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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional.


Luigi84

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Hello all, I just want to share in this great forum my selections. Keeping track of my bank and so noticing how it goes. I have not strict rules about my selections, but nevertheless I will have a method: 1) No doubles, trebles or accumulators. Only Singles. 2) Stakes never to be higher than the 2.5% of my budget. Starting budget is 197.94€, so 5% is ~5€ 3) Looking always for value bets Anyway I will have to fight with the Italian odds... thus overtaxed by the state :( This will make my battle harder. Selections for tonight: Stake: 4€ Academica - Leixoes: 1 @ 2.65 Revenue: 10.6€ Stake: 4€ Cleveland Cavaliers [H -12.5] - Chicago Bulls: 1 @ 1.82 Revenue: 7.28€ Stake: 4€ New Jersey Nets - Atlanta Hawks [H -5.5]: 2 @ 2.10 Revenue: 8.2€ Stake: 4€ New York Knicks [H -5.5] - Indiana Pacers: 1 @ 2.35 Revenue: 9.4€ Stake: 4€ Minnesota Timberwolves [H -2.5] - Golden State Warriors: 1 @ 1.82 Revenue: 7.28€ Stake: 4€ Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets [H -7.5]: 2 @ 1.80 Revenue: 7.20 Stake: 4€ Dallas Mavericks [H -7.5] - Philadelphia 76ers: 1 @ 1.82 Revenue: 7.28€ Stake: 4€ L.A. Lakers [H -9.5] - Utah Jazz: 1 @ 1.82 Revenue: 7.28€ Stake: 5€ Carolina Hurricanes - St. Louis Blues: 1 @ 1.70 Revenue: 8.5€ ANy ideas, suggestions or feedbacks will be welcomed! :hope

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Thanks mates for the warm welcome! :) The start was not so good with Academica - Leixoes 0-0 ... but there is still long to go. Tomorrow morning I will do the first balance of this night. Cheers!

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Thanks and nice to meet you too Samba and bagzi. First update on my gambling campaign. Results: Academica - Leixoes 0-0 (FAILED) Cleveland - Chicago 117-92 (GOT IT!!!) NJ - Atlanta 93-91 (FAILED) NY - Indiana 103-105 (FAILED) Minnesota - GSW 115-108 (GOT IT!!!) OKC - Denver 120-122 (FAILED) Dallas - Philadelphia 113-100 (GOT IT!!!) LAL - Utah 113-100 (GOT IT!!!) Carolina - St. Louis 2-1 (GOT IT!!!) Total money staked: 37€ Total money returned: 37.62€ Daily net: +0.62€ New Budget: 198.56€ Not a great earning, but it is important not to have lost! I am returning soon to write my new daily bets! :nana

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Thanks Hodgey! :) Anyway I have actually an uncle and a 2 friends named Mario... lol Here we go with my first betting selections for today, I think some more will follow later. Scottish Premier League Stake: 4€ Hamilton - Aberdeen: X @ 3.35 Revenue: 13.4€ Stake: 5€ St. Mirren - Motherwell: 1 @ 2.15 Revenue: 10.75€ Stake: 5€ Celtic - Dundee UTD: 1 @ 1.28 Revenue: 6.4€ FA Cup Stake: 5€ QPR - Burnley: 1 @ 2.10 Revenue: 10.5€ Stake: 4€ Sheffield Wednesday - Fulham: X @ 3.25 Revenue: 13€ England: League 1 Stake: 4€ Brighton - Northampton: X @ 3.20 Revenue: 12.8€ Stake: 5€ Hereford - Leeds: 2 @ 1.87 Revenue: 9.35€ England: League 2 Stake: 4€ Aldershot - Notts County: 1 @ 1.73 Revenue: 6.93€ Stake: 4€ Rotherham - Dag & Red: X @ 3.20 Revenue: 12.8€ Basketball Greece A1 Stake: 5€ Olympiacos [H -13.5] - Panellinios: 1 @ 1.82 Revenue: 9.10€ Basketball Germany BBL Stake: 4€ Artland Dragons [H -6.5] - Giants Dusseldorf: 2 @ 1.82 Revenue: 7.28€ Total amount staked: 53€ :nana :hope

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Good luck mate. Thats quite a lot of selections you've got there, perhaps you'd be better looking at less leagues and less selections with slightly higher stakes? Most proffesional football betters will specify in one or two leagues and learn it like the back of their hand. That's how they manage to find value by finding information before the bookies do.

