Jump to content

As the season DRAWS to a close...


Recommended Posts

Havent ran a system on football for a number of years now, so been thinking of a few for a while, this is the first one which concentrates solely on the Championship at the moment, but if time allows, I may extend out to the other divisions. The best will be in trebles only, i am having 4 groups of 5 matches, with involves 10 trebles x 4 each match day/weekend. The matches are determined by ratings i have given to teams that i believe are either due a draw or will draw again after a draw last time out. In each group, i will also nominate a win treble that i believe has the highest ratings. So, in short.... 10 trebles x 4 groups of 5 matches = 40 trebles 4 win trebles on highest ratings 44 bets per matchday/weekend. To keep an even record, stakes will be 1pt per treble = 44pts each matchday/weekend. My stake is none of your business! ;) 1st Bet will be this weekend, & i inted to have the games listed early in the week if possible. Over time, i will hope to post up a table of my ratings for each team in the Championship. The system will last until the end of the season.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close... Good luck with this one BOWLES :ok , strangely enough i've started keeping a record of draws using h2h stats from yesterday . Will keep an eye on this one and let you know if my experiment shows any promise .

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close...

Good luck with this one BOWLES :ok , strangely enough i've started keeping a record of draws using h2h stats from yesterday . Will keep an eye on this one and let you know if my experiment shows any promise .
Thanks jtw, mine is based mainly on sequences. The staking is just to see if i make any money on trebles as 3 from 5 isnt too bad to aim for. If it turns out better to back in singles or doubles i will learn from it. I have all the stats on the amount of draws in the championship & i feel they are about 2% behind what they will be at the end of the season which is about another 220 games, out of those games, i am expecting about 72 draws which is 33%, however i will not cover every game & thats how i am trying to whittle it down a bit. Its also a bit of fun.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close... WEEK No:1 I have selected 11 of the 12 games this week to cover, not ideal as i wanted a smaller selection to choose from. I am looking to add another filter into the system if possible, however want to see how this works this week. Group 1 Preston v Burnley Sheff Wed v Charlton Birmingham v Cardiff Norwich v Barnsley Watford v Sheff Utd 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm Group 2 Preston v Burnley Sheff Wed v Charlton Swansea v Reading Notts Forest v Plymouth Coventry v Blackpool 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm Group 3 Preston v Burnley Birmingham v Cardiff Swansea v Reading Norwich v Barnsley Derby v QPR 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm Group 4 Sheff Weds v Charlton Birmingham v Cardiff Swansea v Reading Bristol City v Wolves Soton v Doncaster 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm BANK Main selected DRAW treble Staked 4pts Pending 4pts P/L 0pts Permed trebles Staked 40pts Pending 40pts P/L 0pts

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close...

