AFL Round 10

[ozgamer]

Okay fellas. I smell value. Time to take it, not shirk it. NORTH MELBOURNE vs BRISBANE Edit 2: Brisbane is not that much better than the Roos and start favs in Melb so liking the Roos to win here esp if they play tall against an undermanned defence and with an extra day's break over a Brisbane team recovering after a tough slog vs the Saints that is traveling to Melb for their 2nd wk in a row. A play likely on the Unders total likely as well. Nth @ $2.09 FREMANTLE vs RICHMOND Edit 3: Think the Tiges are worth a bite here. Not taking silly odds about Freo here and the Tiges are playing well in patches lately so you'd have to give them a chance esp after what they did here at Subi Oval the 2 times they were there last year. Rich @ $2.67 And if you're not keen think on H2H, I think the +14.5 line is gr8 value as well. Could not see Freo blowing the Tiges off the park. Other thoughts added soon. Edit: Well Centrebet have started putting out lines 2 days before usual so stay tuned.

[ozgamer]

Re: AFL Round 10 CAR - WCE Etihad Stadium Fri, 29 May 7:40 PM Not surprised to see the Blues short here but at Centrebet I saw them open at $1.17!! I refreshed a few mins later. Out to $1.20! Eagles $5.15 into $4.60! Blues have been poor value all year and they will stay poor value for the remainder of the season. I think they will win but by how much is anyone's guess. Looks tempting to take the Eagles on the 31.5 line. They've beaten the line 3 out of 4 away this year. That one huge loss away was their only game in Melb tho - at the Docklands. Last time the Blues played there they pummelled an ordinary Dogs and yet they've had their biggest loss this year last week while the Eagles put in their 2nd worst perfrormance this yr I feel. What to do? The thing is the Eagles don't really tag anymore, relying 100% on their zone and have no Plan B so players like Judd, Betts etc will do as they please this time. Carlton's tactics failed last week and won't be doing that this week. I really want to take the Eagles at the +31.5 start but fail to see how they will stop Judd, Betts and Murphy even if they have Fev covered. No play here. Edit 1: STK-MEL Gold Coast Stadium Sat, 30 May 7:10 PM Saints look to be tiring (which will suit Melb) but still winning. Should win but not keen on the line (44.5!!) on neutral ground as they've failed to beat it the last 2 at home while the Dees have beaten the line their last 6, although junk time goals saved them (and me) last game when well beaten early. I'll stay on the gravy train and trust the Dees to beat the line again against the Saints backing up after 2 physical games. A play likely on the unders total as well considering it's Carrara Oval. Melb +44.5 pts ($1.91)