The HT/FT Rochdale System

[Notts_Punter]

Right, going to try a simple little system based around the half-time/win, full-time/draw result. As a few of you will know, most bookies price the vast majority of games at 15 for this outcome regardless of who is playing. So they (roughly) think it may happen in about 1 in 14, or 7%, of games. But I've been doing a bit of research and found certain teams, probably because of the style in which they play, take part in a game that produces this result far more often. Rochdale, for example, have had 7 out of 28 ht win/ft draw results, hence the name of the system. So in 1 in 4, or 25% of their games, they were either winning or losing at ht and ended up drawing. It's about half and half whether they were winning or losing at ht. Priced at the bookies' bog standard 15, a one-unit stake on Rochdale AND their opponent to ht/win, ft/draw throughout the season would have returned 105 units for 56 staked. So the system is as follows: Any team from the Prem to the Blue Square Prem that has been involved in a ht/win, full/draw in at least 20% of their games will be backed with one unit, as will their opponents, to do the same. This may increase slightly if two 20%ers come up against each other, and will be pointed out. May be a complete disaster but fingers crossed. As of today, the teams who have been involved in ht/win, ft/draws in at least 20% of their games are: Prem Hull 20% League One Oldham 20% League Two Rochdale 25% Morecambe 21.4% Gillingham, Notts County, 20.6% BSP Cambridge 23.3% York, Histon 22.5% Crawley 20.6% My research hasn't identified a particular team that is usually leading at the break then blows it. The above teams tend to be INVOLVED in these games which is why I'll be back them and their opponents. So here goes...

[Notts_Punter]

Re: The HT/FT Rochdale System First one, tonight, Kidderminster v Cambridge (23.3%), has just been postponed because of a waterlogged pitch, is this an omen?! :unsure ;)