Betting using deviation on patterns. What do you think?

[sjuesju]

Last two days I spent searching for some patterns in Finnish 1st league. I check the first 51 games in every season from 2001 till now and what i found i collected in this table.

	Favorite's win									Draw									Underdog's win
Year	09	08	07	06	05	04	03	02	01	09	08	07	06	05	04	03	02	01	09	08	07	06	05	04	03	02	01
	100	66.7	66.7	100	66.7	50	80	50	100	0	33.3	33.3	0	33.3	50	20	25	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	25	0
1.41 - 1.7	50	54.5	77.8	54.5	68.8	75	60	72.7	53.3	41.7	27.3	22.2	27.3	25	25	40	18.2	26.7	8.33	18.2	0	18.2	6.25	0	0	9.09	20
1.71 - 2	57.1	54.5	31.3	52.9	44.4	36.4	70	60	33.3	28.6	27.3	31.3	29.4	33.3	27.3	20	30	41.7	14.3	18.2	37.5	17.6	22.2	36.4	10	10	25
2.01 - 2.2	11.1	54.5	38.5	40	50	42.9	50	71.4	35.7	66.7	18.2	30.8	30	50	28.6	25	28.6	42.9	22.2	27.3	30.8	30	0	28.6	25	0	21.4
2.21 >	41.7	46.7	40	0	25	35.3	29.4	31.6	20	25	33.3	40	36.4	62.5	23.5	11.8	36.8	30	33.3	20	20	63.6	12.5	41.2	58.8	31.6	50

Now I use average odds and I grouped them on five groups according to the odds for the favorite in the match. Now, as can be seen on the table there are some deviation. F.e. in this year the favorites with odds between 2.01 and 2.2 are going really poor. I think to back them in the next f.e. 20 games with hope for some profit. What do you think?

[sjuesju]

Re: Betting using deviation on patterns. What do you think? I forgot to write it. The numbers in the table are percents.

[sjuesju]

Re: Betting using deviation on patterns. What do you think? I am going to answer to myself :) I checked the next 50 games in every season and I found something interesting. In 2006 season the games in the period of first 50 games with favorite's odds more than 2.2 haven't finished with win for the favorite. The similar games in the next period 51-100 have different result. 50% were won by the favorites which lead to profit. Another thing about the games in this period 51-100 and again with favorite's odds more than 2.2. 6 of 9 season had 40+% of the games won by the favorites, which again leads to profit. This season favorites took 2 from 2.