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Five systems - now down to 2 - LTD and correct scores.


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Re: Five systems of fortune

bets placed at 65th min liverpool @ 1-0, 2.26 - lose az alkmaar @ 0-1, 2.72 - lose inter @ 2-2 , 2.86 - win barcelona @ 1-1, 3.5 - lose olympiakos @ 1-1, 2.36 - lose stuttgart @ 0-2. 2.49 - lose
bets:6 wins:1 losses:5 staked:30 return:14.3 profit/loss:15.7 oops, not as good as expected, and to think i thought about laying off the 3 that were coming in with 5 mins to go, i think maybe i should have now where this was a cup comp, but actually no thats not the purpose of this system, lets go to 100 and see what we think......
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Re: Five systems of fortune Hello dannkez2407..stumbled upon this forum while searching for Betfair strategies on Google. Your thread happened to be the most recent amongst the Systems & Strategy area and after reading all 16 pages have found myself hooked and signed myself up with the forum. Can't believe I was missing out on all this before! I've used Betfair on and off for about a month now, punting on games of interest, getting used to backing/laying, etc. I'd now like to get into systematically betting on matches based on certain criteria. Question for you: I see how you can back-test strategies using 365Stats, but what site/service do you use to pick out fixtures that fit your criteria once you find a system that seems to be profitable on paper? It would be easy to just manually look through say, the day's EPL matches, but is there a site that can search across a number of different countries/leagues? For example on your massive outlay last week you used English, Spanish, German, Italian, French, Japanese, U20 Internationals..and a bunch of teams I've never even heard of. How did you go about finding these fixtures to use in your various systems? Apologies for the long-winded first post..! :\

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Re: Five systems of fortune :welcome to pl badgers. When i look for systems they are back tested first over the epl, if you are trying to find a 1x2 system based on starting match odds than 365stats is the site to use. It has a results menu on the left and from there you can see how profitable level stakes would have been in the past under the criteria you set. Beware tho last i looked the italian and french leagues had the odds round the wrong way so messes up the back testing. Now football-data.co.uk allows you to download previous seasons on to excel together with all the stats you can think of together with starting odds. Here you look for trends and patterns and this forum is an ideal base to test them. Once i think i might be on to something in the epl, ill test other leagues, once im happy that this approach works there as well, ill make a judgement call on backing any league in the world, or cup. If i system on trial that fits this like my ht/ft one than basically ill use todays coupon on bet fair to pick my matches. Well hope all that helps and good luck

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Re: Five systems of fortune ok after a 28 game losing streak on ht/ft, i have 2 selections today and its win or bust with this now, if none of these 2 come in - the system is dropped, its had its chance now

HT/FT 2X
Home teamoddsstake
santo andre142
al-lttihad15.52
lay the draw - old faithful, lets hope these selections do me proud, this is the only system i think ive got any faith left in these days.
Home TeamLay oddsstakeLiability
santo andre3.5525.1
river plate3.5525.1
fc zurich3.725.4
cska moscow3.3524.7
i will try and get on the in play market tonight and have a go at some more 65 minute backing current scores.......... This time tomorrow i may well be back to the drawing board :hope:hope:hope:hope:hope:hope:hope
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Re: Five systems of fortune guys been doing some thinking and decided to read through my thread from beginning to end, god dont i waffle on :lol, well anyways i was thinkin of starting back up the correct score system but this time with a little twist. The home odds will be 1.3 -1.7 and i will take the top 6 fave scores which 9 times out of 10 will probably call up the 0-0, 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1 and unquoted score lines but occasionally will put in a 3-0 or 3-1 i think. This system needs to maintain a 70% success rate which is very capable of. Backing the 6 scoreline gives you taking odds of around 1.5 when the value is around 1.428 at 70%. i was getting more 75% in previous trials (1.33) so i think long term this could work). Now im going to trial this again with minimum stakes for 100 games and use any game the coupon on BF calls up. On weekends ill probably limit the selections to around 12 because of time constraints, so ill post my selections up soon........

