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NBA Friday.


Guest TazaD

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Guest TazaD

Milwaukee -5 League: 50-9 SU (Av. win 11.0) home 5+ fav, 1 day off 10- ats win as home 10+ fav. [Mil] (7-3-1 this season) (12-1 ats this no. (Av. win 15.2) if total 200+) 23-3 SU (av. win 12.8 ) if opp last away. 18-1 SU (av. win 13.3) if opp off 10- ats win. (16-3 ats this no.!) League: 32-113 SU (Av. loss 9.6) away 5+ dog, 1 day off 10- ats win as away 5+ dog. [Denv] (7-23 SU (Av. loss 8.3) if total 200+) (0-5 this no. this season) 14-66 SU (av. loss 10.6) if opp last at home. (0-10 this no. this season!) 1-11 SU (Av. loss 10.6) if opp was last 10+ fav. (2-9-1 this no.!) Love the Bucks in this spot. Both teams playing for play-off spots, but is there a chance Denver looks past this one to Utah on Sunday??? Don't think it matters. Milwaukee are 24-8 @ home, and if they win they cover the number. Numbers say the line is at least 2-3 points too low here. Really like one other game, but hoping for a better line.

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Guest TazaD

Re: NBA Friday. Miami -4.5 League: 72-25 SU (av. win 8.0) home 5+ fav, 1 day off 10- ats loss as any away dog. [Miami] (31-20-2 (av. win 12.6) if opp was last at home.) 21-3 SU (14-8-2. Av. win 12.6) if opp was last home dog. 20-6 ATS (av. win 9.7) if opp last lost ats. League: 1-16 SU!!(Av. loss 13.1) away 5+ dog, 2 days off 10- ats loss as home 5+ dog. [seattle] (3-13 this number) 10-79 SU (Av. loss 11.7) on any rest. 4-33 SU (av. loss 12.4) if opp last lost ats. (10-27 this number) Miami won 105-98 @ Seattle last game, and although Ray Allen didn't play in that game, Miami out-rebounded the Sonics 48-30!! Seattle 3-6 on 2 days rest, allowing a huge 104.9 ppg!!! Seattle also 3-8 v. Atlantic Div. Miami 14-3 as any fav this season, and 10-5 home v. <.500 teams. In fact Miami are 15-4-1 last 20 when favoured by 6 or less!! Heat are also 7-2 ats v. Seattle in their last 9 home meetings. Miami still playing for a play-off spot, Seattle have nothing to play for. Hard to believe Miami are under-rated here, but the line, like Milwaukee, is WAY lower than it should be.

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Guest TazaD

Re: NBA Friday. Good to see we are on 2 of the same games, kimkarim. Have to say, I don't really like Indiana tho. They started at -4...and although there is over 70% of money going their way, the line has come IN to -3.5!! :unsure Usually means one thing...The books are getting what they want.

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Guest Kimkarim

Re: NBA Friday. To be honest I'm not too keen on the Pacers myself, Taza. However, they're recommended by a redhot Danish tipster on another site. I never question selections from someone with a trackrecord like his. Had it not been for him, I'd have left it alone for sure. Interesting about the 70% on Pacers. How do you know, if you don't mind me asking? And do you know how come bookies lower the line despite getting so much action on Indiana? Is it merely a matter of bookies strongly believing in Celtics?

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