in and we have 2 goals in the Spain Game. Current Score 1-1 So the bets are now as follows: Bet 1 - Lay Over 2.5 Goals. odds - 2.5 Liability - £7.50 Profit - £4.50 (after commission). Bet 2 - Lay Over 3.5 Goals odds - 2.74 Liability - £21.75 Profit - £11.88 (after commission). Bet 3 - Lay Over 4.5 Goals odds - 2.76 Liability - £60.28 Profit - £32.54 (after commission). So currently we have a total liability of £89.53 and a current potential profit of £49.17
  4. Re: The perfect martingale system Also going to do Jordan V Oman at the same time. The current Under 2.5 goal odds are 1.67 Bet 1 - Lay Over 2.5 Goals. Odds 2.5 Liability - 7.50 Profit - 4.75
  5. Re: The perfect martingale system Ok so here goes... today will see my first live bet (be it for small stakes) using the above method. The game is Italy U21 V Spain U21. Currently the odds for Under 2.5 goals is 1.65 indicating (hopefully) a low scoring game. So the first bet is going to be Laying Over 2.5 goals. Bet 1 - Lay Over 2.5 Goals. Odds - 2.5 Liability - £7.50 Profit - £4.50 (after commission). If there is a goal scored bet 2 will be Lay Over 3.5 Goals for £5 + £7.50 (the liability from the last bet).
  6. Re: The perfect martingale system Ok so here is my first idea. Having a quick read back through this thread the problem seems to arise when there are alot of late goals... and we have to wait until the 80th+ minute to wait until the CS odds come down to around 1.15 so we can breakeven. My first idea would be this. Instead of firstly laying over 1.5 goals and then when a goal is scored laying over 2.5 goals (as this gives us a goal buffer), when not start off by laying over 2.5 goals and when a goal is scored laying over 3.5 goals (as this then gives us a 2 goal buffer). So..... Pre-match. Lay Over 2.5 goals GOAL (1-0) Lay Over 3.5 goals If no more goals are scored then we have 2 winning bets. -------------------------------- Lay Over 2.5 goals GOAL (1-0) Lay Over 3.5 goals GOAL (2-0) Lay Over 4.5 goals If no more goals are scored then we have 3 winning bets. -------------------------------- Now this is where I want it to changed up a little.... Lay Over 2.5 goals GOAL (1-0) Lay Over 3.5 goals GOAL (2-0) Lay Over 4.5 goals GOAL (3-0) Now we dont place a bet. If no more goals are scored then we have 2 winning bets. -------------------------------- Lay Over 2.5 goals GOAL (1-0) Lay Over 3.5 goals GOAL (2-0) Lay Over 4.5 goals GOAL (3-0) GOAL (4-0) Again no more bets. If no more goals are scored then we have 1 winning bets. -------------------------------- Now we wait until the CS market drops low enough to place a bet to cover our liabilities. -------------------------------- I have no idea if this will work out with the odds, but I plan over the next few days to paper trade it and post the results on here. I believe this system defiantly has a chance of being successful - one thing that would help an awful lot would be a way of consistently picking games with less than 3 or 4 games. Does anyone know what leagues on average have games with less than 3 goals per game?
