Olympics Swimming : Men's 200m Freestyle

[edtkh]

I was thinking there's massive value on M Phelps on the outright market at 4.33(Hills) for the Men's 200m Freestyle. Thorpe(1.44) holds the world record at 1:44:06 set in Fukuoka back in 2001, while he generally clocks in the 1:45 region(for reference, www.athens2004.com/en/Swi...908_C51A). Phelps, on the other hand, clocks between the 1:45-1:46 region(his time at the US Olympic time trials was 1:46:47). What's of more importance is the fact the gap between Thorpe and Phelps has been bridged a great deal recently as their Qualifying Time for the Olympics stand at 1:45:07(Thorpe) and 1:45:99(Phelps) respectively. Having already smashed the 400m IM WR in his bid to become the first swimmer to notch 8 Gold Medals at a single Olympic Games, I supposed his morale and confidence would be on a par, if not better than Thorpe's. Hence, in a one-off race where anything can happen, it wouldn't really surprise me for Phelps to raise the level of the game that bit higher and 4.33 really is massive value. Any views on that? :)

[dave]

Re: Olympics Swimming : Men's 200m Freestyle Can't see it myself. This is probably the event Phelps is least likely to win.