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Re: Five systems of fortune

guys been doing some thinking and decided to read through my thread from beginning to end' date=' god dont i waffle on :lol, well anyways i was thinkin of starting back up the correct score system but this time with a little twist. The home odds will be 1.3 -1.7 and i will take the top 6 fave scores which 9 times out of 10 will probably call up the 0-0, 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1 and unquoted score lines but occasionally will put in a 3-0 or 3-1 i think. This system needs to maintain a 70% success rate which is very capable of. Backing the 6 scoreline gives you taking odds of around 1.5 when the value is around 1.428 at 70%. i was getting more 75% in previous trials (1.33) so i think long term this could work). Now im going to trial this again with minimum stakes for 100 games and use any game the coupon on BF calls up. On weekends ill probably limit the selections to around 12 because of time constraints, so ill post my selections up soon........[/quote'] no ive looked at the stats a little further and i think i was right to only leave this for the EPL, maybe the french ligue aswell but i think id be more comfortable just sticking to the epl for now. target returns probably around 50 again
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Re: Five systems of fortune Hi Dan why didn't you bet on Fiorentina and Rangers games? They were over the unquoted scores but you could have layed 6 goals or more at Ibrox and 7 in Hungary. The first would have been a winner. By the way my longest losing streak in the trial period was 6 matches so tonight should see some wins.

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Re: Five systems of fortune

Hi Dan why didn't you bet on Fiorentina and Rangers games? They were over the unquoted scores but you could have layed 6 goals or more at Ibrox and 7 in Hungary. The first would have been a winner. By the way my longest losing streak in the trial period was 6 matches so tonight should see some wins.
hi cav, didnt cross my mind matey, should have done though, i never did the scores last night, am i right in thinking only 2 came in?
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Re: Five systems of fortune

AND SO WE SAY A FOND FAREWELL :moonTO THE HT/FT 2X SYSTEM, 85 RESULTS AND AN EVENTUAL 6PT LOSS. :sad
HT/FT 2X
Home teamoddsstake
santo andre142
al-lttihad15.52
PRETTY GOOD AGAIN ON MY OLD FAITHFUL - FULL HOUSE!!!!
Home TeamLay oddsstakeLiability
santo andre3.5525.1
river plate3.5525.1
fc zurich3.725.4
cska moscow3.3524.7
Selctions to follow
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Re: Five systems of fortune ok all bets matched tonight, so results are as follows

LAY THE DRAW
Home Team Lay odds stake Liability Profit/loss
rot-weiss ahlen 3.65 2.31 6.12 2.2
gaz metan medias 3.55 2.57 6.55 -6.55
bastia 3.15 2.57 5.53 -5.53
fc eindhoven 4 2.57 7.71 2.45
haarlem 3.8 2.57 7.20 2.45
dijon 3.2 2.57 5.65 2.45
dundalk 3.75 2.31 6.35 2.2
kildare 3.95 2.31 6.81 2.2
Profit/loss 8.53
Total Liability 70.57
Yield 12.09%
Bank 258.53
LAY THE AWAY
Home Team Lay odds stake Liability Profit/loss
cska sofia 3.5 2.5 6.25 -6.25
chivas usa 3.9 2.25 6.53 2.14
orebro 3.9 2.25 6.53 2.14
helmond sport 3.8 2.25 6.30 2.14
nimes 3.75 2.5 6.88 2.38
brest 4 2.25 6.75 2.14
st patricks 3.5 2.5 6.25 -6.25
belenenses 3.95 2.25 6.64 2.14
Profit/loss 0.58
Total Liability 52.11
Yield 1.11%
Bank 250.58
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Re: Five systems of fortune and lastly

LT HT/FTX1
Home Team Lay odds stake Liability Profit/loss
beroe stara 5.1 2.5 10.25 2.38
g furth 5.1 2.5 10.25 2.38
kaiserslautern 5 2.5 10 2.38
metz 5 2.5 10 -10
caen 4.8 2.5 9.5 2.38
sligo 5 2.5 10 -10
cork 5 2.5 10 2.38
utrecht 5 2.5 10 2.38
estudiantes 5 2.5 10 2.38
Profit/loss -3.82
Total Liability 140.25
Yield -2.72%
Bank 246.18
ok so after a doin a little more research it seems i dont think i will get value out of this system, so it is to be parked for the meantime, ill make my mind up one day LOL
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Re: Five systems of fortune Nice thread.... you have put a lot of hard effort into this :clap. I would tend to agree with you about the HT/FT system. To be honest, trying to get any value out of HT/FT is a bit of a lottery, and at lay odds in the region of 5.0, it's too risky for me. But good luck with the other systems.