  7. Re: The perfect martingale system Hey guys - Im back and I have a few more ideas on how we can make this possibly even better :) Im off to Bath for the racing today, but hopefully tomorrow I will be around for a few games. I havent looked at this system since I started this thread, but having a quick read through has already got my brain ticking over on a few ideas
  8. Re: Shadow is Back!! New place laying system +6.89pts to 1pt level stakes 7th May Selections 7 May 2011 Nottingham 1.50 Atlantic Beach 7 May 2011 Haydock 2.00 The cheka 7 May 2011 Lindfield 2.10 Dever dream 7 May 2011 Ascot 2.20 Shamali 7 May 2011 Lindfield 2.40 Zain Al Boldan 7 May 2011 Ascot 2.50 Fontley 7 May 2011 Nottingham 2.55 Daylami Dreams 7 May 2011 Haydock 3.05 Green mile 7 May 2011 Lindfield 3.10 War is war 7 May 2011 Ascot 3.25 Oasis Dancer 7 May 2011 Nottingham 3.30 Moritia 7 May 2011 Hexham 3.50 Birnies boy 7 May 2011 Ascot 4.35 Blissful Moment 7 May 2011 Nottingham 4.40 Number theory 7 May 2011 Lindfield 4.55 Nezami 7 May 2011 Hexham 5.00 Farmer Frank 7 May 2011 Ascot 5.10 Son of the cat 7 May 2011 Nottingham 5.15 Abhainn 7 May 2011 Haydock 5.20 Lord Raglan 7 May 2011 Warwick 5.45 Bermondsey Bob 7 May 2011 Warwick 7.45 Tamareen 7 May 2011 Warwick 8.15 Kingswinford
  9. Re: Shadow is Back!! New place laying system +6.89pts to 1pt level stakes 6th May Selections 6 May 2011 Lindfield 1.35 Orance ace 6 May 2011 Chester 1.45 Joseph Henry 6 May 2011 Nottingham 2.30 Moment of Clarity 6 May 2011 Lindfield 2.40 Liberty Lady 6 May 2011 Nottingham 3.05 Cuban Piece 6 May 2011 Chester 3.30 Face the problem 6 May 2011 Lindfield 3.50 Perfect Ch’I 6 May 2011 Nottingham 4.15 Hydrant 6 May 2011 Lindfield 4.25 Emeebee 6 May 2011 Chester 4.40 Imperial Djay 6 May 2011 Nottingham 4.50 Libertino 6 May 2011 Lindfield 5.00 Chief Exec 6 May 2011 Chester 5.10 Leader of the land 6 May 2011 Ascot 5.20 Buckland 6 May 2011 Lindfield 5.35 Midnight trader 6 May 2011 Ascot 5.50 Florestans Match 6 May 2011 Hamilton 6.00 Lake Chini 6 May 2011 Aintree 6.15 Markington 6 May 2011 Hamilton 6.35 Casino Night 6 May 2011 Ripon 6.45 Legal Eagle 6 May 2011 Aintree 6.50 Moon over miami 6 May 2011 Hamilton 7.05 Arashone 6 May 2011 Ripon 7.15 Plesant day 6 May 2011 Ascot 7.35 My Arch 6 May 2011 Hamilton 7.40 Munsarim 6 May 2011 Ascot 8.10 Elnawin 6 May 2011 Hamilton 8.15 Louis The Pious 6 May 2011 Hamilton 8.45 Berbice
  10. Re: Shadow is Back!! New place laying system +6.89pts to 1pt level stakes One hell of a poor day yesterday: 29th April: -3.19 pts 1st May: +4.46 pts 2nd May: +5.62 pts 3rd May: -0.96 pts 4th May: -13.94 pts Starting bank = 100 New bank = 91.99 Quite a few selections today which will hopefully push us back into profit. 5 May 2011 Chester 1.45 Fred Willetts 5 May 2011 Goodwood 2.05 Kavachi 5 May 2011 Chester 2.20 Await the dawn 5 May 2011 Goodwood 3.50 Beatrice Aurope 5 May 2011 Chester 4.05 Beachfire 5 May 2011 Goodwood 4.25 Highland Harvest 5 May 2011 Chester 4.35 Satin Love 5 May 2011 Chester 5.10 Granny Mcphee 5 May 2011 Ffos Las 6.00 Grams and ounces 5 May 2011 Wetherby 6.55 Follow on 5 May 2011 Ffos Las 7.05 Chinese democracy 5 May 2011 Ffos Las 7.40 Spas dancer 5 May 2011 Ffos Las 8.10 Court Wing
