Crouch Potato Posted October 31, 2009 Share Posted October 31, 2009 No, it is not a thread about Marlon King :tongue2 The Premise: Look exclusively at H2H history for recurring correct scores. The higher the odds for the score, the less frequently it needs to occur. For scores which would require 5+ goals, near missed will also be factored in. Bets will either be full strength or half strength, with full strength bet stakes double that of half strength. For the purposes of calculation I'll arbitrarily make stakes 5 or 10 units, which will generally be levels of real money I'll be using. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crouch Potato Posted October 31, 2009 Author Share Posted October 31, 2009 Re: Repeat Offenders All with Betfair unless stated otherwise. Everton v Aston Villa 5 on 3-2 @ 36 5 on 2-3 @ 40 Everton 3-2 has occured once, Villa 3-2 twice in last 8 years. A fair few near misses with 2x 3-1, 1x 2-2 and 1x 3-3 in that period also. Scunthorpe v Swansea 10 on 2-2 @ 18 5 of the past 6 times Scunthorpe hosted Swansea it's ended 2-2 (Dating back to 2001). One reverse fixture has also ended 2-2. Stockport v Norwich 5 on 2-2 @ 18 Occurred twice in last 10 meetings. Stockport hosted both. Brighton v Hartlepool 5 on 2-2 @ 36 2x in past 12 years. 2x 2-2, 1x 3-3, 1x 4-2. Tranmere v Swindon 5 on 2-1 @ 11 Last 5 times Tranmere have hosted Swindon it has been 1-0, 2-1, 1-0, 2-1, 1-0. Sequence says 2-1 this time :hope Lens v Lorient 10 on 1-1 @ 6.6 5 times in last 9 meetings. St Etienne v Lyon 5 on 2-3 @ @ 42 Twice in past 5 years. 1x 1-3. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crouch Potato Posted October 31, 2009 Author Share Posted October 31, 2009 Re: Repeat Offenders Bolton v Chelsea 5 on 0-2 @ 7.4 Score in 4 of Chelsea's past 6 visits to Reebok. Schalke v Leverkusen 5 on 3-3 @ 65 Twice since 2001. 1x 2-3. Osasuna v Barcelona 5 on 2-3 @ 30 Twice in last 16 years. 1x 2-2. Sporting Braga v Benfica 10 on 3-2 @ 46 Twice in last 10 years. 2x 3-1. Bilbao v Atletico Madrid 10 on 1-4 @ 101 (Betstar) Twice in last 5 years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madnesstiger Posted October 31, 2009 Share Posted October 31, 2009 Re: Repeat Offenders Good luck with this mate :) Will be interesting to see how this pans out. I have something not a million miles away from this in mind for my new GH, although I'm still only in the first week or so of planning. Coming Soon!! MT Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted October 31, 2009 Share Posted October 31, 2009 Re: Repeat Offenders Good Luck with this one mate :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
staffy Posted October 31, 2009 Share Posted October 31, 2009 Re: Repeat Offenders Good luck matey. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crouch Potato Posted November 1, 2009 Author Share Posted November 1, 2009 Re: Repeat Offenders Cheers guys. Only Lens v Lorient was a winner so down about 20 for the day. Dundee Utd v Rangers 10 on 3-3 @ 75 It's been the score 3 times in 5 years! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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