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Re: Five systems of fortune selections for today

LAY THE DRAW
Home Team Laying Lay odds stake Liability
Fixtures 24 October / FSV Frankfurt v 1860 Munich / Match Odds The Draw 3.5 2.59 6.48
Fixtures 24 October / Wolves v Aston Villa / Match Odds The Draw 3.45 2.59 6.35
Fixtures 24 October / Burghausen v Wehen / Match Odds The Draw 3.6 2.59 6.73
Fixtures 24 October / Obolon v Tavriya / Match Odds The Draw 3.7 2.33 6.29
Fixtures 24 October / Ayr v Inverness CT / Match Odds The Draw 3.75 2.33 6.41
Fixtures 24 October / Coventry v West Brom / Match Odds The Draw 3.65 2.33 6.17
Fixtures 24 October / Gillingham v Charlton / Match Odds The Draw 3.7 2.33 6.29
Fixtures 24 October / Hinckley Utd v Histon / Match Odds The Draw 3.55 2.59 6.60
Fixtures 24 October / Landskrona v Sundsvall / Match Odds The Draw 4 2.33 6.99
Fixtures 24 October / Macclesfield v Dag and Red / Match Odds The Draw 3.6 2.59 6.73
Fixtures 24 October / Millwall v Leeds / Match Odds The Draw 3.65 2.33 6.17
Fixtures 24 October / Derby v QPR / Match Odds The Draw 3.5 2.59 6.48
Fixtures 24 October / Boulogne v Monaco / Match Odds The Draw 3.35 2.59 6.09
Fixtures 24 October / Eskisehirspor v Besiktas / Match Odds The Draw 3.45 2.59 6.35
Fixtures 24 October / Grenoble v Nancy / Match Odds The Draw 3.4 2.59 6.22
Fixtures 24 October / Pandurii v Unirea Urziceni / Match Odds The Draw 3.6 2.59 6.73
Fixtures 24 October / Sint Truiden v Gent / Match Odds The Draw 3.75 2.33 6.41
Fixtures 24 October / Standaard Wettere v KVSK United / Match Odds The Draw 3.25 2.59 5.83
Fixtures 24 October / Karlovac v Hajduk Split / Match Odds The Draw 3.7 2.33 6.29
Fixtures 24 October / Athlone v Monaghan Utd / Match Odds The Draw 3.65 2.33 6.17
Fixtures 24 October / Rio Ave v Braga / Match Odds The Draw 3.5 2.59 6.48
Fixtures 24 October / Kansas City v D. C. United / Match Odds The Draw 3.8 2.33 6.52
Fixtures 24 October / New York Red Bulls v Toronto / Match Odds The Draw 3.7 2.33 6.29
LAY THE AWAY
Home Team Lay selection Lay odds stake Liability
Fixtures 24 October / Rot-Weiss Erfurt v Regensburg / Match Odds Regensburg 3.75 2.51 6.90
Fixtures 24 October / Osnabruck v Erzgebirge / Match Odds Erzgebirge 4 2.51 7.53
Fixtures 24 October / Peterhead v Alloa / Match Odds Alloa 3.75 2.51 6.90
Fixtures 24 October / East Fife v Stenhousemuir / Match Odds Stenhousemuir 3.8 2.51 7.03
Fixtures 24 October / Exeter v Wycombe / Match Odds Wycombe 3.75 2.51 6.90
Fixtures 24 October / Lincoln v Torquay / Match Odds Torquay 3.8 2.51 7.03
Fixtures 24 October / Swansea v Blackpool / Match Odds Blackpool 3.9 2.51 7.28
Fixtures 24 October / Vasby v Qviding / Match Odds Qviding 3.75 2.51 6.90
Fixtures 24 October / Villarreal B v Castellon / Match Odds Castellon 3.85 2.51 7.15
Fixtures 24 October / Teplice v Mlada Boleslav / Match Odds Mlada Boleslav 3.95 2.51 7.40
Fixtures 24 October / ADO Den Haag v Sparta Rotterdam / Match Odds Sparta Rotterdam 3.95 2.51 7.40
Fixtures 24 October / Vitesse v Heracles / Match Odds Heracles 3.8 2.51 7.03
Fixtures 24 October / Real Salt Lake v Colorado / Match Odds Colorado 3.85 2.51 7.15
:hope:hope:hope:hope:hope:hope:hope:hope:hope:hope
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Re: Five systems of fortune results from yesterday.........

