LIngfield Winter Derby Saturday

[bowles10]

Dont know too much about this race, but Gosden seems to have got his string into some form this week & Bronze Cannon with Ryan Moore up on board appeals to me at 8/1 Corals. I expect it will start nearer 6/1 or less. Favourite Premio Loco doesnt have a distance win to its name with all its 6 wins at a mile or less. Bronze Cannon won 1st time up in April last year winning a 3yo handicap at Newmarket over 1m 2f. Doctor Fremantle & Desert DReam desert filled 2nd & 3rd respectively. Desert Dream looks one to follow this year on the AW. THat was off a rating of 84, by the time the season was over its rating had risen to 104. It didnt pefrom in the King Edward stakes (grp 2) at Royal Ascot. Its 3rd behind With Interest at Newmarket was probably its best run of the season.

[billy the punter]

Re: LIngfield Winter Derby Saturday Stuck two up Wednesday night, wanted to beat the odds before the final dec. Make it three runners, Premio Loco, Re Barolo and Bronze Cannon. Decided to tip/back Re Barolo (6/1) and Bronze Cannon (10/1) as I thought that Premier Loco would hold his then price of 5/2. After the decs, Premio Loco is still 9/4, surprisingly Re Barolo is still 6/1, but as expected Bronze Cannon is now as short as 5/1 (big as 8/1). Gosden's form is a plus for Bronze Cannon. The run at Royal Ascot is best ignored, JF overdone the hold up tactics that day and he was given no chance out the back off a slow pace. I don't think we have seen the best of Re Barolo yet, he needs a strong gallop over 10f on the A/W, something he hasn't had as yet. He has held his form despite this so I do think there could be some improvement in him on Saturday. Will maybe save on the fav on the day as I do think he will stay the trip around here - he is related to a 10/12f winner. There are some interesting stats for this race.... The Winter Derby Trial winner has done well - the last 9 have seen 4 winners 2 2nds 2 unplaced 1 didn't run FTO for the season 1/9 Dubai LTO 0/9 Ran on A/W this season 8/9 Won on A/W in Feb 8/9 Won on A/W in Feb with it being LTO 6/9 Distance winner 8/9 Course/poly winner 8/9 A/W winner 9/9 Can only see three in it. RUK did some decent work on the race last night inbetween Kempton races. Did anyone hear my email? I was talking up Re Barolo's chances (they previously dismissed his chances) and they gave it plenty of airtime.