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Thanks for sharing your opinion Sloppy, I really appreciate that. And you definitely have a point. Actually I don't feel yet so confident in my self to punt higher stakes (and also the leagues that I am more expert in, I think so at least, are not playing today: for instance Italian Serie A and Serie B, they will start next weekend after the winter pause), that's why I prefere to "deresponsabilize" each of my bets with lower stakes. Of course this mean that I will not gain much, but either I am supposed, at least I hope so :) , not to lose much as well... What do you think about this kind of reasoning? I like to listen all of you experienced people in this :clap Added 2 selections for today: Football: Greece Super League Stake: 4€ Ergotelis - Panthrakikos: X @ 3.00 Revenue: 12€ Stake: 4€ Xanthi - Panionios: X @ 3.15 Revenue: 12.6€ Current Daily Money Staked: 63€ Both matches in my opinion will be an under 2.5 goals, but the odds for such bets are not worth the hazard (only about 1.55).

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Other bets added. Football Spanish Liga Stake: 4€ Valencia - Atletico Madrid: X @ 3.20 Revenue: 12.8€ Football Spanish Segunda Division Stake: 4€ Gimnastic Tarragona - Girona: X @ 3.00 Revenue: 12€ Stake: 4€ Alicante - Murcia: X @ 2.95 Revenue: 11.8€ Stake: 4€ Eibar - Xerez: 2 @ 2.70 Revenue: 10.8€ Football Portugal Liga Sagres Stake: 5€ Vitoria Setubal - Sporting Lisbon: 2 @ 1.70 Revenue: 8.50€ Current Daily Money Staked: 82€

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Not a lucky day, it would have been better if I refrained to bet on Segunda Division ;) Results of today: Hamilton - Aberdeen 2-0 FAILED St.Mirren - Motherwell 0-0 FAILED Celtic - Dundee 2-2 FAILED QPR - Burnley 0-0 FAILED Sheffield W. - Fulham 1-2 FAILED Brighton - Northampton POSTPONED - Stake returned Hereford - Leeds POSTPONED - Stake returned Aldershot - Notts County POSTPONED Stake returned Rotherham - Dag & Red 1-1 GOT IT Ergotelis - Panthrakikos 0-1 FAILED Xanthi - Panionios 0-0 GOT IT Olympiacos - Panellinios 92-77 GOT IT Artland Dragons - Giants Dusseldorf 77-88 GOT IT Gimnastic - Girona 3-0 FAILED Alicante - Murcia 0-2 FAILED Eibar - Xerez FAILED Vitoria Setubal - Sporting Lisbon 0-2 GOT IT Waiting for Valencia - Atletico (which is currently on 3-1 and I have not so many hopes that Atletico will be able to get a draw now) I on a current daily net of -14.72€ !!! Very bad! But I still don't despair. :)

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Current Budget: 183.84€ Daily Net: -14.72€ Total Current Net: -14.1€ NBA bets of the night Stake: 5€ Indiana Pacers [H -5.5] - Sacramento Kings: 1 @ 1.65 Revenue: 8.25 Stake: 5€ Charlotte Bobcats - Milwaukee Bucks: 1 @ 1.77 Revenue: 8.85€ Stake: 5€ Chicago Bulls [H -5.5] - Minnesota Timberwolves: 1 @ 1.70 Revenue: 8.5€ Stake: 3€ Chicago Bulls - Minnesota Timberwolves: CHI to win by 11-15 points margin @ 5.25 Revenue: 15.75€ Stake: 4€ San Antonio Spurs [H -10.5] - Philadelphia 76ers: 1 @ 1,82 Revenue: 7.28€ Stake: 5€ Denver Nuggets [H -2.5] - New Orleans Hornets: 1 @ 1.82 Revenue: 9.1€ Stake: 4€ Denver Nuggets - New Orleans Hornets: DEN to win by 6-10 points margin @ 4.90 Revenue: 19.6€ :hope

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Not too sure on your reasoning mate. If you're looking for profit from this then you're better off staking slightly higher on things you know better rather than just putting small stakes here there and everywhere. For example, if I was betting on the English leagues, I could do a little bit of research on all of the leagues and then put £2 on 12 of the games I think will win etc. - Or I could research one league really hard, looking at it in fine detail, and pick out the best 3 or 4 bets and put £5 on them. Now the risk is the same in terms of stake as you're betting the same amount of money, just on less games that you think are more likely to win. I havn't explained it very well, but research is vital in long-term betting, as is patience. If you have to wait an extra week for your league to play, then you should wait that extra week, unless you're just betting for a bit of fun and interest in some games.