Home Team Laying Lay odds stake Liability Profit/loss
Fixtures 24 October / FSV Frankfurt v 1860 Munich / Match Odds The Draw 3.5 2.59 6.48 2.46
Fixtures 24 October / Wolves v Aston Villa / Match Odds The Draw 3.45 2.59 6.35 -6.35
Fixtures 24 October / Burghausen v Wehen / Match Odds The Draw 3.6 2.59 6.73 2.46
Fixtures 24 October / Obolon v Tavriya / Match Odds The Draw 3.7 2.33 6.29 2.39
Fixtures 24 October / Ayr v Inverness CT / Match Odds The Draw 3.75 2.33 6.41 2.22
Fixtures 24 October / Coventry v West Brom / Match Odds The Draw 3.65 2.33 6.17 -6.17
Fixtures 24 October / Gillingham v Charlton / Match Odds The Draw 3.7 2.33 6.29 -6.29
Fixtures 24 October / Hinckley Utd v Histon / Match Odds The Draw 3.55 2.59 6.60 2.46
Fixtures 24 October / Landskrona v Sundsvall / Match Odds The Draw 4 2.33 6.99 2.22
Fixtures 24 October / Macclesfield v Dag and Red / Match Odds The Draw 3.6 2.59 6.73 -6.73
Fixtures 24 October / Millwall v Leeds / Match Odds The Draw 3.65 2.33 6.17 2.22
Fixtures 24 October / Derby v QPR / Match Odds The Draw 3.5 2.59 6.48 2.46
Fixtures 24 October / Boulogne v Monaco / Match Odds The Draw 3.35 2.59 6.09 2.46
Fixtures 24 October / Eskisehirspor v Besiktas / Match Odds The Draw 3.45 2.59 6.35 2.46
Fixtures 24 October / Grenoble v Nancy / Match Odds The Draw 3.4 2.59 6.22 2.46
Fixtures 24 October / Pandurii v Unirea Urziceni / Match Odds The Draw 3.6 2.59 6.73 -6.73
Fixtures 24 October / Sint Truiden v Gent / Match Odds The Draw 3.75 2.33 6.41 2.22
Fixtures 24 October / Standaard Wettere v KVSK United / Match Odds The Draw 3.25 2.59 5.83 2.46
Fixtures 24 October / Karlovac v Hajduk Split / Match Odds The Draw 3.7 2.33 6.29 2.22
Fixtures 24 October / Athlone v Monaghan Utd / Match Odds The Draw 3.65 2.33 6.17 2.22
Fixtures 24 October / Rio Ave v Braga / Match Odds The Draw 3.5 2.59 6.48 -6.48
Fixtures 24 October / Kansas City v D. C. United / Match Odds The Draw 3.8 2.33 6.52 -6.52
Fixtures 24 October / New York Red Bulls v Toronto / Match Odds The Draw 3.7 2.33 6.29 2.22
Profit/loss 0.87
Total Liability 217.64
Yield 0.40%
Bank 250.87
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Re: Five systems of fortune and lay the away