WEEK No:1 I have selected 11 of the 12 games this week to cover, not ideal as i wanted a smaller selection to choose from. I am looking to add another filter into the system if possible, however want to see how this works this week. Group 1 Preston v Burnley HOME WIN Sheff Wed v Charlton HOME WIN Birmingham v Cardiff DRAW :ok Norwich v Barnsley HOME WIN Watford v Sheff Utd AWAY WIN 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) -1PT 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm -10PTS Group 2 Preston v Burnley HOME WIN Sheff Wed v Charlton HOME WIN Swansea v Reading HOME WIN Notts Forest v Plymouth HOME WIN Coventry v Blackpool HOME WIN 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) -1PT 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm -10PTS Group 3 Preston v Burnley HOME WIN Birmingham v Cardiff DRAW :ok Swansea v Reading HOME WIN Norwich v Barnsley HOME WIN Derby v QPR AWAY WIN 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) -1PT 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm -10PTS Group 4 Sheff Weds v Charlton HOME WIN Birmingham v Cardiff DRAW:ok Swansea v Reading HOME WIN Bristol City v Wolves DRAW:ok Soton v Doncaster AWAY WIN 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) -1PT 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm -10PTS BANK Main selected DRAW treble Staked 4pts Pending 4pts P/L 0pts Permed trebles Staked 40pts Pending 40pts P/L 0pts
UPDATED AS ABOVE. GROUP 1 - 1 FROM 5 CORRECT (3h, 1d, 1a) GROUP 2 - 0 FROM 5 CORRECT (5h) GROUP 3 - 1 FROM 5 CORRECT (3h, 1d, 1a) GROUP 4 - 2 FROM 5 CORRECT (2h, 2d, 1a) Lots of home wins this week & 2 draws from the 11 games we picked. We nearly got 1 treble with 2 from 5 in Group 4. BANK Main selected DRAW treble Staked 4pts Pending 0pts Returns 0pts P/L -4pts Permed trebles Staked 40pts Pending 0pts Returns 0pts P/L -40pts
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close... Midweek action Games && ratings Barnsley (-21) v Ipswich (11) = (-10) Birmingham (-10) v Derby (4) = (-6) Blackpool (22) v QPR (11) = (33) Charlton (-10) v C Palace (-7) = (-17) Norwich (-31) v Soton (1) = (-30) Notts F (11) v Sheff Wed (1) = (12) Plymouth (-18) v Bristol C (36) = (18) Reading (-21) v Wolves (-31) = (-52) Sheff Utd (1) v Doncaster (-18) = (-17) Swansea (65) v Preston (-31) = (34) Watford (-21) v Burnley (-10) = (-31) Coventry (22) v Cardiff (47) = (69) So we have 3 games shown in italics which are the games i rate "least" likely to produce a draw.The 3 shown in BOLD are the ones i rate as "most" likely to produce a draw. Any total in the minus figures will be a BET to produce a draw. Group 1 Reading v Wolves Watford v Burnley Charlton v C Palace Norwich v Soton Sheff utd v Doncaster 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm Group 2 Reading v Wolves Watford v Burnley Norwich v Soton Sheff Utd v Doncaster Barnsley v ipswich 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm Group 3 Reading v Wolves Norwich v Soton Sheff Utd v Doncaster Barnsley v ipswich Charlton v C Palace 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm Group 4 Watford v Burnley Norwich v Soton Charlton v C Palace Birmingham v Derby Barnsley v ipswich 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close...

Midweek action Games && ratings Barnsley (-21) v Ipswich (11) = (-10) Birmingham (-10) v Derby (4) = (-6) Blackpool (22) v QPR (11) = (33) Charlton (-10) v C Palace (-7) = (-17) Norwich (-31) v Soton (1) = (-30) Notts F (11) v Sheff Wed (1) = (12) Plymouth (-18) v Bristol C (36) = (18) Reading (-21) v Wolves (-31) = (-52) Sheff Utd (1) v Doncaster (-18) = (-17) Swansea (65) v Preston (-31) = (34) Watford (-21) v Burnley (-10) = (-31) Coventry (22) v Cardiff (47) = (69) So we have 3 games shown in italics which are the games i rate "least" likely to produce a draw.The 3 shown in BOLD are the ones i rate as "most" likely to produce a draw. Any total in the minus figures will be a BET to produce a draw. Group 1 Reading v Wolves HOME WIN Watford v Burnley HOME WIN Charlton v C Palace HOME WIN Norwich v Soton DRAW :ok Sheff utd v Doncaster AWAY WIN 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm Group 2 Reading v Wolves HOME WIN Watford v Burnley HOME WIN Norwich v Soton DRAW :ok Sheff Utd v Doncaster AWAY WIN Barnsley v ipswich AWAY WIN 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm Group 3 Reading v Wolves HOME WIN Norwich v Soton DRAW:ok Sheff Utd v Doncaster AWAY WIN Barnsley v ipswich AWAY WIN Charlton v C Palace HOME WIN 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm Group 4 Watford v Burnley HOME WIN Norwich v Soton DRAW :ok Charlton v C Palace HOME WIN Birmingham v Derby HOME WIN Barnsley v ipswich AWAY WIN 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm
Mainly home wins again & 1 draw in each group, there were no other draws so out of the 7 selections we had 1 draw, 2 away & 4 homes. RESULTS ABOVE GROUP 1 - 1 CORRECT FROM 5 (3H, 1D 1A) GROUP 2 - 1 CORRECT FROM 5 (2H, 1D, 2A) GROUP 3 - 1 CORRECT FROM 5 (2H, 1D, 2A) GROUP 4 - 1 CORRECT FROM 5 (3H, 1D, 1A) BANK Main selected DRAW treble Staked 8pts Pending 0pts Returns 0pts P/L -8pts Permed trebles Staked 80pts Pending 0pts Returns 0pts P/L -80pts
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close... This weekend games start tonight so need to do this now. Doncaster (-19) v Norwich (-23) = (-42) Bristol City (33) v Barnsley (-23) = (10) Burnley (-12) v Charlton (-13) = (-25) Cardiff (41) v Notts Forest (8) = (49) C Palace (-10) v Blackpool (19) = (-9) Derby (1) v Coventry (19) = (20) Ipswich (8) v Plymouth (-21) = (-13) Preston (-34) v Sheff utd (-2) = (-36) QPR (7) v Reading (-22) = (-15) Sheff Wed (-2) v Birmingham (-12) = (-14) Soton (9) v Sawnsea (59) = (68) Wolves (-33) v Watford (-23) = (-56) So we have 3 games shown in italics which are the games i rate "least" likely to produce a draw.The 3 shown in BOLD are the ones i rate as "most" likely to produce a draw. Any total in the minus figures will be a BET to produce a draw. Group 1 Wolves v Watford Doncaster v Norwich Preston v Sheff Utd Burnley v Charlton Sheff Wed v Birmingham Group 2 Wolves v Watford Doncaster v Norwich Burnley v Charlton Sheff Wed v Birmingham QPR v Reading Group 3 Doncaster v Norwich Preston v Sheff Utd Sheff Wed v Birmingham Ipswich v Plymouth C Palace v Blackpool Group 4 Preston v Sheff Utd Burnley v Charlton Wolves v Watford QPR v Reading Ipswich v Plymouth Each group 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close...

