AFL Round 7

[ozgamer]

Okay fellas I'm going to get the ball rolling here. Richmond v Brisbane Think the Tiges are the way to go even w/o Richo. Had the Swans over a barrel after being down by 33 pts before Mattner's tackle and 2 late Swans goals saved the day. Lions as favs in Melb is not a good thing even after a controlled win at home (vs Bombers). Richmond have won 4 and drawn once in the last 5 vs the Lions, the last 3 times were in Melb and the Richos were favs each time so Richmond @ $2.00 is a good price this time I feel. Edit: Here's a few more for good measure. Nth Melb v Port Port hammered Nth the last these 2 played. Nth are going nowhere fast and we should see the same here again as Port will look to string 2 together. Don't think the Pies are any better than Port and they opened at lower odds so I'll take Port @ -15.5 ($1.91). WCE v Melb Loathe to take $1.22 the Eagles at home but it should be a soda as their form is much better than their record suggests. 2/3 home this yr and beaten the line 2/3 away (both games could've won) and are playing Melbourne who are unfortunately NOT playing at the MCG this week :P Melb are 0/ last 8 (incl at the line) at Subi, their last 12 games interstate (2007 onwards) they have lost by margins of 40+ and beaten the line only once by 1 pt vs the Swans at Maunka (2008). Woosha is wielding the axe this time so the Eagles will be expected to win and win big on what looks like another warm Perth day. Eagles @ 40+ ($2.48). Coll v St K Pies tend to relish the underdog tag but the Saints are too irresistible atm. They have won their last 6 games (beaten the line 5 times), have won their last 9 games at the Docklands (beaten the line 7 times), and won 8 out of last 10 as favs. The Pies lose Anthony (accurate goal-scorer) and maybe Medhurst (a match-winner) and both Rocca and Cloke are struggling as well and are missing Didak to boot so they will struggle to score against a miserly defence so this will be no different for the Saints. Saints @ -16.5 ($1.91).

[Henry Jr]

Re: AFL Round 7 Nice write-up Oz. Wouldn't touch the Eagles/Melbourne game with a pole. Hawks to regain Gilham and Birchall (both trained Tuesday but will confirm on Thursday during the session). Hawks have the wood over the Scum of late, and with Fletcher out, and no sign of a ruckman (meanwhile, Taylor got off his rough conduct charge). With Roughead kicking 8 last week and Buddy ready to hit some form, not sure that Essendon have the troups in defence to quell them. Knights has also come out and said that Lucas won't be playing (take that with a grain of salt) due to his poor form. Cats in a canter despite losing little Gary. I believe that Ling and perhaps Harley could return from injury this week. Like Oz said with Port, I reckon there are some mental scars there for the Roos. Just can't see them kicking a winning score. Dogs going for 4 losses in a row! :eek;) Seriously, I thought they were fairly solid against the Saints last week whereis the Crows were once again poor. I nearly pidgen hole the Crows forward the same as the Roos. Don't think the Dogs will let this one slip. Speaking of the Saints, reckon they are a lock against the Pies. Anthony out will hurt the Pies. Pretty generous line IMO.