LAY THE AWAY
Home Team Lay selection Lay odds stake Liability Profit/loss
Fixtures 24 October / Rot-Weiss Erfurt v Regensburg / Match Odds Regensburg 3.75 2.51 6.90 2.39
Fixtures 24 October / Osnabruck v Erzgebirge / Match Odds Erzgebirge 4 2.51 7.53 2.39
Fixtures 24 October / Peterhead v Alloa / Match Odds Alloa 3.75 2.51 6.90 2.39
Fixtures 24 October / East Fife v Stenhousemuir / Match Odds Stenhousemuir 3.8 2.51 7.03 2.39
Fixtures 24 October / Exeter v Wycombe / Match Odds Wycombe 3.75 2.51 6.90 2.39
Fixtures 24 October / Lincoln v Torquay / Match Odds Torquay 3.8 2.51 7.03 2.39
Fixtures 24 October / Swansea v Blackpool / Match Odds Blackpool 3.9 2.51 7.28 2.39
Fixtures 24 October / Vasby v Qviding / Match Odds Qviding 3.75 2.51 6.90 2.39
Fixtures 24 October / Villarreal B v Castellon / Match Odds Castellon 3.85 2.51 7.15 2.39
Fixtures 24 October / Teplice v Mlada Boleslav / Match Odds Mlada Boleslav 3.95 2.51 7.40 2.39
Fixtures 24 October / ADO Den Haag v Sparta Rotterdam / Match Odds Sparta Rotterdam 3.95 2.51 7.40 -7.4
Fixtures 24 October / Vitesse v Heracles / Match Odds Heracles 3.8 2.51 7.03 -7.03
Fixtures 24 October / Real Salt Lake v Colorado / Match Odds Colorado 3.85 2.51 7.15 2.39
Profit/loss 12.44
Total Liability 144.71
Yield 8.60%
Bank 262.44
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Re: Five systems of fortune selections for today...

LAY THE DRAW
Home Team Laying Lay odds stake
Fixtures 25 October / Mjondalen v Honefoss / Match Odds The Draw 3.95 2.33
Fixtures 25 October / Panthrakikos v Larissa / Match Odds The Draw 3.15 2.59
Fixtures 25 October / Diyarbakirspor v Genclerbirligi / Match Odds The Draw 3.6 2.59
Fixtures 25 October / AZ Alkmaar v Ajax / Match Odds The Draw 3.7 2.33
Fixtures 25 October / Como v Arezzo / Match Odds The Draw 3.35 2.59
Fixtures 25 October / Willem II v Heerenveen / Match Odds The Draw 3.8 2.33
Fixtures 25 October / Ceske Budejovice v Plzen / Match Odds The Draw 3.3 2.59
Fixtures 25 October / Liverpool v Man Utd / Match Odds The Draw 3.5 2.59
Fixtures 25 October / Luzern v FC Basel / Match Odds The Draw 3.95 2.33
Fixtures 25 October / St Gallen v FC Zurich / Match Odds The Draw 3.95 2.33
Fixtures 25 October / Tampere United v Honka / Match Odds The Draw 3.7 2.33
Fixtures 25 October / Lechia Gdansk v Lech Poznan / Match Odds The Draw 3.6 2.59
Fixtures 25 October / FC Wiener Neustadt v Sturm Graz / Match Odds The Draw 3.7 2.33
Fixtures 25 October / Almeria v Valencia / Match Odds The Draw 3.7 2.33
Fixtures 25 October / Santos v Sao Paulo / Match Odds The Draw 3.55 2.59
Fixtures 25 October / KV Mechelen v Anderlecht / Match Odds The Draw 3.65 2.39
Fixtures 25 October / Chievo v AC Milan / Match Odds The Draw 3.4 2.59
LAY THE AWAY
Home Team Lay selection Lay odds stake
Fixtures 25 October / Nybergsund v Moss / Match Odds Moss 3.8 2.62
Fixtures 25 October / Aachen v Union Berlin / Match Odds Union Berlin 3.9 2.62
Fixtures 25 October / Sivasspor v Gaziantepspor / Match Odds Gaziantepspor 3.75 2.62
Fixtures 25 October / Ternana v Rimini / Match Odds Rimini 3.95 2.62
Fixtures 25 October / Palermo v Udinese / Match Odds Udinese 3.9 2.62
Fixtures 25 October / Arsenal FC v Gimnasia La Plata / Match Odds Gimnasia La Plata 3.85 2.62
Fixtures 25 October / Stromsgodset v Viking / Match Odds Viking 3.85 2.62
Fixtures 25 October / Coritiba v Atletico-PR / Match Odds Atletico-PR 3.8 2.62
:hope:hope:hope:hope:hope:hope:hope:hope
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