  11. Re: Shadow is Back!! New place laying system +6.89pts to 1pt level stakes Betfair results werent working properly last night when I checked, so I shall update at the end of today Here are the selections for today 4 May 2011 Kelso 2.35 Daniels Dream 4 May 2011 Chester 2.55 Tastahil 4 May 2011 Southwell 3.20 Eastern Hills 4 May 2011 Chester 3.30 Archers Road 4 May 2011 Kelso 3.45 Almutaham 4 May 2011 Southwell 3.55 Vertumnus 4 May 2011 Southwell 4.30 Tillys Tale 4 May 2011 Southwell 5.05 Shifting Gold 4 May 2011 Southwell 5.40 Meydan Style 4 May 2011 Southwell 6.15 Elfine 4 May 2011 Cheltenham 6.45 Theatre Diva 4 May 2011 Sedgfield 7.30 Humourous 4 May 2011 Cheltenham 7.50 Sea Wall
  12. Re: Shadow is Back!! New place laying system +37.88pts to 1pt level stakes Thanks Guys... also I shall update the bank using the days that I have posted here only :) So.... 29th April: -3.19 pts 1st May: +4.46 pts 2nd May: +5.62 pts Starting bank: 100 New bank: 106.89 Todays Selections: 3 May 2011 Newcastle 2.40 Hail Tiberius 3 May 2011 Bath 3.30 Spic and Span 3 May 2011 Newcastle 3.45 Ezra Church 3 May 2011 Newcastle 4.15 Deep Applause 3 May 2011 Bath 4.35 Saddlers Bend 3 May 2011 Newcastle 4.45 Sergeant Suzie 3 May 2011 Fakenham 5.00 Kanonkop 3 May 2011 Exeter 6.50 Beauchamp Viking 3 May 2011 Catterick 7.00 George Benjamin 3 May 2011 Catterick 8.30 Six Wives
  13. Re: Shadow is Back!! New place laying system Another great day today and I shall update the totals as there was an error in yesterdays results: Since I started paper trailing this system (25th April). 25th April: + 5.15 pt 26th April: + 8.88 pt 27th April: +11.17 pt 28th April: -1.6 pt 29th April: -3.19 pt 30th April: +7.21 pt 1st May: +4.64 pt 2nd May: + 5.62 pt Total Profit: 37.88 pts Total Staked: 364pts ROI: 10.39% New bank: 137.88 pts This system would benefit greatly from a ratchet style staking system, using possibly 2% of bank as a stake as the average odd is 4.16. So by placing 2% of your bank you would on average be risking 6.32% of your bank roll. Once we have a little more data I will post up 2 sets of results - one to level stakes and another using the above plan.
  14. Re: Shadow is Back!! New place laying system Todays selections: 2 May 2011 Kempton 2.00 Majestic Bright 2 May 2011 Warwick 2.10 Hathaway 2 May 2011 Windsor 2.25 Gwilym 2 May 2011 Warwick 2.40 Dreams of glory 2 May 2011 Beverly 2.50 Fantasy Fry 2 May 2011 Windsor 2.55 New Leyf 2 May 2011 Kempton 3.00 Whatts up son 2 May 2011 Chepstow 3.15 Desperate dan 2 May 2011 Beverly 3.20 Lingfield Bound 2 May 2011 Windsor 3.25 True to form 2 May 2011 Warwick 3.40 Loves Theme 2 May 2011 Chepstow 3.45 Sailing North 2 May 2011 Beverly 3.50 Elijah Pepper 2 May 2011 Windsor 3.55 The tichborne 2 May 2011 Kempton 4.00 Huygens 2 May 2011 Beverly 4.20 Seldom 2 May 2011 Kempton 4.30 Squad 2 May 2011 Warwick 4.40 Sergeant Troy 2 May 2011 Chepstow 4.45 Cikking Dancer 2 May 2011 Beverly 4.50 Abidhabidubai 2 May 2011 Windsor 4.55 Goldtrek 2 May 2011 Kempton 5.00 Clounds End 2 May 2011 Warwick 5.10 Anton Dolin 2 May 2011 Windsor 5.25 Welsh Inlet
  15. Re: Shadow is Back!! New place laying system Ok so I will include yesterdays results aswel. Starting bank 100 pts. Day 1 = -3.19 pts Day 2 = +7.21 pts Day 3 = +6.54 pts New bank 110.56 :)