Lingfield 14/1/09

[fintron]

2.10 Lingfield Gone Hunting has been in decent form of late and was pipped for second at the line by Woolston Ferry at Great Leighs three runs ago in a claimer. However, he gained compensation next time out when landing a claimer at the same track and he was probably better value than the winning margin suggested as Jack Dean had to switch him out wide of Fangfoss Girls to angle his run home. He contested a competitive nursery last time out under a penalty over 6f at the track and was closing on the leading pair, without ever looking like beating them at the end. However, today’s race is easier and the form of that race was boosted by the fourth yesterday (Desert Strike won the opener at Great Leighs). On official figures he is 11 lbs better off with Art fund compared to if this were a handicap and although in reality the Gary Moore horse probably has a little less to find, I think Gone Hunting should still prove too strong. His second to Crystal Moments in a Wolverhampton nursery earlier in the year is the stand out bit of form in this race for me and although Art Fund won well last time, that race was only a seller and was the first time he had really impressed, so hopefully Gone Hunting can make his class tell. 12.40 Lingfield Rebel City was a tight second behind Pezula Bay over course and distance two runs ago when beaten by 0.38 lengths and the form of that race has been boosted by the second and the sixth who have both won since. He was made favourite when the market opened when running over course and distance five days ago, but ended up drifting, with Mark Johnston’s newcomer St Moritz subjected to immense support and landing the race in some style. However, Simon Callaghan has called on Jamie Spencer for today, which suggests he means business, and providing there isn’t a market move for the Johnston newcomer, Rebel City could finally lose his maiden tag. 2.50 Lingfield Black ‘n Brew has a couple of decent bits of form to his name, most notably a 2nd in a Lingfield nursery behing Khor Dubai and a 4th placed effort in Kempton nursery behind Crystal Moments and Missile Dodger, that suggest he could be up to winning off 69. He has been running consistently, without managing to get his head infront, but connections have opted to step him up in trip today and that could prove the key to his first win as he has shaped as though a step up in trip would be required. Supernoverre won a claimer recently but was held off 70 back in a handicap last time, the proximity of Special Bond’s 6th to 55 and 58 rated winners Amazing Blue Sky and True Brittania suggests she could be a little bit lower than her current rating of 65 ideally, and True Brittania herself will have to improve to win here. She is in fair form, but didn’t beat much when landing her last claimer and is 7 lbs higher than her last handicap success. All in all, I think Black 'N Brew is the most likely winner. 3.25 Lingfield I remember hearing Barry Dennis saying on the Morning Line that at Lingfield you should lay whatever is leading at the 1f pole (or was it the 2f pole?!), well Nickel Silver defied the expectation that the winner will come from off the pace, as he led throughout when scoring last time. He was good value for the win and would have obvious claims here running under a penalty, however, the additional presence of Bookiesindex Boy could mean he doesn’t get a soft lead again. As a result, it could be worth checking the market for any support for Savile’s Delight. Tom Dascombe’s veteran had a recent pipeopener at Southwell and is entitled to come on for that run. He would be an ideal candidate to come from off the pace and pick the pockets of the afotementioned pair. He ran credibly off his current mark of 75 at Goodwood in May and although 7 lbs higher than this last win, drops in grade here.

[Spooner]

Re: Lingfield 14/1/09

12.40 Lingfield Rebel City was a tight second behind Pezula Bay over course and distance two runs ago when beaten by 0.38 lengths and the form of that race has been boosted by the second and the sixth who have both won since. He was made favourite when the market opened when running over course and distance five days ago, but ended up drifting, with Mark Johnston’s newcomer St Moritz subjected to immense support and landing the race in some style. However, Simon Callaghan has called on Jamie Spencer for today, which suggests he means business, and providing there isn’t a market move for the Johnston newcomer, Rebel City could finally lose his maiden tag.

Agree with Rebel City however Royal Collection had been backed from 7/2 into 5/4 which is worrying. :unsure Rebel City still quite stable though.