This weekend games start tonight so need to do this now. Doncaster (-19) v Norwich (-23) = (-42) Bristol City (33) v Barnsley (-23) = (10) Burnley (-12) v Charlton (-13) = (-25) Cardiff (41) v Notts Forest (8) = (49) C Palace (-10) v Blackpool (19) = (-9) Derby (1) v Coventry (19) = (20) Ipswich (8) v Plymouth (-21) = (-13) Preston (-34) v Sheff utd (-2) = (-36) QPR (7) v Reading (-22) = (-15) Sheff Wed (-2) v Birmingham (-12) = (-14) Soton (9) v Sawnsea (59) = (68) Wolves (-33) v Watford (-23) = (-56) So we have 3 games shown in italics which are the games i rate "least" likely to produce a draw.The 3 shown in BOLD are the ones i rate as "most" likely to produce a draw. Any total in the minus figures will be a BET to produce a draw. Group 1 Wolves v Watford - HOME WIN Doncaster v Norwich - DRAW:ok Preston v Sheff Utd - DRAW :ok Burnley v Charlton - HOME WIN Sheff Wed v Birmingham - DRAW:ok Group 2 Wolves v Watford - HOME WIN Doncaster v Norwich - DRAW:ok Burnley v Charlton - HOME WIN Sheff Wed v Birmingham DRAW:ok QPR v Reading - DRAW :ok Group 3 Doncaster v Norwich - DRAW:ok Preston v Sheff Utd - DRAW :ok Sheff Wed v Birmingham - DRAW:ok Ipswich v Plymouth - DRAW:ok C Palace v Blackpool AWAY WIN Group 4 Preston v Sheff Utd - DRAW:ok Burnley v Charlton - HOME WIN Wolves v Watford - HOME WIN QPR v Reading - DRAW:ok Ipswich v Plymouth - DRAW:ok Each group 1 x 1pt DRAW treble (games shown in RED) 10 x 1pt DRAW trebles perm
WHAT A DAY, WE HAVE A RETURN IN ALL 4 GROUPS, 1 MAIN TREBLE LANDED & ALSO NEARLY A FULL HOUSE IN ONE OF THE GROUPS WILL COME BACK WITH THE RETURNS TOMORROW, BUT ITS A NICE PROFIT!
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close...

