Doncaster - 24/1/09

[WoodyTHFC]

12.35 Palomar 13/8 var bog 15 pts The trip here is a slight worry on testing ground but nonetheless going for Palomar who has been impressive on both his last two chase wins. He was a horse of some ability on the flat and over hurdles but could well be even better over fences. His last two wins have both been impressive, particularly lto when he won without really being asked a question. He slightly moves up in trip today and against horses like lightning strike for example who ideally need further and hence its an interesting clash from that perspective but he has ran over this trip on his hurdles days so its not a complete unknown although it lingers to me that he may just need 2m. The ground will be the fine and there is no denying he has been impressive this season and possibly he could be good enough for the arkle and if he is then he should go very close here and really win. 2.50 On Raglan Road 6/4 betfr 15 pts Nice horse this one for whom AP picks up the ride. The ground is absolutely fine for him and a clear advantage he seems to have today is that he returns to a trip that looks sure to be more to his suiting. At the start of the season he hacked up at hex. Over 3m and looked a pure stayer against what was poor opposition in truth. However after that he has moved back in trip and it hasn’t really suited and he has been seen to be a bit one paced at times as twice he has found one two good including junior lto. However I believe he can turn that form around. He has a 6 pound pull for 4 and a half lengths plus surely looks set to enjoy the return to 3m, not to mention his run lto was a in a steadily run race which also wouldn’t have really suited over an inadequate trip.

[bowles10]

Re: Doncaster - 24/1/09 2.50 since 2002, only 5 runnings of this race but significant trends with the last 5 winners having finished 2-2-1-2-2 on thier last outing & all 5 having 2 or more runs prior that season. narrows it down a bit to Gullible gordon, Junor, Midnight sail, Martys mission, on raglan road, star lord with RPR between 135 - 152, 3 of those come out leaving On Raglan Road, Gullible Gordon & Junior. 3 of the last 5 winners were favourites so ON RAGLAN ROAD is my confident selection with the other 2 in the frame. Trainer had a treble on the donny card yesterday & McCoy booked for this one. Best price is 11/8 with Skybet.