Newcastle 22/05

[RussP]

5.35 Newcastle Class 6 handicap over 10f with 16 runners, although I'd be surprised if there wasn't a few non runners on this soft surface. Safebreaker is a real consistent type and might be able to defy this mark but at a bigger price, I'll take my chance on: Bourse (RPF 10/1) - Owner / trainer sends this horse down from Scotland where I feel it will run a big race. Jockey gets on well with the stables horses and has a decent strike rate on them. Looks well handicapped and drop in grade sure to suit here, as is the prevailing ground. Jockey has only rode the horse once on turf, that was on soft ground, where it landed the spoils at 14/1. Let's hope a follow up occurs. Won at the end of last season on soft, in a Class 4 and 1lb higher than today. On that form, the horse is sure to go well. Since then, has has 2 run over sticks, 2 on unsuitable AW, and 3 more on turf. There were off marks of 69 in a Class 4, 65 in a Class 5 and 66 in a Class 4. Now back to 63 in a Class 6, should prove significant. Not disgraced in any of those runs and best one was the most recent when upped to 9f, staying on well at the end. The extra furlong again will suit and, facing an easier task than it has for a while, is sure to go close.

[mikel arteta]

Re: Newcastle 22/05 i'm going to put 3 selections up, all of them handle the soft ground and stay a bit further than the distance they are running at tomorrow, Newcastle can become a real slog when the rain arrives. another plus is that my first 2 selections are both running very well at the moment. 3.20 Kings maiden betfair 11/2 4.30 Ancient cross betfair 9/2 5.05 Woteva betfair 10/1 i expect those prices to go shorter than they are now.