WHAT A DAY, WE HAVE A RETURN IN ALL 4 GROUPS, 1 MAIN TREBLE LANDED & ALSO NEARLY A FULL HOUSE IN ONE OF THE GROUPS WILL COME BACK WITH THE RETURNS TOMORROW, BUT ITS A NICE PROFIT!
:loon:loon Tremendous stuff mate :clap:clap:clap:clap Those that were down weren't far away either - I know Burnley was a 94th minute goal, Wolves were closed down to 2-1 10 mins before the end and I cant quite remember the Palace game, but I do remember it being tight. Glad to see it coming good :ok This and the Best Bet of the Day competition - your on fire ;)
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close... Results from this weekend GROUP 1 - 3 FROM 5 CORRECT (3D, 2H) GROUP 2 - 3 FORM 5 CORRECT (3D, 2H) GROUP 3 - 4 FROM 5 CORRECT (4D, 1H) + MAIN TREBLE LANDED GROUP 4 - 3 FROM 5 CORRECT (3D, 2H) returns Group 1 - 1 treble pays 33.3pts:ok Group 2 - 1 treble pays 32.2pts:ok Group 3 - 4 trebles pays 141.90pts:ok:ok Group 4 - 1 treble pays 34.7pts:ok Main treble from Group 3 pays 33.28pts:ok Total 275.38pts BANK Main selected DRAW treble Staked 12pts Pending 0pts Returns 33.28pts P/L +21.28pts Permed trebles Staked 120pts Pending 0pts Returns 242.10pts P/L +122.10pts

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close... Todays games Birmingham (-5) v Burnley (-15) = (-20) Blackpool (15) v Doncaster (-12) = (3) Coventry (15) v Wolves (-27) = (-12) Norwich (-8) v Bristol City (23) = (15) Notts F (15) v QPR (15) = (30) Plymouth (-6) v Derby (-2) = (-8) Reading (-15) v Preston (-17) = (-32) Sheff Utd (-1) v Sheff Wed (5) = (4) Swansea (65) v Ipswich (15) = (80) The games in Bold red are the key ones but with only 4 selections this week all 4 will form the groups. I am adding Doncaster to the groups also as they are due an away draw according to my stats. Group 1 Birmingham Plymouth Reading Coventry Doncaster 10 x 1pt draw trebles 1 x 1pt main draw treble Only 1 group of bets this week.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close...

The games in Bold red are the key ones but with only 4 selections this week all 4 will form the groups. I am adding Doncaster to the groups also as they are due an away draw according to my stats. Group 1 Birmingham DRAW :ok Plymouth AWAY Reading DRAW:ok Coventry HOME Doncaster AWAY 10 x 1pt draw trebles 1 x 1pt main draw treble Only 1 group of bets this week.
bit unlucky not to get a treble up yesterday with Wolves missing a pen in injury time:wall BANK Main selected DRAW treble Staked 13pts Pending 0pts Returns 33.28pts P/L +20.28pts Permed trebles Staked 130pts Pending 0pts Returns 242.10pts P/L +112.10pts
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close... Saturdays ratings Birmingham (3) v Notts Forest (11) = (14) Bristol C (20) v Soton (11) = (31) Burnley (-8) v Wolves (-29) = (-37) Charlton (-17) v Plymouth (-8) = (-25) Doncaster (-13) v Sheff Wed (2) = (-11) Ipswich (12) v Blackpool (12) = (24) Preston (-10) v Norwich (-10) = (-20) Only a small card for Saturday so the bet will be (incl Forest as they are due an away draw & birmingham keep drawing!) Group 1 Burnley Charlton Preston Doncaster Birmingham 10 x 1pt draw trebles 1pt win treble on bold red selections

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close... Midweek games Burnley (-10) v Coventry (+12) = (+2) Doncaster (-17) v Bristol City (+16) = (-1) Plymouth (-11) v C Palace (-13) = (-24) Sheff wed (0) v barnsley (-25) = (-25) Watford (-25) v Swansea (+60) = (+35) Derby (-5) v Blackpool (+18) = (+13) Ipswich (+18) v N Forest (+9) = (+27) main 3 in bold above, to make up 5 team for a group bunging in Burnley who are due a home draw & Forest who are due an away draw Group 1 Doncaster Plymouth Sheff Wed Ipswich Burnley 10 x 1pt draw trebles 1 x 1pt main draw treble (shown in bold)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close...