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Thanks for your input Sloppy. Tomorrow I will be careful to bet a bit more on the matches I know more mate. Oh well, it has been a lot of fun betting on so many matches, but I am not looking much for fun now; I would like to win too :) For tonight, before reading your latest post, I placed some bets on NHL as well. NHL Bets for the night: Stake: 5€ Washington Capitals - NY Rangers: 1 @ 1.93 Revenue: 9.65€ Stake: 4€ Washington Capitals - NY Rangers: OVER 5.5 GOALS @ 1.90 Revenue: 7.60€ Stake: 5€ Tampa Bay Lightning - Carolina Hurricanes: 1 @ 2.30 Revenue: 11.5€ Stake: 3€ Minnesota Wild - Detroit Red Wings: 1 @ 3.05 Revenue: 9.15€ Stake: 5€ St. Louis Blues - Columbus Blue Jackets: 2 @ 2.30 Revenue: 11.5€ Stake: 5€ Edmonton Oilers - Dallas Stars: 1 @ 2.20 Revenue: 11€ Stake: 3€ LA Kings - Philadelphia Flyers: 1 @ 2.50 Revenue: 7.5€ Cheers mates!

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. I think I am trying an humble attemp to become a miserable more than a pro! :lol Results of the night: NBA Indiana - Sacramento 122-117 FAILED by only 1 point in less by Indiana!! Charlotte - Milwaukee 102-92 GOT IT Chicago - Minnesota 92-102 FAILED San Antonio - Philadelphia 108-106 FAILED, SA is not anymore trustable for bigger margins wins. Denver - New Orleans 105-100 GOT IT (if Denver scored 1 points in more I would have got also the margins bet) NHL Washington - NY Rangers 2-1 GOT IT (but FAILED the OVER 5.5 bet) Tampa Bay - Carolina 2-3 FAILED Minnesota - Detroit 2-3 FAILED St. Louis - Columbus 5-2 FAILED Edmonton - Dallas 4-1 GOT IT LA Kings - Philadelphia 2-1 after penalties, FAILED New Budget: 163.44 Last Day Result: -35.1€ Total Result: -34.6€ New bet for today: Basket Italian Serie A1 Stake:5€ Siena - Virtus Bologna [H -5.5]: 2 @ 18.0 Revenue: 90€

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Well, change of strategy: higher stakes, a bit less bets. And expecially on more known fields for me. Other bets for today: Football Spanish Liga Stake: 15€ Real Madrid - Villarreal: 1 @ 1.80 Revenue: 27€ Stake: 15€ Athl. Bilbao - Espanyol: 1 @ 1.85 Revenue: 27.75€ Stake: 10€ Valladolid - Santander: X @ 3.25 Revenue: 32.5€ Stake: 10€ Malaga - Sp. Gijon: X @ 3.10 Revenue: 31€ Stale: 10€ Almeria - Betis: X @ 3.20 Revenue: 32€ Football Spanish Segunda Division Stake: 8€ Rayo Vallecano - Levante: X @ 3.00 Revenue: 24€ Stake: 8€ Cordoba - Real Sociedad: X @ 2.90 Revenue: 23.2€ Stake: 8€ Huesca - Alaves: X @ 3.00 Revenue: 24€ Football Portugal Liga Sagres Stake: 20€ Trofense - Benfica: 2 @ 1.43 Revenue: 28.6 Football Greece Super League Stake: 8€ Panserraikos - Iraklis: X @ 2.90 Revenue: 23.2€ Stake: 20€ PAOK - Ofi Crete: 1 @ 1.42 Revenue: 28.4€ See you tonight when I will return to make the maths of the day! Have a nice day! :)

