AFL Round 11

[ozgamer]

Okay fellas, time to load up again. Prices below are with Centrebet at the time of this post RICHMOND 4.05 +27.5 : 1.91 Etihad Fri, 5 Jun 7:40 PM W BULLDOGS 1.21 -27.5 : 1.91 NTH MELB 8.00 +42.5 : 1.91 Etihad Sat, 6 Jun 2:10 PM ST KILDA 1.08 -42.5 : 1.91 BRISBANE 1.60 -9.5 : 1.91 Gabba Sat, 6 Jun 7:10 PM CARLTON 2.35 +9.5 : 1.91 PORT 1.22 -29.5 : 1.91 AAMI Sat, 6 Jun 7:10 PM FREO 4.35 +29.5 : 1.91 ESS 1.88 N/A Etihad Sun, 7 Jun 1:10 PM ADELAIDE 1.93 N/A HAWTHORN 1.40 -18.5 : 1.91 MCG Sun, 7 Jun 2:10 PM SYDNEY 2.97 +18.5 : 1.91 WCE 7.00 +40.5 : 1.91 Subiaco Sun, 7 Jun 2:40 PM GEELONG 1.10 -40.5 : 1.91 MELB 4.60 +28.5 : 1.91 MCG Mon, 8 Jun 2:10 PM PIES 1.20 -28.5 : 1.91 At this stage Doggies are 1.25 -> 1.21 as I posted this. The +42.5 line for Nth-StK looks generous. Considering the Under total as well ;) Brisbane should be favs at home but maybe not as short as $1.60. Bookies priced Carlton generously for a change :clap Port @ $1.22 are not sure things regardless. The +29.5 line looks "delicious" (hi Bruce!) :lol No interest in Ess-Crows and price looks about right :zzz I think Hawks @ $1.40 is another laugh tho Sydney yet to win away, 0/4 this year :lol WCE-Cats looks about right. Think a Geelong B team could clear the line. Melb-Pies looks almost right tho I would've liked a couple more points on the line :( More thoughts posted later :cheers

[TazaD]

Re: AFL Round 11

Nth-StK: Considering the Under total as well ;)

For about the first time all year I won't be...well, that's not true. Of course I will be, but doubt I'll get a number I want. (Mind you I was surprised at how generous the North/Bris total was last week! :tongue2 ) Kangaroo D has started to bulge at the seams, and could easily be ready to burst. Not game to take them giving 7 goals, but this is one the Saints just could romp in big time. Looks like another 'totals' week for me...Semi-interested in Richmond +27.5, although why I'm not quite sure! :lol Doggies WILL score that's a given...Tigers have given up a shot every 1.80 entries or worse in 7 of 10 games so far!! :eek [would you believe only 95 I50's @ Freo last week!! :puke]...but as I said last week, their midfield is holding their own agaisnt all comers in the last 6 weeks... ...and Dogs D hasn't been a whole lot better, only better than 2.00 three times...but what to make of the Swans last week? Only 47 I50's for only 17 shots...have the Doggies finally found the secret to winning games (and no, it's not scoring 120+ every week :eyes ), or were Sydney that bad? Comparable forward-line numbers so there's every chance it's a similar outcome...except the Dogs will score more! :D Think the Brisbane price might be based more on venue than form...Carlton's 3 interstate gmes so far have netted them just 28 goals. Brisbane giving up just 22 shots at home... :zzz ;) Freo av'ing just 18 shots on the road! :eek ...and may be struggling to get a deccent team on the field, but over 5 goals is a bit rich, esp. for such a poor kicking team in Port. Ess/Crows really is hard to split...Crows back to some very good midfield form...61-39 I50's v. Carlton and 56-48 last week...both games at home tho of course. The rd. 2 game might have dashed a decent number for a Swans/Hawthorn over...should be some points, but not sure I'll get what I want here either. Geelong lines are a complete toss-up, and there's no reason why Collingwood won't pump Melbourne again. More when some totals appear then I guess. :ok