Midweek games Burnley (-10) v Coventry (+12) = (+2) Doncaster (-17) v Bristol City (+16) = (-1) Plymouth (-11) v C Palace (-13) = (-24) Sheff wed (0) v barnsley (-25) = (-25) Watford (-25) v Swansea (+60) = (+35) Derby (-5) v Blackpool (+18) = (+13) Ipswich (+18) v N Forest (+9) = (+27) main 3 in bold above, to make up 5 team for a group bunging in Burnley who are due a home draw & Forest who are due an away draw Group 1 Doncaster HOME Plymouth AWAY Sheff Wed AWAY Ipswich HOME Burnley DRAW:ok 10 x 1pt draw trebles 1 x 1pt main draw treble (shown in bold)
we only managed 1 draw from the 7 games but we did pick it! BANK Main selected DRAW treble Staked 15pts Pending 0pts Returns 33.28pts P/L +18.28pts Permed trebles Staked 150pts Pending 0pts Returns 242.10pts P/L +92.10pts
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close... this weekends fixtures Barnsley -27 v Charlton -19 = (-46) Blackpool +15 v Watford -27 = (-12) Coventry +18 v Birmingham +1 = (+19) Norwich -12 v Burnley -3 = (-15) N Forest +6 v Derby -8 = (-2) Plymouth -13 v Sheff Utd -4 = (-17) QPR +21 v ipswich +15 = (+36) Reading -7 v Bristol C +14 = (+7) Sheff w -3 v C Palace -15 = (-18) Swansea +56 v Doncaster -19 = (+37) Wolves -30 v Cardiff +38 = (+8) we have 6 draws in total with 4 that i will use for the main treble per group Group 1 Barnsley Norwich Plymouth Sheff Wed Blackpool Group 2 Norwich Plymouth Sheff Wed Barnsley N Forest Group 3 Barnsley Plymouth Sheff Wed Blackpool N Forest Group 4 barnsley Sheff Wed Norwich Blackpool Plymouth 10 x 1pt trebles in each group 4 x 1pt main trebles shown in red bold

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: As the season DRAWS to a close...

this weekends fixtures Barnsley -27 v Charlton -19 = (-46) :clap Blackpool +15 v Watford -27 = (-12) Coventry +18 v Birmingham +1 = (+19) Norwich -12 v Burnley -3 = (-15) :clap N Forest +6 v Derby -8 = (-2) Plymouth -13 v Sheff Utd -4 = (-17) :clap QPR +21 v ipswich +15 = (+36) Reading -7 v Bristol C +14 = (+7) Sheff w -3 v C Palace -15 = (-18) Swansea +56 v Doncaster -19 = (+37) Wolves -30 v Cardiff +38 = (+8) we have 6 draws in total with 4 that i will use for the main treble per group Group 1 Barnsley DRAW:ok Norwich DRAW :ok Plymouth DRAW :ok Sheff Wed Blackpool Group 2 Norwich DRAW:ok Plymouth DRAW:ok Sheff Wed Barnsley DRAW:ok N Forest Group 3 Barnsley DRAW:ok Plymouth DRAW :ok Sheff Wed Blackpool N Forest Group 4 barnsley DRAW:ok Sheff Wed Norwich DRAW :ok Blackpool Plymouth DRAW :ok 10 x 1pt trebles in each group 4 x 1pt main trebles shown in red bold
HAPPY DAYS YESTERDAY, 3 DRAWS & WE HAD ALL 3. Group 1 Main treble pays £37.03 Treble pays £37.03 Group 2 Treble pays £37.03 Group 3 nil returned Group 4 Treble pays £37.03 BANK Main selected DRAW treble Staked 19pts Pending 0pts Returns 70.31pts P/L +51.31pts:ok Permed trebles Staked 190pts Pending 0pts Returns 353.19pts P/L +163.19pts :ok
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...