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Oh well, it didn't go well at all lately. I lost also the last bet Hamburg - Milan which was 1-1 at end of regular times. Tonights bet: Stake: 10€ Sassuolo - Brescia: 2 @ 3.05 Revenue: 30.5€

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. What a pity... Sassuolo- Brescia has been postponed due snow. Bets for today: Stake: 10€ Grosseto - Ancona: X @ 3.00 Revenue: 30€ Stake: 10€ Triestina - Empoli: 2 @ 2.85 Revenue: 28.5€ Stake: 10€ Everton - Hull: 1st half X @ 2.20 Revenue: 22€ Stake: 10€ Middlesbrough - Sunderland: X @ 3.25 Revenue: 32.5€ Stake: 10€ Middlesbrough - Sunderland: 1st half X @ 2.10 Revenue: 21€ Stake: 10€ Newcastle - West Ham: X @ 3.25 Revenue: 32.5€ Stake: 10€ Newcastle - West Ham: 1st half X @ 2.10 Revenue: 21€ Stake: 10€ Genoa - Torino: 2 @ 5.40 Revenue: 54€

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Added 5 bets: Football: Spanish Segunda Division Stake: 8€ Alaves - Celta Vigo: X @ 2.85 Revenue: 22.8€ Stake: 8€ Murcia - Albacete: X @ 2.85 Revenue: 22.8€ Stake: 8€ Zaragoza - Salamanca: X @ 3.10 Revenue: 24.8€ Stake: 8€ Hercules - Alicante: X @ 3.40 Revenue: 27.2€ Football: Italian Serie A Stake: 8€ Genoa - Torino: Dzemaili (To) to score at least one goal @ 6.50 Revenue: 52€ As a side note, Torino prices dropped from 5.40 down to 5.00 after my bet!!!!! :) Today I staked a total of 120€ on my resting budget of 136€... today is the day of the truth!!! :)

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Football: Italian Serie A Stake: 10€ Inter - Cagliari: Ibrahimovic (In) to score at least once @ 2.05 Revenue: 20.5€ Stake: 3€ Inter - Cagliari: Jeda (Ca) to score at least once @ 5.00 Revenue: 15€ American Football Stake: 15€ Tennessee Titans - Baltimore Ravens: 1 @ 1.63 Revenue: 24.45€

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. NBA bets: Stake: 10€ Washington Wizards [H -5.5] - Charlotte Bobcats: 1 @ 2.15 Revenue: 21.5€ Stake: 10€ Minnesota Timberwolves [H -5.5] - Milwaukee Bucks: 1 @ 2.60 Revenue: 26€ Stake: 10€ Chicago Bulls [H -5.5] - Oklahoma City Thunder: 1 @ 1.55 Revenue: 15.5€ Tomorrow morning maths about todays results.

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Yesterday's daily net: -62€ Today's budget: 74€ I am going toward the disaster... what a poor gambler I am! Stake: 8€ Wigan - Tottenham: 1 @ 2.25 Revenue: 18€ Stake: 8€ Palermo - Atalanta: X @ 3.00 Revenue: 24€ Stake: 5€ Reggina - Lazio: 2 @ 2.50 Revenue: 12.5€ Stake: 6€ Udinese - Sampdoria: X @ 3.00 Revenue: 18€

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Re: Luigi's Humble attemp to become professional. Aris failed to win with 1 man in more on the field during almost the whole match. AC Milan wasted a plain win just 15 mins before the end... Unlucky times are possible. I still have 62€, I resist and try for a better future. Today's bets: English football: League 1 Stake: 3€ MKD - Colchester: 1 @ 1.73 Revenue: 5.19€ Stake: 3€ MKD - Colchester: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 1.77 Revenue: 5.31€ Italian football: Serie B Stake: 3€ Pisa - Rimini: X @ 2.80 Revenue: 8.40€ Stake: 3€ Pisa - Rimini: UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ 1.72 Revenue: 5.16€ Italian football: Lega Pro 1 (Ex Serie C1) Stake: 3€ Lecco - Pro Patria: X @ 2.80 Revenue: 8.40€ Stake: 3€ Lecco - Pro Patria: UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ 1.58 Revenue: 4.74€ Italian Volleyball men: Serie A1 Stake: 3€ Marmi Lanza Verona - Stamplast Martina Franca: 1 @ 1.53 Revenue: 4.59€

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