Southwell 25/11/08

[JackJarvis]

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	12.10 Southwell
Selection	Salerosa
Strength	10/10
Date	25/11/2008
Bookmaker/Price	Ladbrokes @ SP (Back)
Reasoning	Sticking with the unexposed horse in the race in Salerosa. Won an average maiden on first start on this course last time also coming back from a break. Entitled to improve even further from that and with the top amateur, Simon Walker on board, he should go very close.

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	12.40 Southwell
Selection	Winged Farasi (Each-Way)
Strength	10/10
Date	25/11/2008
Bookmaker/Price	Ladbrokes @ SP (Back)
Reasoning	Seems well handicapped these days and his 4th in a stronger race here last time puts him in with leading claims here. The step back upto 1m should be in his favour and with the cheek pieces tried again, I reckon he could be the one to beat in a trappy affair.

[fintron]

Re: Southwell 25/11/08 1.10 Southwell 10 line up for this 7 furlong claimer and the two to concentrate on at these weights are Smalljohn and Kinigi. Smalljohn goes well at this level although did let backers down last time at Wolverhampton and is not certain to act on this surface. Kinigi is officially rated 15 lbs worse than Smalljohn but is well off at the weights as she is actually 2 lb better off than if this were a handicap, plus she has the added bonus of Andrea Atzeni's 7 lb claim. As a course and distance winner she is proven under these conditions and should be hard to beat. 3.10 Southwell 14 runners have been declared for this 0-75 class 5 handicap. The ones that make some appeal at the weights are Pertemps Network, Sudden Impulse, Me Fein and Houri. Pertemps Network won a hurdle for Mick Easterby in January and made a winning return to the flat with a comfortable win at Newcastle off 56 in April. He ran a solid second behind 66-rated Cotton Eyed Joe next time out off his revised mark of 67, so he cannot be confidently discounted off only 3 lbs higher here. He does, however, have an absence to overcome. Sudden Impulse won over this trip at Musselburgh in August and is only 5 lbs higher here. He could have a chance based solely on his weight, but his previous three efforts here temper enthusiasm; he's been unplaced on each occasion. Houri won off a 2 lb lower mark at Nottingham during the flat season but is another one with something to prove on the artifical surfaces and this may be a race best left to Me Fein. A P Stringer's gelding has looked a complete donkey on recent turf appearances, but looks a different animal on the all-weather with three wins from five starts. Not only has he proven his stamina over this trip with a win at Wolverhampton, he has winning course form having picked up a handicap at a lower level back in March. The handicapper has acknowledged his strength in this sphere and rated him 4 lb higher than when picking up that 0-65 Wolverhampton race, but providing all is well with him he looks a decent bet at the price. 7/1 Betfred. 3.40 Southwell Hurricane Harriet is best effective over this trip and ran a decent 4th behind Amber Queen at Newmarket last time out. She is quite a few lbs above her last winning mark though and I'm ready to oppose. The ones that make some appeal at the weights are Princess Rose Anne, Charles Parnell, Ingelby Arch, Asian Power, Incomparable, Herbert Cresent and Westwood Princess Rose Anne won in this grade at Lingfield in June off a 1 lb lower mark so must be respected running off 73 here. Ed Vaughan's filly may have valid excuses for two subsequent placings; when 5th on her next run at Lingfield she was tracking the leader but came too wide entering the final bend and ended up 2.38 lengths off Louphole and last time out at Wolverhampton she was dealt a poor draw. They went at a fast pace that day and she was never able to land a blow from the back of the field, but she is drawn in 5 today which should be more of use to her as she made all when scoring at Lingfield before. She must prove she goes in this slower surface though, a comment that also applies to Charles Parnell, who is only 5 lbs higher than when winning at Ayr last September. Ingleby Arch is well weighted on the pick of his form and won off an 11 lb higher mark here earlier in the year. He he's fared badly on his last two runs over CD though and may be best watched. Asian Power has been running solid races of this sort of mark of late and is only 2 lbs higher than when winning at Kempton in February. The handicapper has looked to have his measure of late though and he's unproven on fibresand. Incomparable has been raised only 3 lbs for his win over 5 furlongs here 11 days ago. He is proven over today's trip though, as he won at Doncaster last year in a maiden. Trainer McCabe does well here and applies cheekpieces, which brought about the victory last time out and it would be no surprise to see him go well. Herbert Crescent is only 2 lbs higher than his soft ground win at the Curragh last October, but he's been dropped in the handicap recently and still been well beaten so is easily opposed. Westwood won off a 12 lb higher mark at Haydock last season and even competed in a couple of listed races. He was rated as high as 91 this time last year, and was well and truly in the grips of the handicapper. However, there was a slight hint that he is back down towards a dangerous mark when he crossed over from a wide draw and took third at Wolverhampton. He takes a further drop in class here, but likely many of these, has no previous experience of the surface. 5 pts Incomparable 8/1 Betfred 5 pts Princess Rose Anne 20/1 Betfred